FinalWin Prob.pScore
162%100
97
1738%96
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.294102.7
MIL logo MIL
116.79083.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL97
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILIlyasova Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw Technical94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMbah a Moute 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gooden 5 AST)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAWade 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)94
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Jennings 8' Jump Shot92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:29MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:39MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)92
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 1:39MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)92
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)92
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 1:57MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 1:58MILMISS Gooden 3PT Jump Shot92
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 2:12MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P7.T17)92
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 2:14MILGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)92
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 2:32MILGooden 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Jennings 8 AST)90
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 2:51MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)90
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 2:57MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)87
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 3:01MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)87
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 3:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 3:12MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 287
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 3:12MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)87
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (40 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)87
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 3:48MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Hook Shot84
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 4:13MIAJames 1' Layup (37 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)84
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 4:25MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)82
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:40MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)82
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot82
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:04MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 5:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup82
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q4 - 5:41MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 5:41MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q4 - 5:56MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot82
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 6:07MILGooden Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)82
14.2%
90
85.8%
Q4 - 6:15MILBUCKS Rebound82
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot82
11.6%
90
88.4%
Q4 - 6:40MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dunleavy 5 AST)82
13.9%
90
86.1%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)82
22.5%
87
77.5%
Q4 - 7:29MILMbah a Moute 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Gooden 4 AST)82
31.9%
87
68.1%
Q4 - 7:38MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
37.7%
85
62.3%
Q4 - 7:40MIAIlyasova BLOCK (2 BLK)82
39.8%
85
60.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
44.9%
85
55.1%
Q4 - 7:49MILMISS Ilyasova 4' Jump Shot82
42.7%
85
57.3%
Q4 - 8:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)82
40.4%
85
59.6%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 281
39.1%
85
60.9%
Q4 - 8:23MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
40.2%
85
59.8%
Q4 - 8:23MILMbah a Moute 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)81
40.2%
85
59.8%
Q4 - 8:25MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)81
46.6%
83
53.4%
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Ilyasova Tip Shot81
51.0%
83
49.0%
Q4 - 8:27MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup81
51.0%
83
49.0%
Q4 - 8:43MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
46.6%
83
53.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot81
48.5%
83
51.5%
Q4 - 9:02MILDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)81
53.7%
83
46.3%
Q4 - 9:12MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot81
61.4%
81
38.6%
Q4 - 9:26MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)81
65.2%
81
34.8%
Q4 - 9:26MILBUCKS Rebound81
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q4 - 9:26MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot81
63.5%
81
36.5%
Q4 - 9:52MIABosh 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q4 - 10:04MILSanders Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)79
54.2%
81
45.8%
Q4 - 10:19MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
48.5%
81
51.5%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot79
50.2%
81
49.8%
Q4 - 10:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
54.2%
81
45.8%
Q4 - 10:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)79
48.5%
81
51.5%
Q4 - 10:38MILMISS Ilyasova Tip Shot79
