FinalWin Prob.pScore
626%98
105
174%106
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
112.99387.1
DAL logo DAL
108.594100.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL105
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)103
97.6%
102
2.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 2103
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)103
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)102
99.3%
99
0.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.1%
99
0.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASFerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)102
87.2%
99
12.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASFerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)101
85.5%
99
14.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
75.0%
99
25.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot100
67.4%
99
32.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
47.2%
99
52.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 2100
70.8%
99
29.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)100
57.2%
99
42.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
70.1%
98
29.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2100
73.4%
98
26.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2100
83.7%
98
16.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)100
88.2%
98
11.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)100
89.4%
97
10.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASParker 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)100
91.1%
96
8.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0DALNowitzki Driving Layup (27 PTS)98
77.9%
96
22.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)98
85.5%
94
14.5%
Q4 - 1:08SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)95
58.1%
94
41.9%
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot95
46.1%
94
53.9%
Q4 - 1:27SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
54.1%
94
45.9%
Q4 - 1:28DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
38.6%
94
61.4%
Q4 - 1:28DALMISS Najera Layup95
49.2%
94
50.8%
Q4 - 1:30DALMISS Nash Driving Layup95
48.9%
94
51.1%
Q4 - 1:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)95
38.5%
94
61.5%
Q4 - 1:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 295
40.3%
94
59.7%
Q4 - 1:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)95
48.7%
94
51.3%
Q4 - 2:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
40.2%
94
59.8%
Q4 - 2:04DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
35.6%
94
64.4%
Q4 - 2:19SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)94
25.7%
94
74.3%
Q4 - 2:19SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)93
23.5%
94
76.5%
Q4 - 2:34DALNash 9' Jump Shot (28 PTS)92
21.2%
94
78.8%
Q4 - 2:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)92
26.5%
92
73.5%
Q4 - 2:59SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 292
28.0%
92
72.0%
Q4 - 2:59SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
33.1%
92
66.9%
Q4 - 2:59SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
29.8%
92
70.2%
Q4 - 3:00DALMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot91
26.1%
92
73.9%
Q4 - 3:06DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
18.9%
92
81.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASMISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot91
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 3:30SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
30.0%
92
70.0%
Q4 - 3:31DALMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 291
27.2%
92
72.8%
Q4 - 3:31DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
23.2%
92
76.8%
Q4 - 3:51SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
28.0%
91
72.0%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 290
26.0%
91
74.0%
Q4 - 4:05SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)90
28.4%
91
71.6%
Q4 - 4:06DALMISS LaFrentz Reverse Layup90
26.0%
91
74.0%
Q4 - 4:28DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
21.0%
91
79.0%
Q4 - 4:30SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot90
23.1%
91
76.9%
Q4 - 4:53DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)90
28.5%
91
71.5%
Q4 - 5:07DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
42.2%
88
57.8%
Q4 - 5:09SASMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot90
44.9%
88
55.1%
Q4 - 5:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)90
51.1%
88
48.9%
Q4 - 5:30DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
48.4%
88
51.6%
Q4 - 5:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)90
42.4%
88
57.6%
Q4 - 5:33DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
48.4%
88
51.6%
Q4 - 5:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)90
42.5%
88
57.5%
Q4 - 5:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)89
41.1%
88
58.9%
Q4 - 6:07DALLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)88
33.4%
88
66.6%
Q4 - 6:20DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
46.9%
85
53.1%
Q4 - 6:22SASMISS Daniels 22' Jump Shot88
49.6%
85
50.4%
Q4 - 6:43DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)88
55.7%
85
44.3%
Q4 - 6:53SASFerry Foul Turnover (P1.T12)88
68.9%
82
31.1%
Q4 - 7:10DALNash 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)88
71.6%
82
28.4%
Q4 - 7:32SASDuncan Layup (27 PTS)88
76.4%
80
23.6%
Q4 - 7:50SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
71.9%
80
28.1%
Q4 - 7:50SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 286
66.1%
80
33.9%
Q4 - 7:50SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)86
70.2%
80
29.8%
Q4 - 8:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
62.5%
80
37.5%
Q4 - 8:05DALMISS Najera 15' Jump Shot85
60.6%
80
39.4%
Q4 - 8:23SASDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T11)85
56.4%
80
43.6%
Q4 - 8:27DALFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)85
62.7%
80
37.3%
Q4 - 8:46SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
56.4%
80
43.6%
Q4 - 8:46SASRose Tip Shot (7 PTS)85
56.4%
80
43.6%
Q4 - 8:50SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot83
45.7%
80
54.3%
Q4 - 9:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)83
48.1%
80
51.9%
Q4 - 9:05DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 283
48.9%
79
51.1%
Q4 - 9:19DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
47.9%
79
52.1%
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Porter 22' Jump Shot83
49.8%
79
50.2%
Q4 - 9:34DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)83
54.3%
79
45.7%
Q4 - 9:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
48.0%
79
52.0%
Q4 - 9:42SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 283
48.9%
79
51.1%
Q4 - 9:42SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
52.6%
79
47.4%
Q4 - 9:50SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
48.3%
79
51.7%
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot82
46.4%
79
53.6%
Q4 - 10:19SASDaniels 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)82
40.8%
79
59.2%
Q4 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)80
35.9%
79
64.1%
Q4 - 10:38SASMISS Ferry 21' Jump Shot80
32.1%
79
67.9%
Q4 - 10:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
35.9%
79
64.1%
Q4 - 10:58DALMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot80
34.2%
79
65.8%
