FinalWin Prob.pScore
1940%86
78
1860%89
90
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
90.78692.1
MIA logo MIA
108.48379.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX78
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)78
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0PHXMISS Majerle 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)78
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0PHXTsakalidis Layup (8 PTS) (Majerle 1 AST)78
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0PHXMarion 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)76
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 274
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0PHXMajerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 5 AST)74
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01PHXMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJackson Tip Shot (23 PTS)71
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot71
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 1:59PHXMISS Majerle Free Throw 2 of 271
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 1:59PHXMajerle Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)71
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 2:03PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)70
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot70
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 2:25PHXMISS Majerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 2:33PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 2:35PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup70
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 2:47MIAStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)70
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 3:11PHXMarbury 7' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)70
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 3:30PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot68
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 3:53PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 3:53PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)67
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 3:58PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 4:01MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Mourning Layup66
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 4:30PHXMarbury Reverse Layup (15 PTS)66
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot64
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 4:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 4:56PHXMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot64
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 5:08PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot64
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 5:29MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 5:31PHXMISS Majerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 5:47MIAJackson 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)64
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot64
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 6:24PHXJohnson 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)64
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS)62
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q4 - 6:58PHXMISS Majerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q4 - 7:18MIAJones Reverse Layup (12 PTS)62
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 7:29MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q4 - 7:31PHXMISS Marion Driving Layup62
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q4 - 7:50PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 262
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q4 - 8:07PHXMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot62
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q4 - 8:21PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q4 - 8:44PHXMajerle 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)62
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q4 - 9:07PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot59
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q4 - 9:15PHXGrant STEAL (2 STL)59
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q4 - 9:24PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot59
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q4 - 9:49PHXJones STEAL (2 STL)59
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q4 - 10:01MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)59
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q4 - 10:14PHXHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q4 - 10:14PHXMISS Hardaway Free Throw 1 of 258
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)58
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q4 - 11:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q4 - 11:02PHXMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot58
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q4 - 11:13MIAJackson Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)58
14.5%
65
85.5%
Q4 - 11:22PHXMarion 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
11.9%
65
88.1%
Q4 - 11:47MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)56
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA56
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound56
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 71' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXCarter STEAL (1 STL)56
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot56
14.5%
63
85.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0PHXPalacio Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)56
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
15.2%
63
84.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot56
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 1:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q3 - 1:17PHXMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot56
14.3%
63
85.7%
Q3 - 1:36PHXSuns Rebound56
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot56
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 1:57PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 1:57PHXMISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 255
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 2:02MIAStrickland Driving Layup (13 PTS)55
14.3%
63
85.7%
Q3 - 2:05MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
16.4%
61
83.6%
Q3 - 2:07PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup55
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)55
19.4%
61
80.6%
Q3 - 2:35MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot55
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 2:56PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 2:56PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)53
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 3:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)53
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot53
28.8%
56
71.2%
Q3 - 3:49PHXMarion 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)53
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIAJones 10' Finger Roll (8 PTS)51
23.5%
56
76.5%
Q3 - 4:25PHXMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 151
26.7%
54
73.3%
Q3 - 4:25PHXOutlaw Layup (4 PTS)51
26.2%
54
73.8%
Q3 - 4:39MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q3 - 4:39MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q3 - 4:54MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 4:56PHXMISS Tsakalidis 18' Jump Shot49
27.4%
52
72.6%
Q3 - 5:11MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
30.4%
52
69.6%
