FinalWin Prob.pScore
2522%86
62
378%96
64
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
75.68285.4
DET logo DET
75.38581.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADET
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA62
0%
64
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound62
0.4%
64
99.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Eisley 17' Jump Shot62
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETPISTONS Rebound62
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 262
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0UTAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)62
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)62
27.4%
63
72.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
13.9%
63
86.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0UTAMISS Eisley 20' Jump Shot62
17.9%
63
82.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0UTAJazz Rebound62
28.1%
63
71.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0UTAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)62
18.4%
63
81.6%
Q4 - 1:02DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)62
28.0%
63
72.0%
Q4 - 1:03DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
16.3%
63
83.7%
Q4 - 1:04DETMISS Wallace Layup62
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q4 - 1:25UTAWallace STEAL (3 STL)62
16.2%
63
83.8%
Q4 - 1:44DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P5.T12)62
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q4 - 2:07UTAOkur 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)62
16.2%
63
83.8%
Q4 - 2:22UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)60
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q4 - 2:24DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot60
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q4 - 2:43UTABell Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Eisley 3 AST)60
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q4 - 2:46UTAEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q4 - 2:49DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot58
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q4 - 3:04DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q4 - 3:06UTAMISS Kirilenko 15' Jump Shot58
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q4 - 3:23UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)58
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q4 - 3:25DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot58
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q4 - 3:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)58
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q4 - 3:40UTAMISS Okur 22' Jump Shot58
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q4 - 3:52UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q4 - 3:55DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q4 - 4:25UTABell 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Eisley 2 AST)58
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q4 - 4:33UTAEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q4 - 4:35DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot56
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q4 - 4:56UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)56
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q4 - 4:56UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)55
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q4 - 5:11DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q4 - 5:11DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q4 - 5:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)54
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q4 - 5:29DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q4 - 5:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q4 - 5:54DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot54
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q4 - 6:07UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (25 PTS)54
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q4 - 6:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)52
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q4 - 6:11UTAMISS Eisley 20' Jump Shot52
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q4 - 6:19UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q4 - 6:21DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q4 - 6:42UTABell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)52
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q4 - 6:45UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)52
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q4 - 6:48DETMISS Hamilton Layup52
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q4 - 6:59UTAKirilenko Backcourt Turnover (P7.T16)52
1.9%
61
98.1%
Q4 - 7:03UTAJazz Rebound52
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q4 - 7:04UTAArroyo BLOCK (1 BLK)52
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q4 - 7:07UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q4 - 7:10DETMISS Hamilton 11' Running Jump Shot52
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q4 - 7:33UTAEisley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q4 - 7:33UTAEisley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q4 - 7:36DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)50
1.9%
61
98.1%
Q4 - 7:49DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
1.4%
61
98.6%
Q4 - 7:52UTAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)50
1.6%
61
98.4%
Q4 - 8:02UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q4 - 8:03UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot50
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q4 - 8:25UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q4 - 8:27DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot50
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q4 - 8:45UTABillups STEAL (2 STL)50
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q4 - 9:05UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q4 - 9:08DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q4 - 9:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)50
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q4 - 9:19UTAMISS Harpring 19' Jump Shot50
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q4 - 9:25UTAJazz Rebound50
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q4 - 9:28UTAMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot50
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q4 - 9:37DETArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)50
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q4 - 9:49DETMcDyess Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q4 - 9:49DETMcDyess Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q4 - 9:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q4 - 9:56UTAMISS Okur 15' Jump Shot50
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q4 - 10:18UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)50
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q4 - 10:19DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 250
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q4 - 10:19DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q4 - 10:22DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q4 - 10:25UTAMcDyess BLOCK (3 BLK)50
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q4 - 10:29UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q4 - 10:31DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot50
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q4 - 10:50UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)50
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q4 - 10:50UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q4 - 10:51UTAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)50
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q4 - 11:13UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q4 - 11:15DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot50
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q4 - 11:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q4 - 11:28UTAMISS Harpring Layup50
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q4 - 11:43DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA50
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound50
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Giricek 42' 3PT Jump Shot50
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)50
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0UTAMcLeod Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0UTAMISS McLeod Free Throw 1 of 249
9.3%
55
90.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETHamilton Dunk (15 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)49
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0UTAArroyo STEAL (1 STL)49
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot49
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q3 - 1:24UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (23 PTS)49
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q3 - 1:25UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)47
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 1:29UTAMISS Giricek 13' Running Jump Shot47
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 1:49UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 1:51DETMISS Prince Layup47
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q3 - 1:56UTAMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)47
