| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 92.0 | 88 | 84.0 |
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Scoring Opportunities
TOR
73
+15
-15
88
DEN
77
+10
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.91 45.5%
DEN
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | DEN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 81 0% | 96 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 81 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | TOR | MISS Davis 15' Jump Shot | 81 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 81 0.1% | 96 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 | 81 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw Technical (9 PTS) | 81 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | DEN | MISS Harrington 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:06 | DEN | MISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:28 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:48 | DEN | Harrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:03 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 80 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | TOR | MISS Davis 15' Jump Shot | 80 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 80 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 80 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:36 | TOR | Fernandez STEAL (3 STL) | 80 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 80 0.5% | 90 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 80 0.6% | 89 99.4% |
| Q4 - 3:01 | TOR | DeRozan 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 80 1.1% | 88 98.9% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 78 0.8% | 88 99.2% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | DEN | MISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 | 78 0.7% | 88 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 78 0.5% | 88 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:32 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 78 1.5% | 87 98.5% |
| Q4 - 3:32 | TOR | MISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 1.7% | 87 98.3% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 78 2.0% | 87 98.0% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | DEN | MISS Miller 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 1.8% | 87 98.2% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 78 1.3% | 87 98.7% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | DEN | MISS Harrington 2' Layup | 78 1.8% | 87 98.2% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 78 1.3% | 87 98.7% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | TOR | MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 1.5% | 87 98.5% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 78 1.9% | 87 98.1% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | DEN | MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot | 78 1.7% | 87 98.3% |
| Q4 - 5:08 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) | 78 2.0% | 87 98.0% |
| Q4 - 5:14 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13) | 76 1.5% | 87 98.5% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | TOR | Nene STEAL (3 STL) | 76 1.0% | 87 99.0% |
| Q4 - 5:42 | DEN | Nene 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Miller 11 AST) | 76 1.4% | 87 98.6% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 76 1.9% | 85 98.1% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot | 76 2.1% | 85 97.9% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 76 3.5% | 85 96.5% |
| Q4 - 6:17 | DEN | MISS Miller 8' Jump Bank Shot | 76 3.1% | 85 96.9% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | TOR | DeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14) | 76 2.5% | 85 97.5% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 76 3.4% | 85 96.6% |
| Q4 - 6:51 | DEN | MISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot | 76 3.1% | 85 96.9% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 76 2.5% | 85 97.5% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | TOR | MISS Bayless 3' Driving Layup | 76 2.7% | 85 97.3% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 76 4.0% | 85 96.0% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 76 3.6% | 85 96.4% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 76 3.0% | 85 97.0% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | TOR | MISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 3.2% | 85 96.8% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12) | 76 4.0% | 85 96.0% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | TOR | Bayless 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 76 3.0% | 85 97.0% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | DEN | Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Miller 10 AST) | 74 2.8% | 85 97.2% |
| Q4 - 8:15 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 74 4.6% | 82 95.4% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 6' Jump Shot | 74 4.9% | 82 95.1% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | DEN | Gallinari 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST) | 74 5.8% | 82 94.2% |
| Q4 - 8:49 | TOR | Magloire Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 74 7.4% | 80 92.6% |
| Q4 - 9:01 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 74 10.0% | 80 90.0% |
| Q4 - 9:01 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 9.4% | 80 90.6% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | DEN | Koufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 74 8.1% | 80 91.9% |
| Q4 - 9:17 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 7' Running Jump Shot | 74 9.3% | 80 90.7% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | TOR | Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST) | 74 8.0% | 80 92.0% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | TOR | Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 71 5.1% | 80 94.9% |
