FinalWin Prob.pScore
2723%94
91
577%103
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.09192.1
DET logo DET
102.29089.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL91
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 291
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLSmith Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)91
25.4%
91
74.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)90
20.2%
91
79.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)89
15.3%
91
84.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
10.9%
89
89.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
21.4%
89
78.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)88
15.0%
89
85.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
5.7%
89
94.3%
Q4 - 1:00DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 285
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 1:00DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 1:01ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)85
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 1:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 1:08ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot82
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 1:20DETHayes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)82
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 1:31ATLBillups STEAL (4 STL)82
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 1:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 1:35DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot82
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 1:52ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 1:52ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 281
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 2:04DETHayes 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 5 AST)81
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 2:24ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T20)81
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 2:40ATLHawks Rebound81
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q4 - 2:40DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot81
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 2:56ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)81
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 2:56ATLHawks Rebound81
6.5%
86
93.5%
Q4 - 2:56ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot81
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 3:20DETHayes 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)81
6.5%
86
93.5%
Q4 - 3:32DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q4 - 3:33ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q4 - 3:56DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)81
14.6%
84
85.4%
Q4 - 3:56DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
15.1%
83
84.9%
Q4 - 4:12ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
19.5%
82
80.5%
Q4 - 4:12ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
18.5%
82
81.5%
Q4 - 4:27DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)79
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q4 - 4:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
19.5%
80
80.5%
Q4 - 4:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
18.3%
80
81.7%
Q4 - 5:03DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 5:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
19.6%
78
80.4%
Q4 - 5:29ATLMISS Lue 8' Running Jump Shot77
21.3%
78
78.7%
Q4 - 5:53DETBillups Driving Layup (17 PTS) (McDyess 4 AST)77
25.7%
78
74.3%
Q4 - 5:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
32.3%
76
67.7%
Q4 - 6:00ATLMISS Johnson Layup77
34.7%
76
65.3%
Q4 - 6:20DETBillups 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)77
38.0%
76
62.0%
Q4 - 6:38DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
44.4%
74
55.6%
Q4 - 6:39ATLMISS Lue 21' Jump Shot77
47.0%
74
53.0%
Q4 - 7:00DETHayes Layup (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)77
53.1%
74
46.9%
Q4 - 7:04ATLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)77
55.6%
72
44.4%
Q4 - 7:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
63.2%
72
36.8%
Q4 - 7:19DETMISS Hayes 20' Jump Shot77
60.9%
72
39.1%
Q4 - 7:36ATLLue 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
55.8%
72
44.2%
Q4 - 7:57DETMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)75
49.9%
72
50.1%
Q4 - 8:10ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
40.9%
72
59.1%
Q4 - 8:10ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q4 - 8:33DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)73
35.0%
72
65.0%
Q4 - 8:50ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)73
47.3%
69
52.7%
Q4 - 8:50ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
46.1%
69
53.9%
Q4 - 8:52ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
41.1%
69
58.9%
Q4 - 8:56DETMISS Murray Layup71
39.2%
69
60.8%
Q4 - 9:06DETPISTONS Rebound71
33.6%
69
66.4%
Q4 - 9:06ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot71
35.3%
69
64.7%
Q4 - 9:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
39.4%
69
60.6%
Q4 - 9:06ATLMISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot71
35.3%
69
64.7%
Q4 - 9:31DETMurray Driving Layup (6 PTS)71
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)71
45.1%
67
54.9%
Q4 - 9:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
51.4%
67
48.6%
Q4 - 9:46DETMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
49.5%
67
50.5%
Q4 - 10:02ATLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)71
43.5%
67
56.5%
Q4 - 10:17DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
49.6%
67
50.4%
Q4 - 10:17DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 271
51.9%
66
48.1%
Q4 - 10:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
49.2%
66
50.8%
Q4 - 10:18DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot71
53.5%
66
46.5%
Q4 - 10:30DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
49.2%
66
50.8%
Q4 - 10:32ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup71
51.1%
66
48.9%
Q4 - 10:52DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
55.4%
66
44.6%
Q4 - 10:52DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
56.8%
65
43.2%
Q4 - 11:00ATLLaw Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)71
60.5%
64
39.5%
Q4 - 11:09DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (14 PTS)71
64.5%
64
35.5%
Q4 - 11:10DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
69.0%
62
31.0%
Q4 - 11:13DETMISS Maxiell Layup71
72.3%
62
27.7%
Q4 - 11:27ATLChildress Layup (7 PTS)71
69.1%
62
30.9%
Q4 - 11:39DETMaxiell 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
64.5%
62
35.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL69
69.2%
60
30.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
70.8%
60
29.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot69
69.5%
60
30.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
66.6%
60
33.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETMISS Maxiell 15' Jump Shot69
69.7%
60
30.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
66.7%
60
33.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETMISS Billups Layup69
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLShel. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)69
