FinalWin Prob.pScore
2026%92
91
174%101
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
102.28981.9
MIA logo MIA
91.19099.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)91
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIABosh 2' Dunk (23 PTS) (James 5 AST)91
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)91
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILJennings Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILJennings Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T22)87
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILJennings 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS)87
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.9%
80
4.1%
Q4 - 1:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
95.5%
80
4.5%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS James 1' Layup85
94.5%
80
5.5%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
90.6%
80
9.4%
Q4 - 1:13MILMISS Jennings 9' Running Jump Shot85
92.1%
80
7.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T21)85
92.2%
80
7.8%
Q4 - 1:50MILIlyasova 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)85
85.3%
80
14.7%
Q4 - 2:15MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
81.5%
80
18.5%
Q4 - 2:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
82.7%
79
17.3%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHEAT Rebound83
86.0%
78
14.0%
Q4 - 2:37MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
88.4%
78
11.6%
Q4 - 2:58MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)83
89.1%
78
10.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)83
90.0%
77
10.0%
Q4 - 3:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)83
92.2%
76
7.8%
Q4 - 3:07MILMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q4 - 3:28MILBucks Rebound83
95.6%
76
4.4%
Q4 - 3:29MILMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
93.6%
76
6.4%
Q4 - 3:48MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
91.2%
76
8.8%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Battier 7' Jump Shot83
90.2%
76
9.8%
Q4 - 3:54MIAHEAT Rebound83
87.4%
76
12.6%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup83
90.3%
76
9.7%
Q4 - 4:15MILJackson 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
87.8%
76
12.2%
Q4 - 4:36MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
83.8%
76
16.2%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 181
83.0%
76
17.0%
Q4 - 4:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
88.0%
74
12.0%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper81
90.8%
74
9.2%
Q4 - 4:50MILLivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
88.1%
74
11.9%
Q4 - 4:50MILLivingston Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
87.5%
74
12.5%
Q4 - 5:13MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)79
78.5%
74
21.5%
Q4 - 5:39MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)79
83.5%
72
16.5%
Q4 - 6:00MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P8.T20)76
72.7%
72
27.3%
Q4 - 6:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
60.6%
72
39.4%
Q4 - 6:23MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 276
61.6%
72
38.4%
Q4 - 6:23MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
66.4%
72
33.6%
Q4 - 6:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
61.2%
72
38.8%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
58.8%
72
41.2%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup75
58.8%
72
41.2%
Q4 - 7:12MILMbah a Moute 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)75
50.4%
72
49.6%
Q4 - 7:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot73
41.8%
72
58.2%
Q4 - 7:29MILHaslem STEAL (2 STL)73
36.9%
72
63.1%
Q4 - 7:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
44.1%
72
55.9%
Q4 - 7:45MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
39.0%
72
61.0%
Q4 - 8:05MILJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
42.3%
72
57.7%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 273
41.4%
72
58.6%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
37.4%
72
62.6%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
42.4%
71
57.6%
Q4 - 8:22MILMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.3%
71
55.7%
Q4 - 8:46MIABattier 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
48.8%
71
51.2%
Q4 - 9:12MILUdrih 1' Reverse Layup (3 PTS)73
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q4 - 9:28MILBucks Rebound71
47.1%
69
52.9%
Q4 - 9:28MILMISS Jackson 8' Jump Bank Shot71
43.1%
69
56.9%
Q4 - 9:51MIACole 2' Reverse Layup (3 PTS)71
47.1%
69
52.9%
Q4 - 9:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
53.3%
67
46.7%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Cole 6' Jump Shot71
57.3%
67
42.7%
Q4 - 10:05MILLivingston Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)71
51.3%
67
48.7%
Q4 - 10:26MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
40.2%
67
59.8%
Q4 - 10:41MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)68
45.8%
65
54.2%
Q4 - 11:04MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)68
49.8%
65
50.2%
Q4 - 11:25MILJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)68
55.4%
63
44.6%
Q4 - 11:28MILUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
44.6%
63
55.4%
Q4 - 11:29MILMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)65
41.0%
63
59.0%
Q4 - 11:30MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
44.6%
63
55.4%
Q4 - 11:31MILHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)65
41.0%
63
59.0%
Q4 - 11:40MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T19)65
44.6%
63
55.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
39.5%
63
60.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
39.5%
63
60.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 36' 3PT Jump Shot65
41.9%
63
58.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MILJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)65
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
29.3%
63
70.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
30.2%
62
69.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
34.1%
61
65.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
33.0%
61
67.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18)60
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)60
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 1:01MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
28.9%
61
71.1%
Q3 - 1:02MILMISS Livingston 2' Driving Layup60
26.3%
61
73.7%
Q3 - 1:20MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)60
28.9%
61
71.1%
Q3 - 1:36MILUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)60
33.4%
59
66.6%
Q3 - 1:36MILMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 259
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 1:41MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 1:42MILMISS Livingston 15' Jump Shot59
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 1:56MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)59
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 1:57MIAHEAT Rebound59