Q4 - 11:03DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q4 - 11:05DALMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot80
34.1%
79
65.9%
Q4 - 11:10DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q4 - 11:13SASMISS Porter 3PT Jump Shot80
32.1%
79
67.9%
Q4 - 11:44DALFinley Driving Layup (15 PTS)80
35.6%
79
64.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS80
40.5%
77
59.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound80
46.1%
77
53.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Porter 38' 3PT Jump Shot80
42.2%
77
57.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
44.4%
77
55.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALMISS Najera Layup80
42.8%
77
57.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
39.4%
77
60.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALMISS Nash Driving Layup80
42.9%
77
57.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASPorter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
39.5%
77
60.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
30.2%
77
69.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
26.0%
77
74.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
25.1%
77
74.9%
Q3 - 1:01DALNash 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
22.1%
77
77.9%
Q3 - 1:20DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 1:24SASMISS Bowen 9' Jump Shot75
26.8%
75
73.2%
Q3 - 1:38SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
29.6%
75
70.4%
Q3 - 1:41DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
28.4%
75
71.6%
Q3 - 1:45DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 1:48DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
28.4%
75
71.6%
Q3 - 1:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)75
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 1:57SASMISS Porter 15' Jump Shot75
26.8%
75
73.2%
Q3 - 2:11DALNash 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
28.9%
75
71.1%
Q3 - 2:25SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)75
32.6%
73
67.4%
Q3 - 2:47DALNash 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
29.0%
73
71.0%
Q3 - 3:06SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)73
32.4%
71
67.6%
Q3 - 3:31DALZhi-zhi Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)71
28.8%
71
71.2%
Q3 - 3:35SASNash STEAL (1 STL)71
32.4%
69
67.6%
Q3 - 3:53DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)71
36.7%
69
63.3%
Q3 - 3:58SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)71
45.1%
66
54.9%
Q3 - 4:19DALNowitzki Driving Layup (21 PTS)71
48.3%
66
51.7%
Q3 - 4:37SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
52.1%
64
47.9%
Q3 - 4:37SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
50.9%
64
49.1%
Q3 - 4:57DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)69
48.5%
64
51.5%
Q3 - 5:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
55.1%
61
44.9%
Q3 - 5:04DALMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot69
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 5:17SASRobinson Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)69
55.2%
61
44.8%
Q3 - 5:39DALLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)67
51.4%
61
48.6%
Q3 - 5:57SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)67
59.3%
58
40.7%
Q3 - 6:25DALNash 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
53.8%
58
46.2%
Q3 - 6:41SASBowen Layup (6 PTS)65
57.5%
56
42.5%
Q3 - 6:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
53.8%
56
46.2%
Q3 - 6:44SASMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot63
50.8%
56
49.2%
Q3 - 7:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q3 - 7:06DALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot63
51.1%
56
48.9%
Q3 - 7:17SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 7:17SASRobinson Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)62
44.2%
56
55.8%
Q3 - 7:34DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)60
41.0%
56
59.0%
Q3 - 7:53DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q3 - 7:55SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q3 - 8:14DALNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)60
51.6%
53
48.4%
Q3 - 8:14DALNash Driving Layup (12 PTS)60
55.4%
52
44.6%
Q3 - 8:22SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
58.6%
50
41.4%
Q3 - 8:49DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)58
55.4%
50
44.6%
Q3 - 8:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)58
58.6%
48
41.4%
Q3 - 8:59SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot58
59.9%
48
40.1%
Q3 - 9:23DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)58
60.5%
48
39.5%
Q3 - 9:36SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)58
63.9%
46
36.1%
Q3 - 10:02DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)55
55.3%
46
44.7%
Q3 - 10:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)55
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot55
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q3 - 10:30DALVan Exel Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)55
62.3%
44
37.7%
Q3 - 10:33DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 10:36SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot55
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q3 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
62.3%
44
37.7%
Q3 - 10:58DALMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Hook Shot55
61.2%
44
38.8%
Q3 - 10:59DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
58.6%
44
41.4%
Q3 - 11:01DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
59.3%
44
40.7%
Q3 - 11:15SASRobinson Layup (11 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)55
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q3 - 11:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
53.7%
44
46.3%
Q3 - 11:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
54.2%
43
45.8%
Q3 - 11:42DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
57.0%
42
43.0%
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot53
58.1%
42
41.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS53
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound53
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
58.1%
42
41.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Reverse Layup (12 PTS)53
58.3%
42
41.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASDaniels 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
62.5%
40
37.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot51
57.7%
40
42.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASSpurs Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#8)51
56.1%
40
43.9%
Q2 - 1:08DALNash Layup (10 PTS)51
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q2 - 1:20SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 1:20SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
60.7%
38
39.3%
Q2 - 1:20SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 1:21SASMISS Robinson Layup49
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q2 - 1:35SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 1:36DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot49
56.5%
38
43.5%
Q2 - 1:59SASDuncan Slam Dunk (16 PTS)49
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 2:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 2:01SASNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)47