66.8%
60
33.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)69
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q3 - 1:06ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
63.8%
60
36.2%
Q3 - 1:06ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
62.8%
60
37.2%
Q3 - 1:22ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
59.5%
60
40.5%
Q3 - 1:23DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot67
58.0%
60
42.0%
Q3 - 1:37DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 1:38ATLBillups BLOCK (2 BLK)67
56.1%
60
43.9%
Q3 - 1:43DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)67
59.5%
60
40.5%
Q3 - 1:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 1:56ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot67
56.2%
60
43.8%
Q3 - 2:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
56.9%
60
43.1%
Q3 - 2:03ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 267
52.6%
60
47.4%
Q3 - 2:03ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)67
55.5%
60
44.5%
Q3 - 2:26DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
52.5%
60
47.5%
Q3 - 2:26DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 2:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
56.7%
58
43.3%
Q3 - 2:32ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
58.2%
58
41.8%
Q3 - 2:38ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 2:40DETMISS Prince Layup66
60.2%
58
39.8%
Q3 - 3:04ATLLaw 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
55.4%
58
44.6%
Q3 - 3:29ATLHawks Rebound64
51.3%
58
48.7%
Q3 - 3:30DETMISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot64
49.8%
58
50.2%
Q3 - 3:57ATLSmith Tip Shot (10 PTS)64
46.5%
58
53.5%
Q3 - 3:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q3 - 3:59ATLMISS Smith Layup62
39.1%
58
60.9%
Q3 - 4:14DETMaxiell 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)62
40.9%
58
59.1%
Q3 - 4:36ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)62
44.6%
56
55.4%
Q3 - 4:52DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Maxiell 2 AST)62
49.6%
56
50.4%
Q3 - 5:14ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
56.1%
53
43.9%
Q3 - 5:35ATLHawks Rebound60
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 5:36DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot60
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 5:57ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
47.8%
53
52.2%
Q3 - 6:06DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)58
42.5%
53
57.5%
Q3 - 6:19DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
46.2%
51
53.8%
Q3 - 6:20DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot58
49.2%
51
50.8%
Q3 - 6:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
46.2%
51
53.8%
Q3 - 6:25ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot58
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q3 - 6:47DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)58
50.6%
51
49.4%
Q3 - 7:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
52.5%
49
47.5%
Q3 - 7:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
51.6%
49
48.4%
Q3 - 7:11DETWallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)56
49.3%
49
50.7%
Q3 - 7:33ATLWilliams Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)56
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q3 - 7:49DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T10)54
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q3 - 8:01ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)54
44.0%
47
56.0%
Q3 - 8:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
40.9%
47
59.1%
Q3 - 8:25DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot52
39.6%
47
60.4%
Q3 - 8:50ATLWilliams Dunk (15 PTS)52
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q3 - 8:56DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)50
33.8%
47
66.2%
Q3 - 9:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
29.1%
47
70.9%
Q3 - 9:04ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q3 - 9:28DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)50
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 9:45ATLJohnson 18' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)50
29.2%
47
70.8%
Q3 - 10:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q3 - 10:05DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot48
24.8%
47
75.2%
Q3 - 10:19ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)48
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q3 - 10:19ATLHawks Rebound48
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot48
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q3 - 10:54DETHamilton Driving Layup (16 PTS)48
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q3 - 11:10DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q3 - 11:13ATLMISS Horford Alley Oop Layup48
28.4%
45
71.6%
Q3 - 11:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q3 - 11:19DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
29.5%
45
70.5%
Q3 - 11:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q3 - 11:37ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
28.4%
45
71.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET48
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams 40' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)48
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMaxiell Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)45
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
25.0%
43
75.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 245
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
27.0%
43
73.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
22.6%
43
77.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
19.8%
43
80.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Fadeaway Jumper42
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 1:13ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P4.T11)42
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 1:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)42
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 1:15ATLMISS Williams 10' Hook Shot42
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 1:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 1:26DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Bank Shot42
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 1:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 1:36ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot42
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 1:57DETMaxiell Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)42
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 2:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 2:10ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot42
22.8%
41
77.2%
Q2 - 2:34DETMaxiell Tip Shot (4 PTS)42
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 2:35DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
26.8%
39
73.2%
Q2 - 2:37DETMISS Prince Layup42
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q2 - 2:57ATLWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)42
26.9%
39
73.1%
Q2 - 3:00ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
24.2%
39
75.8%
Q2 - 3:01ATLMaxiell BLOCK (4 BLK)40
