FinalWin Prob.pScore
146%95
81
354%96
89
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
95.38590.7
HOU logo HOU
104.78579.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU81
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASGinobili Layup (23 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)81
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUMISS Yao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASParker 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0HOUWells Dunk (14 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASParker Driving Layup (19 PTS)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22HOUWells REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)75
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 1:24SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot75
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 1:35SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 1:35HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 275
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 1:35HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)75
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 1:50SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)75
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 2:07HOUYao 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (27 PTS)72
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 2:24SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)72
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 2:37HOUYao 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (25 PTS)72
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 2:55SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 2:55SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)71
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 2:58HOUBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)70
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 3:11HOUWells REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)70
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 3:27HOUJames 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 3:52SASBarry Driving Layup (5 PTS)70
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 3:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 4:00HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot68
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:10HOUROCKETS Rebound68
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 4:10HOUWells REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)68
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 4:10HOUMISS Wells Tip Shot68
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:11HOUMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:32SASGinobili Dunk (19 PTS)68
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 4:34HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)66
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 4:39SASJames STEAL (1 STL)66
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 4:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 4:48HOUMISS Wells 16' Turnaround Jump Shot66
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 5:11HOUROCKETS Rebound66
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q4 - 5:12SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot66
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 5:30HOUWells Layup (12 PTS) (Yao 6 AST)66
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 5:46SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS)66
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q4 - 5:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 5:48SASMISS Ginobili Layup64
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 5:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 5:57HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot64
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q4 - 6:16SASFinley Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)64
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 6:21HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)62
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 6:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q4 - 6:37SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 261
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 6:51HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)61
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 7:00SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T11)61
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 7:04SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 7:06HOUMISS James 3PT Jump Shot61
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 7:13HOUWells REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)61
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 7:14HOUMISS James 22' Jump Shot61
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 7:35HOUJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 7:36SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Hook Shot61
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 7:58HOUJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Yao 5 AST)61
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 8:12HOUJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 8:13HOUMISS James 32' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 8:38HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q4 - 8:39SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot61
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 8:48HOUYao Dunk (23 PTS)61
5.8%
72
94.2%
Q4 - 8:49HOUYao REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)61
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q4 - 8:50HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q4 - 9:07SASWells STEAL (1 STL)61
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q4 - 9:13SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
10.5%
70
89.5%
Q4 - 9:14HOUMISS James 22' Jump Shot61
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q4 - 9:28HOUWells REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)61
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q4 - 9:29SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot61
8.9%
70
91.1%
Q4 - 9:48HOUHead 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)61
10.4%
70
89.6%
Q4 - 10:19SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)61
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q4 - 10:32HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q4 - 10:32HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q4 - 10:33HOUYao REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)58
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q4 - 10:35HOUMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q4 - 10:57HOUWells REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)58
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q4 - 10:59SASMISS Ginobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper58
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q4 - 11:16HOUWells 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q4 - 11:47SASGinobili 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS)58
17.6%
64
82.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU56
14.8%
64
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound56
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Scola Layup56
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 255
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical55
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Bonner 9' Running Jump Shot55
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 1 AST)55
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUWells REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)55
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 255
21.7%
61
78.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 255
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUROCKETS Rebound55
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot55
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASSpurs Rebound55
22.2%
61
77.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASWells BLOCK (1 BLK)55
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 1:04HOUJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)55
23.3%
61
76.7%
Q3 - 1:29SASGinobili Driving Layup (14 PTS)55
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 1:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 1:45HOUMISS James Layup53
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q3 - 1:56SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 1:56SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 252
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 2:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 2:11HOUMISS Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot52
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 2:30HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 2:31SASMISS Elson 19' Jump Shot52
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 2:58HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (Yao 4 AST)52
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 3:18HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot52
19.4%
59
80.6%
Q3 - 3:25SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 3:27HOUMISS Hayes 8' Hook Shot52
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 3:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)52
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 3:46HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 4:08SASGinobili 12' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)52
19.0%
59
81.0%
Q3 - 4:23HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)50
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 4:45SASBattier STEAL (1 STL)50
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q3 - 5:00HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)50
25.3%
56
74.7%
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P4.T8)50