| Q4 - 9:45 | DEN | MISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 4.8% | 80 95.2% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | TOR | Kleiza 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST) | 71 4.5% | 80 95.5% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 69 3.6% | 80 96.4% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | DEN | MISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot | 69 3.4% | 80 96.6% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | TOR | Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST) | 69 2.9% | 80 97.1% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 2.2% | 80 97.8% |
| Q4 - 11:09 | DEN | MISS Koufos 2' Tip Shot | 66 2.0% | 80 98.0% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | DEN | Koufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 66 1.8% | 80 98.2% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | DEN | MISS Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 1 | 66 2.1% | 80 97.9% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | TOR | Barbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 66 2.7% | 78 97.3% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | TOR | Barbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 65 2.6% | 78 97.4% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | TOR | Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 64 2.1% | 78 97.9% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 29' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 2.0% | 78 98.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 64 1.7% | 78 98.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | TOR | Bayless Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12) | 64 2.0% | 78 98.0% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | DEN | Miller 7' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS) | 64 2.4% | 78 97.6% |
| Q3 - 0:35.0 | TOR | Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 64 3.0% | 76 97.0% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | TOR | Barbosa Free Throw Technical (14 PTS) | 61 2.0% | 76 98.0% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | DEN | Fernandez 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 9 AST) | 60 1.8% | 76 98.2% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | TOR | Bayless 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 60 2.2% | 74 97.8% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 1.8% | 74 98.2% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | DEN | MISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 1.7% | 74 98.3% |
| Q3 - 1:51 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Kleiza 4 AST) | 58 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | DEN | Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 8 AST) | 56 1.4% | 74 98.6% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 56 1.9% | 71 98.1% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 16' Jump Shot | 56 2.1% | 71 97.9% |
| Q3 - 2:36 | DEN | Miller 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS) | 56 2.3% | 71 97.7% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | TOR | Barbosa 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kleiza 3 AST) | 56 2.8% | 69 97.2% |
| Q3 - 3:12 | DEN | Harrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 54 2.5% | 69 97.5% |
| Q3 - 3:12 | DEN | Harrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 54 2.6% | 68 97.4% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | TOR | Miller STEAL (2 STL) | 54 3.0% | 67 97.0% |
| Q3 - 3:49 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 54 3.6% | 67 96.4% |
| Q3 - 3:51 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 | 54 3.5% | 67 96.5% |
| Q3 - 3:51 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 | 54 3.1% | 67 96.9% |
| Q3 - 3:55 | DEN | Brewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 54 3.0% | 67 97.0% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | DEN | MISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 3.4% | 67 96.6% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | TOR | Johnson 2' Layup (16 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST) | 54 3.1% | 67 96.9% |
| Q3 - 4:27 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 52 2.7% | 67 97.3% |
| Q3 - 4:28 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 2.6% | 67 97.4% |
| Q3 - 4:51 | TOR | Calderon 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST) | 52 2.2% | 67 97.8% |
| Q3 - 4:58 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 50 1.9% | 67 98.1% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 1.8% | 67 98.2% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | DEN | MISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot | 49 1.7% | 67 98.3% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | TOR | Johnson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (14 PTS) | 49 1.5% | 67 98.5% |
| Q3 - 5:31 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 47 1.3% | 67 98.7% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | TOR | MISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot | 47 1.1% | 67 98.9% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 47 1.3% | 67 98.7% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 47 1.3% | 66 98.7% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 47 1.5% | 65 98.5% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | TOR | Johnson 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS) | 47 1.5% | 65 98.5% |
| Q3 - 5:54 | TOR | MISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot | 45 1.1% | 65 98.9% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | DEN | Mozgov Foul Turnover (P3.T11) | 45 1.4% | 65 98.6% |
| Q3 - 6:20 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 45 1.2% | 65 98.8% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | TOR | MISS Davis 12' Jump Shot | 45 1.2% | 65 98.8% |
