FinalWin Prob.pScore
1154%94
91
2046%92
80
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
97.89388.9
MIA logo MIA
87.09296.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DET91
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28DETMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 1:52MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)88
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 1:59MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01DETMISS Maxiell Dunk88
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Parker Driving Layup88
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)88
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 2:50MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)85
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:09DETHayes 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)85
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 3:31DETPrince Layup (31 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)83
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)81
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 3:55DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)81
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q4 - 3:55DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 280
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q4 - 3:55DETPistons Rebound80
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot80
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q4 - 4:03MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 4:05DETMISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot80
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)80
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 4:29DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)80
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 4:29DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)79
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)78
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 4:56DETWallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
98.9%
66
1.1%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)76
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q4 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q4 - 5:44DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot76
97.0%
66
3.0%
Q4 - 5:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q4 - 5:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 6:03DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
97.4%
64
2.6%
Q4 - 6:03DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
97.3%
64
2.7%
Q4 - 6:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
96.7%
64
3.3%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot74
96.4%
64
3.6%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
95.4%
64
4.6%
Q4 - 6:26DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q4 - 6:53MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)74
96.8%
64
3.2%
Q4 - 7:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
96.6%
62
3.4%
Q4 - 7:03DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot74
96.9%
62
3.1%
Q4 - 7:06DETPistons Rebound74
97.5%
62
2.5%
Q4 - 7:07DETMISS Prince Reverse Layup74
96.9%
62
3.1%
Q4 - 7:25DETPistons Rebound74
97.5%
62
2.5%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot74
97.3%
62
2.7%
Q4 - 7:39DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)74
96.7%
62
3.3%
Q4 - 7:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
95.9%
62
4.1%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
95.5%
62
4.5%
Q4 - 8:09MIAHEAT Rebound72
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q4 - 8:09DETMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.7%
62
6.3%
Q4 - 8:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
94.7%
62
5.3%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot72
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q4 - 8:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q4 - 8:26DETMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot72
93.8%
62
6.2%
Q4 - 8:47MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)72
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q4 - 9:01DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)72
92.3%
62
7.7%
Q4 - 9:14DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
94.0%
62
6.0%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot72
93.5%
62
6.5%
Q4 - 9:41DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)72
92.4%
62
7.6%
Q4 - 10:14MIAParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)70
89.5%
62
10.5%
Q4 - 10:17MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
87.0%
62
13.0%
Q4 - 10:19DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q4 - 10:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
89.6%
62
10.4%
Q4 - 10:24DETMISS Murray 15' Turnaround Jump Shot70
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q4 - 10:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
89.6%
62
10.4%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot70
88.9%
62
11.1%
Q4 - 11:05DETHayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)70
85.9%
62
14.1%
Q4 - 11:09DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
80.0%
62
20.0%
Q4 - 11:11DETMISS Prince Layup67
77.4%
62
22.6%
Q4 - 11:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
80.0%
62
20.0%
Q4 - 11:14DETMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot67
77.4%
62
22.6%
Q4 - 11:28DETPrince Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)67
80.1%
62
19.9%
Q4 - 11:42MIABlount Foul Turnover (P1.T12)66
76.4%
62
23.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
72.1%
62
27.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0DETBillups Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T11)66
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
75.6%
62
24.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot66
74.5%
62
25.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
71.2%
62
28.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
67.3%
62
32.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Blount 9' Fadeaway Jumper64
65.9%
62
34.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETMohammed 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS)64
62.6%
62
37.4%
Q3 - 1:13MIAParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)62
57.9%
62
42.1%
Q3 - 1:29DETMohammed Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)62
62.4%
60
37.6%
Q3 - 1:35DETMurray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
67.0%
60
33.0%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
65.6%
60
34.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
62.4%
60
37.6%
Q3 - 1:44DETMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)62
63.9%
60
36.1%