22.2%
39
77.8%
Q2 - 3:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 3:22DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 240
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 3:22DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 240
22.2%
39
77.8%
Q2 - 3:36ATLJohnson 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)40
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 3:43ATLHawks Rebound38
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 3:43ATLWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)38
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 3:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 3:48DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 4:05ATLLue Layup (2 PTS)38
17.6%
39
82.4%
Q2 - 4:29DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 4:29DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 4:46ATLBillups STEAL (3 STL)36
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 4:59DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)36
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q2 - 5:06DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 5:08ATLMISS Lue Layup36
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 5:31DETBillups Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)36
23.0%
35
77.0%
Q2 - 5:41DETPISTONS Rebound36
24.9%
33
75.1%
Q2 - 5:41DETMISS Maxiell Layup36
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 5:45ATLWallace STEAL (1 STL)36
24.9%
33
75.1%
Q2 - 6:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 6:06DETMISS Hamilton Layup36
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q2 - 6:20ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 6:27DETHamilton Driving Layup (14 PTS)33
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 6:29DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 6:31ATLBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)33
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 6:56DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)33
24.8%
31
75.2%
Q2 - 7:01DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 7:02DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot33
29.9%
28
70.1%
Q2 - 7:20DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 7:23DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot33
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 7:51ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)33
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 7:53ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
26.4%
28
73.6%
Q2 - 7:55DETMISS Murray 10' Running Jump Shot31
25.7%
28
74.3%
Q2 - 8:07ATLLaw Driving Layup (9 PTS)31
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q2 - 8:17ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
22.4%
28
77.6%
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Mohammed 14' Jump Shot29
21.8%
28
78.2%
Q2 - 8:31ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)29
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q2 - 8:35ATLHawks Rebound27
19.0%
28
81.0%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMaxiell BLOCK (3 BLK)27
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q2 - 8:52DETMohammed Foul Turnover (P1.T7)27
19.0%
28
81.0%
Q2 - 9:01ATLLaw 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 9:29DETMurray Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 9:34ATLHayes STEAL (1 STL)25
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q2 - 9:48DETHayes 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)25
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q2 - 10:07ATLShel. Williams Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)25
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q2 - 10:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q2 - 10:15ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q2 - 10:27ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q2 - 10:28DETMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot23
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q2 - 10:35DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q2 - 10:36DETMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot23
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q2 - 10:48DETPISTONS Rebound23
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q2 - 10:49DETMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q2 - 11:02ATLJohnson 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
16.9%
24
83.1%
Q2 - 11:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q2 - 11:14DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot21
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q2 - 11:37ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)21
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET19
13.3%
24
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound19
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Maxiell Dunk19
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0ATLLaw 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
12.3%
24
87.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 216
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 216
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLMurray STEAL (1 STL)16
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETMaxiell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 1:13ATLLaw Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 1:20DETMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)14
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 1:32ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)14
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q1 - 1:38DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)14
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 1:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 1:47ATLMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)14
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 2:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
10.3%
22
89.7%
Q1 - 2:07DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot14
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 2:28ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 2:28ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 213
9.4%
22
90.6%
Q1 - 2:28ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 2:29ATLMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)13
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 2:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 2:34ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot13
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 2:41DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)13
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 2:54ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q1 - 2:54ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 212
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q1 - 3:08DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)12
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 3:29ATLSmith Dunk (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)12
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 3:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 3:34DETMISS Billups Layup10
