for complete access.
All Games Monday, January 30, 2012
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Hornets
14%85
95
1
Heat
86%100
109
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
105.69088.2
MIA logo MIA
122.58990.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH95
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHHornets Rebound95
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Vasquez 15' Jump Shot95
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0NOHSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOHVasquez 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10NOHSummers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIACurry 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44NOHAminu 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (C. Johnson 2 AST)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54NOHSummers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54NOHSummers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03NOHHornets Rebound86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03NOHMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 186
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIACurry 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIACurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Curry 4' Jump Hook Shot84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51NOHAminu 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIACurry Foul Turnover (P1.T13)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30NOHSummers 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (C. Johnson 1 AST)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01NOHVasquez 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIACole 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25NOHMISS Henry 3' Driving Layup78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh 5' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59NOHMISS Aminu 4' Driving Layup78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMiller 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40NOHAyon 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIABosh 1' Dunk (10 PTS)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04NOHBosh STEAL (2 STL)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10NOHBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46NOHBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20NOHLandry 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMiller 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03NOHVasquez 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIACole 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47NOHHenry Foul Turnover (P2.T12)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:22NOHLandry Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:25NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Battier 12' Jump Shot72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:37NOHMISS Aminu 11' Jump Shot72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:59NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 10:16NOHAyon 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 10:42MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 10:55NOHMISS Henry 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 11:06NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 11:24NOHLandry 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMiller 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)68
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH68
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)68
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0NOHMISS Jack 9' Running Jump Shot68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)68
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 1:08NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)66
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 1:44NOHAminu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:57MIACole 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)66
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 2:23NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 2:23NOHMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 265
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)65
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)65
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 2:52NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 3:11MIAJames 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)65
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 3:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 3:18NOHMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot65
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 3:42NOHHornets Rebound65
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 3:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 4:01NOHMISS Jack 6' Jump Shot65
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 7 AST)65
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 4:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 4:30NOHMISS Belinelli 3' Driving Layup65
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 4:34NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot65
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 4:49NOHSmith 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Ariza 7 AST)65
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 5:09MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)63
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 5:25NOHOkafor 2' Layup (13 PTS)63
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 5:27NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 5:29NOHMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup61
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 5:45MIAAnthony 10' Hook Shot (8 PTS)61
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 5:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Hook Shot61
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 6:05NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot61
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q3 - 6:10NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Bosh 3' Dunk61
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 6:35NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 6:35NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 6:40NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot59
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 7:03MIAHEAT Rebound59
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 7:04NOHMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot59
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 7:20MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)59
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 7:38NOHOkafor 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ariza 6 AST)59
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 8:00MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 8:09NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)54
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 8:43NOHAriza 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 8:56MIAAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)52
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q3 - 9:03NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 9:03NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 251
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 9:22MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot51
5.7%
60
94.3%
Q3 - 9:41NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 10:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 10:17NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 2 of 249
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 10:17NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 249
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q3 - 10:35MIAJames 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q3 - 10:43NOHMISS Belinelli 13' Fadeaway Jumper49
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAWade 2' Layup (20 PTS)49
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q3 - 11:09NOHJames STEAL (1 STL)49
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)49
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 11:41NOHChalmers STEAL (1 STL)49
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH49
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound49
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 249
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot49
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)49
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAAnthony Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)49
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot49
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 1:09NOHHornets Rebound49
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 1' Dunk49
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 1:16NOHWade STEAL (2 STL)49
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 1:30NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
19.3%
48
80.7%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot49
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 1:51NOHLandry 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)49
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 2:10MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (James 4 AST)47
15.5%
48
84.5%
Q2 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 2:19NOHMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot47
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)47
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 2:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 2:49NOHMISS Aminu 22' Jump Shot47
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)47
22.7%
44
77.3%
Q2 - 3:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 3:26NOHMISS Okafor 12' Jump Shot47
25.4%
42
74.6%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
27.4%
42
72.6%
Q2 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
31.0%
39
69.0%
Q2 - 4:02NOHMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 147
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 4:20MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
28.7%
39
71.3%
Q2 - 4:34MIAHEAT Rebound45
31.1%
37
68.9%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot45
33.0%
37
67.0%
Q2 - 4:48NOHLandry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
31.1%
37
68.9%
Q2 - 5:03MIAJames 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
32.8%
37
67.2%
Q2 - 5:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
35.6%
35
64.4%
Q2 - 5:15NOHMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
36.3%
35
63.7%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
38.2%
35
61.8%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
38.7%
34
61.3%
Q2 - 5:46NOHHenry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)45
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 5:55MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
35.5%
33
64.5%