Q3 - 2:01DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
66.2%
60
33.8%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
64.8%
60
35.2%
Q3 - 2:24MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
61.6%
60
38.4%
Q3 - 2:27DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 262
62.2%
60
37.8%
Q3 - 2:27DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
65.4%
60
34.6%
Q3 - 2:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
62.0%
60
38.0%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot61
60.5%
60
39.5%
Q3 - 2:55MIAHEAT Rebound61
57.1%
60
42.9%
Q3 - 2:56DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot61
58.7%
60
41.3%
Q3 - 3:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
61.9%
60
38.1%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot61
60.5%
60
39.5%
Q3 - 3:27DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)61
57.3%
60
42.7%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWilliams Driving Layup (9 PTS)61
61.9%
60
38.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
65.2%
58
34.8%
Q3 - 4:03DETMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 4:19MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)61
69.6%
58
30.4%
Q3 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
72.6%
56
27.4%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot61
75.3%
56
24.7%
Q3 - 4:59DETPrince Dunk (22 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)61
72.7%
56
27.3%
Q3 - 5:14MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (5 PTS)59
69.1%
56
30.9%
Q3 - 5:24MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
72.2%
54
27.8%
Q3 - 5:26DETMISS McDyess 11' Turnaround Jump Shot59
73.3%
54
26.7%
Q3 - 5:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
75.7%
54
24.3%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot59
74.7%
54
25.3%
Q3 - 5:53DETDavis STEAL (1 STL)59
72.2%
54
27.8%
Q3 - 6:11MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS)59
75.0%
54
25.0%
Q3 - 6:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Davis Layup59
79.7%
52
20.3%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q3 - 6:29DETMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot59
78.6%
52
21.4%
Q3 - 6:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
80.6%
52
19.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 259
80.2%
52
19.8%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 259
79.2%
52
20.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
76.7%
52
23.3%
Q3 - 7:05DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q3 - 7:10DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
79.7%
52
20.3%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Wright Layup59
78.9%
52
21.1%
Q3 - 7:28DETBillups Layup (14 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)59
76.8%
52
23.2%
Q3 - 7:33MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)57
74.3%
52
25.7%
Q3 - 7:51DETPrince Driving Dunk (20 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)57
70.8%
52
29.2%
Q3 - 7:56DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
68.0%
52
32.0%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot55
66.8%
52
33.2%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q3 - 8:07DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot55
65.3%
52
34.7%
Q3 - 8:23MIAWright Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
67.9%
52
32.1%
Q3 - 8:41DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
70.7%
50
29.3%
Q3 - 9:03MIADavis Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)55
73.4%
50
26.6%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
76.1%
48
23.9%
Q3 - 9:09DETMISS Billups Layup55
76.9%
48
23.1%
Q3 - 9:19DETPistons Rebound55
78.8%
48
21.2%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot55
78.0%
48
22.0%
Q3 - 9:41DETPrince Layup (18 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)55
76.2%
48
23.8%
Q3 - 10:05MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)53
73.3%
48
26.7%
Q3 - 10:24DETAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)53
78.2%
45
21.8%
Q3 - 10:42MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)50
73.3%
45
26.7%
Q3 - 10:55MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
75.7%
43
24.3%
Q3 - 10:56DETMISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot50
76.6%
43
23.4%
Q3 - 11:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)50
78.1%
43
21.9%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 250
79.2%
42
20.8%
Q3 - 11:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
78.0%
42
22.0%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Wright 18' Fadeaway Jumper50
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q3 - 11:33DETBillups Layup (12 PTS)50
78.1%
42
21.9%
Q3 - 11:37MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)48
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q3 - 11:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q3 - 11:51DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot48
73.8%
42
26.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET48
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot48
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0DETMurray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
74.7%
42
25.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWright 7' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)48
74.7%
42
25.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
77.9%
40
22.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
74.8%
40
25.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
73.5%
40
26.5%
Q2 - 1:08MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)46
74.1%
40
25.9%
Q2 - 1:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
77.6%
38
22.4%
Q2 - 1:22DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot46
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 1:36DETMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
78.7%
38
21.3%
Q2 - 1:38DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 1:54MIADavis Layup (13 PTS)46
78.7%
38
21.3%
Q2 - 1:59DETMourning STEAL (1 STL)46
81.8%
36
18.2%
Q2 - 2:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
82.5%
36
17.5%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot46
82.0%
36
18.0%
Q2 - 2:34DETHayes 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)46
80.8%
36
19.2%
Q2 - 2:49MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)43
76.4%
36
23.6%
Q2 - 2:54DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)43
78.8%
34
21.2%
Q2 - 2:58MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)43
80.6%
34
19.4%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
77.8%
34
22.2%
Q2 - 3:12DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot43
78.5%
34
21.5%
Q2 - 3:28MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)43
80.1%
34
19.9%
