Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 16, 2002

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	24	Wizards	16%	90	80
	3	Trail Blazers	84%	102	95

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
WAS	86.0	93	90.5
POR	106.7	89	91.5

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-19

POR

+16

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.93 46.5%

POR

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	POR		80 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:02.0	WAS	MISS Brown 15' Jump Shot	80 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:11.0	POR	Randolph 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	80 0%	95 100%
Q4 - 0:29.0	WAS	Whitney Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T24)	80 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0	WAS	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	80 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0	POR	MISS Wells Reverse Layup	80 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0	POR	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	80 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0	WAS	MISS Alexander 9' Jump Shot	80 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 1:09	POR	Wells Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T22)	80 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 1:29	WAS	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	80 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 1:29	WAS	MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2	79 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 1:45	POR	Wallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Stoudamire 7 AST)	79 0.1%	93 99.9%
Q4 - 1:59	WAS	Anderson STEAL (1 STL)	79 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 2:02	POR	Stoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)	79 0.3%	90 99.7%
Q4 - 2:19	WAS	Brown Driving Layup (10 PTS)	79 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	POR	Kemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	77 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	POR	Kemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	77 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 2:55	WAS	Nesby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	77 0.2%	88 99.8%
Q4 - 2:55	WAS	Nesby Layup (11 PTS)	77 0.2%	88 99.8%
Q4 - 2:57	WAS	MISS Brown 9' Jump Shot	75 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 3:18	POR	Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Stoudamire 6 AST)	75 0.2%	88 99.8%
Q4 - 3:33	WAS	Alexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	75 0.7%	85 99.3%
Q4 - 3:33	WAS	Alexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	74 0.7%	85 99.3%
Q4 - 3:45	WAS	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	73 0.5%	85 99.5%
Q4 - 3:47	POR	MISS Patterson 14' Jump Shot	73 0.4%	85 99.6%
Q4 - 4:13	WAS	Nesby Driving Layup (9 PTS)	73 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 4:36	POR	Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)	71 0.2%	85 99.8%
Q4 - 4:47	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)	71 0.3%	83 99.7%
Q4 - 4:49	WAS	MISS Alexander 23' Jump Shot	71 0.3%	83 99.7%
Q4 - 5:07	WAS	Nesby Free Throw Clear Path (7 PTS)	71 0.7%	83 99.3%
Q4 - 5:08	POR	Pippen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)	70 0.5%	83 99.5%
Q4 - 5:23	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	70 0.3%	83 99.7%
Q4 - 5:25	WAS	MISS Nesby 5' Jump Shot	70 0.4%	83 99.6%
Q4 - 5:26	WAS	Nesby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	70 0.5%	83 99.5%
Q4 - 5:27	WAS	MISS Nesby 17' Jump Shot	70 0.4%	83 99.6%
Q4 - 5:40	WAS	Nesby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	70 0.5%	83 99.5%
Q4 - 5:42	POR	MISS Wallace 18' Turnaround Jump Shot	70 0.4%	83 99.6%
Q4 - 6:03	POR	MISS Stoudamire Free Throw Technical	70 0.5%	83 99.5%
Q4 - 6:05	WAS	Kemp STEAL (3 STL)	70 0.5%	83 99.5%
Q4 - 6:30	POR	Patterson Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 5 AST)	70 0.7%	83 99.3%
Q4 - 6:35	WAS	Kemp STEAL (2 STL)	70 0.9%	81 99.1%
Q4 - 6:39	WAS	Wizards Rebound	70 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q4 - 6:39	WAS	Patterson BLOCK (1 BLK)	70 1.0%	81 99.0%
Q4 - 6:43	WAS	Lue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	70 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q4 - 6:45	POR	MISS Pippen 21' Jump Shot	70 1.1%	81 98.9%