48.0%
38
52.0%
Q2 - 2:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
50.1%
38
49.9%
Q2 - 2:11DALMISS Van Exel Layup47
49.2%
38
50.8%
Q2 - 2:27SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)47
47.3%
38
52.7%
Q2 - 2:40SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
50.1%
38
49.9%
Q2 - 2:42DALMISS Van Exel Layup47
49.3%
38
50.7%
Q2 - 2:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
47.3%
38
52.7%
Q2 - 2:53SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot47
48.2%
38
51.8%
Q2 - 3:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
48.5%
38
51.5%
Q2 - 3:12DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot47
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 3:26SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)47
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 3:26SASSpurs Rebound47
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 3:27SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
46.3%
38
53.7%
Q2 - 3:53DALVan Exel Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)47
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 4:05SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)47
49.7%
36
50.3%
Q2 - 4:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
44.0%
36
56.0%
Q2 - 4:21DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.2%
36
56.8%
Q2 - 4:40SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)44
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 4:58DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)42
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 5:18SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)42
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 5:25DALMISS Finley Layup40
32.0%
36
68.0%
Q2 - 5:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
30.1%
36
69.9%
Q2 - 5:42SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 240
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 5:42SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
31.9%
36
68.1%
Q2 - 5:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 5:51DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
29.6%
36
70.4%
Q2 - 6:02SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T5)39
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 6:17DALBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
30.1%
36
69.9%
Q2 - 6:17DALBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
30.6%
35
69.4%
Q2 - 6:35SASDaniels Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)39
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 6:47SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
30.1%
34
69.9%
Q2 - 6:49DALMISS LaFrentz Layup37
29.2%
34
70.8%
Q2 - 7:03SASPorter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 7:03SASPorter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 7:24DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 7:27DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 7:29DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot35
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 7:48SASDaniels 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)35
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 8:06DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)32
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 8:16DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 8:17SASMISS Rose Layup32
27.6%
29
72.4%
Q2 - 8:24SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
29.3%
29
70.7%
Q2 - 8:26DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot32
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 8:50SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)32
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 9:08DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 9:15DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q2 - 9:17SASMISS Ferry 20' Jump Shot30
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 9:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 9:25DALMISS Finley Driving Layup30
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 9:32DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q2 - 9:33SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)30
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 9:48DALJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 10:03SASDuncan Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)30
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q2 - 10:19DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q2 - 10:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q2 - 10:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q2 - 10:46DALFinley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
24.8%
25
75.2%
Q2 - 10:57SASPorter Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q2 - 11:21DALBuckner Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)24
20.8%
25
79.2%
Q2 - 11:35DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q2 - 11:36SASMISS Rose Layup24
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q2 - 11:38SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q2 - 11:39SASMISS Porter 3PT Jump Shot24
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS24
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASPorter 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALFinley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)22
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASMISS Daniels Layup22
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)22
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 1:04SASRose Layup (2 PTS)22
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 1:05SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 1:07SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot20
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 1:33DALNowitzki 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 1:49SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 2:03DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)20
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 2:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 2:27SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 2:45DALFinley Driving Layup (5 PTS)20
33.4%
14
66.6%
Q1 - 3:11SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 3:33DALNash 14' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)18
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 3:45SASRobinson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)18
34.6%
10
65.4%
Q1 - 3:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 3:53DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 4:11SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)16
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 4:30DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 4:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
26.3%
10
73.7%
Q1 - 4:36SASMISS Robinson Alley Oop Dunk14
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 4:51DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)14
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 4:58DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
31.8%
7
68.2%
Q1 - 5:00SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot14
32.5%
7
67.5%
Q1 - 5:12SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 5:16DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot14