Q2 - 3:47DETPrince Dunk (16 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)43
81.7%
32
18.3%
Q2 - 3:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
80.1%
32
19.9%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Hardaway 8' Jump Shot41
79.4%
32
20.6%
Q2 - 4:05DETPrince Driving Dunk (14 PTS)41
77.4%
32
22.6%
Q2 - 4:20DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
75.3%
32
24.7%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot39
74.6%
32
25.4%
Q2 - 4:36DETHayes Foul Turnover (P2.T4)39
73.1%
32
26.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)39
75.3%
32
24.7%
Q2 - 5:01DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
72.8%
32
27.2%
Q2 - 5:01DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
72.3%
32
27.7%
Q2 - 5:21MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)37
70.7%
32
29.3%
Q2 - 5:28MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
75.0%
29
25.0%
Q2 - 5:30DETHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)37
75.7%
29
24.3%
Q2 - 5:37MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
77.2%
29
22.8%
Q2 - 5:49MIAHEAT Rebound37
75.0%
29
25.0%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
76.6%
29
23.4%
Q2 - 6:10DETWallace Layup (6 PTS)37
74.5%
29
25.5%
Q2 - 6:30MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
72.9%
29
27.1%
Q2 - 6:49DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)35
70.2%
29
29.8%
Q2 - 6:58MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)32
65.9%
29
34.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q2 - 7:23DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot32
63.7%
29
36.3%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMourning 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)32
65.5%
29
34.5%
Q2 - 8:00DETParker STEAL (1 STL)32
67.6%
27
32.4%
Q2 - 8:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q2 - 8:11DETMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q2 - 8:26DETPrince Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)32
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q2 - 8:38MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 231
67.8%
26
32.2%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
67.3%
26
32.7%
Q2 - 8:49DETMISS Hayes 18' Jump Shot31
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q2 - 9:03MIABlount 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)31
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
71.3%
24
28.7%
Q2 - 9:20DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 231
71.6%
24
28.4%
Q2 - 9:20DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
72.5%
24
27.5%
Q2 - 9:40MIABlount 12' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
71.6%
24
28.4%
Q2 - 10:05DETMaxiell Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)30
72.9%
22
27.1%
Q2 - 10:09DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
71.2%
22
28.8%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
70.5%
22
29.5%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHEAT Rebound28
68.9%
22
31.1%
Q2 - 10:35DETMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)28
69.6%
22
30.4%
Q2 - 10:36DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
71.2%
22
28.8%
Q2 - 10:37DETMISS Maxiell Dunk28
69.6%
22
30.4%
Q2 - 10:50DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
71.2%
22
28.8%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot28
70.5%
22
29.5%
Q2 - 11:08DETMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)28
68.7%
22
31.3%
Q2 - 11:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
66.5%
22
33.5%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
65.9%
22
34.1%
Q2 - 11:36MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q2 - 11:38DETMISS Hayes 17' Jump Shot26
65.0%
22
35.0%
Q2 - 11:51DETMISS Hayes Free Throw Technical26
66.6%
22
33.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
66.6%
22
33.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)26
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound26
66.6%
22
33.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Murray 22' Jump Shot26
64.8%
22
35.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
66.0%
22
34.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Bank Shot26
65.5%
22
34.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
64.3%
22
35.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
64.8%
22
35.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
66.0%
22
34.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot26
65.5%
22
34.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
64.3%
22
35.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 225
63.4%
22
36.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0DETPistons Rebound25
63.8%
22
36.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot25
63.3%
22
36.7%
Q1 - 1:14DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q1 - 1:14DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q1 - 1:40DETHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
64.3%
19
35.7%
Q1 - 1:40DETHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
64.0%
19
36.0%
Q1 - 1:53DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 221
61.4%
19
38.6%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
60.2%
19
39.8%
Q1 - 2:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
62.1%
18
37.9%
Q1 - 2:13DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 221
62.4%
18
37.6%
Q1 - 2:13DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
63.8%
18
36.2%
Q1 - 2:30MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)20
62.0%
18
38.0%
Q1 - 2:42DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)20
64.3%
16
35.7%
Q1 - 2:57MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)17
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 3:07DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot17
58.0%
16
42.0%
Q1 - 3:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
59.8%
16
40.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot17
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 3:41DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)17
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 3:50DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMISS Wright 12' Jump Shot15
54.6%
16
45.4%
Q1 - 4:11DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
52.9%
16
47.1%
Q1 - 4:11DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 214
52.3%
16
47.7%
Q1 - 4:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
53.4%
16
46.6%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem Layup14
52.6%
16
47.4%
Q1 - 4:26MIAHEAT Rebound14
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot14
52.6%
16
47.4%
Q1 - 4:46DETPrince Layup (4 PTS)14
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 4:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 4:49DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot12