Q4 - 7:04	WAS	Laettner 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T20)	70 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q4 - 7:14	POR	Patterson Foul Turnover (P1.T19)	70 1.6%	81 98.4%
Q4 - 7:31	WAS	Alexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	70 1.1%	81 98.9%
Q4 - 7:31	WAS	MISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 2	69 1.1%	81 98.9%
Q4 - 7:51	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:9 Def:4)	69 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q4 - 7:51	POR	Kemp Tip Shot (19 PTS)	69 1.2%	81 98.8%
Q4 - 7:53	POR	MISS Kemp Layup	69 1.8%	79 98.2%
Q4 - 8:12	POR	Pippen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 1.9%	79 98.1%
Q4 - 8:14	WAS	MISS Jones 15' Jump Shot	69 2.0%	79 98.0%
Q4 - 8:25	WAS	Wizards Rebound	69 2.4%	79 97.6%
Q4 - 8:27	POR	MISS Pippen 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 2.2%	79 97.8%
Q4 - 9:03	WAS	Alexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	69 2.1%	79 97.9%
Q4 - 9:03	WAS	Alexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	68 2.0%	79 98.0%
Q4 - 9:24	POR	Kemp Foul Turnover (P5.T18)	67 1.7%	79 98.3%
Q4 - 9:32	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	67 1.3%	79 98.7%
Q4 - 9:32	POR	MISS Kemp 22' Jump Shot	67 1.6%	79 98.4%
Q4 - 9:51	WAS	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	67 1.3%	79 98.7%
Q4 - 9:51	WAS	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	66 1.3%	79 98.7%
Q4 - 9:51	WAS	Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	65 1.0%	79 99.0%
Q4 - 9:53	WAS	MISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot	65 0.9%	79 99.1%
Q4 - 10:10	WAS	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	65 1.2%	79 98.8%
Q4 - 10:12	POR	MISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot	65 1.1%	79 98.9%
Q4 - 10:34	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	65 1.0%	79 99.0%
Q4 - 10:35	WAS	MISS Nesby 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	65 1.0%	79 99.0%
Q4 - 10:54	WAS	Nesby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	65 1.2%	79 98.8%
Q4 - 10:55	POR	MISS Dudley 5' Jump Hook Shot	65 1.1%	79 98.9%
Q4 - 11:23	WAS	Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Laettner 4 AST)	65 1.1%	79 98.9%
Q4 - 11:39	POR	Anderson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	62 0.8%	79 99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		62 0.9%	77 99.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0	POR	Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pippen 15 AST)	62 1.3%	77 98.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	62 1.6%	75 98.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0	WAS	MISS Nesby Layup	62 1.7%	75 98.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0	POR	Wallace Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Pippen 14 AST)	62 2.0%	75 98.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	62 2.4%	73 97.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0	WAS	Anderson BLOCK (1 BLK)	62 2.5%	73 97.5%
Q3 - 1:07	POR	Pippen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	62 3.2%	73 96.8%
Q3 - 1:07	POR	Pippen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	62 3.3%	72 96.7%
Q3 - 1:25	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	62 3.8%	71 96.2%
Q3 - 1:27	WAS	MISS Alexander 12' Jump Shot	62 4.0%	71 96.0%
Q3 - 1:47	WAS	Nesby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	62 4.6%	71 95.4%
Q3 - 1:48	POR	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	62 4.5%	71 95.5%
Q3 - 1:48	POR	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	62 3.9%	71 96.1%
Q3 - 1:48	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	62 3.8%	71 96.2%
Q3 - 1:50	WAS	MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot	62 4.0%	71 96.0%
Q3 - 2:04	POR	Kemp 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T17)	62 4.8%	71 95.2%
Q3 - 2:25	WAS	MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 1	62 4.0%	71 96.0%
Q3 - 2:25	WAS	Brown Layup (8 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)	62 3.9%	71 96.1%
Q3 - 2:41	POR	Wallace Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Pippen 13 AST)	60 3.3%	71 96.7%
Q3 - 2:52	WAS	Wizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)	60 3.9%	69 96.1%
Q3 - 3:19	POR	Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pippen 12 AST)	60 5.0%	69 95.0%