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 3:38DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 3:40ATLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)10
8.4%
20
91.6%
Q1 - 3:52DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)10
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 4:03ATLBillups STEAL (2 STL)10
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 4:10DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 4:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 4:13DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 4:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 4:22ATLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)10
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 4:32DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 4:46ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)10
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 5:02DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)8
9.0%
18
91.0%
Q1 - 5:08DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:09DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 5:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:19ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot8
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 5:35DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 5:49ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 6:06DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 6:22ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
10.5%
13
89.5%
Q1 - 6:36DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)6
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 6:43DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 6:44DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
13.7%
10
86.3%
Q1 - 7:07ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 7:25DETHamilton Layup (8 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)6
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 7:27ATLBillups STEAL (1 STL)6
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 7:44DETHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 7:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 7:55ATLMISS Smith Layup6
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 7:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 7:59ATLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)6
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 8:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 8:02ATLMISS Williams Layup6
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 8:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 8:07ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot6
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 8:29DETHamilton 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 8:45ATLSmith Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)6
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 9:01DETWallace Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 9:20ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 9:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 9:27DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 9:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 9:47ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot4
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 10:06DETHamilton Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 10:11ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 10:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 10:21DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot4
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 10:39ATLWilliams 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 11:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 11:02DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot2
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:20ATLHorford 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:42DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot0
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Smith: Tip to Billups0
16.5%
0
83.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.7%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
28
50%
DET
16
25
64%
Midrange
ATL
15
34
44%
DET
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
DET
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
ATL
21
26
81%
DET
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2361%11.5 / 19
M. Williams2273%11.0 / 15
J. Smith1334%6.5 / 19
A. Law1192%5.5 / 6
J. Childress770%3.5 / 5
T. Lue638%3.0 / 8
S. Williams660%3.0 / 5
A. Horford321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2255%11.0 / 20
R. Hamilton2170%10.5 / 15
J. Maxiell1563%7.5 / 12
R. Wallace829%4.0 / 14
T. Prince836%4.0 / 11
J. Hayes857%4.0 / 7
R. Murray638%3.0 / 8
A. McDyess4100%2.0 / 2
A. Afflalo0-0.0 / 1
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
72
+16
-19
88
DET
76
+16
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.7%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
110.3
ATL 100.0
DET 102.2 +2.2
Pace
91.4
88.2
ATL 92.1 +3.1
DET 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.9
ATL 15.6 +0.6
DET 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
49.5%
ATL 48.6% +0.5%
DET 48.1%
TO %
15.5%
12.6%
ATL 20.1%
DET 13.4% +6.7%
ORB %
29.8%
29.4%
ATL 33.3% +2.3%
DET 31.0%
FTrt
34.0
30.0
ATL 36.1 +10.2
DET 25.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
61.1%
ATL 45.5%
DET 70.3% +24.8%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
ATL 8.8%
DET 11.1% +2.3%
BLK %
8.4%
9.4%
ATL 10.4%
DET 16.1% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.4%
ATL 51.7% +2.2%
DET 49.5%
Rim FG%
58.6%
60.1%
ATL 50.0%
DET 64.0% +14.0%
Mid FG%
38.5%
41.7%
ATL 44.1% +3.6%
DET 40.5%
3P %
35.6%
36.6%
ATL 40.0% +11.4%
DET 28.6%
FT %
77.2%
76.7%
ATL 80.8% +14.1%
DET 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
27.8%
ATL 38.9% +8.0%
DET 30.9%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
51.9%
ATL 47.2% +4.6%
DET 51.9%
3P Att. %
16.5%
20.3%
ATL 13.9%
DET 17.3% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9192
Rebounds4137
Assists1526
Steals810
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)24 (1)
Field Goals33-7237-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2816-25
Midrange FG15-3417-42
2-Point FG29-6233-67
3-Point FG4-104-14
Free Throws21-2614-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
39.6
23
61%
5
4
0
0
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
7-12
58%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
38.7
13
34%
10
2
2
5
5
2
3
7
5-5
100%
4-15
27%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
38.5
22
73%
6
2
1
0
2
5
2
4
5-6
83%
7-11
64%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 245 · 21
36.4
3
21%
11
2
1
0
5
2
4
7
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
25.6
6
38%
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
24.6
7
70%
1
1
2
2
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
22.4
11
92%
0
0
2
0
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
14.1
6
60%
7
1
0
0
1
2
1
6
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
41
15
8
7
19
0
12
29
21-26
81%
29-62
47%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.