FinalWin Prob.pScore
1834%85
83
1966%90
74
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
93.38991.3
MIA logo MIA
84.18886.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR83
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORRaptors Rebound83
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0TORDavis Dunk (23 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)83
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)81
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)81
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T23)81
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 1:12TORMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot81
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 1:25TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)81
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot81
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHEAT Rebound81
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 1:47TORMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot81
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 1:48TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)81
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 1:50TORJones BLOCK (1 BLK)81
98.6%
71
1.4%
Q4 - 2:07TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 281
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 2:15TORCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Childs 6 AST)81
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q4 - 2:24TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Jones Layup78
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q4 - 2:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)78
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q4 - 2:47TORMISS Childs 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 3:11MIAJackson 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)78
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 3:28TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)78
97.1%
68
2.9%
Q4 - 3:28TORRaptors Rebound78
98.4%
68
1.6%
Q4 - 3:29TORMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.6%
68
2.4%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMourning Tip Shot (16 PTS)78
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)78
97.7%
66
2.3%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Strickland 8' Running Jump Shot78
98.3%
66
1.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
97.8%
66
2.2%
Q4 - 4:05TORMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)78
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q4 - 4:20TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
98.5%
66
1.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot78
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
97.9%
66
2.1%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot78
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 5:00TORJones STEAL (3 STL)78
97.9%
66
2.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)78
97.4%
66
2.6%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 278
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot78
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q4 - 5:27TORDavis Foul Turnover (P4.T11)78
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 5:48MIAJones Reverse Layup (22 PTS)78
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q4 - 6:02TORChilds Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)78
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 6:02TORMISS Childs Free Throw 1 of 277
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 277
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 6:28TORDavis Dunk (21 PTS) (Childs 5 AST)77
97.8%
62
2.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T22)75
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q4 - 6:52TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)75
96.1%
62
3.9%
Q4 - 6:52TORDavis Layup (18 PTS) (Childs 4 AST)74
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q4 - 7:06TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
91.1%
62
8.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot72
90.3%
62
9.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIAHEAT Rebound72
88.4%
62
11.6%
Q4 - 7:29TORMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot72
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q4 - 7:43TORChilds REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
91.3%
62
8.7%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot72
90.5%
62
9.5%
Q4 - 7:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
88.5%
62
11.5%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Strickland 8' Jump Shot72
90.5%
62
9.5%
Q4 - 8:10TOROlajuwon 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)72
86.2%
62
13.8%
Q4 - 8:26MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)70
83.1%
62
16.9%
Q4 - 8:35TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
79.1%
62
20.9%
Q4 - 8:35TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
78.0%
62
22.0%
Q4 - 8:51TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
74.8%
62
25.2%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot68
73.2%
62
26.8%
Q4 - 9:13TOROlajuwon 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)68
67.1%
62
32.9%
Q4 - 9:30TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
62.0%
62
38.0%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot66
60.2%
62
39.8%
Q4 - 9:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)66
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q4 - 9:48TORMISS Childs 16' Jump Shot66
57.8%
62
42.2%
Q4 - 10:13TORChilds REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
60.4%
62
39.6%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Gatling 15' Jump Shot66
58.6%
62
41.4%
Q4 - 10:33TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
54.4%
62
45.6%
Q4 - 10:33TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
53.4%
62
46.6%
Q4 - 10:52TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
49.2%
62
50.8%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Gatling 14' Jump Shot64
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q4 - 11:10MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
42.8%
62
57.2%
Q4 - 11:12TORMISS Curry 20' Jump Shot64
44.5%
62
55.5%
Q4 - 11:24MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20)64
48.5%
62
51.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
42.8%
62
57.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot64
46.7%
62
53.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
42.8%
62
57.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
42.8%