| Q3 - 6:44 | DEN | Nene Driving Dunk (13 PTS) | 45 1.4% | 65 98.6% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 45 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | TOR | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 1 | 45 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 43 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 43 1.6% | 62 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | TOR | Johnson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 43 1.8% | 61 98.2% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | DEN | Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 7 AST) | 41 1.5% | 61 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 41 2.0% | 58 98.0% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | DEN | MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 1 | 41 2.4% | 58 97.6% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | TOR | Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 41 2.8% | 56 97.2% |
| Q3 - 8:04 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 38 2.2% | 56 97.8% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | TOR | MISS Gray 6' Jump Hook Shot | 38 1.9% | 56 98.1% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 38 2.2% | 56 97.8% |
| Q3 - 8:09 | TOR | Nene BLOCK (1 BLK) | 38 1.9% | 56 98.1% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | DEN | Mozgov 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10) | 38 2.2% | 56 97.8% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 38 1.8% | 56 98.2% |
| Q3 - 8:50 | TOR | MISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 38 1.9% | 56 98.1% |
| Q3 - 8:50 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 38 2.1% | 56 97.9% |
| Q3 - 9:00 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 37 1.9% | 56 98.1% |
| Q3 - 9:01 | DEN | MISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot | 37 1.9% | 56 98.1% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 37 1.7% | 56 98.3% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | TOR | MISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 1.7% | 56 98.3% |
| Q3 - 9:24 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 37 1.9% | 56 98.1% |
| Q3 - 9:24 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 37 1.7% | 56 98.3% |
| Q3 - 9:36 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 37 1.9% | 56 98.1% |
| Q3 - 9:37 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 1.8% | 56 98.2% |
| Q3 - 9:56 | TOR | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 37 1.7% | 56 98.3% |
| Q3 - 9:56 | TOR | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 36 1.6% | 56 98.4% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | DEN | Miller 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 36 1.8% | 56 98.2% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 36 2.0% | 54 98.0% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | DEN | MISS Mozgov Layup | 36 2.3% | 54 97.7% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | TOR | Davis 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST) | 36 2.0% | 54 98.0% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 1.8% | 54 98.2% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 34 1.7% | 54 98.3% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | TOR | Johnson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 34 1.5% | 54 98.5% |
| Q3 - 11:06 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 32 1.5% | 54 98.5% |
| Q3 - 11:07 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot | 32 1.3% | 54 98.7% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 1.5% | 54 98.5% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | DEN | MISS Nene 2' Layup | 32 1.4% | 54 98.6% |
| Q3 - 11:32 | TOR | Nene STEAL (2 STL) | 32 1.3% | 54 98.7% |
| Q3 - 11:33 | DEN | Mozgov Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 32 1.4% | 54 98.6% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 32 1.3% | 54 98.7% |
| Q3 - 11:46 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot | 32 1.3% | 54 98.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 32 1.4% | 54 98.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 32 1.3% | 54 98.7% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 45' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 32 1.5% | 54 98.5% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 1.4% | 54 98.6% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | TOR | Mozgov BLOCK (2 BLK) | 32 1.5% | 54 98.5% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | DEN | Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 32 1.6% | 54 98.4% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | DEN | Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 32 1.6% | 53 98.4% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | TOR | Forbes Traveling Turnover (P1.T9) | 32 1.9% | 52 98.1% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 32 2.0% | 52 98.0% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 32 2.1% | 51 97.9% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | TOR | Fernandez STEAL (2 STL) | 32 2.4% | 50 97.6% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 32 2.7% | 50 97.3% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | DEN | MISS Nene 3' Layup | 32 2.7% | 50 97.3% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 32 2.5% | 50 97.5% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | TOR | MISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot | 32 2.6% | 50 97.4% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8) | 32 2.7% | 50 97.3% |
| Q2 - 1:46 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 2.5% | 50 97.5% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | TOR | MISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot | 32 2.6% | 50 97.4% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 32 2.9% | 50 97.1% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | TOR | MISS Forbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 2.7% | 50 97.3% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 32 2.9% | 50 97.1% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | DEN | MISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot | 32 2.8% | 50 97.2% |