Q3 - 3:39	WAS	Alexander Traveling Turnover (P4.T18)	60 7.0%	66 93.0%
Q3 - 3:49	POR	Wallace 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pippen 11 AST)	60 8.3%	66 91.7%
Q3 - 4:04	WAS	Alexander 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Whitney 7 AST)	60 9.5%	64 90.5%
Q3 - 4:07	WAS	Wizards Rebound	58 8.3%	64 91.7%
Q3 - 4:08	WAS	Kemp BLOCK (2 BLK)	58 7.3%	64 92.7%
Q3 - 4:27	WAS	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	58 8.3%	64 91.7%
Q3 - 4:28	POR	MISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 2	58 8.1%	64 91.9%
Q3 - 4:28	POR	MISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 2	58 7.3%	64 92.7%
Q3 - 4:28	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	58 6.9%	64 93.1%
Q3 - 4:29	POR	MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot	58 7.9%	64 92.1%
Q3 - 4:38	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)	58 6.9%	64 93.1%
Q3 - 4:39	WAS	MISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot	58 7.3%	64 92.7%
Q3 - 4:56	POR	Kemp 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pippen 10 AST)	58 8.3%	64 91.7%
Q3 - 5:11	WAS	Brown Layup (6 PTS) (Whitney 6 AST)	58 9.8%	62 90.2%
Q3 - 5:13	WAS	Wizards Rebound	56 8.5%	62 91.5%
Q3 - 5:15	WAS	MISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot	56 7.6%	62 92.4%
Q3 - 5:31	WAS	Alexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	56 8.5%	62 91.5%
Q3 - 5:33	POR	MISS Wallace Layup	56 8.1%	62 91.9%
Q3 - 5:37	WAS	Wallace STEAL (2 STL)	56 7.2%	62 92.8%
Q3 - 5:49	POR	Wells Out Of Bounds Turnover (P5.T16)	56 8.5%	62 91.5%
Q3 - 5:58	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)	56 7.2%	62 92.8%
Q3 - 5:59	WAS	Kemp BLOCK (1 BLK)	56 7.5%	62 92.5%
Q3 - 6:01	WAS	White REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	56 8.5%	62 91.5%
Q3 - 6:03	WAS	MISS Whitney 20' Jump Shot	56 7.6%	62 92.4%
Q3 - 6:21	POR	Wells Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)	56 8.5%	62 91.5%
Q3 - 6:32	WAS	Wizards Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#16)	56 9.8%	60 90.2%
Q3 - 6:45	POR	Anderson 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pippen 9 AST)	56 11.4%	60 88.6%
Q3 - 6:51	WAS	Alexander Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)	56 13.0%	58 87.0%
Q3 - 7:04	POR	Wells Layup (20 PTS) (Pippen 8 AST)	56 15.0%	58 85.0%
Q3 - 7:07	WAS	Pippen STEAL (1 STL)	56 16.8%	56 83.2%
Q3 - 7:10	POR	Wells Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	56 19.4%	56 80.6%
Q3 - 7:10	POR	Wells Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	56 19.9%	55 80.1%
Q3 - 7:26	WAS	White 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)	56 21.6%	54 78.4%
Q3 - 7:44	POR	Wells Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)	56 24.7%	54 75.3%
Q3 - 7:47	WAS	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	56 21.6%	54 78.4%
Q3 - 8:13	POR	Pippen Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wells 2 AST)	56 24.2%	54 75.8%
Q3 - 8:35	WAS	Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)	56 26.7%	52 73.3%
Q3 - 8:43	WAS	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	53 21.6%	52 78.4%
Q3 - 8:44	POR	MISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot	53 20.7%	52 79.3%
Q3 - 8:59	WAS	Wizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)	53 18.8%	52 81.2%
Q3 - 9:00	WAS	Wizards Rebound	53 21.6%	52 78.4%
Q3 - 9:01	WAS	Pippen BLOCK (1 BLK)	53 18.8%	52 81.2%
Q3 - 9:23	POR	Wallace Foul Turnover (P1.T14)	53 20.6%	52 79.4%
Q3 - 9:40	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	53 18.2%	52 81.8%
Q3 - 9:41	WAS	MISS Nesby 20' Jump Shot	53 18.9%	52 81.1%
Q3 - 10:05	POR	Kemp 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)	53 19.9%	52 80.1%
Q3 - 10:18	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	53 22.0%	50 78.0%
Q3 - 10:20	WAS	MISS Alexander 21' Jump Shot	53 22.8%	50 77.2%
Q3 - 10:41	POR	Wells 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pippen 7 AST)	53 24.8%	50 75.2%
Q3 - 10:52	WAS	Wells STEAL (4 STL)	53 27.3%	48 72.7%
Q3 - 10:55	WAS	Wizards Rebound	53 30.5%	48 69.5%
Q3 - 10:57	WAS	MISS Laettner 25' 3PT Jump Shot	53 28.3%	48 71.7%
Q3 - 11:15	POR	Wells Foul Turnover (P3.T13)	53 29.1%	48 70.9%