29.2%
59
70.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Battier 5' Jump Shot59
31.9%
59
68.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
28.3%
59
71.7%
Q3 - 2:21MILMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot59
29.5%
59
70.5%
Q3 - 2:38MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 2:38MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
33.4%
58
66.6%
Q3 - 2:38MIAHEAT Rebound59
36.5%
57
63.5%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot59
39.6%
57
60.4%
Q3 - 3:05MILJennings 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)59
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)57
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q3 - 3:33MILLivingston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)57
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 3:48MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)57
39.9%
55
60.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIAHEAT Rebound57
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot57
37.9%
55
62.1%
Q3 - 4:23MILBogut 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)57
34.7%
55
65.3%
Q3 - 4:41MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
31.5%
55
68.5%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot55
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 4:56MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 4:56MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
26.7%
55
73.3%
Q3 - 5:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot53
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q3 - 5:19MILLivingston 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)53
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q3 - 5:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS James 2' Tip Shot51
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 5:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)51
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot51
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 5:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q3 - 5:43MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
16.7%
55
83.3%
Q3 - 5:54MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Bosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot51
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot51
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 6:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 6:27MILMISS Delfino 1' Driving Layup51
16.7%
55
83.3%
Q3 - 6:38MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS)51
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 6:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot51
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 6:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 6:57MILMISS Livingston 2' Dunk51
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q3 - 7:05MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)51
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
20.7%
53
79.3%
Q3 - 7:12MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q3 - 7:32MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 7:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
23.9%
52
76.1%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)51
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q3 - 7:38MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup51
27.2%
51
72.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)51
29.5%
51
70.5%
Q3 - 7:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q3 - 7:55MILMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.2%
51
72.8%
Q3 - 8:20MIAChalmers 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
29.2%
51
70.8%
Q3 - 8:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
32.1%
49
67.9%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Floating Jump Shot51
34.6%
49
65.4%
Q3 - 8:52MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)51
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q3 - 9:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)48
25.6%
49
74.4%
Q3 - 9:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
31.5%
46
68.5%
Q3 - 9:06MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot48
32.5%
46
67.5%
Q3 - 9:25MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)48
34.9%
46
65.1%
Q3 - 9:43MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
31.6%
46
68.4%
Q3 - 9:43MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
31.0%
46
69.0%
Q3 - 9:48MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)46
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q3 - 9:55MILJones STEAL (1 STL)46
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q3 - 10:02MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q3 - 10:19MILBogut Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)46
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q3 - 10:38MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q3 - 10:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
33.9%
43
66.1%
Q3 - 10:49MILMISS Livingston 16' Jump Shot46
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q3 - 11:12MIABosh 1' Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)46
36.6%
43
63.4%
Q3 - 11:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
39.7%
41
60.3%
Q3 - 11:19MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q3 - 11:27MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot46
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
39.7%
41
60.3%
Q3 - 11:43MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot46
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL46
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound46
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
40.2%
41
59.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
41.9%
41
58.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot46
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILHarris 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)46
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot44
35.0%
41
65.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAHEAT Rebound44
33.4%
41
66.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILMISS Jennings 18' Fadeaway Jumper44
34.1%
41
65.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
34.1%
41
65.9%
Q2 - 1:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)44
35.0%
41
65.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)44
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 1:23MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 1:35MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 1:36MILMISS Jennings 21' Jump Shot41
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 241
32.5%
38
67.5%
Q2 - 2:20MILBogut Putback Dunk (8 PTS)41
32.0%
38
68.0%
Q2 - 2:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 2:23MILMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot39
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)39
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)39
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 2:53MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
32.1%
36
67.9%
Q2 - 2:53MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 3:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot37
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 3:18MILIlyasova 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)37
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 3:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot35
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 3:39MILLivingston Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)35
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)32
18.2%
36
81.8%
Q2 - 4:01MILPittman STEAL (1 STL)32
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 4:16MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)32
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 4:27MILBattier STEAL (1 STL)32
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)32
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q2 - 4:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
23.7%
32
76.3%
Q2 - 4:50MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 5:04MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)32
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 5:21MILBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T6)32
23.7%
32
76.3%
Q2 - 5:29MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot32
25.2%
32
74.8%
Q2 - 5:43MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
23.7%
32
76.3%
Q2 - 5:44MILMISS Jennings 14' Running Jump Shot32
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 6:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 6:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 6:12MIAHEAT Rebound32
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 6:13MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 6:27MIAJames 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)32
30.4%
30
69.6%
Q2 - 6:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot32
34.4%
28
65.6%
Q2 - 6:39MILJennings Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)32
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q2 - 6:54MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 6:54MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q2 - 6:54MILJennings Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)29
28.0%
28
72.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q2 - 7:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q2 - 7:09MILJennings Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)28
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 7:12MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q2 - 7:12MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
24.8%
26
75.2%
Q2 - 7:14MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot25
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q2 - 7:28MIAHEAT Rebound25
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 7:31MILMISS Jennings 33' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 7:53MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot25
22.8%
26
77.2%
Q2 - 8:05MIAHEAT Rebound25
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup25
22.6%
26
77.4%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 8:22MILMISS Jackson 1' Layup25
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 8:39MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q2 - 8:40MILMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 8:48MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q2 - 8:49MILMISS Gooden 10' Jump Shot25
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 9:06MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T9)25
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q2 - 9:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q2 - 9:13MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot25
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q2 - 9:20MILJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot25
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q2 - 9:35MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q2 - 9:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 222
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q2 - 10:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q2 - 10:04MILMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q2 - 10:10MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 10:11MILMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot22
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q2 - 10:24MILBucks Rebound22
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 10:25MILMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q2 - 10:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 10:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 10:56MILCole STEAL (1 STL)22
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q2 - 11:10MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q2 - 11:24MILIlyasova 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)22
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q2 - 11:35MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)20
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q2 - 11:49MILJackson 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)20
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILDunleavy 1' Layup (2 PTS)18
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot16
15.8%
21
84.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 216
16.4%
21
83.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0MILJames STEAL (1 STL)16
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIABattier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAHEAT Rebound16
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0MILMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 1:06MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)16
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 1:26MILGooden 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)16
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 1:38MILJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 114
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 1:52MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot14
20.0%
16
80.0%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T6)14
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 2:12MILJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 2:16MILJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 2:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup14
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 2:42MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.0%
16
80.0%
Q1 - 2:50MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 2:51MILMISS Bogut 1' Driving Layup14
20.0%
16
80.0%
Q1 - 2:58MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot14
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 3:22MILJennings Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
19.3%
16
80.7%
Q1 - 3:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 3:51MILMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 4:01MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)14
20.5%
16
79.5%
Q1 - 4:18MIACurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.0%
16
81.0%
Q1 - 4:19MILMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 4:33MIACurry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 4:46MILBogut 2' Layup (4 PTS)14
19.1%
16
80.9%
Q1 - 5:02MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 5:25MILLivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
20.5%
13
79.5%
Q1 - 5:43MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 5:59MILJennings 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 6:12MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 6:14MILMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 6:30MILBucks Rebound10
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot10
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS James 8' Jump Bank Shot10
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 6:47MILMISS Jennings 18' Fadeaway Jumper10
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 7:10MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)10
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 7:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 7:28MILMISS Delfino Free Throw 2 of 210
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 7:28MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 7:45MIAJames 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 7:57MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 7:57MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
22.4%
8
77.6%
Q1 - 8:15MIAChalmers 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)7
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 8:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 8:20MILMISS Leuer 10' Hook Shot7
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 8:33MILLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Layup7
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 8:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 8:41MILMISS Delfino 4' Hook Shot7
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 9:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 9:07MILMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
26.6%
4
73.4%
Q1 - 9:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 9:50MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 9:56MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.6%
4
73.4%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHEAT Rebound7
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 10:14MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 17
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
23.9%
3
76.1%
Q1 - 10:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Anthony 3' Layup5
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 11:07MILJennings Running Layup (2 PTS)5
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:11MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:19MILDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)3
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Bogut: Tip to James0
20.9%
0
79.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.97 48.4%
MIA
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
18
28
64%
MIA
10
20
50%
Midrange
MIL
5
22
23%
MIA
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
30
17%
25%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIL
30
34
88%
MIA
29
35
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2348%11.5 / 24
E. Ilyasova1680%8.0 / 10
A. Bogut1372%6.5 / 9
S. Livingston1063%5.0 / 8
S. Jackson1038%5.0 / 13
C. Delfino633%3.0 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute4100%2.0 / 2
B. Udrih350%1.5 / 3
D. Gooden217%1.0 / 6
M. Dunleavy220%1.0 / 5
T. Harris250%1.0 / 2
J. Leuer0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2858%14.0 / 24
C. Bosh2368%11.5 / 17
M. Chalmers1240%6.0 / 15
J. Jones650%3.0 / 6
S. Battier433%2.0 / 6
U. Haslem338%1.5 / 4
N. Cole325%1.5 / 6
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
M. Miller125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
75
+19
-14
94
MIA
69
+18
-21
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.97 48.4%
MIA
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.7
106.6
MIL 102.2
MIA 91.1 +11.1
Pace
93.7
91.3
MIL 81.9
MIA 99.3 +17.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.8
MIL 17.6
MIA 14.5 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
50.5%
MIL 38.1%
MIA 39.6% +1.5%
TO %
14.6%
15.9%
MIL 13.6% +7.5%
MIA 21.1%
ORB %
27.8%
26.6%
MIL 33.3% +2.5%
MIA 30.8%
FTrt
25.0
30.7
MIL 42.5
MIA 52.2 +9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
53.8%
MIL 64.3% +28.3%
MIA 36.0%
STL %
8.8%
9.6%
MIL 11.2% +3.4%
MIA 7.8%
BLK %
8.0%
9.0%
MIL 9.1% +5.1%
MIA 4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
53.5%
MIL 48.4% +1.3%
MIA 47.1%
Rim FG%
56.2%
61.1%
MIL 64.3% +14.3%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.6%
40.0%
MIL 22.7%
MIA 34.3% +11.6%
3P %
34.5%
35.9%
MIL 16.7%
MIA 25.0% +8.3%
FT %
77.5%
77.5%
MIL 88.2% +5.3%
MIA 82.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.7%
MIL 35.0% +5.1%
MIA 29.9%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
43.6%
MIL 27.5% +24.7%
MIA 52.2%
3P Att. %
22.4%
19.8%
MIL 37.5% +19.6%
MIA 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes26.121.8
Points9182
Rebounds4242
Assists189
Steals107
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)30 (6)
Field Goals28-8025-67
At-the-Rim FG18-2810-20
Midrange FG5-2212-35
2-Point FG23-5022-55
3-Point FG5-303-12
Free Throws30-3429-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 192 · 26
39.5
10
63%
5
5
2
0
3
3
3
2
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 170 · 22
34.9
23
48%
6
6
2
0
1
0
2
4
12-13
92%
4-10
40%
1-10
10%
C · 7'0" 260 · 27
31.9
13
72%
8
2
1
3
2
6
3
5
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 29
15.6
6
33%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 228 · 23
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
27.9
4
100%
5
0
0
2
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
26.3
10
38%
4
1
0
0
4
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-8
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
21.6
16
80%
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
5-5
100%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 250 · 30
13.5
2
17%
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 30
13.2
3
50%
1
2
2
0
1
5
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31
8.1
2
20%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 226 · 20
3.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23
#40 · F · 6'7" 255 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'7" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
42
18
10
5
14
0
15
27
30-34
88%
23-50
46%
5-30
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.