| Q2 - 2:37 | DEN | Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 2.6% | 50 97.4% |
| Q2 - 2:38 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot | 32 2.7% | 50 97.3% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | DEN | Miller 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7) | 32 2.9% | 50 97.1% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | DEN | Brewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 2.6% | 50 97.4% |
| Q2 - 3:07 | TOR | MISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot | 32 2.8% | 50 97.2% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 3.0% | 50 97.0% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot | 32 2.9% | 50 97.1% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | TOR | Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST) | 32 2.6% | 50 97.4% |
| Q2 - 4:04 | DEN | Nene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 29 2.2% | 50 97.8% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 29 1.9% | 50 98.1% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 28 1.9% | 50 98.1% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | DEN | Gallinari 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 27 1.7% | 50 98.3% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | DEN | Brewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 1.9% | 48 98.1% |
| Q2 - 4:50 | TOR | Gallinari BLOCK (1 BLK) | 27 2.0% | 48 98.0% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 27 2.2% | 48 97.8% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | TOR | MISS Johnson 9' Running Hook Shot | 27 2.0% | 48 98.0% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | DEN | Gallinari 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 27 2.3% | 48 97.7% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 27 2.6% | 46 97.4% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | TOR | MISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot | 27 2.7% | 46 97.3% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | DEN | Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST) | 27 2.9% | 46 97.1% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | DEN | Brewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 3.8% | 43 96.2% |
| Q2 - 6:12 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 23' Jump Shot | 27 3.9% | 43 96.1% |
| Q2 - 6:28 | DEN | Brewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 27 4.3% | 43 95.7% |
| Q2 - 6:28 | DEN | Brewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 27 4.4% | 42 95.6% |
| Q2 - 6:29 | DEN | Brewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 4.7% | 41 95.3% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | TOR | MISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup | 27 4.9% | 41 95.1% |
| Q2 - 6:44 | DEN | Fernandez 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST) | 27 5.3% | 41 94.7% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | TOR | Barbosa 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 27 6.0% | 39 94.0% |
| Q2 - 7:20 | DEN | Brewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 25 5.4% | 39 94.6% |
| Q2 - 7:20 | DEN | Brewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 25 5.6% | 38 94.4% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | TOR | Johnson 21' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST) | 25 5.9% | 37 94.1% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 23 5.4% | 37 94.6% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | TOR | Andersen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 5.0% | 37 95.0% |
| Q2 - 7:55 | DEN | Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 23 5.4% | 37 94.6% |
| Q2 - 8:15 | TOR | Johnson 2' Putback Dunk (4 PTS) | 23 6.8% | 34 93.2% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 21 6.2% | 34 93.8% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | TOR | MISS Barbosa Layup | 21 5.8% | 34 94.2% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | DEN | Harrington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5) | 21 6.2% | 34 93.8% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | TOR | Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST) | 21 5.6% | 34 94.4% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | DEN | Harrington 1' Layup (4 PTS) | 18 4.7% | 34 95.3% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | TOR | Barbosa 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 18 5.2% | 32 94.8% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | DEN | Harrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 16 4.7% | 32 95.3% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | TOR | Bayless Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 16 4.2% | 32 95.8% |
| Q2 - 10:08 | DEN | Brewer 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST) | 16 4.9% | 32 95.1% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | TOR | Fernandez STEAL (1 STL) | 16 5.3% | 30 94.7% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 5.9% | 30 94.1% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | DEN | MISS Harrington 13' Fadeaway Jumper | 16 5.7% | 30 94.3% |
| Q2 - 10:41 | TOR | Barbosa 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 16 5.3% | 30 94.7% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 14 4.8% | 30 95.2% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot | 14 4.5% | 30 95.5% |
| Q2 - 11:04 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 5.0% | 30 95.0% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | DEN | MISS Harrington 3' Driving Layup | 14 4.8% | 30 95.2% |
| Q2 - 11:17 | TOR | Davis Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 14 4.5% | 30 95.5% |
