FinalWin Prob.pScore
341%96
87
459%98
98
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
100.08785.6
MIA logo MIA
111.48889.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL87
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0LALBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0LALMISS Fisher Driving Layup87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAJames 16' Floating Jump Shot (31 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29LALMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30LALGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)84
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)84
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:41MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:03LALBryant 1' Running Dunk (21 PTS)84
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 2:08MIABattier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)82
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 2:21LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)82
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:41MIABattier 10' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 8 AST)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02LALBryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)79
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:12LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:53LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16LALMISS World Peace 8' Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26LALMISS Bynum 7' Turnaround Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (29 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51LALJames STEAL (4 STL)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18LALGasol 8' Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:29LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot71
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:49LALBynum 1' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17MIABattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18LALJames BLOCK (3 BLK)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:41MIABattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:53LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53LALLakers Rebound69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:54LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)69
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 269
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:24LALJames STEAL (3 STL)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:35MIAJames 9' Floating Jump Shot (26 PTS)69
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 7:55LALMurphy Foul Turnover (P1.T11)69
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 7:59LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 8:00LALMISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 8:14LALLakers Rebound69
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot69
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 8:37LALMurphy 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)69
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 8:54MIACurry 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)67
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 8:55MIACurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup67
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:16LALMurphy 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)67
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 9:31MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)65
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:56LALBryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 10:03LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Curry 2' Driving Layup62
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 10:18LALMurphy 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)62
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)60
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 10:50LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 10:50LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 259
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIACurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 11:08MIACurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 11:08MIACurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup59
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 11:23LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)59
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 11:37MIAHaslem 2' Layup (6 PTS)56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup56
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony 3' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)56
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0LALMorris Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Anthony 3' Jump Shot56
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 1:19LALBynum 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)56
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 1:38MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)54
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 1:53MIAHEAT Rebound54
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot54
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 2:11LALMISS Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q3 - 2:30MIAAnthony 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)54
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 2:41LALMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)54
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:43MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)54
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 3:00LALGasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)54
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 3:19MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)52
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 3:38LALWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 3:38LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 251
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 3:55MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 4:11LALGasol 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)51
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 4:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 4:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Pullup Jump Shot49
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 4:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper49
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 5:05LALJames STEAL (2 STL)49
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 5:23MIAJames 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)49
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 5:27LALBosh STEAL (1 STL)49
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 5:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
7.4%
63
92.6%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot49
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 5:54LALBryant 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)49
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 6:08MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)47
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 6:19LALBynum 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)47
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)45
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 7:05LALBattier STEAL (1 STL)45
8.4%
58
91.6%
Q3 - 7:15MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T9)45
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 7:35MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 7:36LALMISS Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 7:47LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q3 - 8:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 8:05LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot45
9.1%
58
90.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)45
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 8:39LALGasol 7' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS)45
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 8:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 8:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q3 - 9:03LALAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)43
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q3 - 9:09MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)43
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 9:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q3 - 9:21LALMISS Bynum 8' Turnaround Jump Shot43
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q3 - 9:32MIAJames 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)43
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 9:55LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 10:15MIABosh 10' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)41
10.8%
54
89.2%
Q3 - 10:29LALGasol 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)41
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q3 - 10:37LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 10:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q3 - 10:49LALJames BLOCK (2 BLK)39
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 11:12LALFisher 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)39
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q3 - 11:21LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 11:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot37
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q3 - 11:45LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot37
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL37
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound37
8.6%
52
91.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0LALBarnes 1' Layup (3 PTS)37
8.6%
52
91.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot35
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)35
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 1:01LALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)35
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)35
10.9%
49
89.1%
Q2 - 1:34LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 1:34LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 1:37MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 1:48LALBynum Dunk (8 PTS)33
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
12.2%
44
87.8%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 2:03LALJames STEAL (1 STL)31
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 2:07LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 2:08LALMISS Barnes 2' Driving Layup31
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 2:23MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)31
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 2:35LALBynum 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 2:56MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 3:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot29
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 3:26LALBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 3:40LALLakers Rebound29
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup29
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 3:56LALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 3:56LALMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 228
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 4:16LALMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot28
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 4:48LALGasol 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS)28
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 5:09MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)26
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 5:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 5:19LALMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 5:44LALLakers Rebound26
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot26