62
57.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot64
46.8%
62
53.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)64
42.3%
62
57.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORChilds REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
47.4%
62
52.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup64
43.8%
62
56.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
47.4%
62
52.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
48.7%
61
51.3%
Q3 - 1:00TORPeterson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)64
52.6%
60
47.4%
Q3 - 1:13TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot62
44.9%
60
55.1%
Q3 - 1:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)62
41.5%
60
58.5%
Q3 - 1:32TORMISS Williams Layup62
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 1:34TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 1:36TORMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot62
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 1:57MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)62
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)62
49.5%
58
50.5%
Q3 - 2:12TORMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot62
51.0%
58
49.0%
Q3 - 2:38TORRaptors Rebound62
54.6%
58
45.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot62
53.1%
58
46.9%
Q3 - 2:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 3:00TORMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot62
51.2%
58
48.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T19)62
53.8%
58
46.2%
Q3 - 3:46TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)62
49.1%
58
50.9%
Q3 - 3:50TORCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
40.5%
58
59.5%
Q3 - 3:52TORMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot59
37.3%
58
62.7%
Q3 - 4:14MIAGill 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T18)59
39.9%
58
60.1%
Q3 - 4:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
35.2%
58
64.8%
Q3 - 4:30TORMISS Carter 12' Running Jump Shot59
36.6%
58
63.4%
Q3 - 4:40TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
39.9%
58
60.1%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot59
38.5%
58
61.5%
Q3 - 5:02MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
35.3%
58
64.7%
Q3 - 5:03TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 259
35.8%
58
64.2%
Q3 - 5:03TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
38.4%
58
61.6%
Q3 - 5:16MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)58
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 258
36.2%
57
63.8%
Q3 - 5:19TORJones STEAL (2 STL)58
35.2%
57
64.8%
Q3 - 5:21TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
39.4%
57
60.6%
Q3 - 5:24TORMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot58
36.5%
57
63.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIAGrant Layup (9 PTS)58
39.4%
57
60.6%
Q3 - 5:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
43.1%
55
56.9%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
46.2%
55
53.8%
Q3 - 5:57TORCarter Tip Shot (13 PTS)58
43.1%
55
56.9%
Q3 - 5:59TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q3 - 6:03TORMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot56
36.0%
55
64.0%
Q3 - 6:24TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 256
38.3%
55
61.7%
Q3 - 6:25MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 6:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
38.6%
54
61.4%
Q3 - 6:44TORMISS Clark 12' Jump Shot56
39.8%
54
60.2%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P7.T17)56
42.7%
54
57.3%
Q3 - 7:14TORDavis Layup (13 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)56
37.8%
54
62.2%
Q3 - 7:22TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
34.8%
54
65.2%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot54
33.6%
54
66.4%
Q3 - 7:35TORCarter Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
30.9%
54
69.1%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P6.T16)52
28.1%
54
71.9%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
24.7%
54
75.3%
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot52
27.0%
54
73.0%
Q3 - 8:02MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
24.8%
54
75.2%
Q3 - 8:04TORMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot52
25.8%
54
74.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)52
28.2%
54
71.8%
Q3 - 8:37TORGill STEAL (3 STL)52
24.8%
54
75.2%
Q3 - 8:47TORClark REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
28.2%
54
71.8%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 252
27.7%
54
72.3%
Q3 - 8:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)52
25.6%
54
74.4%
Q3 - 9:04TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)52
27.5%
53
72.5%
Q3 - 9:11TORClark REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot50
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q3 - 9:39TORCarter 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)50
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q3 - 9:48TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
19.8%
53
80.2%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot48
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q3 - 10:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q3 - 10:08TORMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)48
18.2%
53
81.8%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)48
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q3 - 10:36TORCarter Dunk (7 PTS)48
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q3 - 10:38TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 10:40TORMISS Peterson 12' Jump Shot46
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)46
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 10:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 10:58TORMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot46
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q3 - 11:09MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)46
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q3 - 11:13TORGill STEAL (2 STL)46
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q3 - 11:44TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)46
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR44
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound44
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Childs 56' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
18.1%
49
81.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)42
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0TORPeterson Layup (7 PTS)42
18.4%
47
81.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot40
