FinalWin Prob.pScore
2220%87
78
180%98
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.78786.5
SAS logo SAS
101.18787.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWright Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)76
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHeat Rebound75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson 6' Jump Shot75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Rebound75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 175
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wright 13' Jump Bank Shot75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 275
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 1:09MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hardaway 5 AST)75
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 1:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)73
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 1:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)73
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 1:32SASElson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)73
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:33SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot73
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)73
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:06SASMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:30SASElson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)70
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Bonner 18' Jump Shot70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 269
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)69
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 3:05SASElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)69
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 269
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)69
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 3:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot68
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 3:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 3:51MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)68
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08SASParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 4:26MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Hardaway 4 AST)68
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 4:37MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot66
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAO'Neal 3' Layup (15 PTS)66
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 5:17MIAHeat Rebound64
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 5:17SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 5:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 263
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 5:48SASParker 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)63
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)63
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 6:33SASParker 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)60
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37MIABonner STEAL (2 STL)60
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 6:47SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)60
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 6:48SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Reverse Layup60
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 7:04MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAHardaway Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)60
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 7:21SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)60
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 7:32SASElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 260
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 260
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 7:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot60
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 7:44SASElson 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)60
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 7:50SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Blount 22' Jump Shot60
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q4 - 8:15MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot60
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q4 - 8:30MIABonner STEAL (1 STL)60
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q4 - 8:30MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q4 - 8:39SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q4 - 8:57SASElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)60
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Hardaway 11' Jump Shot60
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q4 - 9:25SASGinobili 7' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)60
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q4 - 9:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Blount 6' Jump Shot60
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound60
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q4 - 9:48SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q4 - 9:54SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q4 - 10:09SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)60
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 10:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q4 - 10:45SASGinobili 6' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)60
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q4 - 11:01MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)60
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q4 - 11:25SASBonner 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)60
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q4 - 11:44MIADavis 13' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)60
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound58
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Parker 40' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASElson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)58
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Elson 19' Jump Shot58
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)58
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot55
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 1:05MIADavis 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 1:18SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)53
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)53
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 252
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 1:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 1:55SASMISS Barry 11' Jump Shot52
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIAHardaway 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)52
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 2:17SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)50
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 2:35MIADavis 2' Layup (7 PTS)50
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 2:51SASParker 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 3:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 3:16SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 3:31SASElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot48
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 3:51MIAHeat Rebound48
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 3:51MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)48
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Mourning 2' Layup48
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 3:56MIAElson BLOCK (1 BLK)48
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup48
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 4:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 4:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 4:51MIAParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 5:16SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)46
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 5:38MIAHaslem 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)46
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 6:03SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)44
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 6:15SASElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot44
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q3 - 6:33SASDuncan 4' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q3 - 6:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)44
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q3 - 7:15SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q3 - 7:40MIADavis 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)44
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q3 - 8:02SASParker 4' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q3 - 8:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot42
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q3 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q3 - 8:46SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot42
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q3 - 9:04SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot42
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q3 - 9:24SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T10)42
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q3 - 9:27SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Davis 6' Fadeaway Jumper42
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q3 - 9:56SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)42
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q3 - 10:16MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)42
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q3 - 10:35SASGinobili 4' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q3 - 10:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot40
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q3 - 11:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q3 - 11:08SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 240
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q3 - 11:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
15.8%
41
84.2%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot40
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q3 - 11:28SASOberto 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIAO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)40
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q3 - 11:47SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P2.T9)38
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS38
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIADavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)38
16.2%
39
83.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASParker 2' Layup (12 PTS)38
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
20.1%
37
79.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Bank Shot38
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot38
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 1:36SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 1:36SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 236
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 1:46MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)36
18.2%
36
81.8%
Q2 - 2:11SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)34
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 2:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Hardaway 3PT Jump Shot34
14.8%
36
85.2%
Q2 - 2:49SASElson 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)34
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 3:08MIAHaslem 3' Layup (6 PTS)34
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 3:33SASDuncan 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)32
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 3:42MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)32