Q3 - 11:42	WAS	Laettner 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Whitney 5 AST)	53 26.2%	48 73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS		51 23.8%	48 76.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0	POR	Wells Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	51 22.9%	48 77.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0	WAS	Whitney Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	51 21.3%	48 78.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0	WAS	MISS Whitney Free Throw 1 of 2	50 21.1%	48 78.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0	POR	Kemp Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)	50 20.6%	48 79.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	50 19.1%	48 80.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0	WAS	MISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot	50 19.6%	48 80.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0	POR	Wallace Dunk (8 PTS) (Pippen 6 AST)	50 20.7%	48 79.3%
Q2 - 1:01	WAS	Hamilton 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	50 23.6%	46 76.4%
Q2 - 1:16	POR	Wells Layup (14 PTS) (Kemp 1 AST)	48 20.3%	46 79.7%
Q2 - 1:33	WAS	Hamilton Layup (6 PTS)	48 23.6%	44 76.4%
Q2 - 1:35	WAS	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	46 20.3%	44 79.7%
Q2 - 1:37	WAS	MISS Laettner 23' Jump Shot	46 19.6%	44 80.4%
Q2 - 2:01	POR	Kemp Dunk (13 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)	46 20.4%	44 79.6%
Q2 - 2:12	WAS	Brown 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	46 22.7%	42 77.3%
Q2 - 2:36	POR	Wells 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)	44 20.4%	42 79.6%
Q2 - 2:41	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:8 Def:2)	44 22.7%	40 77.3%
Q2 - 2:44	WAS	MISS Laettner Layup	44 23.3%	40 76.7%
Q2 - 2:52	POR	Wells Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	44 24.8%	40 75.2%
Q2 - 2:52	POR	MISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 2	44 25.2%	39 74.8%
Q2 - 3:01	WAS	Wizards Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#9)	44 23.7%	39 76.3%
Q2 - 3:10	POR	Wells Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	44 26.2%	39 73.8%
Q2 - 3:10	POR	MISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 2	44 26.7%	38 73.3%
Q2 - 3:20	WAS	Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	44 26.0%	38 74.0%
Q2 - 3:20	WAS	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	43 25.2%	38 74.8%
Q2 - 3:43	POR	Wells 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pippen 5 AST)	42 24.0%	38 76.0%
Q2 - 3:50	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:8 Def:1)	42 26.0%	36 74.0%
Q2 - 3:52	WAS	MISS Hamilton 22' Jump Shot	42 26.8%	36 73.2%
Q2 - 4:07	POR	Kemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	42 27.3%	36 72.7%
Q2 - 4:07	POR	MISS Kemp Free Throw 1 of 2	42 27.7%	35 72.3%
Q2 - 4:30	WAS	Laettner 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)	42 27.3%	35 72.7%
Q2 - 4:50	POR	Wallace Layup (6 PTS)	40 25.1%	35 74.9%
Q2 - 5:06	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	40 26.6%	33 73.4%
Q2 - 5:08	WAS	MISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot	40 27.3%	33 72.7%
Q2 - 5:30	POR	Kemp Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)	40 29.1%	33 70.9%
Q2 - 5:38	WAS	Whitney Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	40 26.6%	33 73.4%
Q2 - 5:38	WAS	Whitney 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)	39 24.5%	33 75.5%
Q2 - 5:57	WAS	Wizards Rebound	37 22.6%	33 77.4%
Q2 - 5:58	POR	MISS Kemp Layup	37 21.9%	33 78.1%
Q2 - 6:00	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:8 Def:0)	37 20.5%	33 79.5%
Q2 - 6:02	POR	MISS Pippen 11' Jump Shot	37 21.5%	33 78.5%
Q2 - 6:14	WAS	Alexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	37 20.0%	33 80.0%
Q2 - 6:14	WAS	MISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 2	36 19.7%	33 80.3%
Q2 - 6:35	POR	Wallace 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)	36 20.4%	33 79.6%
Q2 - 7:02	WAS	Brown 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 4 AST)	36 21.5%	31 78.5%
Q2 - 7:25	POR	Pippen 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	34 19.9%	31 80.1%
Q2 - 7:30	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 21.5%	29 78.5%
Q2 - 7:32	WAS	MISS Alexander 14' Jump Shot	34 22.1%	29 77.9%
Q2 - 7:48	POR	Dudley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	34 23.5%	29 76.5%
Q2 - 7:52	WAS	Dudley STEAL (1 STL)	34 21.5%	29 78.5%
Q2 - 8:08	POR	Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pippen 4 AST)	34 23.2%	29 76.8%
