Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 21, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 42% | 96 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 71% | 100 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Mavericks | 74% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 52% | 94 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, March 20, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Celtics | 80% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Heat | 30% | 82 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Hornets | 58% | 96 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Nets | 52% | 94 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Lakers | 41% | 95 | 90 |
| 5 | Spurs | 59% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 58% | 97 | 107 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 42% | 94 | 75 |
Tuesday, March 19, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 47% | 97 | 97 | |
| 16 | Cavaliers | 53% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 52% | 86 | 91 |
| 22 | Heat | 48% | 85 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Bucks | 30% | 99 | 91 |
 | 8 | Magic | 70% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Raptors | 29% | 93 | 80 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 71% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 54% | 97 | 101 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 46% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 53% | 96 | 102 |
 | 28 | Bulls | 47% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 46% | 105 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 54% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 32% | 91 | 94 |
| 10 | Jazz | 68% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 15% | 94 | 93 |
| 9 | SuperSonics | 85% | 106 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Kings | 87% | 107 | 110 |
Monday, March 18, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Celtics | 60% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 47% | 96 | 110 |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 97 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 69% | 97 | 98 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 31% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 31% | 94 | 86 |
| 17 | Clippers | 69% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 48% | 98 | 99 |
| 26 | Warriors | 52% | 99 | 96 |
Sunday, March 17, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 37% | 93 | 105 |
| 11 | 76ers | 63% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 28% | 93 | 68 |
| 13 | Pacers | 72% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 70% | 97 | 87 | |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 30% | 91 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 34% | 95 | 96 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 66% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 60% | 99 | 116 |
| 19 | Raptors | 40% | 96 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 95 | 99 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 67% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 22% | 100 | 103 |
| 1 | Lakers | 78% | 110 | 105 |
Saturday, March 16, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 45% | 97 | 95 |
| 25 | Knicks | 55% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 22% | 83 | 76 |
| 22 | Heat | 78% | 93 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 36% | 92 | 76 |
| 20 | Hornets | 64% | 96 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 31% | 93 | 102 |
| 8 | Bucks | 69% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 24% | 91 | 114 |
| 18 | Rockets | 76% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 29% | 92 | 104 |
| 5 | Spurs | 71% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 16% | 90 | 80 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 84% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 46% | 96 | 95 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 54% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 62% | 107 | 117 |
| 26 | Warriors | 38% | 104 | 100 |
Friday, March 15, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 34% | 85 | 78 |
| 10 | Nets | 66% | 90 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 21% | 95 | 102 |
| 12 | Magic | 79% | 105 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 48% | 95 | 89 |
| 23 | Hawks | 52% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 33% | 90 | 100 |
| 13 | Pistons | 67% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 30% | 95 | 98 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 70% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 69% | 99 | 103 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 31% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 21% | 91 | 103 |
| 4 | SuperSonics | 79% | 101 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 24% | 94 | 92 |
| 1 | Lakers | 76% | 102 | 98 |
Thursday, March 14, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 54% | 94 | 82 |
| 22 | Hornets | 46% | 93 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 67% | 102 | 96 |
| 26 | Knicks | 33% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 10% | 84 | 86 |
| 8 | Spurs | 90% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 37% | 100 | 106 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 104 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 72% | 105 | 110 |
| 25 | Warriors | 28% | 98 | 102 |
Wednesday, March 13, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 34% | 94 | 89 | |
| 10 | Celtics | 66% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 27% | 94 | 114 |
| 12 | Magic | 73% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 35% | 95 | 102 |
| 24 | Hawks | 65% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 30% | 93 | 84 |
| 14 | Pistons | 70% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 57% | 96 | 92 |
| 13 | 76ers | 43% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 18% | 94 | 96 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 82% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 32% | 94 | 75 |
| 16 | Clippers | 68% | 99 | 96 |
Tuesday, March 12, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 19% | 93 | 101 |
| 14 | Pacers | 81% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 58% | 93 | 104 |
| 25 | Knicks | 42% | 90 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 30% | 89 | 84 |
| 10 | Nets | 70% | 96 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 40% | 86 | 78 |
| 18 | Heat | 60% | 89 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 12% | 89 | 81 |
| 9 | Bucks | 88% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 51% | 98 | 98 | |
| 21 | Rockets | 49% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 13% | 86 | 84 |
| 8 | Spurs | 87% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 18% | 92 | 66 | |
| 1 | Lakers | 82% | 103 | 107 |
Monday, March 11, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 51% | 97 | 104 |
| 23 | Wizards | 49% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 39% | 98 | 96 |
| 24 | Hawks | 61% | 101 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 21% | 94 | 108 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 79% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 68% | 98 | 78 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 32% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 79% | 103 | 107 |
| 29 | Bulls | 21% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SuperSonics | 36% | 100 | 108 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 64% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 68% | 97 | 93 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 32% | 91 | 78 |
Sunday, March 10, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 35% | 95 | 79 |
| 14 | Magic | 65% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 28% | 93 | 91 |
| 11 | Celtics | 72% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 35% | 98 | 95 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 65% | 103 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 38% | 93 | 89 |
| 15 | Pistons | 62% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 51% | 104 | 98 |
| 8 | Bucks | 49% | 103 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 57% | 97 | 92 |
| 22 | Rockets | 43% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 14% | 91 | 103 |
| 1 | Lakers | 86% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 39% | 92 | 88 | |
| 18 | Suns | 61% | 95 | 82 |
Saturday, March 9, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 51% | 92 | 112 |
| 24 | Hawks | 49% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 58% | 89 | 93 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 42% | 87 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 78% | 97 | 100 |
| 29 | Bulls | 22% | 88 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 13% | 98 | 105 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 87% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 98 | 106 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 35% | 93 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 30% | 92 | 90 | |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 70% | 98 | 96 | |
Friday, March 8, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 29% | 87 | 100 |
| 13 | 76ers | 71% | 94 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 35% | 93 | 92 |
| 14 | Celtics | 65% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 24% | 95 | 96 |
| 11 | Magic | 76% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 34% | 85 | 83 |
| 19 | Heat | 66% | 90 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 62% | 97 | 94 |
| 28 | Bulls | 38% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 29% | 98 | 115 |
| 7 | Bucks | 71% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 35% | 96 | 108 |
| 20 | Rockets | 65% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 14% | 89 | 85 |
| 5 | Jazz | 86% | 102 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 98 | 76 |
| 21 | Suns | 49% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 16% | 93 | 87 | |
| 2 | Kings | 84% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 34% | 93 | 73 | |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 98 | 82 |