FinalWin Prob.pScore
2058%89
93
2842%87
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.39082.2
MEM logo MEM
97.89099.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 292
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)92
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMBattier Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)90
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)90
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)90
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)88
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMWright Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)88
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0MEMMISS Buford Running Layup88
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 287
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0MEMMISS Wright Dunk87
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)87
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Strickland 22' Jump Shot87
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 1:04MEMMISS Gasol Layup87
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAHeat Rebound87
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Strickland Jump Shot87
98.3%
80
1.7%
Q4 - 1:14MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
96.1%
80
3.9%
Q4 - 1:31MEMMISS Buford 14' Jump Shot85
95.2%
80
4.8%
Q4 - 1:47MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
92.0%
80
8.0%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot85
93.0%
80
7.0%
Q4 - 2:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
95.3%
80
4.7%
Q4 - 2:23MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot85
94.3%
80
5.7%
Q4 - 2:36MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound85
91.1%
80
8.9%
Q4 - 2:37MEMMISS Gasol 12' Turnaround Jump Shot85
94.4%
80
5.6%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMourning Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)85
89.4%
80
10.6%
Q4 - 3:05MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
86.6%
80
13.4%
Q4 - 3:05MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 283
87.4%
79
12.6%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)83
84.7%
79
15.3%
Q4 - 3:43MEMWright REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)81
77.2%
79
22.8%
Q4 - 3:43MEMWright Layup (12 PTS)81
77.2%
79
22.8%
Q4 - 3:45MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
86.3%
77
13.7%
Q4 - 3:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
82.9%
77
17.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot81
84.6%
77
15.4%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
87.9%
77
12.1%
Q4 - 4:10MEMMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot81
86.6%
77
13.4%
Q4 - 4:12MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound81
83.1%
77
16.9%
Q4 - 4:13MEMMISS Buford 13' Running Jump Shot81
86.6%
77
13.4%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS)81
83.2%
77
16.8%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
77.6%
77
22.4%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot79
72.3%
77
27.7%
Q4 - 4:58MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)79
77.6%
77
22.4%
Q4 - 5:06MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)79
85.7%
74
14.3%
Q4 - 5:30MEMWilliams 12' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
89.6%
74
10.4%
Q4 - 5:52MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)79
92.3%
72
7.7%
Q4 - 6:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
88.1%
72
11.9%
Q4 - 6:04MEMMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot77
87.0%
72
13.0%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMourning 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)77
84.0%
72
16.0%
Q4 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound75
80.3%
72
19.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Strickland Running Layup75
76.2%
72
23.8%
Q4 - 6:55MEMBattier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)75
80.3%
72
19.7%
Q4 - 7:06MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
86.4%
69
13.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
87.5%
69
12.5%
Q4 - 7:23MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
89.7%
69
10.3%
Q4 - 7:25MEMMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
88.8%
69
11.2%
Q4 - 7:28MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
86.5%
69
13.5%
Q4 - 7:31MEMMISS Buford Layup75
88.8%
69
11.2%
Q4 - 7:37MIABattier STEAL (3 STL)75
86.5%
69
13.5%
Q4 - 7:57MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)75
89.8%
69
10.2%
Q4 - 8:02MIABuford STEAL (2 STL)75
92.4%
66
7.6%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHeat Rebound75
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q4 - 8:17MEMMISS Buford 11' Running Jump Shot75
93.7%
66
6.3%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)75
92.5%
66
7.5%
Q4 - 8:55MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)75
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q4 - 8:55MEMGasol Layup (13 PTS)75
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q4 - 8:57MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q4 - 9:00MEMMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot75
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q4 - 9:05MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)75
95.7%
63
4.3%
Q4 - 9:06MEMMISS Buford 21' Jump Shot75
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q4 - 9:34MIAStepania Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)75
95.8%
63
4.2%
Q4 - 9:38MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
94.8%
63
5.2%
Q4 - 9:40MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q4 - 9:40MEMMISS Buford Tip Shot73
94.4%
63
5.6%
Q4 - 9:41MEMMISS Fontaine Layup73
94.4%
63
5.6%
Q4 - 9:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot73
93.8%
63
6.2%