Q2 - 8:31	WAS	Alexander Dunk (6 PTS) (Whitney 3 AST)	34 26.8%	26 73.2%
Q2 - 8:34	POR	Pippen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	32 25.1%	26 74.9%
Q2 - 8:55	WAS	Whitney Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	32 23.0%	26 77.0%
Q2 - 8:55	WAS	Whitney Layup (7 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	31 21.2%	26 78.8%
Q2 - 9:13	POR	Pippen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	29 19.2%	26 80.8%
Q2 - 9:24	WAS	Alexander 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesby 1 AST)	29 17.6%	26 82.4%
Q2 - 9:29	WAS	Whitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 16.3%	26 83.7%
Q2 - 9:31	POR	MISS Patterson 7' Jump Shot	27 15.9%	26 84.1%
Q2 - 9:49	WAS	Alexander Driving Dunk (2 PTS)	27 14.8%	26 85.2%
Q2 - 9:53	POR	Anderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	25 13.8%	26 86.2%
Q2 - 10:17	WAS	Nesby 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	25 12.6%	26 87.4%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	Dudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	23 11.6%	26 88.4%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	Dudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	23 12.0%	25 88.0%
Q2 - 10:49	WAS	Stoudamire STEAL (2 STL)	23 12.5%	24 87.5%
Q2 - 10:52	WAS	Nesby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 13.8%	24 86.2%
Q2 - 10:55	WAS	MISS Brown 17' Jump Shot	23 12.9%	24 87.1%
Q2 - 11:09	POR	Patterson Layup (2 PTS)	23 13.4%	24 86.6%
Q2 - 11:10	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 14.6%	22 85.4%
Q2 - 11:12	POR	MISS Stoudamire 6' Jump Shot	23 15.4%	22 84.6%
Q2 - 11:16	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	23 14.6%	22 85.4%
Q2 - 11:18	POR	MISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 15.4%	22 84.6%
Q2 - 11:38	WAS	Nesby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	23 14.6%	22 85.4%
Q2 - 11:38	WAS	Nesby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	22 14.3%	22 85.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		21 13.4%	22 86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	21 12.3%	22 87.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot	21 13.1%	22 86.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	21 12.3%	22 87.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0	POR	MISS Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot	21 12.9%	22 87.1%
Q1 - 0:13.0	WAS	Nesby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	21 12.4%	22 87.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0	POR	Wells 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)	19 11.1%	22 88.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	19 12.4%	20 87.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0	WAS	MISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot	19 12.6%	20 87.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0	WAS	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 13.2%	20 86.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0	POR	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	19 12.9%	20 87.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	19 12.3%	20 87.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0	POR	MISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	19 12.9%	20 87.1%
Q1 - 1:17	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	19 12.4%	20 87.6%
Q1 - 1:22	WAS	MISS Nesby 22' Jump Shot	19 12.6%	20 87.4%
Q1 - 1:39	POR	Kemp Reverse Layup (10 PTS)	19 13.2%	20 86.8%
Q1 - 1:58	WAS	Hamilton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)	19 14.6%	18 85.4%
Q1 - 2:14	POR	Pippen Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	17 13.2%	18 86.8%
Q1 - 2:36	WAS	Laettner 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)	17 14.4%	16 85.6%
Q1 - 2:57	POR	Wells 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pippen 3 AST)	15 13.2%	16 86.8%
Q1 - 3:02	POR	Pippen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 14.0%	14 86.0%
Q1 - 3:04	WAS	MISS Nesby 20' Jump Shot	15 14.4%	14 85.6%
Q1 - 3:15	WAS	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	15 15.3%	14 84.7%
Q1 - 3:16	POR	MISS Pippen 17' Jump Shot	15 14.9%	14 85.1%
Q1 - 3:26	WAS	Wells STEAL (3 STL)	15 14.0%	14 86.0%
Q1 - 3:48	POR	Wallace Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Pippen 2 AST)	15 15.3%	14 84.7%
Q1 - 4:09	WAS	Whitney 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	15 15.9%	12 84.1%
