FinalWin Prob.pScore
2822%83
76
2278%93
101
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
85.48999.7
MIA logo MIA
111.09182.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN76
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)76
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)76
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound76
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS Hamilton Layup76
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)76
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 276
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03DENMISS Satterfield 8' Jump Shot75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:07MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:12DENMISS Satterfield 21' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Marks 22' Jump Shot74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMarks Dunk (2 PTS)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42DENArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42DENMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56DENSatterfield Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02DENCarter STEAL (1 STL)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08DENMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14DENMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 271
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAJackson Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52DENMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54DENNuggets Rebound69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54DENGatling BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21DENMISS Hamilton Layup69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAGatling Dunk (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENSatterfield Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)69
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENMISS Satterfield Free Throw 1 of 268
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIAJackson 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43DENBateer Layup (4 PTS)68
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:45DENBateer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50DENStepania BLOCK (2 BLK)66
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 266
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 7:31DENArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)66
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 7:37DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Gatling Layup66
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 8:01DENBowen Running Layup (4 PTS) (McCloud 4 AST)66
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 8:05DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Jackson Layup64
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 8:24DENBateer 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)64
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 8:26DENBateer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:28DENMISS Bateer Layup62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:51MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:54DENMISS Bowen Layup62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAStepania 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)62
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 9:32DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 9:32DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)60
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 9:46DENCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)60
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:46DENCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:10MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)58
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 10:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 10:17DENMISS Bowen 11' Jump Shot58
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 10:44MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)58
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 10:52MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 10:54DENMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot58
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 11:01DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot58
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 11:19DENHamilton Finger Roll (9 PTS)58
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 11:38DENBateer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup56
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA56
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot56
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENJackson STEAL (1 STL)56
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)56
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 256
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)56
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENNuggets Rebound55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 1:25DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot55
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 1:47DENHoward 7' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)55
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 2:06DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot53
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 2:28DENHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T9)53
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAJones Dunk (9 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)53
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 2:59DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 2:59DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 3:08MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS)51
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 3:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 3:34DENCheaney 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 3:39DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 3:41DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 3:47MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)49
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 4:07DENHamilton Dunk (7 PTS)49
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 4:10DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 4:13DENMISS Howard Reverse Layup47
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 4:28MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)47
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 4:46DENHamilton Driving Layup (5 PTS)47
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 4:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)45
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q3 - 4:57MIAHEAT Rebound45
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot45
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q3 - 5:21DENMISS Cheaney Free Throw 1 of 145
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q3 - 5:21DENCheaney Driving Layup (14 PTS) (McCloud 3 AST)45
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gill 6 AST)43
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q3 - 5:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)43
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q3 - 6:01DENMISS McCloud 13' Running Jump Shot43
0.7%
66
99.3%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T6)43
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 6:28DENLenard Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q3 - 6:52MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gill 5 AST)41
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIAJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)41
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q3 - 7:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)41
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 7:17DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 241
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 7:17DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 7:17DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 7:19DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot40
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)40