Q4 - 10:14MIAHeat Rebound73
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q4 - 10:14MEMMISS Wright 6' Hook Shot73
93.5%
63
6.5%
Q4 - 10:15MEMWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)73
92.4%
63
7.6%
Q4 - 10:18MEMMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot73
93.5%
63
6.5%
Q4 - 10:26MEMKnight Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)73
92.4%
63
7.6%
Q4 - 10:39MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot73
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q4 - 10:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
95.2%
62
4.8%
Q4 - 10:51MEMMISS Fontaine 3PT Jump Shot73
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q4 - 10:56MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Jackson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot73
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q4 - 11:21MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound73
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 11:21MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)73
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 11:21MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 273
94.7%
61
5.3%
Q4 - 11:40MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
94.4%
61
5.6%
Q4 - 11:40MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q4 - 11:43MEMSwift Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)71
93.2%
61
6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM71
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Buford 49' 3PT Jump Shot71
92.0%
61
8.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABuford STEAL (1 STL)71
90.9%
61
9.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MEMKnight Foul Turnover (P1.T13)71
92.5%
61
7.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)71
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MEMWright Running Dunk (10 PTS)68
87.0%
61
13.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWright STEAL (2 STL)68
89.1%
59
10.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0MEMFontaine Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)68
91.0%
59
9.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MEMFontaine Running Layup (2 PTS)68
92.5%
58
7.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJackson 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 1:24MEMWright 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fontaine 1 AST)66
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 1:33MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
93.2%
54
6.8%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot66
93.6%
54
6.4%
Q3 - 1:51MEMSwift Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)66
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 2:15MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
92.3%
54
7.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
92.1%
54
7.9%
Q3 - 2:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
91.1%
54
8.9%
Q3 - 2:35MEMMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot64
90.5%
54
9.5%
Q3 - 3:03MIAJones 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)64
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 3:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot62
85.4%
54
14.6%
Q3 - 3:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 3:35MEMMISS Buford 5' Jump Shot62
86.3%
54
13.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)62
84.6%
54
15.4%
Q3 - 3:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
87.0%
54
13.0%
Q3 - 3:59MEMMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot62
86.3%
54
13.7%
Q3 - 4:11MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
83.9%
54
16.1%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 261
83.1%
54
16.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
84.2%
54
15.8%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot61
82.3%
54
17.7%
Q3 - 4:26MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
84.2%
54
15.8%
Q3 - 4:30MEMMISS Buford Tip Shot61
83.4%
54
16.6%
Q3 - 4:32MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
81.4%
54
18.6%
Q3 - 4:36MEMMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot61
83.4%
54
16.6%
Q3 - 5:03MIAStrickland Layup (10 PTS)61
81.0%
54
19.0%
Q3 - 5:08MEMWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)59
78.5%
54
21.5%
Q3 - 5:13MEMWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
75.3%
54
24.7%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot59
76.3%
54
23.7%
Q3 - 5:34MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
78.5%
54
21.5%
Q3 - 5:34MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 259
78.1%
54
21.9%
Q3 - 5:34MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
76.3%
54
23.7%
Q3 - 5:52MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)59
78.3%
53
21.7%
Q3 - 6:10MEMWilliams 14' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
75.0%
53
25.0%
Q3 - 6:33MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q3 - 6:39MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
75.1%
51
24.9%
Q3 - 6:41MEMMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot55
74.1%
51
25.9%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 155
72.2%
51
27.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAGill Layup (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)55
71.7%
51
28.3%
Q3 - 6:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
68.6%
51
31.4%
Q3 - 7:00MEMMISS Gasol Layup53
67.5%
51
32.5%
Q3 - 7:18MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)53
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 7:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
61.0%
51
39.0%
Q3 - 7:32MEMMISS Battier 12' Turnaround Jump Shot51
59.7%
51
40.3%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJones Running Layup (8 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)51