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q3 - 5:28HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)50
25.9%
56
74.1%
Q3 - 5:28HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 250
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 5:28HOUYao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)50
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q3 - 5:28HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot50
28.1%
55
71.9%
Q3 - 5:52SASParker Driving Layup (14 PTS)50
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q3 - 6:02HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)48
23.5%
55
76.5%
Q3 - 6:24SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)48
20.5%
55
79.5%
Q3 - 6:36HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)46
18.2%
55
81.8%
Q3 - 6:36HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)46
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 6:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 6:52HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
22.5%
53
77.5%
Q3 - 7:06HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 7:07SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot46
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q3 - 7:10SASSpurs Rebound46
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q3 - 7:11SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot46
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q3 - 7:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q3 - 7:29HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 7:46SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)46
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 8:09HOUYao 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)44
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 8:23SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)44
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q3 - 8:42HOUYao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)42
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q3 - 9:02SASFinley Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)42
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q3 - 9:02SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)41
21.7%
49
78.3%
Q3 - 9:02SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)40
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q3 - 9:27HOUYao Dunk (14 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)39
17.4%
49
82.6%
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q3 - 9:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 238
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q3 - 9:55HOUHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T11)38
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q3 - 10:12SASDuncan 12' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)38
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q3 - 10:27HOUYao Foul Turnover (P4.T10)36
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q3 - 10:48SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)36
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q3 - 10:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q3 - 10:55HOUMISS Alston Layup34
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q3 - 10:59HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q3 - 11:00HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot34
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q3 - 11:25SASParker Layup (10 PTS)34
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q3 - 11:41HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)32
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU32
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUWells REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)32
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot32
12.0%
45
88.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0HOUYao Layup (12 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)32
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0HOUWells REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)32
15.9%
43
84.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
15.9%
43
84.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASYao BLOCK (3 BLK)32
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0HOUAlston Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)32
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)32
19.7%
41
80.3%
Q2 - 1:06HOUWells Foul Turnover (P2.T9)32
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q2 - 1:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)32
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 1:17SASMISS Ginobili 11' Turnaround Jump Shot32
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 1:31HOUWells 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)32
21.6%
41
78.4%
Q2 - 1:42HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 1:43SASMISS Duncan Layup32
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 2:10HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)32
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 2:38SASBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)32
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 2:57HOUMcGrady Layup (6 PTS)29
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 3:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)29
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 229
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q2 - 3:13SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 3:23HOUMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)28
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 3:27HOUROCKETS Rebound28
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 3:27HOUMISS Wells Layup28
29.8%
34
70.2%
Q2 - 3:27HOUWells REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 3:28HOUMISS Wells Layup28
29.8%
34
70.2%
Q2 - 3:30HOUWells REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 3:31HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot28
29.8%
34
70.2%
Q2 - 3:47HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 3:47SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 228
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q2 - 3:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 4:02SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
28.6%
34
71.4%
Q2 - 4:02HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 127
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q2 - 4:16SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)27
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q2 - 4:42HOUMcGrady 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)27
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q2 - 4:58HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Parker Layup27
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q2 - 5:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 5:09HOUMISS Hayes 9' Hook Shot27
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 5:11HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
36.2%
30
63.8%
Q2 - 5:12HOUMISS Wells Layup27
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 5:15HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
36.2%
30
63.8%
Q2 - 5:16HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot27
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 5:41HOUROCKETS Rebound27
36.2%
30
63.8%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot27
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q2 - 5:55SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 5:55HOUMISS James 19' Jump Shot27
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 6:16SASParker 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)27
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 6:31HOUJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 6:31HOUJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
34.7%
29
65.3%
Q2 - 6:37HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q2 - 6:39SASMISS Duncan 7' Running Hook Shot25
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 6:59HOUYao Slam Dunk (10 PTS)25
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q2 - 7:00HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)25
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q2 - 7:01HOUMISS Yao Layup25
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 7:17SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q2 - 7:26HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)25
44.8%
26
55.2%
Q2 - 7:26HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q2 - 7:26HOUMISS Head Layup25
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 7:57SASParker Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)25
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q2 - 8:08HOUJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)23
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q2 - 8:22HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q2 - 8:23SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot23
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q2 - 8:42HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)23
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q2 - 8:51HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
44.4%
23
55.6%
Q2 - 8:52SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q2 - 9:14SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q2 - 9:15HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q2 - 9:23HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q2 - 9:25SASYao BLOCK (2 BLK)23
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q2 - 9:37SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q2 - 9:39HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q2 - 9:39HOUMISS Hayes Layup23
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q2 - 9:41HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot23
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q2 - 10:01SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q2 - 10:25HOUJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 2 AST)21