Q2 - 6:09NOHOkafor 8' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)42
31.6%
33
68.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIACole 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)40
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q2 - 6:50NOHAminu 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 6:58NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)38
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)38
28.6%
31
71.4%
Q2 - 7:36NOHVasquez Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q2 - 7:53NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup35
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q2 - 8:03MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 8:06NOHMISS Landry 6' Turnaround Jump Shot35
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 8:18NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot35
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 8:33NOHMISS Aminu 6' Jump Shot35
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 8:55NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
25.7%
29
74.3%
Q2 - 8:56NOHMISS Landry 18' Jump Shot35
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 9:11MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 9:22NOHAyon 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)35
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 9:48MIACole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 9:58NOHLandry 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)33
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 10:14MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)31
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Miller Free Throw Technical31
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q2 - 10:45NOHHenry Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)31
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q2 - 10:58NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Miller 29' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q2 - 11:31NOHAyon 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)31
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q2 - 11:40NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw Technical29
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH29
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACole 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)29
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHLandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMiller 3' Layup (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)27
17.4%
25
82.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
19.1%
23
80.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0NOHMISS Ayon 4' Jump Shot27
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)27
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q1 - 1:08NOHAriza 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)27
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 1:11NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 1:14NOHMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup25
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 1:20NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot25
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 1:37MIAHEAT Rebound25
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 1:39NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 1:50NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 1:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot25
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 2:31NOHLandry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)25
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 2:51NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot23
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 3:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
16.7%
20
83.3%
Q1 - 3:02NOHMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 3:23MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 3:23MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 3:41NOHMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup23
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 3:56NOHHornets Rebound23
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot23
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 4:05NOHMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot23
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 4:25NOHOkafor 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)23
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 221
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot21
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 5:07NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 221
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 5:07NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 5:38NOHBelinelli Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)20
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 5:40MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)20
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 6:05NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)20
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAJames 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)17
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 6:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS James 2' Tip Shot17
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot17
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 6:57NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)17
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 7:11MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 7:22NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)15
17.4%
10
82.6%
Q1 - 7:30NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 215
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 7:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
17.7%
10
82.3%
Q1 - 7:42NOHBelinelli 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
18.6%
9
81.4%
Q1 - 7:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 7:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot13
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 8:04NOHJack 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 8:24NOHBosh STEAL (1 STL)11
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 8:37MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 8:58NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)11
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 9:05MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound8
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 9:31NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 9:40NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 10:09NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)8
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:22MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:35NOHSmith 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)6
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 10:40NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot4
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:57NOHOkafor 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)4
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:13NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.5%
2
87.5%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 11:31NOHAriza 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 11:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 11:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
11.2%
1
88.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Okafor: Tip to James0
11.8%
0
88.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
15
24
63%
MIA
23
33
70%
Midrange
NOH
21
38
55%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
NOH
11
19
58%
MIA
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jack1454%7.0 / 13
C. Landry1478%7.0 / 9
E. Okafor1381%6.5 / 8
G. Vasquez1161%5.5 / 9
T. Ariza938%4.5 / 12
G. Ayon867%4.0 / 6
D. Summers7117%3.5 / 3
A. Aminu643%3.0 / 7
M. Belinelli536%2.5 / 7
J. Smith563%2.5 / 4
X. Henry338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2273%11.0 / 15
D. Wade2265%11.0 / 17
M. Miller1488%7.0 / 8
C. Bosh1246%6.0 / 13
N. Cole1250%6.0 / 12
M. Chalmers1179%5.5 / 7
J. Anthony8100%4.0 / 4
E. Curry467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
77
+8
-13
85
MIA
74
+12
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
106.6
NOH 105.6
MIA 122.5 +16.9
Pace
88.4
91.3
NOH 88.2
MIA 90.9 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.8
NOH 16.3
MIA 15.8 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
50.5%
NOH 56.0%
MIA 59.0% +3.0%
TO %
16.5%
15.9%
NOH 13.5% +1.2%
MIA 14.7%
ORB %
27.6%
26.6%
NOH 12.5%
MIA 34.4% +21.9%
FTrt
27.4
30.7
NOH 25.3
MIA 26.9 +1.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
53.8%
NOH 50.0%
MIA 53.5% +3.5%
STL %
8.3%
9.6%
NOH 10.0% +3.3%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
8.2%
9.0%
NOH 1.6%
MIA 4.8% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
53.5%
NOH 55.2%
MIA 63.4% +8.2%
Rim FG%
56.0%
61.1%
NOH 62.5%
MIA 69.7% +7.2%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.0%
NOH 55.3% +8.6%
MIA 46.7%
3P %
33.3%
35.9%
NOH 30.8%
MIA 40.0% +9.2%
FT %
75.7%
77.5%
NOH 57.9%
MIA 81.0% +23.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
36.7%
NOH 32.0%
MIA 42.3% +10.3%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
43.6%
NOH 50.7%
MIA 38.5% +12.2%
3P Att. %
15.2%
19.8%
NOH 17.3%
MIA 19.2% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points95109
Rebounds2539
Assists2023
Steals96
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)28 (3)
Field Goals40-7543-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2423-33
Midrange FG21-3814-30
2-Point FG36-6237-63
3-Point FG4-136-15
Free Throws11-1917-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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24 New Orleans Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Trevor Ariza
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
30.1
9
38%
3
7
1
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
27.2
14
54%
0
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
26.9
13
81%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
19.0
5
36%
5
1
1
0
2
2
0
5
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F · 7'0" 240 · 26
18.5
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25
24.6
11
61%
2
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28
23.9
14
78%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-3
67%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
23.5
6
43%
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27
18.0
8
67%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21
15.1
3
38%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
9.4
7
117%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29
4.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30
Eric Gordon
#10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
25
20
9
1
13
0
4
21
11-19
58%
36-62
58%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.