56.7%
51
43.3%
Q3 - 7:57MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
53.4%
51
46.6%
Q3 - 7:59MEMMISS Wright Layup49
52.1%
51
47.9%
Q3 - 8:02MEMWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q3 - 8:07MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot49
52.6%
51
47.4%
Q3 - 8:14MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
49.6%
51
50.4%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot49
50.9%
51
49.1%
Q3 - 8:38MEMWright 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)49
53.9%
51
46.1%
Q3 - 8:45MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
57.1%
49
42.9%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot49
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q3 - 9:02MEMMISS Long Free Throw 1 of 149
60.6%
49
39.4%
Q3 - 9:02MEMLong 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 9:26MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
64.4%
47
35.6%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot49
65.5%
47
34.5%
Q3 - 9:54MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)49
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q3 - 10:10MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T7)49
73.6%
44
26.4%
Q3 - 10:26MEMBattier 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
76.6%
44
23.4%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)49
78.7%
42
21.3%
Q3 - 11:03MEMWright 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
76.4%
42
23.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
78.7%
40
21.3%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
78.0%
40
22.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
76.4%
40
23.6%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Mourning Layup45
74.6%
40
25.4%
Q3 - 11:34MEMLong Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)45
76.4%
40
23.6%
Q3 - 11:41MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
73.7%
40
26.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 245
74.1%
40
25.9%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 245
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
76.4%
40
23.6%
Q3 - 11:43MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)45
74.6%
40
25.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM45
76.4%
40
23.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)45
73.7%
40
26.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0MEMGasol Layup (10 PTS) (Long 2 AST)45
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)45
78.6%
38
21.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
80.2%
38
19.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMMISS Gasol Layup45
79.7%
38
20.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
78.6%
38
21.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0MEMMISS Gasol Layup45
79.7%
38
20.3%
Q2 - 1:11MIAGill Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)45
78.4%
38
21.6%
Q2 - 1:15MEMWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)43
75.0%
38
25.0%
Q2 - 1:30MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
73.7%
38
26.3%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Strickland Running Layup43
74.1%
38
25.9%
Q2 - 1:42MIAHeat Rebound43
75.0%
38
25.0%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Gill 15' Jump Shot43
74.1%
38
25.9%
Q2 - 2:02MEMBuford 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)43
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 2:19MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)43
77.5%
36
22.5%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Gill Layup43
78.1%
36
21.9%
Q2 - 2:21MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
79.5%
36
20.5%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot43
78.1%
36
21.9%
Q2 - 2:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
79.5%
36
20.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot43
78.2%
36
21.8%
Q2 - 3:05MEMWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
79.1%
36
20.9%
Q2 - 3:11MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
82.6%
33
17.4%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot43
83.2%
33
16.8%
Q2 - 3:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
84.5%
33
15.5%
Q2 - 3:30MEMGasol Tip Shot (8 PTS)43
84.5%
33
15.5%
Q2 - 3:32MEMMISS Gasol Layup43
86.9%
31
13.1%
Q2 - 3:51MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
85.8%
31
14.2%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Strickland 11' Jump Shot43
86.3%
31
13.7%
Q2 - 4:06MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)43
86.7%
31
13.3%
Q2 - 4:26MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
85.4%
31
14.6%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot43
85.8%
31
14.2%
Q2 - 4:50MEMWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
86.8%
31
13.2%
Q2 - 4:55MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
88.0%
29
12.0%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot43
88.4%
29
11.6%
Q2 - 5:16MEMLong 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)43
89.0%
29
11.0%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
89.9%
27
10.1%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
89.8%
27
10.2%
Q2 - 5:47MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)41
89.0%
27
11.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIABattier STEAL (2 STL)41
90.0%
25
10.0%
Q2 - 6:11MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T7)41
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 6:24MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
89.5%
25
10.5%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot41
89.9%
25
10.1%
Q2 - 6:54MEMGasol Layup (4 PTS)41
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 6:55MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
91.4%
23
8.6%
Q2 - 6:56MEMMISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot41
92.1%
23
7.9%