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 5:58LALMurphy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)26
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 6:18MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)24
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 6:36LALKapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)24
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIACole 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 7:20MIAHEAT Rebound22
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 7:21LALMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot22
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 7:32LALLakers Rebound22
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 7:33LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot22
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 7:41LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 7:43LALMISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot22
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)22
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 8:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q2 - 8:10LALMISS Bynum 7' Jump Shot22
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q2 - 8:11LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q2 - 8:12LALMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot22
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q2 - 8:20LALMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot22
23.3%
30
76.7%
Q2 - 8:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 8:35LALMISS Morris 19' Jump Shot22
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q2 - 9:04MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 9:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup22
27.4%
28
72.6%
Q2 - 9:29LALMorris Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)22
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q2 - 9:40LALLakers Rebound22
28.1%
28
71.9%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot22
27.4%
28
72.6%
Q2 - 9:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q2 - 9:54LALMISS Morris 6' Driving Jump Shot22
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 10:00LALMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28.1%
28
71.9%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup22
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIAHEAT Rebound22
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Miller 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup22
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q2 - 10:20LALMiller STEAL (1 STL)22
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 10:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
28.2%
28
71.8%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 222
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 11:00LALBynum 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q2 - 11:21MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q2 - 11:37LALMISS McRoberts 2' Layup20
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q2 - 11:39LALMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q2 - 11:40LALMISS Bynum 3' Turnaround Jump Shot20
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL20
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound20
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALJames BLOCK (1 BLK)20
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIACurry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
30.2%
23
69.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIACurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0LALMISS World Peace 24' Jump Shot18
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0LALLakers Rebound18
30.2%
23
69.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
29.7%
23
70.3%
Q1 - 1:04LALBryant 9' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q1 - 1:25LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
26.2%
23
73.8%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 1:33LALMISS Gasol 3PT Jump Shot16
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 1:51MIACurry 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)16
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 2:05LALGasol 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)16
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)13
25.3%
21
74.7%
Q1 - 2:49LALWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)13
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical10
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 3:27LALMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 3:41LALMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup10
28.6%
16
71.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 3:58LALMISS Gasol 10' Turnaround Jump Shot10
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 4:12LALMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 4:13LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot10
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 4:45MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)10
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 4:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS James 2' Reverse Layup10
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 5:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
32.8%
13
67.2%
Q1 - 5:07LALMISS Barnes 4' Hook Shot10
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
34.9%
13
65.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 210
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 5:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
34.7%
12
65.3%
Q1 - 5:33LALMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 5:43LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 110
36.6%
12
63.4%
Q1 - 5:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 5:57LALMISS Bynum 5' Hook Shot10
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 6:05LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Battier 6' Jump Hook Shot10
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 6:09MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Battier 5' Jump Shot10
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 6:26LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot10
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 6:34LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot10
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 6:50LALMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot10
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS)10
40.5%
10
59.5%
Q1 - 7:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Battier 5' Floating Jump Shot10
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 7:21LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)10
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 7:21LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 7:29MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 7:56LALGasol 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)8
44.1%
5
55.9%
Q1 - 8:10LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
42.1%
5
57.9%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot6
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 8:33LALGasol 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 8:34LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 8:35LALMISS Bynum 6' Jump Shot4
37.2%
5
62.8%
Q1 - 8:56MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 9:09MIAHEAT Rebound4
40.4%
3
59.6%
Q1 - 9:10LALMISS Bryant 16' Turnaround Jump Shot4
40.9%
3
59.1%
Q1 - 9:28MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 9:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 9:39LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot4
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 9:46LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS James 4' Driving Jump Shot4
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 10:05LALGasol 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)4
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:16LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot2
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 10:32LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 10:32LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 10:41LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 10:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 10:56LALMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:10LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:23LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Gasol: Tip to Chalmers0
38.5%
0
61.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.94 46.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
11
22
50%
MIA
13
32
41%
Midrange
LAL
17
39
44%
MIA
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
MIA
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
LAL
13
16
81%
MIA
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2665%13.0 / 20
K. Bryant2452%12.0 / 23
A. Bynum1550%7.5 / 15
T. Murphy8100%4.0 / 4
M. World Peace750%3.5 / 7
M. Barnes321%1.5 / 7
D. Fisher220%1.0 / 5
J. Kapono233%1.0 / 3
D. Morris0-0.0 / 3
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3152%15.5 / 30
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
S. Battier1150%5.5 / 11
M. Chalmers1050%5.0 / 10
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
J. Anthony758%3.5 / 6
E. Curry6100%3.0 / 3
N. Cole429%2.0 / 7
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
74
+16
-13
90
MIA
77
+18
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.94 46.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
106.6
LAL 100.0
MIA 111.4 +11.4
Pace
90.6
91.3
LAL 85.6
MIA 89.4 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
LAL 16.8
MIA 16.1 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.5%
LAL 45.7%
MIA 50.0% +4.3%
TO %
15.8%
15.9%
LAL 13.7%
MIA 12.3% +1.4%
ORB %
29.2%
26.6%
LAL 29.3%
MIA 36.6% +7.3%
FTrt
29.9
30.7
LAL 19.8
MIA 21.2 +1.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
53.8%
LAL 55.9% +5.9%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
6.4%
9.6%
LAL 8.0%
MIA 9.1% +1.1%
BLK %
7.9%
9.0%
LAL 9.0% +0.8%
MIA 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.5%
LAL 46.8%
MIA 51.6% +4.8%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.1%
LAL 50.0% +9.4%
MIA 40.6%
Mid FG%
41.1%
40.0%
LAL 43.6%
MIA 45.7% +2.1%
3P %
32.6%
35.9%
LAL 30.0%
MIA 50.0% +20.0%
FT %
75.6%
77.5%
LAL 81.3% +9.1%
MIA 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
36.7%
LAL 27.2%
MIA 37.6% +10.5%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
43.6%
LAL 48.1%
MIA 41.2% +7.0%
3P Att. %
20.9%
19.8%
LAL 24.7% +3.5%
MIA 21.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points8798
Rebounds3844
Assists1919
Steals78
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)29 (2)
Field Goals34-8138-85
At-the-Rim FG11-2213-32
Midrange FG17-3916-35
2-Point FG28-6129-67
3-Point FG6-209-18
Free Throws13-1613-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 212 · 33
41.1
24
52%
5
7
3
0
2
1
1
4
5-5
100%
5-15
33%
3-6
50%
F · 7'0" 250 · 32
37.3
26
65%
8
2
0
1
1
1
4
4
3-3
100%
10-15
67%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 285 · 24
36.8
15
50%
12
2
0
2
1
3
1
11
3-4
75%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 210 · 37
29.0
2
20%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 226 · 32
22.1
3
21%
4
0
2
2
3
2
3
1
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 32
22.2
7
50%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 195 · 21
18.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 25
12.8
0
0%
2
2
0
0
2
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
10.6
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32
9.0
8
100%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 23
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 215 · 22
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
#5 · G · 6'3" 172 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'9" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
38
19
7
6
13
0
12
26
13-16
81%
28-61
46%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.