| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 DET | 120.0 | 95 | 85.3 |
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Scoring Opportunities
DET
83
+16
-12
99
ATL
81
+13
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
1.13 56.4%
ATL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | ATL |
| OT1 - 0:00.0 | DET | 114 100% | 108 0% | |
| OT1 - 0:06.0 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 114 99.9% | 108 0.1% |
| OT1 - 0:07.0 | ATL | MISS Delk 3PT Jump Shot | 114 99.9% | 108 0.1% |
| OT1 - 0:26.0 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 114 99.4% | 108 0.6% |
| OT1 - 0:29.0 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 | 114 99.4% | 108 0.6% |
| OT1 - 0:29.0 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 114 99.6% | 108 0.4% |
| OT1 - 0:37.0 | ATL | Lue 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 114 99.8% | 108 0.2% |
| OT1 - 0:47.0 | DET | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 114 99.6% | 106 0.4% |
| OT1 - 0:47.0 | DET | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 113 99.6% | 106 0.4% |
| OT1 - 0:52.0 | ATL | Ekezie Layup (8 PTS) (Lue 10 AST) | 112 99.2% | 106 0.8% |
| OT1 - 0:59.0 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 112 99.4% | 104 0.6% |
| OT1 - 0:59.0 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS) | 111 99.4% | 104 0.6% |
| OT1 - 1:10 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 110 98.8% | 104 1.2% |
| OT1 - 1:12 | ATL | MISS Lue 20' Jump Shot | 110 98.5% | 104 1.5% |
| OT1 - 1:27 | DET | Prince 4' Jump Shot (31 PTS) | 110 97.3% | 104 2.7% |
| OT1 - 1:44 | ATL | Harrington Foul Turnover (P3.T11) | 108 95.1% | 104 4.9% |
| OT1 - 2:02 | DET | Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST) | 108 91.5% | 104 8.5% |
| OT1 - 2:20 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 105 83.6% | 104 16.4% |
| OT1 - 2:21 | DET | MISS Prince 5' Jump Shot | 105 76.3% | 104 23.7% |
| OT1 - 2:36 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 105 83.8% | 104 16.2% |
| OT1 - 2:38 | DET | MISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 105 76.4% | 104 23.6% |
| OT1 - 3:08 | ATL | Harrington 15' Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Lue 9 AST) | 105 81.6% | 104 18.4% |
| OT1 - 3:25 | DET | Prince 4' Running Hook Shot (29 PTS) | 105 85.4% | 102 14.6% |
| OT1 - 3:46 | ATL | Harrington 3' Layup (35 PTS) | 103 79.3% | 102 20.7% |
| OT1 - 4:06 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 103 84.5% | 100 15.5% |
| OT1 - 4:06 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 102 82.1% | 100 17.9% |
| OT1 - 4:08 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6) | 102 84.8% | 100 15.2% |
| OT1 - 4:10 | ATL | MISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 102 83.2% | 100 16.8% |
| OT1 - 4:27 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 102 78.9% | 100 21.1% |
| OT1 - 4:27 | DET | Billups Layup (17 PTS) | 102 78.9% | 100 21.1% |
| OT1 - 4:29 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5) | 100 72.4% | 100 27.6% |
| OT1 - 4:29 | DET | MISS Wallace Tip Shot | 100 66.4% | 100 33.6% |
| OT1 - 4:31 | DET | MISS Wallace Layup | 100 66.4% | 100 33.6% |
| OT1 - 4:41 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 100 72.3% | 100 27.7% |
| OT1 - 4:41 | DET | MISS Billups 22' Jump Shot | 100 66.4% | 100 33.6% |
| OT1 - 5:00 | ATL | Jump Ball Smith vs. Wallace: Tip to Wallace | 100 72.3% | 100 27.7% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | ATL | Gugliotta 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 8 AST) | 100 69.2% | 100 30.8% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 100 95.0% | 97 5.0% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 99 94.5% | 97 5.5% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | ATL | Lue Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 98 89.4% | 97 10.6% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | ATL | Lue Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 98 90.8% | 96 9.2% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 98 93.8% | 95 6.2% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | DET | Wallace Tip Shot (26 PTS) | 98 93.8% | 95 6.2% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | DET | MISS Wallace Layup | 96 77.9% | 95 22.1% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | ATL | Harrington 16' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Lue 7 AST) | 96 84.0% | 95 16.0% |
| Q4 - 1:04 | DET | Prince Layup (27 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST) | 96 88.6% | 93 11.4% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | ATL | Gugliotta 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 6 AST) | 94 82.4% | 93 17.6% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | DET | Hamilton 3' Layup (21 PTS) | 94 92.0% | 90 8.0% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | ATL | Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 92 87.7% | 90 12.3% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 92 80.7% | 90 19.3% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | DET | MISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 2 | 92 82.1% | 90 17.9% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | DET | Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 92 86.1% | 90 13.9% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | ATL | Lue 7' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 91 83.9% | 90 16.1% |
| Q4 - 2:53 | DET | Childress STEAL (2 STL) | 91 85.2% | 88 14.8% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 91 91.0% | 88 9.0% |