Q2 - 7:16MIAStepania 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)41
90.9%
23
9.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
90.0%
23
10.0%
Q2 - 7:24MEMMISS Battier 19' Jump Shot39
89.7%
23
10.3%
Q2 - 7:39MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
89.0%
23
11.0%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 238
88.6%
23
11.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
89.1%
23
10.9%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Jackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot38
88.3%
23
11.7%
Q2 - 7:56MIAHeat Rebound38
89.1%
23
10.9%
Q2 - 7:57MEMMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
88.7%
23
11.3%
Q2 - 8:04MIAStepania 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)38
87.5%
23
12.5%
Q2 - 8:18MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)36
86.5%
23
13.5%
Q2 - 8:18MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound36
85.1%
23
14.9%
Q2 - 8:18MEMMISS Wright Layup36
86.1%
23
13.9%
Q2 - 8:32MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
85.1%
23
14.9%
Q2 - 8:35MEMMISS Knight Running Layup36
86.1%
23
13.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
85.1%
23
14.9%
Q2 - 8:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
83.9%
23
16.1%
Q2 - 8:52MEMMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot34
83.4%
23
16.6%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
81.8%
23
18.2%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
81.4%
23
18.6%
Q2 - 9:26MEMKnight 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
80.5%
23
19.5%
Q2 - 9:28MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
81.9%
21
18.1%
Q2 - 9:30MEMMISS Buford 20' Jump Shot32
83.0%
21
17.0%
Q2 - 9:51MIAJackson 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)32
81.9%
21
18.1%
Q2 - 10:09MEMMassenburg 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Long 1 AST)30
80.1%
21
19.9%
Q2 - 10:26MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)30
81.5%
19
18.5%
Q2 - 10:40MEMLong Layup (5 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)27
78.5%
19
21.5%
Q2 - 10:46MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
80.0%
17
20.0%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
80.5%
17
19.5%
Q2 - 10:53MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
81.7%
17
18.3%
Q2 - 10:57MIASwift BLOCK (1 BLK)27
80.5%
17
19.5%
Q2 - 11:16MEMLong Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
81.2%
17
18.8%
Q2 - 11:16MEMMISS Long Free Throw 1 of 227
81.6%
16
18.4%
Q2 - 11:39MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)27
81.2%
16
18.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
78.1%
16
21.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
78.1%
16
21.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Carter 52' 3PT Jump Shot24
76.6%
16
23.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
77.5%
16
22.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot24
77.1%
16
22.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAJackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
76.2%
16
23.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MEMMassenburg 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)22
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJackson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
76.2%
14
23.8%
Q1 - 1:17MEMLong Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 1:33MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)20
76.2%
12
23.8%
Q1 - 1:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot20
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 2:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
77.7%
12
22.3%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Grant 7' Turnaround Jump Shot20
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 2:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
77.7%
12
22.3%
Q1 - 2:30MEMMISS Massenburg 6' Jump Shot20
77.2%
12
22.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIAStepania 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)20
76.1%
12
23.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
74.2%
12
25.8%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot18
73.1%
12
26.9%
Q1 - 3:17MEMBuford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)18
74.0%
12
26.0%
Q1 - 3:45MIAJackson Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)18
75.5%
10
24.5%
Q1 - 3:51MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 4:02MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot16
72.5%
10
27.5%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
73.9%
10
26.1%
Q1 - 4:11MEMMISS Battier Layup16
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 4:31MIAStrickland Layup (6 PTS)16
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 4:33MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
70.4%
10
29.6%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)14
68.8%
10
31.2%
Q1 - 4:48MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
70.4%
10
29.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIAJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
73.2%
7
26.8%
Q1 - 5:25MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
71.7%
7
28.3%
Q1 - 5:34MEMWilliams Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)12
69.8%
7
30.2%
Q1 - 5:44MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)12
71.6%
6
28.4%
Q1 - 5:58MEMMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 110
69.8%
6
30.2%
Q1 - 5:58MEMWright 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
70.0%
6
30.0%
Q1 - 5:59MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
71.6%
4
28.4%
Q1 - 6:01MEMMISS Gasol Layup10
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 6:16MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot10
71.7%
4