Q3 - 5:28PHXMarion 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)49
33.7%
50
66.3%
Q3 - 5:48PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot47
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q3 - 6:16PHXMarion 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
27.0%
50
73.0%
Q3 - 6:40PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot45
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q3 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
21.1%
50
78.9%
Q3 - 6:53PHXMISS Tsakalidis 3' Jump Shot45
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q3 - 7:05PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
24.4%
50
75.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Jones Layup45
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q3 - 7:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
21.3%
50
78.7%
Q3 - 7:30PHXMISS Marbury 13' Jump Shot45
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q3 - 7:39PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
24.4%
50
75.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones Running Layup45
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q3 - 8:10PHXMarbury 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Outlaw 2 AST)45
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q3 - 8:28PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q3 - 9:17PHXTsakalidis 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)43
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q3 - 9:32MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)41
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q3 - 9:56PHXJohnson 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q3 - 10:14PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot39
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q3 - 10:39PHXOutlaw Layup (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)39
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q3 - 10:48MIAStrickland 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q3 - 11:02PHXMarbury 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)37
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q3 - 11:07MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)35
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q3 - 11:37PHXMarion 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q3 - 11:38PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q3 - 11:41PHXMISS Tsakalidis 19' Jump Shot33
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA33
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0PHXJohnson 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)33
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0PHXMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)31
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0PHXMISS Marbury 4' Jump Shot31
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jackson 9' Hook Shot31
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 1:07PHXJones STEAL (1 STL)31
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 1:23MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)31
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 1:45PHXJohnson 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)31
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJackson 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)29
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 2:02MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 2:04PHXMISS Marion Driving Layup29
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
9.2%
44
90.8%
Q2 - 2:16MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
9.4%
43
90.6%
Q2 - 2:20PHXStrickland STEAL (1 STL)29
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 229
11.7%
41
88.3%
Q2 - 2:51PHXJohnson 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
11.6%
41
88.4%
Q2 - 3:13MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 3:23PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot27
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 3:40PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 3:41PHXMISS Majerle 3PT Jump Shot27
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 3:59MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)27
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 4:18PHXJohnson Reverse Layup (8 PTS)27
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 4:35MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)25
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 4:53MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 4:54PHXMISS Majerle Free Throw 2 of 225
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 4:54PHXMISS Majerle Free Throw 1 of 225
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q2 - 5:09MIAJackson Dunk (6 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)25
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 5:27PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 5:27PHXMISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 224
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 5:34PHXTsakalidis Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 5:34PHXTsakalidis Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 5:50PHXSuns Rebound22
14.3%
34
85.7%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup22
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 6:14PHXMarbury Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 6:26MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 6:26MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 6:48PHXJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 6:55PHXSuns Rebound22
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 6:56PHXMISS Majerle Driving Layup22
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q2 - 7:06PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot22
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 7:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 7:20PHXMISS Hardaway Driving Layup22
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 7:42MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)22
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 7:57PHXMISS Palacio Free Throw 1 of 122
20.0%
30
80.0%
Q2 - 7:57PHXPalacio Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 8:21MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot20
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 8:39PHXSuns Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)20
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 9:06MIAStepania 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)20
18.8%
30
81.2%
Q2 - 9:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
20.2%
28
79.8%
Q2 - 9:20PHXMISS Palacio 15' Jump Shot20
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q2 - 9:44MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q2 - 10:10PHXHardaway Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)20
23.8%
26
76.2%
Q2 - 10:30MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 10:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot18
25.2%
24
74.8%
Q2 - 11:04MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q2 - 11:06PHXMISS Hardaway 20' Jump Shot18
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q2 - 11:20PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Carter 6' Hook Shot18
25.2%
24
74.8%
Q2 - 11:45PHXHardaway Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q2 - 11:45PHXHardaway 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX15
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound15
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)15
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXMISS Outlaw 9' Hook Shot15
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 1:08PHXGrant STEAL (1 STL)15