| Q4 - 2:59 | ATL | MISS Childress 18' Jump Shot | 91 89.6% | 88 10.4% |
| Q4 - 3:15 | DET | Prince 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 91 85.4% | 88 14.6% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | ATL | Lue Free Throw Technical (21 PTS) | 89 79.3% | 88 20.7% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | ATL | Gugliotta 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 5 AST) | 89 84.7% | 87 15.3% |
| Q4 - 3:50 | ATL | Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 89 88.8% | 85 11.2% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | DET | MISS Wallace Layup | 89 89.9% | 85 10.1% |
| Q4 - 4:08 | ATL | Harrington Layup (31 PTS) (Gugliotta 3 AST) | 89 92.2% | 85 7.8% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | DET | Lue STEAL (1 STL) | 89 94.4% | 83 5.6% |
| Q4 - 4:19 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 89 96.2% | 83 3.8% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | DET | MISS Hamilton Layup | 89 95.1% | 83 4.9% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 89 96.2% | 83 3.8% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | ATL | MISS Childress 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 95.8% | 83 4.2% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 89 94.5% | 83 5.5% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | DET | MISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 95.1% | 83 4.9% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | ATL | Lue 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 89 95.3% | 83 4.7% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS) | 89 96.5% | 81 3.5% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | DET | Hamilton 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 88 95.2% | 81 4.8% |
| Q4 - 5:49 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 86 93.6% | 81 6.4% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | ATL | MISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot | 86 92.9% | 81 7.1% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS) | 86 90.2% | 81 9.8% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | DET | Hamilton Layup (15 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST) | 85 87.2% | 81 12.8% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 83 84.0% | 81 16.0% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | DET | MISS Billups 6' Jump Shot | 83 80.5% | 81 19.5% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | ATL | Harrington Reverse Dunk (29 PTS) (Gugliotta 2 AST) | 83 84.0% | 81 16.0% |
| Q4 - 6:53 | ATL | Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 83 87.2% | 79 12.8% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | DET | MISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 88.3% | 79 11.7% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 83 90.0% | 79 10.0% |
| Q4 - 7:05 | ATL | MISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot | 83 89.1% | 79 10.9% |
| Q4 - 7:21 | DET | Wallace 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Billups 7 AST) | 83 86.8% | 79 13.2% |
| Q4 - 7:36 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 81 83.8% | 79 16.2% |
| Q4 - 7:37 | ATL | MISS Ekezie 8' Jump Shot | 81 82.5% | 79 17.5% |
| Q4 - 7:49 | ATL | Ekezie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 81 79.1% | 79 20.9% |
| Q4 - 7:51 | ATL | MISS Gugliotta 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 82.5% | 79 17.5% |
| Q4 - 8:20 | DET | Wallace 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST) | 81 78.8% | 79 21.2% |
| Q4 - 8:40 | ATL | Harrington 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 79 74.3% | 79 25.7% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | ATL | Lue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 79 78.8% | 77 21.2% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | DET | MISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot | 79 80.1% | 77 19.9% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | ATL | Ekezie Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9) | 79 82.8% | 77 17.2% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | DET | Wallace Dunk (20 PTS) (Billups 6 AST) | 79 78.9% | 77 21.1% |
| Q4 - 9:50 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 77 74.8% | 77 25.2% |
| Q4 - 9:52 | DET | MISS Billups 23' Jump Shot | 77 71.4% | 77 28.6% |
| Q4 - 10:00 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 77 74.8% | 77 25.2% |
| Q4 - 10:01 | ATL | MISS Gugliotta 14' Jump Shot | 77 73.2% | 77 26.8% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | DET | Wallace Dunk (3 PTS) (Billups 5 AST) | 77 69.8% | 77 30.2% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | ATL | Ivey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 75 65.2% | 77 34.8% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | DET | Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 4 AST) | 75 59.4% | 77 40.6% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 48.9% | 77 51.1% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | ATL | MISS Childress 17' Jump Shot | 72 47.2% | 77 52.8% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 72 43.3% | 77 56.7% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | DET | Gugliotta BLOCK (1 BLK) | 72 45.0% | 77 55.0% |
| Q4 - 11:27 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 72 48.9% | 77 51.1% |
| Q4 - 11:27 | DET | MISS McDyess 11' Jump Shot | 72 45.0% | 77 55.0% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 72 48.9% | 77 51.1% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | DET | MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 45.0% | 77 55.0% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 72 48.9% | 77 51.1% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | DET | MISS Billups 14' Jump Shot | 72 45.0% | 77 55.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ATL | 72 48.9% | 77 51.1% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 72 43.2% | 77 56.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DET | MISS Billups 41' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 44.9% | 77 55.1% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | ATL | Ivey 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Childress 3 AST) | 72 51.1% | 77 48.9% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | DET | Collier STEAL (1 STL) | 72 56.1% | 75 43.9% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | ATL | Gugliotta 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 72 61.0% | 75 39.0% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 72 65.7% | 73 34.3% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 71 64.6% | 73 35.4% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | ATL | Ivey Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7) | 70 62.5% | 73 37.5% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 70 57.7% | 73 42.3% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | ATL | MISS Childress Layup | 70 61.1% | 73 38.9% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | DET | Prince Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 70 57.7% | 73 42.3% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | DET | Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 69 56.8% | 73 43.2% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 68 53.0% | 73 47.0% |
| Q3 - 1:31 | ATL | MISS Childress Layup | 68 51.4% | 73 48.6% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | ATL | Ekezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 68 47.9% | 73 52.1% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | DET | MISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot | 68 49.4% | 73 50.6% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | ATL | Ekezie 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childress 2 AST) | 68 54.1% | 73 45.9% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | DET | McDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 68 58.2% | 71 41.8% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | DET | McDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 67 56.9% | 71 43.1% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 66 54.0% | 71 46.0% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | DET | MISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot | 66 50.5% | 71 49.5% |
| Q3 - 3:05 | ATL | Harrington 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 66 55.2% | 71 44.8% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | DET | Smith STEAL (1 STL) | 66 59.2% | 69 40.8% |
| Q3 - 3:45 | ATL | Harrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS) | 66 63.7% | 69 36.3% |
| Q3 - 3:45 | ATL | Harrington 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 66 67.8% | 68 32.2% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | DET | Prince Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 66 71.3% | 66 28.7% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | DET | Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 65 70.6% | 66 29.4% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 64 67.7% | 66 32.3% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | DET | MISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot | 64 64.8% | 66 35.2% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 64 68.6% | 66 31.4% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 64 64.1% | 66 35.9% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | ATL | MISS Smith Tip Shot | 64 67.3% | 66 32.7% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | ATL | MISS Lue 14' Jump Shot | 64 67.3% | 66 32.7% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | DET | Pistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 64 64.1% | 66 35.9% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 64 68.6% | 66 31.4% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | DET | MISS Prince 8' Jump Shot | 64 65.5% | 66 34.5% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | ATL | Lue 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 64 68.5% | 66 31.5% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | DET | Harrington STEAL (1 STL) | 64 72.1% | 64 27.9% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | ATL | Harrington 8' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) | 64 75.5% | 64 24.5% |
| Q3 - 5:36 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 64 78.3% | 62 21.7% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | DET | MISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot | 64 79.2% | 62 20.8% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | ATL | Ekezie Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST) | 64 81.1% | 62 18.9% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | DET | Billups 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 64 83.3% | 60 16.7% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | ATL | Lue Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 62 81.1% | 60 18.9% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | ATL | Ekezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 62 83.3% | 58 16.7% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | DET | MISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot | 62 84.0% | 58 16.0% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | ATL | Ekezie Traveling Turnover (P3.T6) | 62 85.1% | 58 14.9% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 62 82.8% | 58 17.2% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 62 85.2% | 58 14.8% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | DET | MISS Wallace Tip Shot | 62 83.5% | 58 16.5% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | DET | MISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 83.5% | 58 16.5% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | ATL | Childress Layup (8 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST) | 62 85.3% | 58 14.7% |
| Q3 - 8:09 | DET | Childress STEAL (1 STL) | 62 86.8% | 56 13.2% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | ATL | Ekezie Dunk (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST) | 62 88.7% | 56 11.3% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 62 89.9% | 54 10.1% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 61 89.2% | 54 10.8% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | ATL | Ekezie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5) | 61 89.9% | 54 10.1% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | DET | Hamilton 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 61 88.4% | 54 11.6% |
| Q3 - 9:37 | ATL | Harrington Reverse Layup (18 PTS) | 59 86.9% | 54 13.1% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | DET | Prince 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 59 88.4% | 52 11.6% |
| Q3 - 10:18 | ATL | Lue Layup (14 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST) | 57 87.1% | 52 12.9% |
| Q3 - 10:31 | DET | Prince 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 57 88.4% | 50 11.6% |
| Q3 - 10:49 | ATL | Lue 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 55 87.1% | 50 12.9% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 55 88.4% | 48 11.6% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | DET | MISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot | 55 88.9% | 48 11.1% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | ATL | Harrington 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 55 90.0% | 48 10.0% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | DET | Ekezie STEAL (1 STL) | 55 91.1% | 46 8.9% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 55 92.3% | 46 7.7% |
| Q3 - 11:46 | ATL | MISS Childress Layup | 55 91.9% | 46 8.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DET | 55 91.1% | 46 8.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | ATL | Childress Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 55 92.3% | 46 7.7% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 55 91.0% | 46 9.0% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | DET | MISS Prince 16' Jump Shot | 55 91.3% | 46 8.7% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | DET | McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 55 91.8% | 46 8.2% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | ATL | MISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot | 55 91.6% | 46 8.4% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 55 91.1% | 46 8.9% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | DET | MISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot | 55 91.3% | 46 8.7% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | ATL | Childress 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 4 AST) | 55 91.8% | 46 8.2% |
| Q2 - 1:19 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 55 92.8% | 44 7.2% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 | 55 92.9% | 44 7.1% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 55 93.2% | 44 6.8% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 55 93.3% | 44 6.7% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | ATL | MISS Harrington Layup | 55 93.1% | 44 6.9% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 55 92.8% | 44 7.2% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 54 92.7% | 44 7.3% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 53 91.4% | 44 8.6% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 53 92.3% | 43 7.7% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | ATL | Smith Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 53 92.3% | 43 7.7% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 53 93.2% | 41 6.8% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | ATL | MISS Smith Tip Shot | 53 93.7% | 41 6.3% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | ATL | MISS Smith 4' Jump Shot | 53 93.7% | 41 6.3% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | DET | Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 53 93.2% | 41 6.8% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | ATL | Lue Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 50 91.4% | 41 8.6% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | ATL | Lue Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 50 91.5% | 40 8.5% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | DET | Billups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 50 92.0% | 39 8.0% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 93.0% | 39 7.0% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | ATL | MISS Gugliotta 19' Jump Shot | 50 92.7% | 39 7.3% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 50 92.1% | 39 7.9% |
| Q2 - 3:48 | ATL | MISS Lue 22' Jump Shot | 50 92.7% | 39 7.3% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 50 92.1% | 39 7.9% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | ATL | MISS Lue 12' Jump Shot | 50 92.7% | 39 7.3% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | DET | Hamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 50 91.9% | 39 8.1% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 92.7% | 39 7.3% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | ATL | Harrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 50 91.9% | 39 8.1% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | ATL | MISS Harrington Layup | 50 92.5% | 39 7.5% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | ATL | MISS Smith 4' Jump Shot | 50 92.5% | 39 7.5% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | DET | Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 50 91.9% | 39 8.1% |
| Q2 - 4:36 | ATL | Gugliotta Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 47 90.0% | 39 10.0% |
| Q2 - 4:41 | DET | Wallace 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 2 AST) | 47 88.9% | 39 11.1% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 87.8% | 39 12.2% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | ATL | MISS Gugliotta 16' Jump Shot | 45 87.4% | 39 12.6% |
| Q2 - 5:05 | DET | Hamilton 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 3 AST) | 45 86.4% | 39 13.6% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | ATL | Harrington Driving Dunk (14 PTS) | 43 85.2% | 39 14.8% |
| Q2 - 5:45 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 43 86.4% | 37 13.6% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | ATL | MISS Lue 15' Jump Shot | 43 87.4% | 37 12.6% |
| Q2 - 6:05 | DET | Prince Dunk (14 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST) | 43 86.3% | 37 13.7% |
| Q2 - 6:28 | ATL | Lue Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 41 85.3% | 37 14.7% |
| Q2 - 6:28 | ATL | Lue 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 41 86.6% | 36 13.4% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | DET | Prince 4' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 41 87.6% | 34 12.4% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 39 86.6% | 34 13.4% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | ATL | Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 39 85.0% | 34 15.0% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | ATL | MISS Childress Tip Shot | 39 86.1% | 34 13.9% |
| Q2 - 6:59 | ATL | MISS Harrington Layup | 39 86.1% | 34 13.9% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 85.0% | 34 15.0% |
| Q2 - 7:07 | DET | MISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot | 39 85.4% | 34 14.6% |
| Q2 - 7:23 | ATL | Gugliotta 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 3 AST) | 39 86.4% | 34 13.6% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | ATL | Lue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 87.5% | 32 12.5% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | DET | MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 87.9% | 32 12.1% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 39 88.7% | 32 11.3% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 39 89.0% | 31 11.0% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 39 89.6% | 30 10.4% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | ATL | MISS Harrington Layup | 39 90.3% | 30 9.7% |
| Q2 - 7:59 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 39 89.6% | 30 10.4% |
| Q2 - 7:59 | ATL | MISS Childress Layup | 39 90.3% | 30 9.7% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | DET | McDyess Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T3) | 39 89.4% | 30 10.6% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | ATL | Harrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 39 90.4% | 30 9.6% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | ATL | Harrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 39 90.7% | 29 9.3% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | ATL | Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 91.2% | 28 8.8% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | DET | MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 91.5% | 28 8.5% |
| Q2 - 8:46 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 39 92.1% | 28 7.9% |
| Q2 - 8:48 | ATL | MISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 91.8% | 28 8.2% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | DET | Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dupree 1 AST) | 39 91.0% | 28 9.0% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | ATL | Delk Layup (2 PTS) (Gugliotta 1 AST) | 36 89.4% | 28 10.6% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | DET | Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST) | 36 90.2% | 26 9.8% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | DET | Dupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 88.1% | 26 11.9% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | ATL | MISS Gugliotta 18' Jump Shot | 33 87.7% | 26 12.3% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | ATL | Collier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 33 86.9% | 26 13.1% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | DET | MISS Wallace Layup | 33 87.3% | 26 12.7% |
| Q2 - 10:34 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 33 88.1% | 26 11.9% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | ATL | MISS Ivey Free Throw 2 of 2 | 33 88.0% | 26 12.0% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | ATL | Ivey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 33 87.3% | 26 12.7% |
| Q2 - 10:43 | ATL | Collier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 33 88.0% | 25 12.0% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | DET | MISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot | 33 88.4% | 25 11.6% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 33 89.1% | 25 10.9% |
| Q2 - 10:54 | ATL | MISS Delk 17' Jump Shot | 33 88.8% | 25 11.2% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | DET | McDyess 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST) | 33 88.0% | 25 12.0% |
| Q2 - 11:42 | ATL | Gugliotta Dunk (2 PTS) (Delk 1 AST) | 31 86.9% | 25 13.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ATL | 31 88.0% | 23 12.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ATL | Collier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 88.0% | 23 12.0% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | DET | Ivey BLOCK (1 BLK) | 31 88.1% | 23 11.9% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | ATL | Ivey 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 31 88.6% | 23 11.4% |
| Q1 - 0:23.0 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 89.8% | 21 10.2% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | DET | MISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot | 31 90.0% | 21 10.0% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | ATL | Collier Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 31 90.4% | 21 9.6% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | DET | McDyess 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST) | 31 91.4% | 19 8.6% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 29 90.4% | 19 9.6% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | ATL | Harrington Dunk (10 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST) | 28 89.6% | 19 10.4% |
| Q1 - 1:10 | ATL | Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 90.6% | 17 9.4% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | DET | MISS Wallace Layup | 28 90.8% | 17 9.2% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 28 91.2% | 17 8.8% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | ATL | MISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 91.0% | 17 9.0% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | DET | Prince 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST) | 28 90.6% | 17 9.4% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 89.6% | 17 10.4% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | ATL | Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 26 88.9% | 17 11.1% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | ATL | MISS Harrington Layup | 26 89.4% | 17 10.6% |
| Q1 - 2:02 | ATL | MISS Smith 13' Jump Shot | 26 89.5% | 17 10.5% |
| Q1 - 2:27 | ATL | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 88.9% | 17 11.1% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | DET | MISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot | 26 89.2% | 17 10.8% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | ATL | Harrington 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 26 89.7% | 17 10.3% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | ATL | Collier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 90.3% | 15 9.7% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | DET | MISS Prince Layup | 26 90.5% | 15 9.5% |
| Q1 - 3:14 | ATL | Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 26 91.1% | 15 8.9% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | DET | Prince 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST) | 26 90.3% | 15 9.7% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | ATL | Harrington 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 24 89.6% | 15 10.4% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | DET | Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST) | 24 90.2% | 13 9.8% |
| Q1 - 4:37 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 88.7% | 13 11.3% |
| Q1 - 4:38 | ATL | MISS Lue 12' Jump Shot | 21 88.4% | 13 11.6% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | ATL | Ekezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 87.6% | 13 12.4% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | DET | MISS Prince 14' Jump Shot | 21 88.0% | 13 12.0% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | DET | Billups Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 21 88.7% | 13 11.3% |
| Q1 - 5:11 | ATL | Lue 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 20 87.6% | 13 12.4% |
| Q1 - 5:32 | DET | Prince 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST) | 20 88.5% | 11 11.5% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | ATL | Ekezie Traveling Turnover (P1.T1) | 18 87.7% | 11 12.3% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | DET | Wallace Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 18 86.4% | 11 13.6% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 87.3% | 11 12.7% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | ATL | MISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot | 18 87.1% | 11 12.9% |
| Q1 - 6:28 | DET | Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST) | 18 86.4% | 11 13.6% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | ATL | Childress Running Layup (4 PTS) (Lue 2 AST) | 15 84.4% | 11 15.6% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | DET | Prince 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST) | 15 85.3% | 9 14.7% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | DET | Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 84.4% | 9 15.6% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | ATL | MISS Lue Layup | 13 84.1% | 9 15.9% |
| Q1 - 7:25 | ATL | Ekezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 83.2% | 9 16.8% |
