FinalWin Prob.pScore
1539%91
106
961%95
85
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
117.89092.8
ORL logo ORL
94.49087.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL106
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDPendergraph 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Price 1 AST)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLClark 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)104
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)104
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDClark BLOCK (1 BLK)104
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLWafer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)104
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLWafer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0INDMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMISS Wafer Free Throw 2 of 2104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMISS Wafer Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30INDPendergraph 3' Layup (2 PTS)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49ORLMISS Clark 19' Jump Shot102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11INDPrice 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27ORLWafer 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45INDAmundson Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T15)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09ORLMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23INDPacers Rebound100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23INDMISS Hill 9' Jump Hook Shot100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:06INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T19)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39INDHibbert 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)95
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 5:29INDWest 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Collison 9 AST)95
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 5:42INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 5:43ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 6:00INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 6:23INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 6:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 291
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 6:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 291
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 6:38INDHill 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
98.4%
76
1.6%
Q4 - 7:01ORLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duhon 5 AST)88
96.2%
76
3.8%
Q4 - 7:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 7:22INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 7:44INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 7:45ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 8:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q4 - 8:08INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.2%
73
2.8%
Q4 - 8:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
97.6%
73
2.4%
Q4 - 8:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 288
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 8:39INDPacers Rebound88
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 8:39INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot88
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 8:39INDJones Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T13)88
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 8:50INDGranger Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)88
98.2%
72
1.8%
Q4 - 9:06ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T18)87
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 9:17INDWest 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)87
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 9:17INDWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)85
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 9:19INDHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)85
94.3%
72
5.7%
Q4 - 9:39ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)85
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 10:09INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hansbrough 2 AST)85
95.2%
70
4.8%
Q4 - 10:21ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)82
92.7%
70
7.3%
Q4 - 10:41INDWest 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS)82
91.1%
70
8.9%
Q4 - 11:00INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q4 - 11:01ORLMISS Redick 8' Running Jump Shot80
86.8%
70
13.2%
Q4 - 11:10ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
85.2%
70
14.8%
Q4 - 11:11INDMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
85.9%
70
14.1%
Q4 - 11:40ORLHoward Slam Dunk (21 PTS)80
87.7%
70
12.3%
Q4 - 11:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMISS Davis 9' Fadeaway Jumper80
91.1%
68
8.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND80
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)80
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
87.8%
68
12.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDHansbrough 3' Layup (6 PTS)79
87.8%
68
12.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup77
81.7%
68
18.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Collison 9' Jump Shot77
81.7%
68
18.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
83.7%
68
16.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDMISS West 1' Tip Shot77
81.8%
68
18.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
81.8%
68
18.2%
Q3 - 1:03ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
82.4%
68
17.6%
Q3 - 1:25INDWest 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
87.6%
65
12.4%
Q3 - 1:43ORLHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)75
85.2%
65
14.8%
Q3 - 1:43ORLMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 275
85.6%
64
14.4%
Q3 - 1:53INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)75
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q3 - 2:19ORLRedick Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)75
86.0%
64
14.0%
Q3 - 2:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
88.1%
62
11.9%
Q3 - 2:33INDMISS West 19' Fadeaway Jumper75
88.7%
62
11.3%
Q3 - 3:00ORLHoward 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)75
90.0%
62
10.0%
Q3 - 3:26INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)75
90.5%
60
9.5%
Q3 - 3:39INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
87.0%
60
13.0%
Q3 - 3:40ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
86.3%
60
13.7%
Q3 - 4:04INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 8 AST)72
83.5%
60
16.5%
Q3 - 4:16INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
78.7%
60
21.3%
Q3 - 4:17ORLMISS Duhon 5' Running Jump Shot69
77.7%
60
22.3%
Q3 - 4:34INDGranger 15' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)69
75.2%
60
24.8%
Q3 - 4:48INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
72.4%
60
27.6%
Q3 - 4:49ORLMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot67
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q3 - 5:03INDAmundson Foul Turnover (P3.T11)67