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 3:52SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
19.3%
32
80.7%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 232
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 3:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot32
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 4:32SASSPURS Rebound32
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 4:32SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot32
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)32
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 5:21SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot30
15.7%
31
84.3%
Q2 - 5:44SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)30
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 6:04MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)30
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 6:20MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
14.0%
31
86.0%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q2 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Wright 13' Jump Bank Shot28
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q2 - 7:05SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot28
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q2 - 7:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 228
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 7:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 7:50SASElson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q2 - 8:18MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)27
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 8:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 8:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 8:46MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)25
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q2 - 8:59MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 9:00SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q2 - 9:08SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q2 - 9:13MIAParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Parker 2' Layup23
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q2 - 9:32SASBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)23
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q2 - 9:44MIABonner BLOCK (1 BLK)23
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q2 - 9:56MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 9:57SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q2 - 10:13MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)23
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q2 - 10:36SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)23
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMourning 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)23
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q2 - 11:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q2 - 11:15SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 221
13.7%
23
86.3%
Q2 - 11:19MIABarry STEAL (1 STL)21
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q2 - 11:36MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q2 - 11:37SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot21
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q2 - 11:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q2 - 11:50SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound21
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bowen 28' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAParker 2' Layup (2 PTS)21
13.7%
23
86.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)19
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)19
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot19
12.1%
23
87.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAWilliams 10' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)19
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 1:07SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)17
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 1:31MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)17
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 1:47SASMISS Elson 20' Jump Shot15
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 1:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Elson 8' Running Bank Shot15
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 2:44MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:00MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 3:01SASMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 213
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 3:01SASMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 213
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 3:05MIAElson STEAL (1 STL)13
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 3:20SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 3:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
11.4%
17
88.6%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot13
11.7%
17
88.3%
Q1 - 3:58SASGinobili 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:03MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)13
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 4:05MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Layup13
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 4:21SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)13
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 4:21SASSPURS Rebound13
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 4:21SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 4:47MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)13
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 4:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 4:49SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 5:00SASElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)13
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot13
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 5:18SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)13
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 5:24SASElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWilliams 2' Layup (4 PTS)13
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 5:59SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS)11
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 6:05SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot11
16.2%
10
83.8%
Q1 - 6:21SASElson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)11
17.0%
10
83.0%
Q1 - 6:33SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 6:34SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 7:03MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
17.6%
8
82.4%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 210
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 7:23SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS)10
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 7:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Davis 5' Fadeaway Jumper10
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 7:45SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 7:45SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 7:46SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot10
19.7%
6
80.3%
Q1 - 7:57SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 210
19.0%
6
81.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
19.4%
6
80.6%
Q1 - 8:11SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)9
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 8:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 8:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 8:38SASParker 3' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 8:50SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup7
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 9:14SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot7
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
19.4%
2
80.6%
Q1 - 9:47SASFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 9:58SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 9:59MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot5
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 10:16MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 10:17SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot5
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 10:33MIAWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)5
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 10:38SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 10:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot3
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 11:20SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
16.0%
2
84.0%
Q1 - 11:42MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
15.0%
0
85.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.4%
SAS
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
29
52%
SAS
14
15
93%
Midrange
MIA
12
30
40%
SAS
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
SAS
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
12
21
57%
SAS
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal1747%8.5 / 18
R. Davis1454%7.0 / 13
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
J. Williams956%4.5 / 8
D. Wright956%4.5 / 8
A. Hardaway867%4.0 / 6
S. Parker422%2.0 / 9
M. Blount433%2.0 / 6
A. Mourning330%1.5 / 5
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2578%12.5 / 16
T. Parker2361%11.5 / 19
T. Duncan1255%6.0 / 11
F. Elson1255%6.0 / 11
M. Bonner531%2.5 / 8
M. Finley422%2.0 / 9
B. Barry375%1.5 / 2
F. Oberto2100%1.0 / 1
I. Mahinmi2100%1.0 / 1
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+11
-14
84
SAS
73
+11
-14
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.4%
SAS
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
106.5
MIA 89.7 +11.5
SAS 101.1
Pace
90.5
89.5
MIA 86.5
SAS 87.5 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.5
MIA 16.7
SAS 16.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.4%
MIA 45.8%
SAS 52.8% +7.0%
TO %
15.4%
13.4%
MIA 14.7% +1.0%
SAS 15.7%
ORB %
22.2%
23.4%
MIA 17.1%
SAS 23.5% +6.4%
FTrt
30.0
27.6
MIA 29.2
SAS 29.6 +0.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.5%
MIA 64.5% +2.7%
SAS 61.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
MIA 10.3% +3.4%
SAS 6.9%
BLK %
7.1%
6.5%
MIA 4.4%
SAS 5.1% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.8%
MIA 46.4%
SAS 52.4% +6.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.6%
MIA 51.7%
SAS 93.3% +41.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.4%
MIA 40.0%
SAS 43.3% +3.3%
3P %
35.8%
36.9%
MIA 30.8% +3.9%
SAS 26.9%
FT %
72.7%
76.1%
MIA 57.1%
SAS 61.9% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
30.8%
MIA 40.3% +19.2%
SAS 21.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
44.1%
MIA 41.7% +0.6%
SAS 42.3%
3P Att. %
21.7%
25.1%
MIA 18.1%
SAS 36.6% +18.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points7888
Rebounds3342
Assists2021
Steals96
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)34 (0)
Field Goals31-7234-71
At-the-Rim FG15-2914-15
Midrange FG12-3013-30
2-Point FG27-5927-45
3-Point FG4-137-26
Free Throws12-2113-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
37.2
14
54%
5
2
1
0
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
33.5
10
63%
9
0
1
1
3
1
2
7
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
31.5
9
56%
1
7
3
0
2
5
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
30.9
17
47%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
5-10
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
20.6
9
56%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
5-7
71%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
29.1
8
67%
4
5
3
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 190 · 26
27.3
4
22%
2
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
14.9
3
30%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
14.0
4
33%
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
46%
33
20
9
2
14
0
7
26
12-21
57%
27-59
46%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.