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)40
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound40
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 8:07DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot40
1.1%
61
98.9%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMourning Layup (22 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)40
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q3 - 8:43DENMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)40
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAGrant 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gill 4 AST)40
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q3 - 9:24DENHoward 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
2.0%
57
98.0%
Q3 - 9:28DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
1.7%
57
98.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot38
1.7%
57
98.3%
Q3 - 9:58DENCheaney Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)38
1.5%
57
98.5%
Q3 - 10:07DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
1.4%
57
98.6%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot36
1.3%
57
98.7%
Q3 - 10:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)36
1.2%
57
98.8%
Q3 - 10:21DENMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot36
1.2%
57
98.8%
Q3 - 10:32DENBateer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
1.4%
57
98.6%
Q3 - 10:35DENMISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
1.2%
57
98.8%
Q3 - 10:40DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
1.4%
57
98.6%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot36
1.3%
57
98.7%
Q3 - 11:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
1.3%
57
98.7%
Q3 - 11:08DENMISS Bateer 6' Jump Shot36
1.3%
57
98.7%
Q3 - 11:19MIAGrant Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
1.4%
57
98.6%
Q3 - 11:38DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
1.6%
55
98.4%
Q3 - 11:38DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
1.6%
55
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN34
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot34
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
1.5%
55
98.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)32
1.2%
55
98.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)32
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
1.4%
53
98.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Gatling 8' Hook Shot32
1.5%
53
98.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAHEAT Rebound32
1.4%
53
98.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENMISS McCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
1.5%
53
98.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 1:05DENJones STEAL (1 STL)32
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 232
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 1:26DENStrickland STEAL (2 STL)32
1.8%
52
98.2%
Q2 - 1:43MIAStrickland Driving Layup (11 PTS)32
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 1:48DENMISS Hamilton Driving Layup32
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMourning Tip Shot (18 PTS)32
2.5%
50
97.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot32
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 2:25DENCheaney 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)32
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 2:34DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 2:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Jackson Reverse Layup30
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 2:56DENMISS Lenard 22' Jump Shot30
2.5%
48
97.5%
Q2 - 3:06MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 3:06MIAStrickland Driving Layup (8 PTS)30
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 3:09MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 3:11DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
3.8%
45
96.2%
Q2 - 3:16DENBateer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 3:18DENMISS Bateer 4' Jump Shot30
3.8%
45
96.2%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)30
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)30
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot30
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 3:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 3:56DENMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 230
4.6%
43
95.4%
Q2 - 3:56DENMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 230
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)30
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
5.4%
42
94.6%
Q2 - 4:25DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 4:25DENMISS McCloud Free Throw 1 of 229
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 4:26DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 4:30DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)29
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIAGatling 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)29
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 5:05MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
6.5%
39
93.5%
Q2 - 5:07DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 2 of 229
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 5:07DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
7.1%
39
92.9%
Q2 - 5:16DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot28
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 5:39DENLenard 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 5:51MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)26
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 6:12DENLenard 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)26
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q2 - 6:24MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 6:24MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 6:42DENHoward 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)24
6.0%
35
94.0%
Q2 - 6:59MIAGatling Dunk (2 PTS)22
5.5%
35
94.5%
Q2 - 7:01MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q2 - 7:23DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 222
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q2 - 7:23DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)22
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)21
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 221
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q2 - 7:51DENHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T6)21
6.3%
32
93.7%
Q2 - 8:05MIACarter Layup (2 PTS)21
7.1%
32
92.9%
Q2 - 8:10MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
7.7%
30
92.3%
Q2 - 8:13DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot21
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
8.6%
30
91.4%
Q2 - 8:38DENArroyo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
7.7%
30
92.3%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)19
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)19
7.3%
29
92.7%
Q2 - 9:09DENBateer Foul Turnover (P2.T5)19
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 9:24DENNuggets Rebound19
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Jackson 8' Fadeaway Jumper19
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q2 - 9:44DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 9:44DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 218
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q2 - 9:44DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q2 - 9:46DENStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)18
7.3%
28
92.7%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMourning Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)18
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q2 - 9:58MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q2 - 10:02DENMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)18
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q2 - 10:21DENNuggets Rebound18
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q2 - 10:47DENHoward 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q2 - 11:09MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q2 - 11:28MIAHEAT Rebound16
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q2 - 11:29DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q2 - 11:35DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot16