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q2 - 1:05TORDavis Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 1:05TORDavis Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
15.8%
47
84.2%
Q2 - 1:05MIAJones Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)38
13.0%
47
87.0%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)38
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 1:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 1:31TORMISS Clark 5' Running Jump Shot38
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 1:52MIAJackson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 2:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot38
24.4%
41
75.6%
Q2 - 2:29TORMISS Clark Free Throw 1 of 138
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 2:29TORClark 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 2:51MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)36
20.6%
41
79.4%
Q2 - 3:09TORPeterson Layup (5 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)36
22.8%
39
77.2%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)34
21.0%
39
79.0%
Q2 - 3:27TORCurry Tip Shot (2 PTS)34
18.9%
39
81.1%
Q2 - 3:28TORCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 3:32TORMISS Peterson 17' Jump Shot32
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 4:05MIAGill Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)32
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 4:17TORGill STEAL (1 STL)32
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJackson Layup (4 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)32
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 5:02TORClark Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)32
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 5:20TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot32
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 5:34TORMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)32
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)32
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 5:48TORMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot32
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 132
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 6:13MIAStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)32
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 6:38TORClark Dunk (6 PTS) (Childs 3 AST)32
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 6:51MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 7:06TOROlajuwon 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
23.3%
33
76.7%
Q2 - 7:29MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)28
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q2 - 7:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 7:41TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q2 - 7:57TORClark REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 7:59TORMISS Childs 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q2 - 8:13TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot28
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 8:38TORMISS Olajuwon 17' Jump Shot28
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 8:57MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 9:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot28
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T7)28
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 9:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 9:41TORMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 9:57TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 9:59TORMISS Olajuwon 17' Jump Shot28
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
25.4%
31
74.6%
Q2 - 10:31TOROlajuwon 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Childs 2 AST)28
23.3%
31
76.7%
Q2 - 10:44TORChilds REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
21.8%
31
78.2%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Jones 12' Fadeaway Jumper26
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 10:58TOROlajuwon 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)24
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 11:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q2 - 11:42TORMISS Olajuwon 9' Hook Shot24
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
23.3%
28
76.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Childs 1 AST)24
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0TORDavis Dunk (7 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)22
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0TOROlajuwon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0TOROlajuwon Reverse Layup (2 PTS)19
14.7%
28
85.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 217
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 1:22TORMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 1:27TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 1:29TORMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot17
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 1:36MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 1:52TORDavis Tip Shot (5 PTS)17
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 1:54TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 1:57TORMISS Curry 19' Jump Shot15
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q1 - 1:58TORChilds REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 2:01TORMISS Curry 14' Jump Shot15
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJackson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJones Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJones Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 2:35TORJones STEAL (1 STL)15
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
17.7%
22
82.3%
Q1 - 2:49MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 2:51TORMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot15
19.2%
21
80.8%
Q1 - 2:59TORCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot15
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 3:15MIAHEAT Rebound15
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 3:16TORMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot15
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 3:25TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot15
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 3:44TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot15
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 4:10MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)15