| Q2 - 11:24 | DEN | Fernandez 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS) | 14 5.0% | 30 95.0% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | TOR | Barbosa 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST) | 14 5.4% | 28 94.6% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 12 5.0% | 28 95.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DEN | Miller 60' 3PT Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST) | 12 5.0% | 28 95.0% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | TOR | Raptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 12 6.2% | 25 93.8% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 12 6.7% | 25 93.3% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | TOR | MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 6.3% | 25 93.7% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | DEN | Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 6 AST) | 12 6.6% | 25 93.4% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | TOR | Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 12 8.1% | 22 91.9% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | DEN | Harrington 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 5 AST) | 9 6.6% | 22 93.4% |
| Q1 - 1:08 | DEN | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 7.6% | 20 92.4% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | TOR | MISS Barbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 | 9 7.7% | 20 92.3% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | TOR | Barbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 8.2% | 20 91.8% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 8 7.4% | 20 92.6% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | TOR | Bayless 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 8 7.0% | 20 93.0% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | DEN | Miller 9' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 6 6.2% | 20 93.8% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | TOR | Barbosa 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) | 6 7.0% | 18 93.0% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | DEN | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 6.4% | 18 93.6% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 5.9% | 18 94.1% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | TOR | MISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot | 4 6.1% | 18 93.9% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 4 6.4% | 18 93.6% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | DEN | Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 4 6.5% | 17 93.5% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | TOR | Johnson 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 7.0% | 16 93.0% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | DEN | Gallinari 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST) | 2 6.5% | 16 93.5% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | TOR | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 2 7.0% | 14 93.0% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | DEN | Gallinari 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST) | 2 7.6% | 14 92.4% |
| Q1 - 3:58 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 2 8.3% | 12 91.7% |
| Q1 - 3:59 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot | 2 8.5% | 12 91.5% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | DEN | Mozgov 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 2 8.9% | 12 91.1% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 2 9.6% | 10 90.4% |
| Q1 - 4:41 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 10.2% | 10 89.8% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 2 9.9% | 10 90.1% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | TOR | MISS Davis 17' Jump Shot | 2 10.1% | 10 89.9% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 10.7% | 10 89.3% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 2' Running Layup | 2 10.1% | 10 89.9% |
| Q1 - 5:32 | DEN | Nene 1' Layup (7 PTS) | 2 10.7% | 10 89.3% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | TOR | Gray Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2) | 2 11.4% | 8 88.6% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 2 12.4% | 8 87.6% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 17' Jump Shot | 2 11.7% | 8 88.3% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 2 12.4% | 8 87.6% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | DEN | MISS Afflalo 19' Jump Shot | 2 12.1% | 8 87.9% |
| Q1 - 6:17 | TOR | Nene STEAL (1 STL) | 2 11.4% | 8 88.6% |
| Q1 - 6:38 | DEN | Afflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 12.4% | 8 87.6% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | DEN | Afflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 11.5% | 8 88.5% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | TOR | MISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot | 2 11.7% | 8 88.3% |
| Q1 - 7:00 | DEN | Nene 2' Driving Slam Dunk (5 PTS) | 2 12.4% | 8 87.6% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | DEN | MISS Gallinari Free Throw Technical | 2 13.1% | 6 86.9% |
| Q1 - 7:22 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 2 13.1% | 6 86.9% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | TOR | Mozgov BLOCK (1 BLK) | 2 13.4% | 6 86.6% |
| Q1 - 7:25 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 2 14.2% | 6 85.8% |
| Q1 - 7:26 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot | 2 13.4% | 6 86.6% |
| Q1 - 7:50 | DEN | Nene 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST) | 2 14.2% | 6 85.8% |
| Q1 - 8:01 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 2 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 8:02 | DEN | MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 15.6% | 4 84.4% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 8:11 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 8' Running Jump Shot | 2 15.2% | 4 84.8% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 2 15.9% | 4 84.1% |
| Q1 - 8:24 | DEN | MISS Nene 1' Layup | 2 15.6% | 4 84.4% |