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q3 - 2:12DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q3 - 2:12DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 2:16DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 2:18UTAMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q3 - 2:24UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q3 - 2:26DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot47
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q3 - 2:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)47
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 2:30DETMISS Prince Layup47
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q3 - 2:57UTAHarpring Layup (10 PTS) (Okur 3 AST)47
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 3:16UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q3 - 3:18DETMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot45
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q3 - 3:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q3 - 3:29UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot45
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q3 - 3:55DETHamilton 14' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q3 - 4:11UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q3 - 4:11UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
11.7%
49
88.3%
Q3 - 4:27UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)43
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q3 - 4:29DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot43
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q3 - 4:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q3 - 4:36UTAMISS McLeod 3PT Jump Shot43
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q3 - 4:44DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)43
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q3 - 4:47DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q3 - 4:50UTAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)43
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q3 - 5:00DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q3 - 5:00DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q3 - 5:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)43
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 5:04UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot43
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q3 - 5:22DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
14.3%
47
85.7%
Q3 - 5:22DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q3 - 5:31UTAHarpring Tip Shot (8 PTS)43
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q3 - 5:33UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q3 - 5:36UTAMISS Borchardt 7' Hook Shot41
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q3 - 5:37UTABorchardt REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q3 - 5:39UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot41
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q3 - 5:59DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q3 - 5:59DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 241
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q3 - 6:08UTAWallace STEAL (1 STL)41
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q3 - 6:26DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)41
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q3 - 6:38UTAMcLeod Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)41
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q3 - 6:38UTAMcLeod Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)40
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q3 - 6:38UTAMcLeod Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)39
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q3 - 7:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q3 - 7:12DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot38
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q3 - 7:30UTABell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)38
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q3 - 7:50DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)38
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q3 - 8:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q3 - 8:10UTAMISS Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q3 - 8:29DETHamilton 13' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q3 - 8:48UTAKirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (McLeod 4 AST)38
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q3 - 9:01UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q3 - 9:03DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q3 - 9:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q3 - 9:22UTAMISS McLeod 17' Jump Shot35
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q3 - 9:27UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)35
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q3 - 9:30DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot35
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q3 - 9:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q3 - 9:43DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot35
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q3 - 9:55UTAKirilenko Layup (18 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)35
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q3 - 9:58DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)33
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q3 - 10:36UTAKirilenko 11' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)33
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q3 - 10:53DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)31
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q3 - 11:15UTAKirilenko Layup (14 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)31
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q3 - 11:26UTABorchardt REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q3 - 11:28DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot29
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q3 - 11:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
6.4%
38
93.6%
Q3 - 11:45UTAMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot29
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA29
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETBillups 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)29
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)29
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
9.7%
35
90.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTAKirilenko Layup (12 PTS) (McLeod 3 AST)29
11.1%
34
88.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETMISS Hamilton Layup27
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0UTAOkur 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)27
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 1:00DETMcDyess Tip Shot (6 PTS)25
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q2 - 1:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q2 - 1:01DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot25
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 1:11DETPISTONS Rebound25
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q2 - 1:14UTAMISS McLeod 15' Jump Shot25
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 1:38DETMcDyess 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)25
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q2 - 1:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 1:53UTAMISS Harpring 9' Hook Shot25
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q2 - 2:12UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 2:14DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.2%
30
87.8%
Q2 - 2:31DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q2 - 2:32UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 225
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q2 - 2:32UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
12.4%
30
87.6%
Q2 - 2:53DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)24
11.2%
30
88.8%
Q2 - 3:17UTABell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)24
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q2 - 3:35DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q2 - 3:35DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)22
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 3:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q2 - 3:39DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot22
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q2 - 4:01UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q2 - 4:01UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q2 - 4:18DETBillups 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q2 - 4:24DETDupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q2 - 4:26DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot20
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q2 - 4:41UTAKirilenko Traveling Turnover (P4.T8)20
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q2 - 4:50DETDupree Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q2 - 4:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q2 - 5:00UTAMISS Harpring 14' Jump Shot20
14.3%
23
85.7%
Q2 - 5:20DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 120
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q2 - 5:20DETHamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q2 - 5:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q2 - 5:24UTAMISS Okur 11' Jump Shot20
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q2 - 5:26UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q2 - 5:28UTAMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)20
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q2 - 5:43UTAJazz Rebound20