28.3%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 6:41MEMMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot10
72.4%
4
27.6%
Q1 - 6:59MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound10
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot10
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 7:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
72.4%
4
27.6%
Q1 - 7:18MEMMISS Wright Layup10
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 7:34MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)10
70.7%
4
29.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)8
69.3%
4
30.7%
Q1 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
67.6%
4
32.4%
Q1 - 7:55MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
65.8%
4
34.2%
Q1 - 7:55MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot7
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 7:59MEMMISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot7
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 8:12MIAStrickland 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
66.2%
4
33.8%
Q1 - 8:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 8:44MEMWilliams Running Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)5
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)5
66.1%
2
33.9%
Q1 - 9:12MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 9:14MEMMISS Gasol Dunk2
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 9:18MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot2
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 9:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 9:42MEMMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot2
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 9:47MIABattier STEAL (1 STL)2
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 9:54MEMLong Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 10:05MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 10:09MEMMISS Gasol Dunk2
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 10:13MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot2
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 10:35MEMGasol Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
64.2%
0
35.8%
Q1 - 10:58MEMLong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMourning 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:24MEMMISS Williams Layup0
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 11:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot0
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 11:41MEMBattier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Mourning: Tip to Long0
60.9%
0
39.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MEM
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
24
54%
MEM
15
39
38%
Midrange
MIA
17
46
37%
MEM
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
MEM
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
21
28
75%
MEM
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning1853%9.0 / 17
J. Jackson1860%9.0 / 15
R. Strickland1750%8.5 / 17
E. Jones1667%8.0 / 12
K. Gill1031%5.0 / 16
V. Stepania1071%5.0 / 7
B. Grant429%2.0 / 7
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams1959%9.5 / 16
S. Battier1794%8.5 / 9
L. Wright1439%7.0 / 18
P. Gasol1432%7.0 / 22
G. Long975%4.5 / 6
R. Buford414%2.0 / 14
T. Massenburg467%2.0 / 3
B. Knight330%1.5 / 5
I. Fontaine338%1.5 / 4
S. Swift150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+18
-14
94
MEM
77
+22
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MEM
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
95.6
MIA 103.3
MEM 97.8 +5.6
Pace
89.7
93.7
MIA 82.2
MEM 99.6 +17.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MIA 17.5
MEM 14.5 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.2%
MIA 46.2% +2.9%
MEM 43.3%
TO %
15.5%
16.7%
MIA 13.4%
MEM 12.7% +0.7%
ORB %
26.7%
27.8%
MIA 34.1% +0.1%
MEM 34.0%
FTrt
26.8
28.8
MIA 35.9 +16.8
MEM 19.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
62.6%
MIA 67.6% +21.9%
MEM 45.7%
STL %
7.4%
8.4%
MIA 8.9%
MEM 8.9%
BLK %
8.7%
8.5%
MIA 12.0% +7.7%
MEM 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.7%
MIA 49.5% +5.9%
MEM 43.6%
Rim FG%
60.6%
57.1%
MIA 54.2% +15.7%
MEM 38.5%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.6%
MIA 37.0% +0.9%
MEM 36.1%
3P %
34.7%
30.7%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 50.0%
FT %
72.4%
70.8%
MIA 75.0% +10.3%
MEM 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
34.4%
MIA 30.8%
MEM 43.8% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
48.9%
MIA 59.0%
MEM 40.4% +18.5%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.8%
MIA 10.3%
MEM 15.7% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points9388
Rebounds4744
Assists2316
Steals88
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)27 (1)
Field Goals34-7835-89
At-the-Rim FG13-2415-39
Midrange FG17-4613-36
2-Point FG30-7028-75
3-Point FG4-87-14
Free Throws21-2811-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
38.4
18
53%
7
2
0
6
2
3
3
4
4-6
67%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
37.2
16
67%
4
4
2
1
1
4
0
4
6-7
86%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
36.9
4
29%
10
3
0
0
3
2
3
7
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
32.2
10
31%
7
1
3
0
2
0
2
5
2-3
67%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
31.7
17
50%
7
5
3
0
0
1
1
6
7-8
88%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
26.6
18
60%
4
2
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
6-12
50%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
20.8
10
71%
8
0
0
2
2
3
4
4
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
16.3
0
0%
0
6
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" · 35
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
47
23
8
9
14
0
14
33
21-28
75%
30-70
43%
4-8
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.