| Q1 - 7:27 | DET | MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 83.6% | 9 16.4% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | ATL | Harrington 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 13 84.4% | 9 15.6% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | DET | Prince 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST) | 13 85.7% | 7 14.3% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | ATL | Harrington 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST) | 11 84.8% | 7 15.2% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | DET | Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 11 85.7% | 5 14.3% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 83.8% | 5 16.2% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | ATL | MISS Childress 5' Jump Shot | 8 83.4% | 5 16.6% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | DET | Wallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST) | 8 82.5% | 5 17.5% |
| Q1 - 9:41 | ATL | Childress Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 6 81.7% | 5 18.3% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | DET | Hamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 6 82.5% | 3 17.5% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 81.6% | 3 18.4% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | ATL | MISS Childress 18' Jump Shot | 4 81.2% | 3 18.8% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | ATL | Lue Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 4 80.3% | 3 19.7% |
| Q1 - 10:23 | DET | Prince Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 81.4% | 2 18.6% |
| Q1 - 10:34 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 82.7% | 2 17.3% |
| Q1 - 10:35 | ATL | MISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot | 4 82.3% | 2 17.7% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | DET | Hamilton Layup (4 PTS) | 4 81.4% | 2 18.6% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | ATL | Lue 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 80.4% | 2 19.6% |
| Q1 - 11:38 | DET | Hamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 81.6% | 0 18.4% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | ATL | Jump Ball Smith vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups | 0 80.4% | 0 19.6% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
DET
1.13 56.4%
ATL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
28
57%
ATL
18
35
51%
Midrange
DET
16
36
44%
ATL
26
46
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
ATL
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
DET
23
30
77%
ATL
14
15
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pistons| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Prince | 31 | 70% | 15.5 / 22 | |
| R. Wallace | 28 | 70% | 14.0 / 20 | |
| R. Hamilton | 23 | 64% | 11.5 / 18 | |
| C. Billups | 22 | 65% | 11.0 / 17 | |
| A. McDyess | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| B. Wallace | 4 | 20% | 2.0 / 10 | |
| C. Arroyo | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Hawks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrington | 37 | 62% | 18.5 / 30 | |
| T. Lue | 27 | 64% | 13.5 / 21 | |
| T. Gugliotta | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| J. Childress | 8 | 29% | 4.0 / 14 | |
| O. Ekezie | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| J. Smith | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| R. Ivey | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| J. Collier | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| T. Delk | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| D. Smith | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DET
83
+16
-12
99
ATL
81
+13
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
1.13 56.4%
ATL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.0 98.6 | DET 120.0 +2.6 ATL 117.4 |
| Pace | 89.5 93.3 | DET 85.3 +1.2 ATL 84.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 15.6 | DET 16.9 +0.2 ATL 17.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.2% 46.4% | DET 54.8% +2.0% ATL 52.8% |
| TO % | 14.4% 16.3% | DET 11.9% ATL 10.3% +1.6% |
| ORB % | 31.3% 30.8% | DET 30.8% +3.3% ATL 27.5% |
| FTrt | 33.5 29.9 | DET 36.1 +19.2 ATL 16.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 62.7% 54.9% | DET 61.0% +11.0% ATL 50.0% |
| STL % | 7.8% 8.1% | DET 6.3% ATL 7.6% +1.3% |
| BLK % | 9.4% 6.7% | DET 6.2% +3.1% ATL 3.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 49.3% 47.8% | DET 56.4% +2.4% ATL 54.0% |
| Rim FG% | 55.5% 55.4% | DET 57.1% +5.7% ATL 51.4% |
| Mid FG% | 39.7% 37.3% | DET 44.4% ATL 56.5% +12.1% |
| 3P % | 34.5% 31.2% | DET 47.4% +22.4% ATL 25.0% |
| FT % | 73.9% 71.1% | DET 76.7% ATL 93.3% +16.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.1% 42.4% | DET 33.7% ATL 39.3% +5.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 48.5% 43.0% | DET 43.4% +8.3% ATL 51.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 16.4% 14.6% | DET 22.9% +13.9% ATL 9.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
| Game Totals | DET | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 95 | 92 |
| Possession Minutes | 26.7 | 26.3 |
| Points | 114 | 108 |
| Rebounds | 41 | 38 |
| Assists | 25 | 23 |
| Steals | 6 | 7 |
| Blocks | 5 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (1) | 11 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (4) | 11 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (2) | 27 (2) |
| Field Goals | 41-83 | 46-89 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 16-28 | 18-35 |
| Midrange FG | 16-36 | 26-46 |
| 2-Point FG | 32-64 | 44-81 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-19 | 2-8 |
| Free Throws | 23-30 | 14-15 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.