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 1:38PHXMISS Marbury Free Throw 2 of 215
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q1 - 1:38PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 1:55MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)14
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 2:14PHXMarbury Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 2:24PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 2:26PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot12
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 2:37PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Stepania 4' Hook Shot12
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 2:54PHXJones BLOCK (1 BLK)12
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 3:10MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)12
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 3:20PHXMISS Hardaway 21' Jump Shot12
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)12
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 3:47MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 3:49PHXMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot12
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 4:02PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot12
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 4:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Grant Layup12
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 4:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot12
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:30PHXMISS Marbury 11' Running Jump Shot12
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 4:56MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 5:16PHXMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot12
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMourning 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)12
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 6:00PHXMarbury Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMourning Layup (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)10
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 6:28PHXJohnson 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)10
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMourning Tip Shot (6 PTS)8
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot8
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 7:00PHXGugliotta Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 7:18PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot8
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 7:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 7:38PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot8
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 7:49MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 8:04PHXJohnson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gugliotta 1 AST)8
35.2%
8
64.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 8:34PHXJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)6
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 8:37MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 8:55PHXMISS Tsakalidis 7' Hook Shot4
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 9:27PHXTsakalidis Dunk (2 PTS)4
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 9:28PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 9:31PHXGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)2
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 9:52MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)2
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 9:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 10:00PHXMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot2
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 10:12PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot2
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:31PHXGugliotta 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)2
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 10:51MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)0
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 10:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 11:00PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:08PHXGugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 11:21PHXMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot0
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMourning 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Tsakalidis: Tip to Strickland0
35.1%
0
64.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
12
24
50%
MIA
14
21
67%
Midrange
PHX
18
39
46%
MIA
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
PHX
12
21
57%
MIA
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marbury1943%9.5 / 22
J. Johnson1882%9.0 / 11
S. Marion1238%6.0 / 16
J. Tsakalidis857%4.0 / 7
D. Majerle735%3.5 / 10
A. Hardaway638%3.0 / 8
B. Outlaw440%2.0 / 5
T. Gugliotta2100%1.0 / 1
M. Palacio233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson2388%11.5 / 13
R. Strickland2083%10.0 / 12
E. Jones1635%8.0 / 23
B. Grant1464%7.0 / 11
A. Mourning1354%6.5 / 12
V. Stepania450%2.0 / 4
K. Gill0-0.0 / 3
A. Carter0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
76
+9
-10
85
MIA
72
+11
-11
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.1
96.1
PHX 90.7 +17.7
MIA 108.4
Pace
93.5
89.7
PHX 92.1 +13.0
MIA 79.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.7
PHX 15.6 +2.6
MIA 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
46.3%
PHX 45.8%
MIA 52.0% +6.2%
TO %
15.1%
15.5%
PHX 11.9% +0.1%
MIA 12.0%
ORB %
30.1%
26.7%
PHX 16.3%
MIA 27.8% +11.5%
FTrt
23.5
26.8
PHX 29.2 +7.6
MIA 21.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
59.4%
PHX 43.8%
MIA 55.6% +11.8%
STL %
8.6%
7.4%
PHX 5.8%
MIA 7.2% +1.4%
BLK %
7.4%
8.7%
PHX 1.6%
MIA 6.3% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
47.7%
PHX 45.3%
MIA 53.6% +8.3%
Rim FG%
56.3%
60.6%
PHX 50.0%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
Mid FG%
39.8%
38.0%
PHX 46.2% +5.7%
MIA 40.5%
3P %
32.7%
34.7%
PHX 22.2%
MIA 45.5% +23.3%
FT %
76.7%
72.4%
PHX 57.1%
MIA 81.3% +24.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
28.1%
PHX 33.3% +5.0%
MIA 28.4%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
57.8%
PHX 54.2% +2.6%
MIA 56.8%
3P Att. %
15.8%
14.1%
PHX 12.5%
MIA 14.9% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions8683
Possession Minutes22.425.2
Points7890
Rebounds3346
Assists1420
Steals56
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals32-7236-74
At-the-Rim FG12-2414-21
Midrange FG18-3917-42
2-Point FG30-6331-63
3-Point FG2-95-11
Free Throws12-2113-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
40.8
12
38%
13
5
3
0
1
2
3
10
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 205 · 25
37.9
19
43%
1
3
1
0
3
1
1
0
7-10
70%
6-17
35%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 21
32.4
18
82%
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
9-10
90%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 290 · 23
25.1
8
57%
7
0
0
0
0
5
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 32
6.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 31
26.1
4
40%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 222 · 37
24.9
7
35%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 255 · 24
20.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 31
15.6
6
38%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
10.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
F · 6'9" 280 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
45%
33
14
5
1
10
0
7
26
12-21
57%
30-63
48%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.