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q2 - 11:43MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q2 - 11:46DENMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot16
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN16
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMcCloud 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
11.4%
21
88.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)14
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 1:02DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 1:02DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 1:17DENNuggets Rebound12
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot12
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 1:32DENHoward 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)12
9.7%
19
90.3%
Q1 - 1:49DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot10
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 2:18DENMcCloud Layup (4 PTS)10
8.1%
19
91.9%
Q1 - 2:32MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
7.4%
19
92.6%
Q1 - 2:44DENHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
6.8%
19
93.2%
Q1 - 2:46DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
7.4%
19
92.6%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Strickland Layup8
7.2%
19
92.8%
Q1 - 2:57DENMcCloud 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)8
6.8%
19
93.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)6
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 26
6.6%
18
93.4%
Q1 - 3:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)6
6.4%
18
93.6%
Q1 - 3:32DENMISS Cheaney 7' Jump Shot6
6.6%
18
93.4%
Q1 - 3:42DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Strickland 22' Jump Shot6
6.8%
18
93.2%
Q1 - 4:10DENCheaney 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
6.3%
18
93.7%
Q1 - 4:36MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)4
5.9%
18
94.1%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6.3%
16
93.7%
Q1 - 4:43DENMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)4
6.5%
16
93.5%
Q1 - 4:59MIAHEAT Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#2)4
7.0%
16
93.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
6.5%
16
93.5%
Q1 - 5:20DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
6.7%
16
93.3%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 14
7.0%
16
93.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAStrickland Layup (6 PTS)4
7.1%
16
92.9%
Q1 - 5:50DENStrickland STEAL (1 STL)4
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
8.4%
14
91.6%
Q1 - 6:22MIAHEAT Rebound4
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 6:23DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
9.2%
12
90.8%
Q1 - 6:26DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
9.8%
12
90.2%
Q1 - 6:28DENMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot4
9.2%
12
90.8%
Q1 - 6:48MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)4
9.7%
12
90.3%
Q1 - 7:06DENCheaney Finger Roll (4 PTS)4
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 7:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Lenard 21' Jump Shot2
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 7:39DENNuggets Rebound2
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 7:39DENMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot2
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)2
9.8%
10
90.2%
Q1 - 8:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 8:16DENMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot2
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 8:26DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot2
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 8:43MIAHEAT Rebound2
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Grant 7' Jump Shot2
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 8:58DENMcCloud Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 9:03DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 9:05DENMISS McCloud 18' Jump Shot2
10.5%
8
89.5%
Q1 - 9:17MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS)2
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 9:24DENCheaney 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)2
11.7%
6
88.3%
Q1 - 9:45MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)0
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 9:53MIAHEAT Rebound0
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Jones Layup0
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 10:11DENBateer Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 10:30MIAJones 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
12.7%
4
87.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 11:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 11:24DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 11:32DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Grant Layup0
15.9%
0
84.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Bateer: Tip to Grant0
15.3%
0
84.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.78 39.2%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
10
25
40%
MIA
19
28
68%
Midrange
DEN
16
42
38%
MIA
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
0%
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
DEN
24
39
62%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Cheaney2059%10.0 / 17
J. Howard1753%8.5 / 16
Z. Hamilton1033%5.0 / 15
G. McCloud732%3.5 / 11
V. Lenard732%3.5 / 11
R. Bowen542%2.5 / 6
C. Arroyo536%2.5 / 7
M. Bateer429%2.0 / 7
K. Satterfield113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2480%12.0 / 15
E. Jones1450%7.0 / 14
R. Strickland1365%6.5 / 10
J. Jackson1146%5.5 / 12
C. Gatling964%4.5 / 7
E. House8100%4.0 / 4
B. Grant633%3.0 / 9
K. Gill675%3.0 / 4
V. Stepania643%3.0 / 7
A. Carter250%1.0 / 2
S. Marks250%1.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+18
-13
94
MIA
79
+10
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.78 39.2%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
96.1
DEN 85.4 +25.6
MIA 111.0
Pace
92.1
89.7
DEN 99.7 +17.6
MIA 82.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.7
DEN 14.4 +3.1
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
46.3%
DEN 35.1%
MIA 55.3% +20.2%
TO %
14.9%
15.5%
DEN 12.5% +1.6%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
30.7%
26.7%
DEN 32.7% +9.4%
MIA 23.3%
FTrt
25.6
26.8
DEN 52.7 +22.0
MIA 30.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
59.4%
DEN 34.6%
MIA 59.0% +24.4%
STL %
8.0%
7.4%
DEN 9.0% +3.5%
MIA 5.5%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
DEN 3.2%
MIA 11.9% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
47.7%
DEN 39.2%
MIA 56.1% +16.9%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.6%
DEN 40.0%
MIA 67.9% +27.9%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.0%
DEN 38.1%
MIA 42.9% +4.8%
3P %
32.9%
34.7%
DEN 0.0%
MIA 41.7% +41.7%
FT %
74.4%
72.4%
DEN 61.5%
MIA 78.3% +16.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
28.1%
DEN 33.8%
MIA 37.3% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
57.8%
DEN 56.8%
MIA 46.7% +10.1%
3P Att. %
18.7%
14.1%
DEN 9.5%
MIA 16.0% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points76101
Rebounds3940
Assists923
Steals85
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)33 (5)
Field Goals26-7439-75
At-the-Rim FG10-2519-28
Midrange FG16-4215-35
2-Point FG26-6734-63
3-Point FG0-75-12
Free Throws24-3918-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 210 · 31
37.9
20
59%
4
1
3
0
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 230 · 35
32.5
7
32%
4
4
0
1
3
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
31.1
17
53%
6
0
0
0
3
4
2
4
7-10
70%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
24.8
7
32%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 290 · 26
20.6
4
29%
7
0
0
1
2
6
4
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
34.5
10
33%
11
0
1
0
3
4
5
6
4-10
40%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
27.4
5
42%
2
0
3
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
23.6
5
36%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
7.5
1
13%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28
G · 6'0" 195 · 36
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
39%
39
9
8
2
13
0
16
23
24-39
62%
26-67
39%
0-7
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.