47.1%
16
52.9%
Q1 - 5:08DETPistons Rebound12
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot12
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 5:34DETMurray Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
46.9%
16
53.1%
Q1 - 5:45MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 6:02DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
43.2%
16
56.8%
Q1 - 6:02DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
43.0%
16
57.0%
Q1 - 6:15MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)8
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 6:22MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 6:24DETMISS Prince Layup8
43.9%
14
56.1%
Q1 - 6:46MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)8
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 6:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
48.7%
12
51.3%
Q1 - 7:13DETBillups Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
47.8%
12
52.2%
Q1 - 7:23MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
46.1%
12
53.9%
Q1 - 7:32DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
46.1%
12
53.9%
Q1 - 8:06DETPrince Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)6
48.3%
10
51.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
46.6%
10
53.4%
Q1 - 8:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 8:32DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot4
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 8:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot4
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 8:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 8:58DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot4
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 9:11MIADavis Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 9:14MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 9:18DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot4
54.3%
5
45.7%
Q1 - 9:40MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
56.0%
5
44.0%
Q1 - 9:55DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
57.4%
3
42.6%
Q1 - 10:16MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
55.8%
3
44.2%
Q1 - 10:23MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.4%
1
42.6%
Q1 - 10:24DETMISS Prince 8' Jump Shot2
58.0%
1
42.0%
Q1 - 10:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
59.5%
1
40.5%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
58.8%
1
41.2%
Q1 - 10:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.4%
1
42.6%
Q1 - 10:57DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot2
58.0%
1
42.0%
Q1 - 11:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.2%
1
40.8%
Q1 - 11:05DETWright BLOCK (1 BLK)2
58.1%
1
41.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
59.2%
1
40.8%
Q1 - 11:16MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.6%
1
42.4%
Q1 - 11:17DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot2
58.1%
1
41.9%
Q1 - 11:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.2%
1
40.8%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
58.7%
1
41.3%
Q1 - 11:36DETBillups 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.6%
1
42.4%
Q1 - 11:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.7%
1
44.3%
Q1 - 11:47MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 20
55.4%
1
44.6%
Q1 - 11:47MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
54.3%
1
45.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Williams0
55.8%
0
44.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.94 46.9%
MIA
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
27
56%
MIA
10
16
63%
Midrange
DET
10
34
29%
MIA
18
46
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
DET
23
30
77%
MIA
9
15
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince3468%17.0 / 25
C. Billups1950%9.5 / 19
R. Wallace1139%5.5 / 14
J. Hayes1050%5.0 / 10
J. Maxiell536%2.5 / 7
A. McDyess433%2.0 / 6
A. Afflalo350%1.5 / 3
N. Mohammed350%1.5 / 3
R. Murray217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2361%11.5 / 19
U. Haslem1454%7.0 / 13
J. Williams1150%5.5 / 11
S. O'Neal956%4.5 / 8
D. Wright941%4.5 / 11
S. Parker739%3.5 / 9
M. Blount429%2.0 / 7
A. Mourning350%1.5 / 3
A. Hardaway0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
83
+14
-10
97
MIA
75
+8
-17
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.94 46.9%
MIA
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
100.2
DET 97.8 +10.9
MIA 87.0
Pace
88.2
90.5
DET 88.9
MIA 96.4 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.3
DET 16.2
MIA 14.9 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
48.2%
DET 42.5%
MIA 47.3% +4.8%
TO %
12.6%
15.4%
DET 11.4% +5.8%
MIA 17.2%
ORB %
29.4%
22.2%
DET 25.5% +12.0%
MIA 13.5%
FTrt
30.0
30.0
DET 37.5 +17.5
MIA 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.5%
DET 61.3% +15.8%
MIA 45.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
DET 11.8% +7.5%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
9.4%
7.1%
DET 6.5%
MIA 6.6% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
50.6%
DET 46.9%
MIA 47.6% +0.7%
Rim FG%
60.1%
59.2%
DET 55.6%
MIA 62.5% +6.9%
Mid FG%
41.7%
38.8%
DET 29.4%
MIA 39.1% +9.7%
3P %
36.6%
35.8%
DET 31.6%
MIA 38.5% +6.9%
FT %
76.7%
72.7%
DET 76.7% +16.7%
MIA 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
30.2%
DET 33.8% +12.4%
MIA 21.3%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
48.1%
DET 42.5% +18.8%
MIA 61.3%
3P Att. %
20.3%
21.7%
DET 23.8% +6.4%
MIA 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9180
Rebounds4440
Assists1915
Steals114
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)35 (3)
Field Goals31-8033-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2710-16
Midrange FG10-3418-46
2-Point FG25-6128-62
3-Point FG6-195-13
Free Throws23-309-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
43.3
34
68%
12
1
1
0
2
0
4
8
7-7
100%
12-19
63%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
38.9
19
50%
4
11
2
0
3
1
1
3
9-10
90%
5-10
50%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 33
37.0
11
39%
8
2
2
2
2
4
1
7
1-2
50%
2-9
22%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
21.5
4
33%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
14.2
3
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
26.8
10
50%
5
1
4
0
2
1
0
5
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
21.4
5
36%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
20.8
2
17%
5
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 30
16.1
3
50%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
G · 6'2" 195 · 37
F · 6'7" 209 · 27
#32 · G · 6'7" 193 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
47%
44
19
11
4
10
0
12
32
23-30
77%
25-61
41%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.