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 4:22TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 4:22TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 214
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMourning Tip Shot (8 PTS)14
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Gill Layup14
24.4%
17
75.6%
Q1 - 5:00MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 5:02TORMISS Clark 18' Jump Shot14
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 5:19MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 5:40TORClark 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)14
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)12
21.8%
17
78.2%
Q1 - 6:11TORCarter Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)12
21.9%
17
78.1%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMourning 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)12
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 6:31TORMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot12
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 6:55MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 7:08TORCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)12
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 7:13TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot9
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 7:35TORWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 7:39TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 7:41TORMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)7
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMourning Dunk (3 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)7
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 8:16TORCarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)5
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 8:40TORMISS Carter 14' Running Jump Shot5
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 8:56TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:58TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 25
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 8:58TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 9:07TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot4
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 9:18TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 9:18TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 22
21.1%
7
78.9%
Q1 - 9:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.4%
7
79.6%
Q1 - 9:36TORMISS Clark 18' Jump Shot2
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 9:43TORCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 10:03TORClark Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
20.5%
7
79.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)0
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 10:37TORCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 10:55MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)0
21.9%
5
78.1%
Q1 - 11:13TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:18TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Jones 4' Running Jump Shot0
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:27TORMISS Davis 6' Hook Shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:47MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Clark: Tip to Strickland0
27.3%
0
72.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.86 43.2%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
15
23
65%
MIA
10
15
67%
Midrange
TOR
14
48
29%
MIA
12
38
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
MIA
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
Free Throws
TOR
16
21
76%
MIA
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis2357%11.5 / 20
V. Carter1662%8.0 / 13
H. Olajuwon1359%6.5 / 11
M. Peterson1255%6.0 / 11
K. Clark836%4.0 / 11
A. Williams625%3.0 / 12
J. Williams250%1.0 / 2
D. Curry214%1.0 / 7
C. Childs110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2265%11.0 / 17
A. Mourning1662%8.0 / 13
B. Grant1063%5.0 / 8
R. Strickland1038%5.0 / 13
J. Jackson1056%5.0 / 9
K. Gill217%1.0 / 6
C. Gatling217%1.0 / 6
A. Carter250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
77
+18
-12
95
MIA
66
+10
-22
76
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.86 43.2%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
TOR 93.3 +9.2
MIA 84.1
Pace
91.1
89.7
TOR 91.3 +5.2
MIA 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.7
TOR 15.8 +1.0
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.3%
TOR 41.4%
MIA 45.9% +4.5%
TO %
14.8%
15.5%
TOR 13.4% +10.6%
MIA 24.0%
ORB %
31.4%
26.7%
TOR 34.0% +9.0%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
25.5
26.8
TOR 25.9
MIA 44.3 +18.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
59.4%
TOR 56.3% +2.5%
MIA 53.8%
STL %
9.1%
7.4%
TOR 12.4% +5.6%
MIA 6.8%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
TOR 1.9%
MIA 7.0% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.8%
47.7%
TOR 43.2%
MIA 48.1% +4.9%
Rim FG%
55.9%
60.6%
TOR 65.2%
MIA 66.7% +1.5%
Mid FG%
38.7%
38.0%
TOR 29.2%
MIA 31.6% +2.4%
3P %
34.9%
34.7%
TOR 30.0%
MIA 50.0% +20.0%
FT %
73.9%
72.4%
TOR 76.2% +9.5%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
28.1%
TOR 28.4% +3.8%
MIA 24.6%
Mid Att. %
52.6%
57.8%
TOR 59.3% +3.0%
MIA 62.3%
3P Att. %
16.5%
14.1%
TOR 12.3%
MIA 13.1% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes23.424.5
Points8374
Rebounds4340
Assists1814
Steals116
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)22 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)31 (3)
Field Goals32-8126-61
At-the-Rim FG15-2310-15
Midrange FG14-4812-38
2-Point FG29-7122-53
3-Point FG3-104-8
Free Throws16-2118-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
40.9
23
57%
10
2
0
0
4
3
4
6
11-13
85%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 28
35.2
6
25%
3
1
3
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
26.9
16
62%
4
2
0
0
3
4
3
1
0-0
-
5-11
45%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 221 · 27
24.7
8
36%
8
1
0
0
2
4
2
6
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 206 · 29
16.5
2
50%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 25
30.1
12
55%
3
3
4
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
23.9
1
10%
5
6
1
0
1
3
2
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 39
23.6
13
59%
7
0
2
1
0
3
1
6
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 38
18.2
2
14%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 204 · 26
C · 7'0" 270 · 30
C · 6'10" 230 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
43%
43
18
11
1
12
0
16
27
16-21
76%
29-71
41%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.