67.0%
60
33.0%
Q3 - 5:15ORLDuhon 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)67
70.9%
60
29.1%
Q3 - 5:43INDCollison 15' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
77.1%
57
22.9%
Q3 - 6:02ORLDuhon 2' Layup (11 PTS)65
72.9%
57
27.1%
Q3 - 6:06INDDuhon STEAL (2 STL)65
75.7%
55
24.3%
Q3 - 6:13INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
78.8%
55
21.2%
Q3 - 6:14ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
77.9%
55
22.1%
Q3 - 6:40INDWest 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)65
75.8%
55
24.2%
Q3 - 6:49ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
73.0%
55
27.0%
Q3 - 6:49ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 263
74.2%
54
25.8%
Q3 - 7:12INDAmundson 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)63
71.2%
54
28.8%
Q3 - 7:17INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
68.1%
54
31.9%
Q3 - 7:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Fadeaway Jumper61
67.0%
54
33.0%
Q3 - 7:39INDGranger 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (George 2 AST)61
64.6%
54
35.4%
Q3 - 7:46INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
57.5%
54
42.5%
Q3 - 7:47ORLMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot58
56.2%
54
43.8%
Q3 - 7:54ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
53.4%
54
46.6%
Q3 - 7:55INDMISS Granger Driving Layup58
54.7%
54
45.3%
Q3 - 8:08ORLHoward 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)58
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 8:12INDTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)58
60.3%
52
39.7%
Q3 - 8:15ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)58
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q3 - 8:20ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
60.3%
52
39.7%
Q3 - 8:22INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q3 - 8:30INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q3 - 8:31INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
61.5%
52
38.5%
Q3 - 8:45ORLRichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)58
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q3 - 9:04INDWest 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)58
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 9:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
56.1%
52
43.9%
Q3 - 9:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 256
55.6%
52
44.4%
Q3 - 9:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 256
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q3 - 9:45INDGranger 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q3 - 10:06ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
48.2%
52
51.8%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 254
49.0%
51
51.0%
Q3 - 10:27INDWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)54
48.0%
51
52.0%
Q3 - 10:42INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q3 - 10:44ORLMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup52
43.6%
51
56.4%
Q3 - 10:51INDHibbert 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)52
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q3 - 11:06INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
37.9%
51
62.1%
Q3 - 11:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
36.8%
51
63.2%
Q3 - 11:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
34.5%
51
65.5%
Q3 - 11:22ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
36.8%
51
63.2%
Q3 - 11:45INDGranger 15' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
34.5%
51
65.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL48
31.6%
51
68.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound48
28.5%
51
71.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot48
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
29.4%
51
70.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot48
30.0%
51
70.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLDuhon 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)48
31.5%
51
68.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0INDTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)48
35.1%
49
64.9%
Q2 - 1:00INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
37.5%
49
62.5%
Q2 - 1:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
36.6%
49
63.4%
Q2 - 1:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
35.2%
49
64.8%
Q2 - 1:18INDMISS West 11' Hook Shot48
35.8%
49
64.2%
Q2 - 1:45ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)48
37.3%
49
62.7%
Q2 - 2:03ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 248
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q2 - 2:03ORLRichardson Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q2 - 2:03INDRichardson STEAL (2 STL)48
43.6%
46
56.4%
Q2 - 2:21ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)48
46.8%
46
53.2%
Q2 - 2:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 2:42INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
54.0%
43
46.0%
Q2 - 2:47INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
56.2%
43
43.8%
Q2 - 2:49ORLMISS Anderson 3' Hook Shot48
55.2%
43
44.8%
Q2 - 3:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
52.3%
43
47.7%
Q2 - 3:06INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
55.8%
43
44.2%
Q2 - 3:06INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot48
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q2 - 3:08INDMISS Collison 12' Floating Jump Shot48
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q2 - 3:18INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
55.8%
43
44.2%
Q2 - 3:18ORLMISS Richardson 10' Fadeaway Jumper48
54.8%
43
45.2%
Q2 - 3:36INDCollison 12' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 1 AST)48
52.3%
43
47.7%
Q2 - 3:59INDPacers Rebound46
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 4:01INDMISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q2 - 4:15ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)46
49.0%
43
51.0%
Q2 - 4:19ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 4:20INDAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)46
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 4:23INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
57.9%
40
42.1%
Q2 - 4:24INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot46
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 4:41ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 4:41ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 246
59.0%
39
41.0%
Q2 - 4:48ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
57.7%
39
42.3%
Q2 - 4:49INDMISS West 11' Fadeaway Jumper46
58.7%
39
41.3%
Q2 - 5:06ORLDuhon 1' Layup (7 PTS)46
60.1%
39
39.9%
Q2 - 5:12ORLJump Ball Richardson vs. Collison: Tip to Duhon46
63.0%
37
37.0%
Q2 - 5:32ORLDuhon 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)46
65.6%
37
34.4%
Q2 - 5:42INDHoward STEAL (1 STL)46
68.2%
35
31.8%
Q2 - 5:59ORLHoward Driving Dunk (11 PTS)46
70.6%
35
29.4%
Q2 - 6:19INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)46
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 6:19INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