32.1%
7
67.9%
Q1 - 5:34SASSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)14
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 5:51DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 5:51DALFinley Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)12
31.0%
6
69.0%
Q1 - 5:57DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot12
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 6:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot12
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 6:29SASBowen Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)12
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 6:34SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 6:36DALMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot10
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 6:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 6:45SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 6:45SASMISS Robinson Layup10
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 6:46SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 6:46SASMISS Robinson Layup10
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 6:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 6:47SASMISS Robinson Layup10
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 6:48SASMISS Robinson Layup10
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 6:56SASSpurs Rebound10
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 6:57SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot10
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 7:21DALLaFrentz 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 7:36SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 7:36SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 7:42SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 7:45DALMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot8
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 7:51SASLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)8
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 7:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 8:01DALMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot8
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 8:16SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)8
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 8:28SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 8:30DALMISS LaFrentz 14' Jump Shot6
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 8:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot6
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 9:01SASSpurs Rebound6
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:02DALMISS Van Exel Layup6
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 9:09SASNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)6
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 9:32SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:34DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot6
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 10:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:01SASDuncan Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Smith Layup4
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 10:06DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 10:13SASRobinson Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:30DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 10:33SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)2
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 10:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 10:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
20.5%
1
79.5%
Q1 - 10:59SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:12DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 11:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:23SASMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:35SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:38DALMISS LaFrentz 17' Jump Shot0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Robinson: Tip to Nash0
19.0%
0
81.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.5%
DAL
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
18
30
60%
DAL
15
26
58%
Midrange
SAS
13
34
38%
DAL
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
DAL
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
SAS
28
37
76%
DAL
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3262%16.0 / 26
D. Robinson2255%11.0 / 20
T. Parker1250%6.0 / 12
B. Bowen964%4.5 / 7
A. Daniels950%4.5 / 9
T. Porter950%4.5 / 9
M. Rose850%4.0 / 8
C. Smith233%1.0 / 3
D. Ferry233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2963%14.5 / 23
S. Nash2870%14.0 / 20
M. Finley2158%10.5 / 18
R. LaFrentz1246%6.0 / 13
G. Buckner583%2.5 / 3
N. Van Exel28%1.0 / 12
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
W. Zhi-zhi2100%1.0 / 1
E. Najera113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
83
+17
-10
100
DAL
85
+10
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.5%
DAL
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
109.4
SAS 112.9 +4.4
DAL 108.5
Pace
92.4
95.4
SAS 87.1
DAL 100.9 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.9
SAS 16.5
DAL 14.3 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.7%
SAS 49.4%
DAL 51.7% +2.3%
TO %
14.8%
12.1%
SAS 11.3%
DAL 8.8% +2.5%
ORB %
27.2%
26.2%
SAS 29.5% +10.4%
DAL 19.1%
FTrt
35.3
28.8
SAS 47.4 +28.8
DAL 18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.6%
SAS 58.3% +9.6%
DAL 48.7%
STL %
8.2%
7.4%
SAS 5.4% +1.1%
DAL 4.3%
BLK %
9.5%
7.1%
SAS 6.9% +3.8%
DAL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
53.0%
SAS 51.5%
DAL 53.1% +1.6%
Rim FG%
60.3%
58.9%
SAS 60.0% +2.3%
DAL 57.7%
Mid FG%
37.6%
42.0%
SAS 38.2%
DAL 40.6% +2.4%
3P %
36.2%
37.8%
SAS 35.7%
DAL 39.3% +3.6%
FT %
74.2%
80.6%
SAS 75.7%
DAL 81.3% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
30.7%
SAS 38.5% +8.2%
DAL 30.2%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
45.6%
SAS 43.6%
DAL 37.2% +6.4%
3P Att. %
19.0%
23.7%
SAS 17.9%
DAL 32.6% +14.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points105102
Rebounds5140
Assists2119
Steals54
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals36-7839-86
At-the-Rim FG18-3015-26
Midrange FG13-3413-32
2-Point FG31-6428-58
3-Point FG5-1411-28
Free Throws28-3713-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 26
45.4
32
62%
14
5
1
2
2
4
3
11
8-10
80%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 31
33.9
9
64%
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 250 · 37
32.0
22
55%
12
2
0
1
0
1
5
7
12-15
80%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 20
28.8
12
50%
3
3
0
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
15.8
2
33%
3
3
2
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
30.7
9
50%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 39
19.3
9
50%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 255 · 27
18.6
8
50%
8
1
0
1
2
3
3
5
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
15.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29
F · 6'9" 250 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
52%
51
21
5
4
10
0
13
38
28-37
76%
31-64
48%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.