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q2 - 10:41SASWashington Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)21
46.7%
20
53.3%
Q2 - 10:56HOUYao Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)21
49.5%
20
50.5%
Q2 - 11:14SASGinobili Layup (6 PTS)21
46.6%
20
53.4%
Q2 - 11:39HOUWells 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)19
44.2%
20
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU19
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound19
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Hayes 55' 3PT Running Jump Shot19
48.3%
18
51.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASElson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)19
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUMISS Hayes 11' Turnaround Jump Shot17
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
42.0%
18
58.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0HOUWells Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili 16' Running Jump Shot15
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 1:06SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q1 - 1:07SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 1:23SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q1 - 1:24HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 1:29HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 1:30HOUMISS Yao 19' Jump Shot15
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 1:55SASGinobili 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)15
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 2:13SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
35.3%
18
64.7%
Q1 - 2:15HOUMISS Yao 16' Jump Shot13
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 2:41SASElson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)13
33.3%
18
66.7%
Q1 - 3:02HOUMutombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)11
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 3:24HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:26SASYao BLOCK (1 BLK)11
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 3:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 3:39HOUMISS Mutombo 6' Hook Shot11
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:40HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:43HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup11
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:58SASMutombo STEAL (1 STL)11
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 4:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 4:10HOUYao Layup (8 PTS)11
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 4:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 4:12HOUMISS Yao Layup11
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 4:13HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 4:13HOUMISS McGrady Tip Shot11
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 4:14HOUMISS McGrady Layup11
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 4:24HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 4:25SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 4:32HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 4:53SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 210
36.9%
14
63.1%
Q1 - 5:12SASSpurs Rebound10
38.0%
14
62.0%
Q1 - 5:14HOUMISS Scola Reverse Layup10
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 5:27HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 210
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 5:27HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 210
34.4%
14
65.6%
Q1 - 5:28SASMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)10
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 5:39HOUYao Dunk (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)10
38.0%
14
62.0%
Q1 - 5:55HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 5:55SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 110
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
38.1%
12
61.9%
Q1 - 6:06HOUMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot8
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 6:24SASParker 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 6:40HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 6:40HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
34.8%
11
65.2%
Q1 - 6:48HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot6
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 7:09HOUYao Layup (4 PTS)6
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 7:11HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 7:12HOUMISS Yao 6' Jump Shot6
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 7:28SASBowen 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)6
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 7:42HOUBattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)4
38.5%
8
61.5%
Q1 - 7:58HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 8:00SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot4
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 8:07SASSpurs Rebound4
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 8:08SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot4
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 8:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 8:23SASMISS Finley Layup4
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 8:27HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 8:48HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot4
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 9:02SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 9:04HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot4
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 9:15HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot4
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 9:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 9:24HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot4
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 9:36HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 9:37SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot4
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 9:51HOUScola Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 9:55HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 9:57SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot4
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 10:17HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)4
44.0%
5
56.0%
Q1 - 10:31SASBowen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:48HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)2
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 11:06SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:39SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Duncan: Tip to Oberto0
45.6%
0
54.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
HOU
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
20
65%
HOU
15
30
50%
Midrange
SAS
16
41
39%
HOU
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
HOU
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
14
23
61%
HOU
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2352%11.5 / 22
T. Parker2162%10.5 / 17
T. Duncan1437%7.0 / 19
M. Finley1056%5.0 / 9
B. Barry583%2.5 / 3
B. Bowen4100%2.0 / 2
F. Elson450%2.0 / 4
F. Oberto0-0.0 / 1
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
I. Udoka0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2852%14.0 / 27
B. Wells1458%7.0 / 12
M. James1350%6.5 / 13
S. Battier12120%6.0 / 5
T. McGrady1240%6.0 / 15
C. Hayes429%2.0 / 7
R. Alston220%1.0 / 5
L. Head225%1.0 / 4
D. Mutombo250%1.0 / 2
L. Scola0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
73
+7
-12
80
HOU
67
+29
-18
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
HOU
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
106.4
SAS 95.3 +9.4
HOU 104.7
Pace
89.5
90.7
SAS 90.7 +10.8
HOU 79.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
SAS 15.9 +2.1
HOU 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
49.2%
SAS 48.6% +2.7%
HOU 45.9%
TO %
13.4%
14.4%
SAS 14.1% +2.8%
HOU 16.9%
ORB %
23.4%
29.1%
SAS 11.8%
HOU 51.0% +39.2%
FTrt
27.6
27.6
SAS 33.3 +13.5
HOU 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.5%
SAS 43.8%
HOU 71.4% +27.6%
STL %
7.1%
8.0%
SAS 11.8% +4.7%
HOU 7.1%
BLK %
6.5%
7.8%
SAS 13.8% +7.2%
HOU 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.2%
SAS 50.6% +5.2%
HOU 45.4%
Rim FG%
60.6%
57.9%
SAS 65.0% +15.0%
HOU 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.6%
SAS 39.0% +7.6%
HOU 31.4%
3P %
36.9%
34.2%
SAS 37.5%
HOU 42.9% +5.4%
FT %
76.1%
72.6%
SAS 60.9% +2.1%
HOU 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
33.9%
SAS 29.0%
HOU 34.9% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
40.6%
SAS 59.4%
HOU 40.7% +18.7%
3P Att. %
25.1%
25.5%
SAS 11.6%
HOU 24.4% +12.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points8189
Rebounds2855
Assists1425
Steals106
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)25 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals32-6935-86
At-the-Rim FG13-2015-30
Midrange FG16-4111-35
2-Point FG29-6126-65
3-Point FG3-89-21
Free Throws14-2310-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
40.3
21
62%
1
5
1
0
4
1
0
1
0-1
0%
9-16
56%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
36.5
14
37%
10
1
0
3
5
4
1
9
4-8
50%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
29.7
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
29.3
10
56%
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
12.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
29.9
23
52%
2
3
5
2
1
2
0
2
7-11
64%
8-15
53%
0-2
0%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32
22.6
4
50%
6
0
0
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 36
21.5
5
83%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
8.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 22
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 21
#11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
51%
28
14
10
9
12
0
4
24
14-23
61%
29-61
48%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.