Q1 - 4:15	POR	Wells Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	13 15.0%	12 85.0%
Q1 - 4:28	WAS	Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)	13 13.7%	12 86.3%
Q1 - 4:47	POR	Stoudamire 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 11.9%	12 88.1%
Q1 - 4:51	WAS	Stoudamire STEAL (1 STL)	10 12.7%	10 87.3%
Q1 - 4:59	WAS	Alexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 13.9%	10 86.1%
Q1 - 5:01	POR	MISS Pippen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	10 13.1%	10 86.9%
Q1 - 5:07	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 12.4%	10 87.6%
Q1 - 5:10	WAS	MISS Alexander 21' Jump Shot	10 12.7%	10 87.3%
Q1 - 5:31	WAS	Laettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 13.4%	10 86.6%
Q1 - 5:32	POR	MISS Kemp Reverse Layup	10 13.1%	10 86.9%
Q1 - 5:35	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:7 Def:0)	10 12.4%	10 87.6%
Q1 - 5:37	POR	MISS Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot	10 13.1%	10 86.9%
Q1 - 5:53	WAS	Wizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)	10 12.4%	10 87.6%
Q1 - 6:30	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:6 Def:0)	10 13.2%	10 86.8%
Q1 - 6:30	POR	Kemp Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)	10 13.2%	10 86.8%
Q1 - 6:32	POR	MISS Pippen Driving Dunk	10 14.8%	8 85.2%
Q1 - 6:50	WAS	White Jump Shot (6 PTS)	10 14.1%	8 85.9%
Q1 - 7:15	POR	Kemp Dunk (6 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)	8 12.9%	8 87.1%
Q1 - 7:28	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 13.7%	6 86.3%
Q1 - 7:30	WAS	MISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot	8 14.0%	6 86.0%
Q1 - 7:56	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)	8 14.8%	6 85.2%
Q1 - 7:56	POR	Kemp Tip Shot (4 PTS)	8 14.8%	6 85.2%
Q1 - 7:57	POR	MISS Pippen 9' Jump Shot	8 16.4%	4 83.6%
Q1 - 8:24	WAS	Hamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	8 15.3%	4 84.7%
Q1 - 8:29	WAS	Laettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 14.5%	4 85.5%
Q1 - 8:30	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)	6 13.5%	4 86.5%
Q1 - 8:30	POR	MISS Kemp Tip Shot	6 14.2%	4 85.8%
Q1 - 8:33	POR	MISS Wells Layup	6 14.2%	4 85.8%
Q1 - 8:40	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 13.5%	4 86.5%
Q1 - 8:41	WAS	MISS Alexander 17' Jump Shot	6 13.8%	4 86.2%
Q1 - 8:57	POR	Kemp Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	6 14.5%	4 85.5%
Q1 - 9:08	WAS	Wells STEAL (2 STL)	6 13.2%	4 86.8%
Q1 - 9:18	WAS	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 14.4%	4 85.6%
Q1 - 9:19	POR	MISS Wallace Alley Oop Layup	6 14.0%	4 86.0%
Q1 - 9:33	WAS	Laettner 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)	6 13.3%	4 86.7%
Q1 - 9:52	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	4 12.6%	4 87.4%
Q1 - 9:53	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	4 11.6%	4 88.4%
Q1 - 9:57	POR	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	4 12.3%	4 87.7%
Q1 - 10:17	WAS	White Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	4 11.6%	4 88.4%
Q1 - 10:17	WAS	White Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	3 11.3%	4 88.7%
Q1 - 10:18	WAS	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 11.0%	4 89.0%
Q1 - 10:20	WAS	MISS Alexander 16' Jump Shot	2 10.4%	4 89.6%
Q1 - 10:28	POR	Kemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	2 11.0%	4 89.0%
Q1 - 10:28	POR	Kemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	2 11.1%	3 88.9%
Q1 - 10:28	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	2 11.6%	2 88.4%
Q1 - 10:29	POR	Kemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 11.6%	2 88.4%
Q1 - 10:29	POR	MISS Kemp Layup	2 12.2%	2 87.8%
Q1 - 10:30	POR	MISS Kemp Layup	2 12.2%	2 87.8%
Q1 - 10:40	WAS	Wells STEAL (1 STL)	2 11.6%	2 88.4%
Q1 - 10:49	POR	Stoudamire Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)	2 12.5%	2 87.5%
Q1 - 10:57	WAS	Kemp STEAL (1 STL)	2 11.6%	2 88.4%
Q1 - 11:12	POR	Pippen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	2 12.3%	2 87.7%
Q1 - 11:27	WAS	White Layup (2 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)	2 11.6%	2 88.4%
Q1 - 11:48	POR	Wells Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Pippen 1 AST)	0 10.8%	2 89.2%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Kemp vs. White: Tip to Stoudamire	0 11.6%	0 88.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.93 46.5%