52.4%
81
47.6%
Q4 - 10:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 279
53.4%
81
46.6%
Q4 - 10:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 279
49.8%
81
50.2%
Q4 - 10:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
48.5%
81
51.5%
Q4 - 10:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
54.1%
81
45.9%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot79
50.2%
81
49.8%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot79
50.2%
81
49.8%
Q4 - 11:07MILJennings 5' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)79
54.4%
81
45.6%
Q4 - 11:16MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
59.8%
79
40.2%
Q4 - 11:18MIAIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)79
61.3%
79
38.7%
Q4 - 11:33MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)79
64.7%
79
35.3%
Q4 - 11:41MILBUCKS Rebound79
73.9%
76
26.1%
Q4 - 11:42MILMISS Dunleavy 1' Layup79
76.6%
76
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
73.9%
76
26.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)79
77.8%
76
22.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
76.1%
76
23.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
73.7%
76
26.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot79
74.7%
76
25.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILDunleavy 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)79
77.1%
76
22.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
80.8%
74
19.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
81.7%
74
18.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILGooden Layup (13 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)79
83.6%
74
16.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)79
85.8%
72
14.2%
Q3 - 1:36MILGooden Layup (11 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)77
83.0%
72
17.0%
Q3 - 1:58MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)77
85.8%
70
14.2%
Q3 - 1:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)76
85.3%
70
14.7%
Q3 - 2:11MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
82.4%
70
17.6%
Q3 - 2:11MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
83.0%
69
17.0%
Q3 - 2:13MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
84.9%
68
15.1%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot75
85.7%
68
14.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
87.2%
68
12.8%
Q3 - 2:31MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot75
86.6%
68
13.4%
Q3 - 2:54MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS)75
85.0%
68
15.0%
Q3 - 3:01MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
82.2%
68
17.8%
Q3 - 3:03MILMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot73
81.4%
68
18.6%
Q3 - 3:21MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)73
79.3%
68
20.7%
Q3 - 3:46MILLivingston 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Gooden 3 AST)71
76.4%
68
23.6%
Q3 - 3:56MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T15)71
79.3%
66
20.7%
Q3 - 4:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
81.9%
66
18.1%
Q3 - 4:05MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
78.7%
66
21.3%
Q3 - 4:05MILMISS Livingston 1' Tip Shot71
81.0%
66
19.0%
Q3 - 4:07MILMISS Delfino 18' Jump Shot71
81.0%
66
19.0%
Q3 - 4:38MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)71
78.7%
66
21.3%
Q3 - 4:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
76.2%
66
23.8%
Q3 - 4:58MILMISS Jennings 13' Jump Shot69
75.1%
66
24.9%
Q3 - 5:05MIAJennings STEAL (4 STL)69
72.1%
66
27.9%
Q3 - 5:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
75.6%
66
24.4%
Q3 - 5:18MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 269
75.2%
66
24.8%
Q3 - 5:18MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
73.2%
66
26.8%
Q3 - 5:24MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
75.3%
65
24.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
76.4%
65
23.6%
Q3 - 5:43MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)69
78.6%
65
21.4%
Q3 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
75.3%
65
24.7%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
74.7%
65
25.3%
Q3 - 6:14MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)68
75.5%
65
24.5%
Q3 - 6:29MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
80.7%
62
19.3%
Q3 - 6:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
78.3%
62
21.7%
Q3 - 6:37MILMISS Livingston 13' Jump Shot66
77.4%
62
22.6%
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
74.6%
62
25.4%
Q3 - 7:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 7:05MILMISS Jennings 29' 3PT Jump Shot64
70.7%
62
29.3%
Q3 - 7:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
68.3%
62
31.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot64
69.4%
62
30.6%
Q3 - 7:52MILGooden 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)64
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)64
74.5%
60
25.5%
Q3 - 8:28MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)62
71.7%
60
28.3%
Q3 - 8:44MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)62
77.2%
57
22.8%
Q3 - 8:47MILGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)62
79.9%
57
20.1%
Q3 - 9:00MIAJennings STEAL (3 STL)62
77.2%
57
22.8%
Q3 - 9:12MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)62
79.7%
57
20.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAGooden STEAL (2 STL)62
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q3 - 9:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
84.0%
55
16.0%
Q3 - 9:22MILMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot62
83.4%
55
16.6%
Q3 - 9:39MIAAnthony 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q3 - 10:03MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
79.6%
55
20.4%
Q3 - 10:12MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
83.7%
52
16.3%
Q3 - 10:13MIADelfino BLOCK (1 BLK)60
84.3%
52
15.7%
Q3 - 10:32MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)60
85.6%
52
14.4%
Q3 - 10:55MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
88.7%
49
11.3%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot60
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 11:17MILGooden 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)60
89.9%
49
10.1%
Q3 - 11:36MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade Layup60
91.4%
47
8.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
92.1%
47
7.9%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup60
91.4%
47
8.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL60
92.1%
47
7.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound60
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Livingston 4' Jump Shot60
91.8%
47
8.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)60
90.7%
47
9.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
91.5%
47
8.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 260
91.4%
47
8.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
90.6%
47
9.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T9)60
91.8%
46
8.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILGooden Layup (5 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)60
92.5%
46
7.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MILBUCKS Rebound60
93.6%
44
6.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup60
94.0%
44
6.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJennings STEAL (2 STL)60
93.6%
44
6.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
94.1%
44
5.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot60
94.0%
44
6.0%
Q2 - 1:00MILBUCKS Rebound60
93.6%
44
6.4%
Q2 - 1:00MILMISS Livingston 2' Layup60
94.0%
44
6.0%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
93.3%
44
6.7%
Q2 - 1:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
92.2%
44
7.8%
Q2 - 1:18MILMISS Livingston 6' Jump Shot58
92.0%
44
8.0%
Q2 - 1:35MILBUCKS Rebound58
91.5%
44
8.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIALivingston BLOCK (2 BLK)58
91.7%
44
8.3%
Q2 - 1:52MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)58
92.2%
44
7.8%
Q2 - 2:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
93.6%
41
6.4%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
93.9%
41
6.1%
Q2 - 2:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
94.4%
41
5.6%
Q2 - 2:25MILMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot58
94.1%
41
5.9%
Q2 - 2:34MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)58
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q2 - 2:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
94.4%
41
5.6%
Q2 - 2:43MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
94.2%
41
5.8%
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (26 PTS)58
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q2 - 3:11MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
92.7%
41
7.3%
Q2 - 3:11MILGooden 1' Tip Shot (3 PTS)56
92.7%
41
7.3%
Q2 - 3:12MILMISS Livingston 1' Layup56
94.0%
39
6.0%
Q2 - 3:26MILBUCKS Rebound56
93.4%
39
6.6%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup56
93.6%
39
6.4%
Q2 - 3:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
94.2%
39
5.8%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
93.6%
39
6.4%
Q2 - 3:54MIAHeat Rebound56
94.2%
39
5.8%
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
94.0%
39
6.0%
Q2 - 4:13MIAChalmers 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
93.1%
39
6.9%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
92.3%
39
7.7%
Q2 - 4:20MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup54
92.1%
39
7.9%
Q2 - 4:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
91.4%
39
8.6%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 253
91.2%
39
8.8%
Q2 - 4:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
91.5%
39
8.5%
Q2 - 4:59MILMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot53
91.2%
39
8.8%
Q2 - 5:09MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
90.2%
39
9.8%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot53
90.5%
39
9.5%
Q2 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
91.2%
39
8.8%
Q2 - 5:31MILMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
90.9%
39
9.1%
Q2 - 5:37MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
90.2%
39
9.8%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot53
90.5%
39
9.5%
Q2 - 5:58MILIlyasova 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)53
91.2%
39
8.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)53
91.5%
37
8.5%
Q2 - 6:21MILDunleavy 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)51
90.8%
37
9.2%
Q2 - 6:24MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
91.5%
35
8.5%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot51
91.8%
35
8.2%
Q2 - 6:44MILIlyasova 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)51
92.5%
35
7.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
92.9%
33
7.1%
Q2 - 7:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
92.7%
33
7.3%
Q2 - 7:04MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
92.2%
33
7.8%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot49
91.6%
33
8.4%
Q2 - 7:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
92.2%
33
7.8%
Q2 - 7:22MILMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot49
91.9%
33
8.1%
Q2 - 7:47MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)49
91.3%
33
8.7%