71.3%
33
28.7%
Q2 - 6:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 6:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 244
70.6%
32
29.4%
Q2 - 6:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
69.4%
32
30.6%
Q2 - 6:51INDMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot44
70.3%
32
29.7%
Q2 - 7:12ORLDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)44
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 7:25INDHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)44
75.2%
29
24.8%
Q2 - 7:28ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)41
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q2 - 7:37INDAmundson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)41
68.6%
29
31.4%
Q2 - 7:43ORLAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)41
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q2 - 7:58INDHansbrough 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)41
75.2%
26
24.8%
Q2 - 8:08INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
72.1%
26
27.9%
Q2 - 8:09ORLMISS Davis 2' Layup39
71.5%
26
28.5%
Q2 - 8:25INDJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)39
69.9%
26
30.1%
Q2 - 8:37ORLRedick 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
65.4%
26
34.6%
Q2 - 8:46ORLHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
67.7%
24
32.3%
Q2 - 8:47INDMISS Stephenson 18' Pullup Jump Shot36
68.4%
24
31.6%
Q2 - 8:57ORLHughes Foul Turnover (P2.T13)36
70.1%
24
29.9%
Q2 - 9:08INDAmundson 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)36
66.6%
24
33.4%
Q2 - 9:33ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q2 - 9:33ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
64.8%
23
35.2%
Q2 - 9:51INDHill 1' Layup (10 PTS)34
66.7%
22
33.3%
Q2 - 9:52INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q2 - 9:54INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot32
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q2 - 10:09INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
64.0%
22
36.0%
Q2 - 10:10ORLMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
63.2%
22
36.8%
Q2 - 10:25INDAmundson 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)32
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q2 - 10:38ORLHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)30
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q2 - 10:51ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
56.5%
22
43.5%
Q2 - 10:53ORLMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot30
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q2 - 11:10INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
56.0%
22
44.0%
Q2 - 11:10INDMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 229
55.7%
22
44.3%
Q2 - 11:27INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
56.2%
22
43.8%
Q2 - 11:28ORLMISS Redick 15' Running Jump Shot29
55.4%
22
44.6%
Q2 - 11:50INDHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)29
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL29
56.2%
22
43.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound29
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Howard 72' 3PT Jump Shot29
55.4%
22
44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDAmundson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
53.6%
22
46.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Granger 9' Running Jump Shot27
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
50.6%
21
49.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLMAGIC Rebound27
53.2%
20
46.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0INDMISS Granger 1' Layup27
53.8%
20
46.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)27
55.1%
20
44.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0INDHansbrough 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)27
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 225
50.1%
20
49.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 225
48.9%
20
51.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Redick 8' Floating Jump Shot25
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 1:12INDHill 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 1:17INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 1:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot23
44.7%
20
55.3%
Q1 - 1:38INDHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)23
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 2:06ORLHoward 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)20
38.7%
20
61.3%
Q1 - 2:15ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 2:17INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot20
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 2:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 2:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Fadeaway Jumper20
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 2:53INDHill 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)20
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 3:00INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 3:02ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot18
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 3:22ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
36.5%
18
63.5%
Q1 - 3:22INDMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 218
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 3:22INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 3:25INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
36.6%
18
63.4%
Q1 - 3:26ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup17
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 3:39ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 3:40INDMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot17
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 3:55ORLRichardson 1' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)17
36.6%
18
63.4%
Q1 - 4:00INDDuhon STEAL (1 STL)17
38.6%
16
61.4%
Q1 - 4:10ORLRichardson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)17
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 4:10ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 4:12INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot17
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 4:24ORLHoward 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)17
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 4:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 4:41INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 117
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 4:43ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)15
40.5%
14
59.5%
Q1 - 4:58INDCollison 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
38.2%
14
61.8%
Q1 - 5:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
36.2%
14
63.8%
Q1 - 5:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 113
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 5:25INDWest Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 5:34ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)13
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 5:54INDCollison 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 5:59INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 6:02INDRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)11
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 6:14ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)11
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 6:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 6:19INDMISS George 22' Jump Shot11
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 6:36ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)11
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 6:52INDCollison 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 6:55ORLDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)9
37.9%
9
62.1%
Q1 - 7:10INDGranger 4' Layup (7 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)9
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 7:14ORLDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)7
34.1%
9
65.9%
Q1 - 7:25INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)7
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 7:36INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 7:37INDMISS Hibbert 8' Hook Shot4
27.8%
9
72.2%
Q1 - 7:56INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 7:57ORLMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 8:00ORLMAGIC Rebound4
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 8:01ORLMISS Richardson 2' Layup4
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 8:22ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 8:25INDMISS West 10' Jump Shot4
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 8:44ORLRichardson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)4
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 8:51ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 8:52INDMISS Granger 8' Fadeaway Jumper4
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 9:10ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)4
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 9:29INDGranger 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)4
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 9:51ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)2
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 9:58ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 10:00INDMISS Granger 15' Jump Shot2
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 10:06ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 10:14ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 10:16INDHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)2
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 10:17INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 10:18INDMISS West 10' Jump Shot2
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 10:39ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 10:46ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 10:47INDMISS Collison 8' Running Jump Shot2
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 10:55ORLRichardson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 11:02ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 11:03INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot2
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 11:16ORLHoward 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)2
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 11:23INDWest 2' Dunk (2 PTS)2
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:41ORLRichardson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)0
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Hibbert: Tip to Duhon0
35.7%
0
64.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.13 56.4%
ORL
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
18
25
72%
ORL
17
23
74%
Midrange
IND
19
46
41%
ORL
4
18
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
ORL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
IND
8
11
73%
ORL
13
29
45%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2460%12.0 / 20
D. West1644%8.0 / 18
G. Hill1680%8.0 / 10
D. Collison1150%5.5 / 11
L. Amundson8100%4.0 / 4
R. Hibbert744%3.5 / 8
T. Hansbrough750%3.5 / 7
P. George660%3.0 / 5
D. Jones563%2.5 / 4
J. Ayres467%2.0 / 3
A. Price2100%1.0 / 1
L. Stephenson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2460%12.0 / 20
C. Duhon1470%7.0 / 10
J. Richardson1359%6.5 / 11
R. Anderson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Redick956%4.5 / 8
H. Turkoglu739%3.5 / 9
V. Wafer467%2.0 / 3
E. Clark250%1.0 / 2
L. Hughes125%0.5 / 2
G. Davis0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+16
-14
92
ORL
71
+8
-19
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.13 56.4%
ORL
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
105.1
IND 117.8
ORL 94.4 +23.3
Pace
91.1
88.9
IND 92.8 +5.5
ORL 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
IND 15.5 +1.0
ORL 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.6%
IND 55.7%
ORL 56.3% +0.6%
TO %
14.4%
15.7%
IND 13.9% +5.9%
ORL 19.8%
ORB %
29.3%
26.5%
IND 31.7% +17.4%
ORL 14.3%
FTrt
32.1
29.2
IND 12.5
ORL 45.3 +32.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
58.1%
IND 53.3%
ORL 67.7% +14.4%
STL %
8.7%
7.6%
IND 12.2% +4.4%
ORL 7.8%
BLK %
8.8%
6.7%
IND 2.4%
ORL 7.0% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
51.6%
IND 56.4% +3.3%
ORL 53.1%
Rim FG%
53.6%
57.7%
IND 72.0%
ORL 73.9% +1.9%
Mid FG%
38.3%
34.8%
IND 41.3% +19.1%
ORL 22.2%
3P %
36.8%
37.5%
IND 47.1% +3.6%
ORL 43.5%
FT %
78.3%
66.0%
IND 72.7% +27.9%
ORL 44.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
36.4%
IND 28.4%
ORL 35.9% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
29.0%
IND 52.3%
ORL 28.1% +24.1%
3P Att. %
19.8%
34.6%
IND 19.3%
ORL 35.9% +16.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points10685
Rebounds4333
Assists2421
Steals117
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)28 (1)
Field Goals45-8831-64
At-the-Rim FG18-2517-23
Midrange FG19-464-18
2-Point FG37-7121-41
3-Point FG8-1710-23
Free Throws8-1113-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 29
36.4
24
60%
2
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
3-7
43%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
34.3
11
50%
1
10
1
0
4
1
1
0
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
34.0
16
44%
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
8-17
47%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 25
21.8
7
44%
6
0
2
0
1
4
2
4
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 22
20.4
6
60%
7
2
0
0
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
25.4
16
80%
6
4
1
0
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
· 6'9" 250 · 26
20.8
7
50%
5
2
1
0
1
2
3
2
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 29
16.1
8
100%
5
0
2
0
4
5
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31
15.1
5
63%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 230 · 21
9.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
3.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25
3.4
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
56%
43
24
11
1
14
0
13
30
8-11
73%
37-71
52%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.