POR

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

65%

POR

58%

Midrange

WAS

34%

POR

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

4.5

60%

90%

POR

6.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

WAS

79%

POR

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Whitney	15	83%	7.5 / 9
C. Alexander	14	41%	7.0 / 17
T. Nesby	11	42%	5.5 / 13
K. Brown	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Hamilton	8	36%	4.0 / 11
C. Laettner	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. White	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Lue	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Jones	2	25%	1.0 / 4
E. Thomas	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Wallace	25	60%	12.5 / 21
B. Wells	22	73%	11.0 / 15
S. Kemp	21	58%	10.5 / 18
S. Pippen	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Anderson	7	117%	3.5 / 3
D. Stoudamire	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Patterson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Dudley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Randolph	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-19

POR

+16

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.93 46.5%

POR

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	101.5 104.9	WAS 86.0 +20.7 POR 106.7
Pace	91.3 91.5	WAS 90.5 POR 91.5 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 15.9	WAS 15.9 POR 15.7 +0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	46.4% 48.5%	WAS 46.2% POR 56.9% +10.7%
TO %	13.3% 14.8%	WAS 23.9% POR 21.3% +2.6%
ORB %	30.8% 31.8%	WAS 24.1% POR 39.3% +15.2%
FTrt	28.0 28.5	WAS 36.4 +7.2 POR 29.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.4% 64.1%	WAS 58.6% POR 71.8% +13.2%
STL %	7.6% 9.3%	WAS 11.8% POR 15.7% +3.9%
BLK %	6.6% 7.0%	WAS 4.8% POR 8.2% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	48.3% 50.2%	WAS 46.5% POR 55.9% +9.4%
Rim FG%	56.3% 58.0%	WAS 64.7% +6.6% POR 58.1%
Mid FG%	39.7% 39.4%	WAS 34.1% POR 54.8% +20.7%
3P %	38.8% 35.4%	WAS 60.0% +20.0% POR 40.0%
FT %	76.5% 76.3%	WAS 79.2% +17.3% POR 61.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27.2% 34.6%	WAS 25.8% POR 43.1% +17.3%
Mid Att. %	61.0% 45.7%	WAS 66.7% POR 43.1% +23.6%
3P Att. %	11.8% 19.8%	WAS 7.6% POR 13.9% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Game Totals	WAS	POR
Possessions	93	89
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	80	95
Rebounds	24	33
Assists	17	28
Steals	11	14
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (5)	21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	22 (4)
Field Goals	29-66	39-72
At-the-Rim FG	11-17	18-31
Midrange FG	15-44	17-31
2-Point FG	26-61	35-62
3-Point FG	3-5	4-10
Free Throws	19-24	13-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.