Q2 - 7:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
89.5%
33
10.5%
Q2 - 7:58MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
88.3%
33
11.7%
Q2 - 7:58MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Tip Shot46
89.1%
33
10.9%
Q2 - 7:59MILMISS Gooden 4' Jump Shot46
89.1%
33
10.9%
Q2 - 8:12MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)46
87.9%
33
12.1%
Q2 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
86.8%
33
13.2%
Q2 - 8:27MILMISS Ilyasova 8' Jump Shot44
86.4%
33
13.6%
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
85.5%
33
14.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
85.2%
33
14.8%
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
84.2%
33
15.8%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot42
83.1%
33
16.9%
Q2 - 9:06MILDunleavy 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)42
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)42
85.1%
31
14.9%
Q2 - 9:48MILUdrih Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)40
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 9:54MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
85.1%
29
14.9%
Q2 - 9:57MILMISS Leuer Free Throw 1 of 140
86.2%
29
13.8%
Q2 - 10:09MILBUCKS Rebound40
87.1%
27
12.9%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
87.4%
27
12.6%
Q2 - 10:40MILUdrih 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
88.3%
27
11.7%
Q2 - 10:47MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
89.2%
25
10.8%
Q2 - 10:48MILMISS Mbah a Moute 5' Hook Shot40
89.9%
25
10.1%
Q2 - 11:02MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)40
88.8%
25
11.2%
Q2 - 11:16MILMbah a Moute 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)40
89.8%
25
10.2%
Q2 - 11:33MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
90.7%
23
9.3%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
90.9%
23
9.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL40
91.5%
23
8.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound40
90.7%
23
9.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Udrih 34' 3PT Jump Shot40
91.3%
23
8.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)40
90.3%
23
9.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
88.3%
23
11.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MILMISS Jackson 2' Layup37
88.1%
23
11.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (21 PTS)37
87.5%
23
12.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
86.2%
23
13.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)35
85.3%
23
14.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0MILUdrih 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)35
86.2%
23
13.8%
Q1 - 1:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)35
87.5%
21
12.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 234
87.3%
21
12.7%
Q1 - 1:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
86.9%
21
13.1%
Q1 - 1:06MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
86.1%
21
13.9%
Q1 - 1:06MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Tip Shot34
86.7%
21
13.3%
Q1 - 1:08MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
86.1%
21
13.9%
Q1 - 1:08MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Tip Shot34
86.7%
21
13.3%
Q1 - 1:09MILMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
86.7%
21
13.3%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)34
86.2%
21
13.8%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)33
85.9%
21
14.1%
Q1 - 1:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
84.7%
21
15.3%
Q1 - 1:33MILMISS Dunleavy 22' Jump Shot32
84.4%
21
15.6%
Q1 - 1:51MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)32
83.8%
21
16.2%
Q1 - 2:17MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
80.7%
21
19.3%
Q1 - 2:17MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
80.9%
20
19.1%
Q1 - 2:35MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)29
82.2%
19
17.8%
Q1 - 3:00MILJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
80.7%
19
19.3%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)27
79.3%
19
20.7%
Q1 - 3:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q1 - 3:23MILMISS Jennings 15' Jump Shot24
75.8%
19
24.2%
Q1 - 3:33MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
74.5%
19
25.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot24
75.1%
19
24.9%
Q1 - 3:54MILDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q1 - 3:54MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
76.6%
18
23.4%
Q1 - 4:23MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)24
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 4:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
76.2%
17
23.8%
Q1 - 4:29MILJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
74.4%
17
25.6%
Q1 - 4:29MILMISS Jackson 1' Layup22
75.7%
17
24.3%
Q1 - 4:31MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup22
75.7%
17
24.3%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
74.4%
17
25.6%
Q1 - 5:05MILIlyasova 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)20
72.3%
17
27.7%
Q1 - 5:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
73.8%
15
26.2%
Q1 - 5:26MILGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)20
75.6%
15
24.4%
Q1 - 5:36MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
73.8%
15
26.2%
Q1 - 5:38MILMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot20
75.1%
15
24.9%
Q1 - 5:54MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)20
73.9%
15
26.1%
Q1 - 6:08MILGooden Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)17
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 6:20MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
68.6%
15
31.4%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot17
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 6:42MILLivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 6:42MILLivingston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
70.7%
14
29.3%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)17
72.0%
13
28.0%
Q1 - 7:14MILJennings Layup (5 PTS)15
70.5%
13
29.5%
Q1 - 7:18MIAJennings STEAL (1 STL)15
72.0%
11
28.0%
Q1 - 7:45MILMbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)15
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)15
75.3%
9
24.7%
Q1 - 8:25MILLivingston 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)13
73.8%
9
26.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS)13
75.2%
7
24.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
73.8%
7
26.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIALivingston BLOCK (1 BLK)11
72.7%
7
27.3%
Q1 - 8:59MILLivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
73.8%
7
26.2%
Q1 - 9:13MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)11
72.4%
7
27.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
69.4%
7
30.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
69.0%
7
31.0%
Q1 - 9:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
66.1%
7
33.9%
Q1 - 9:31MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
65.6%
7
34.4%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
64.4%
7
35.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 9:59MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)4
62.7%
7
37.3%
Q1 - 10:16MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
66.0%
4
34.0%
Q1 - 10:28MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 10:28MILMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 22
64.9%
3
35.1%
Q1 - 10:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
64.4%
3
35.6%
Q1 - 10:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.3%
3
33.7%
Q1 - 10:50MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
65.7%
3
34.3%
Q1 - 10:56MIADelfino STEAL (1 STL)2
64.4%
3
35.6%
Q1 - 11:12MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)2
66.2%
3
33.8%
Q1 - 11:26MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 11:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.7%
0
32.3%
Q1 - 11:42MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot0
67.3%
0
32.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gooden vs. Anthony: Tip to Jennings0
66.3%
0
33.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
MIL
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
26
50%
MIL
19
40
48%
Midrange
MIA
12
27
44%
MIL
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
MIL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
20
24
83%
MIL
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4071%20.0 / 28
D. Wade2355%11.5 / 21
M. Chalmers1680%8.0 / 10
C. Bosh941%4.5 / 11
N. Cole350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem225%1.0 / 4
M. Miller233%1.0 / 3
S. Battier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings3153%15.5 / 29
D. Gooden1761%8.5 / 14
L. Mbah a Moute1372%6.5 / 9
C. Delfino1179%5.5 / 7
M. Dunleavy1063%5.0 / 8
E. Ilyasova932%4.5 / 14
S. Livingston633%3.0 / 9
B. Udrih675%3.0 / 4
J. Leuer2100%1.0 / 1
S. Jackson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+8
-17
85
MIL
78
+19
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
MIL
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.7
MIA 103.2
MIL 116.7 +13.5
Pace
91.3
93.7
MIA 102.7 +19.7
MIL 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.2
MIA 14.0 +3.3
MIL 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
48.1%
MIA 52.7% +2.7%
MIL 50.0%
TO %
15.9%
14.6%
MIA 17.7%
MIL 11.6% +6.1%
ORB %
26.6%
27.8%
MIA 22.9%
MIL 27.7% +4.8%
FTrt
30.7
25.0
MIA 32.9 +4.5
MIL 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
62.0%
MIA 70.6%
MIL 76.9% +6.3%
STL %
9.6%
8.8%
MIA 8.5%
MIL 10.0% +1.5%
BLK %
9.0%
8.0%
MIA 4.6%
MIL 9.4% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.0%
MIA 56.4% +5.4%
MIL 51.0%
Rim FG%
61.1%
56.2%
MIA 50.0% +2.5%
MIL 47.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.6%
MIA 44.4% +4.4%
MIL 40.0%
3P %
35.9%
34.5%
MIA 45.0% +1.5%
MIL 43.5%
FT %
77.5%
77.5%
MIA 83.3% +15.3%
MIL 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.5%
MIA 35.6%
MIL 45.5% +9.8%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
40.1%
MIA 37.0%
MIL 28.4% +8.6%
3P Att. %
19.8%
22.4%
MIA 27.4% +1.3%
MIL 26.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9490
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points97105
Rebounds4240
Assists2430
Steals89
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)27 (4)
Field Goals34-7339-88
At-the-Rim FG13-2619-40
Midrange FG12-2710-25
2-Point FG25-5329-65
3-Point FG9-2010-23
Free Throws20-2417-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
40.3
40
71%
8
5
2
0
7
1
0
8
8-10
80%
10-17
59%
4-7
57%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
38.4
9
41%
9
5
0
0
0
4
2
7
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
36.8
23
55%
8
6
1
1
3
3
2
6
7-8
88%
8-16
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
34.2
16
80%
2
5
1
1
5
5
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
4-6
67%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
24.6
2
50%
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
22.6
0
0%
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
17.7
2
25%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
13.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
11.8
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
42
24
8
3
17
0
8
34
20-24
83%
25-53
47%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.