| Q1 - 8:37 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 2 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 8:38 | TOR | MISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot | 2 15.2% | 4 84.8% |
| Q1 - 8:44 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 15.9% | 4 84.1% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | DEN | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 15.6% | 4 84.4% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 15.2% | 4 84.8% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 2 15.9% | 4 84.1% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | DEN | MISS Afflalo 10' Jump Shot | 2 15.6% | 4 84.4% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot | 2 15.2% | 4 84.8% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 15.9% | 4 84.1% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 | 2 15.7% | 4 84.3% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 2 15.2% | 4 84.8% |
| Q1 - 9:56 | DEN | Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 15.9% | 3 84.1% |
| Q1 - 9:57 | TOR | MISS Calderon 15' Jump Shot | 2 16.2% | 3 83.8% |
| Q1 - 10:06 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 16.9% | 3 83.1% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | DEN | MISS Nene 12' Jump Shot | 2 16.6% | 3 83.4% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | TOR | Calderon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST) | 2 15.8% | 3 84.2% |
| Q1 - 10:46 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 15.0% | 3 85.0% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | DEN | MISS Mozgov 7' Jump Hook Shot | 0 14.7% | 3 85.3% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 14.0% | 3 86.0% |
| Q1 - 10:59 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 14.3% | 3 85.7% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | DEN | Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 0 14.7% | 3 85.3% |
| Q1 - 11:20 | DEN | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 16.6% | 0 83.4% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 6' Running Jump Shot | 0 16.8% | 0 83.2% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 17.5% | 0 82.5% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | DEN | MISS Nene 2' Finger Roll Layup | 0 17.2% | 0 82.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DEN | Jump Ball Mozgov vs. Gray: Tip to Gallinari | 0 16.6% | 0 83.4% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.91 45.5%
DEN
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
21
67%
DEN
14
22
64%
Midrange
TOR
11
42
26%
DEN
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
DEN
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
TOR
10
14
71%
DEN
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Barbosa | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| J. Bayless | 18 | 90% | 9.0 / 10 | |
| J. Johnson | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| J. Calderon | 9 | 45% | 4.5 / 10 | |
| D. DeRozan | 8 | 25% | 4.0 / 16 | |
| E. Davis | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| A. Johnson | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| L. Kleiza | 2 | 14% | 1.0 / 7 | |
| A. Gray | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| R. Butler | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| G. Forbes | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Nuggets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Fernandez | 23 | 105% | 11.5 / 11 | |
| D. Gallinari | 21 | 50% | 10.5 / 21 | |
| Nene | 20 | 59% | 10.0 / 17 | |
| A. Miller | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| A. Harrington | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
| C. Brewer | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| T. Mozgov | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| A. Afflalo | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| K. Koufos | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
73
+15
-15
88
DEN
77
+10
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.91 45.5%
DEN
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 100.5 109.3 | TOR 92.0 +14.6 DEN 106.7 |
| Pace | 89.6 94.1 | TOR 84.0 DEN 94.5 +10.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.6 14.6 | TOR 17.1 DEN 15.2 +1.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.5% 51.6% | TOR 43.3% DEN 51.4% +8.1% |
| TO % | 16.1% 15.7% | TOR 15.4% DEN 13.4% +2.0% |
| ORB % | 26.0% 27.7% | TOR 22.4% +2.4% DEN 20.0% |
| FTrt | 27.4 32.6 | TOR 17.1 DEN 45.7 +28.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.9% 61.5% | TOR 65.6% +9.3% DEN 56.3% |
| STL % | 7.2% 8.6% | TOR 8.0% DEN 8.9% +0.9% |
| BLK % | 8.2% 8.1% | TOR 11.6% +3.7% DEN 7.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.2% 54.2% | TOR 45.5% DEN 55.2% +9.7% |
| Rim FG% | 59.1% 59.7% | TOR 66.7% +3.1% DEN 63.6% |
| Mid FG% | 37.2% 39.3% | TOR 26.2% DEN 47.6% +21.4% |
| 3P % | 34.0% 33.2% | TOR 36.8% +7.2% DEN 29.6% |
| FT % | 77.0% 73.6% | TOR 71.4% DEN 75.0% +3.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.1% 48.0% | TOR 25.6% DEN 31.4% +5.8% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.1% 27.7% | TOR 51.2% DEN 30.0% +21.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 20.9% 24.3% | TOR 23.2% DEN 38.6% +15.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
| Game Totals | TOR | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 90 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.1 | 22.9 |
| Points | 81 | 96 |
| Rebounds | 43 | 46 |
| Assists | 21 | 18 |
| Steals | 7 | 8 |
| Blocks | 5 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 15 (1) | 13 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (4) | 8 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 32 (1) | 38 (0) |
| Field Goals | 32-82 | 32-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 14-21 | 14-22 |
| Midrange FG | 11-42 | 10-21 |
| 2-Point FG | 25-63 | 24-43 |
| 3-Point FG | 7-19 | 8-27 |
| Free Throws | 10-14 | 24-32 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.