24 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Courtney Alexander G · 6'5" 205 · 25	38.6	14	41%	2	1	3	0	5	1	0	2	6-8	75%	4-13	31%	0-0	-
Chris Whitney G · 6'0" 175 · 30	36.4	15	83%	1	7	3	0	2	1	0	1	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Richard Hamilton F · 6'7" 193 · 24	32.2	8	36%	3	2	0	1	4	5	1	2	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Christian Laettner F · 6'11" 245 · 33	31.9	8	57%	2	4	3	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Jahidi White C · 6'9" 290 · 26	18.3	6	75%	5	0	0	1	2	2	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tyrone Nesby F-G · 6'6" 245 · 26	25.2	11	42%	6	1	1	0	0	2	3	3	3-3	100%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 20	18.9	11	55%	3	1	1	1	0	1	0	3	1-3	33%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Popeye Jones F · 6'8" 265 · 32	12.6	2	25%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Tyronn Lue G · 6'0" 175 · 25	12.0	3	50%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 22	7.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 24	6.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hubert Davis G · 6'5" 183 · 32
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	47%	24	17	11	3	19	0	7	17	19-24	79%	26-61	43%	3-5	60%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Courtney Alexander G · 6'5" 205 · 25	38.6	14	41%	2	1	3	0	5	1	0	2	6-8	75%	4-13	31%	0-0	-
Chris Whitney G · 6'0" 175 · 30	36.4	15	83%	1	7	3	0	2	1	0	1	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Richard Hamilton F · 6'7" 193 · 24	32.2	8	36%	3	2	0	1	4	5	1	2	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Christian Laettner F · 6'11" 245 · 33	31.9	8	57%	2	4	3	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Jahidi White C · 6'9" 290 · 26	18.3	6	75%	5	0	0	1	2	2	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tyrone Nesby F-G · 6'6" 245 · 26	25.2	11	42%	6	1	1	0	0	2	3	3	3-3	100%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 20	18.9	11	55%	3	1	1	1	0	1	0	3	1-3	33%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Popeye Jones F · 6'8" 265 · 32	12.6	2	25%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Tyronn Lue G · 6'0" 175 · 25	12.0	3	50%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 22	7.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 24	6.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hubert Davis G · 6'5" 183 · 32
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	47%	24	17	11	3	19	0	7	17	19-24	79%	26-61	43%	3-5	60%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shawn Kemp C · 6'10" 280 · 32	42.6	21	58%	14	1	3	2	5	4	9	5	5-6	83%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Rasheed Wallace F · 6'11" 230 · 27	41.3	25	60%	7	1	2	0	1	3	0	7	0-2	0%	8-14	57%	3-6	50%
Scottie Pippen F · 6'8" 228 · 36	39.0	8	36%	3	15	1	1	4	5	0	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 29	33.7	4	29%	3	7	2	0	2	3	1	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Bonzi Wells G · 6'5" 210 · 25	31.4	22	73%	2	2	4	0	6	2	0	2	4-8	50%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 28	22.9	7	117%	2	2	1	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Ruben Patterson F · 6'5" 223 · 27	16.6	4	50%	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Chris Dudley C · 6'11" 260 · 37	11.3	2	50%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rick Brunson G · 6'4" 190 · 30	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 21	0.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dale Davis C-F · 6'11" 252 · 33
Steve Kerr G · 6'1" 180 · 36
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	56%	33	28	14	5	21	0	11	22	13-21	62%	35-62	56%	4-10	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE