Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, March 19, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31 | Bulls | 31% | 92 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Knicks | 16% | 94 | 82 |
 | 3 | Heat | 84% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Celtics | 57% | 98 | 113 |
| 34 | Hornets | 43% | 96 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 36 | Bobcats | 7% | 91 | 93 |
 | 6 | Mavericks | 93% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Magic | 45% | 96 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, March 18, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 35% | 89 | 80 |
| 22 | Nets | 65% | 94 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 56% | 99 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 39% | 96 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Lakers | 29% | 94 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 24% | 91 | 92 |
 | 6 | Pistons | 76% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Timberwolves | 33% | 90 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 31% | 89 | 94 | |
| 31 | Bulls | 69% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 49% | 101 | 90 |
 | 30 | Bucks | 51% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 29% | 95 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 8% | 83 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 36% | 94 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Suns | 82% | 114 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 25% | 100 | 90 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 75% | 108 | 98 | |
Thursday, March 17, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 22% | 95 | 89 |
| 6 | Heat | 78% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 11% | 90 | 94 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 89% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 46% | 103 | 97 |
| 24 | Warriors | 54% | 104 | 100 |
Wednesday, March 16, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 39% | 102 | 109 |
| 19 | Celtics | 61% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 28% | 89 | 84 |
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 33% | 89 | 84 |
| 23 | Nets | 67% | 94 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 62% | 101 | 122 |
| 33 | Hawks | 38% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 29% | 91 | 95 | |
| 3 | Pistons | 71% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 49% | 98 | 88 |
| 31 | Bucks | 51% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 72% | 95 | 88 |
| 35 | Hornets | 28% | 88 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 87 | 77 |
| 8 | Rockets | 83% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 23% | 87 | 73 |
| 7 | Spurs | 77% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 19% | 91 | 101 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 81% | 102 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 37% | 97 | 102 |
| 26 | Clippers | 63% | 101 | 110 |
Tuesday, March 15, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 91 |
| 17 | 76ers | 67% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 36% | 94 | 73 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 64% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 58% | 101 | 98 |
| 29 | Knicks | 42% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 57% | 99 | 99 | |
| 30 | Bulls | 43% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 29% | 97 | 100 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 71% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 34% | 102 | 94 |
| 11 | Kings | 66% | 107 | 105 |
Monday, March 14, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 42% | 102 | 81 |
| 14 | Wizards | 58% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 62% | 101 | 119 |
| 36 | Bobcats | 38% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 73% | 94 | 114 |
| 35 | Hawks | 27% | 87 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 22% | 95 | 71 |
| 5 | Heat | 78% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 84 | 83 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 81% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 14% | 82 | 89 | |
| 7 | Spurs | 86% | 96 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 49% | 98 | 97 |
| 24 | Warriors | 51% | 99 | 94 |
Sunday, March 13, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 54% | 100 | 102 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 46% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 42% | 93 | 78 |
| 27 | Clippers | 58% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 52% | 101 | 111 |
| 14 | Kings | 48% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 40% | 101 | 101 |
| 17 | Celtics | 60% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 44% | 100 | 110 |
| 26 | Raptors | 56% | 102 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 58% | 103 | 90 | |
| 29 | Knicks | 42% | 101 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Nets | 32% | 93 | 98 | |
| 23 | Magic | 68% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 22% | 86 | 62 |
| 3 | Pistons | 78% | 96 | 64 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 41% | 93 | 86 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 59% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 58% | 105 | 106 | |
| 13 | Nuggets | 42% | 103 | 101 |
Saturday, March 12, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 22% | 90 | 65 | |
| 5 | Heat | 78% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 69% | 101 | 117 |
| 36 | Bobcats | 31% | 95 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 56% | 97 | 105 |
| 35 | Hawks | 44% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 46% | 95 | 107 |
| 34 | Hornets | 54% | 96 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 21% | 87 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 62% | 93 | 66 |
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 90 | 80 |
Friday, March 11, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hawks | 25% | 94 | 116 |
| 26 | Raptors | 75% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 23% | 92 | 80 |
| 16 | 76ers | 77% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 38% | 97 | 101 |
| 22 | Magic | 62% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 36% | 94 | 83 |
| 12 | Pacers | 64% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 58% | 97 | 113 |
| 18 | Celtics | 42% | 94 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 53% | 102 | 112 |
| 29 | Bucks | 47% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 56% | 95 | 94 |
| 21 | Jazz | 44% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 32% | 100 | 127 |
| 4 | Suns | 68% | 106 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 35% | 98 | 112 |
| 11 | Kings | 65% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bulls | 25% | 94 | 100 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 75% | 103 | 97 | |
Thursday, March 10, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 30% | 94 | 90 |
| 6 | Heat | 70% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 31% | 99 | 100 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 69% | 105 | 95 |
Wednesday, March 9, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hawks | 17% | 92 | 91 |
| 19 | Celtics | 83% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 38% | 100 | 96 |
| 26 | Raptors | 62% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 19% | 89 | 88 |
| 5 | Pistons | 81% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 46% | 89 | 86 | |
| 34 | Hornets | 54% | 90 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 44% | 99 | 101 |
| 4 | Suns | 56% | 101 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bulls | 49% | 92 | 97 |
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 93 | 84 |
Tuesday, March 8, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 41% | 99 | 104 |
| 15 | 76ers | 59% | 102 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 39% | 98 | 92 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 61% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 51% | 104 | 83 |
| 29 | Knicks | 49% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 30% | 93 | 101 |
| 28 | Bucks | 70% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 22% | 90 | 97 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 78% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 11% | 81 | 74 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 89% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 43% | 93 | 89 |
| 20 | Jazz | 57% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 44% | 99 | 82 |
| 12 | Kings | 56% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 36% | 97 | 97 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 64% | 101 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 32% | 96 | 110 |
| 17 | Lakers | 68% | 102 | 101 |
Monday, March 7, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 34% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Heat | 66% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 42% | 95 | 85 |
| 30 | Bulls | 58% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 26% | 97 | 105 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 74% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 91 | 98 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 70% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 60% | 95 | 105 |
| 28 | Clippers | 40% | 92 | 102 |
Sunday, March 6, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 48% | 99 | 69 |
| 10 | Rockets | 52% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 57% | 98 | 85 |
| 15 | Kings | 43% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 46% | 98 | 99 |
| 23 | Celtics | 54% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 53% | 96 | 95 |
| 34 | Hornets | 47% | 95 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 11% | 84 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 89% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 47% | 101 | 99 |
| 29 | Knicks | 53% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 52% | 99 | 102 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 48% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 37% | 104 | 110 | |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 63% | 108 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 42% | 95 | 94 |
| 18 | Lakers | 58% | 98 | 103 |