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q2 - 5:44DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot20
17.8%
21
82.2%
Q2 - 6:00DETPISTONS Rebound20
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q2 - 6:01UTAMISS Kirilenko 16' Jump Shot20
17.0%
21
83.0%
Q2 - 6:13UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
18.3%
21
81.7%
Q2 - 6:14DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot20
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q2 - 6:39UTAHumphries 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Eisley 1 AST)20
16.4%
21
83.6%
Q2 - 6:51UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)18
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q2 - 6:52UTAMISS Humphries 19' Jump Shot18
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q2 - 7:12UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q2 - 7:14DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot18
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q2 - 7:43UTAHumphries 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)18
13.8%
21
86.2%
Q2 - 7:46UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q2 - 7:49UTADupree BLOCK (1 BLK)16
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q2 - 7:53UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q2 - 7:55DETMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot16
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q2 - 8:15DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q2 - 8:16UTAMISS Humphries Free Throw 2 of 216
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q2 - 8:16UTAMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 216
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q2 - 8:30UTAJazz Rebound16
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q2 - 8:31DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q2 - 8:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q2 - 8:58UTAMISS Okur 22' Jump Shot16
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q2 - 9:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q2 - 9:12UTAMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot16
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q2 - 9:36UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q2 - 9:37DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot16
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q2 - 9:48UTAEisley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)16
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q2 - 10:01DETMcDyess Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)16
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q2 - 10:16DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q2 - 10:17UTAMISS Kirilenko 17' Jump Shot16
12.0%
21
88.0%
Q2 - 10:35UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q2 - 10:37DETMISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q2 - 11:04UTAEisley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q2 - 11:28DETHunter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)14
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q2 - 11:40DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q2 - 11:41UTAMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)14
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET14
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound14
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETMISS Arroyo Layup14
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0UTAMISS McLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)14
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0DETMISS Arroyo 14' Running Jump Shot14
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 1:05UTAHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)14
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 1:07UTAJazz Rebound12
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 1:08UTAMISS Harpring Layup12
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 1:31DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)12
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 1:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 1:45UTAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)12
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 2:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 2:07DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot12
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 2:12UTAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)12
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 2:29UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 2:31DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot12
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 2:59UTAHarpring Layup (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)12
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 3:11DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 3:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 3:23DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 3:48UTAHarpring Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)10
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 4:06UTAJazz Rebound8
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 4:08DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 4:36UTAKirilenko 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)8
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 5:00DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 5:21UTAWallace STEAL (2 STL)6
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 5:33DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 5:43UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (6 PTS)6
8.4%
15
91.6%
Q1 - 5:45UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
7.9%
15
92.1%
Q1 - 5:46UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup4
7.4%
15
92.6%
Q1 - 6:03DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
8.0%
15
92.0%
Q1 - 6:08UTABillups STEAL (1 STL)4
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 6:23UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 6:25DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
9.1%
13
90.9%
Q1 - 6:42UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 6:51DETBillups Driving Layup (5 PTS)4
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 6:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
10.0%
11
90.0%
Q1 - 6:58UTAMISS Borchardt Layup4
10.2%
11
89.8%
Q1 - 6:59UTABorchardt REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 7:01UTAMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot4
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 7:16DETPrince 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 7:46UTAKirilenko 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)4
11.6%
9
88.4%
Q1 - 8:02DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)2
10.8%
9
89.2%
Q1 - 8:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 8:05DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot2
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 8:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 8:07DETMISS Wallace Layup2
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 8:27UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)2
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 8:54DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 9:07UTAWallace STEAL (1 STL)2
12.9%
5
87.1%
Q1 - 9:28UTAJazz Rebound2
14.0%
5
86.0%
Q1 - 9:29DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.7%
5
86.3%
Q1 - 9:44DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.9%
5
87.1%
Q1 - 9:46UTAMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot2
13.2%
5
86.8%
Q1 - 10:04UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 10:07DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot2
13.6%
5
86.4%
Q1 - 10:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.9%
5
87.1%
Q1 - 10:24UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup2
13.2%
5
86.8%
Q1 - 10:26UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 10:28UTAMISS Harpring 13' Jump Shot2
13.2%
5
86.8%
Q1 - 10:38UTABorchardt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 10:40UTAMISS McLeod Layup2
13.2%
5
86.8%
Q1 - 11:04DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 11:04DETBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 11:22UTAKirilenko 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:41DETWallace 12' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Borchardt: Tip to Billups0
15.7%
0
84.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.71 35.6%
DET
0.74 37.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
12
27
44%
DET
10
19
53%
Midrange
UTA
11
40
28%
DET
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
1
1.5
7
14%
21%
DET
1
1.5
18
6%
8%
Free Throws
UTA
13
17
76%
DET
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko2764%13.5 / 21
M. Harpring1036%5.0 / 14
M. Okur735%3.5 / 10
R. Bell633%3.0 / 9
K. McLeod425%2.0 / 8
H. Eisley429%2.0 / 7
K. Humphries440%2.0 / 5
C. Borchardt0-0.0 / 2
G. Giricek0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1536%7.5 / 21
C. Billups1243%6.0 / 14
R. Wallace1036%5.0 / 14
A. McDyess1050%5.0 / 10
T. Prince630%3.0 / 10
B. Wallace650%3.0 / 6
C. Arroyo325%1.5 / 6
L. Hunter233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
66
+20
-16
86
DET
72
+14
-13
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.71 35.6%
DET
0.74 37.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
103.0
UTA 75.6 +0.3
DET 75.3
Pace
90.9
89.5
UTA 85.4 +3.6
DET 81.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
UTA 16.9 +0.7
DET 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.9%
47.2%
UTA 33.1% +0.9%
DET 32.2%
TO %
16.4%
14.4%
UTA 18.1%
DET 14.5% +3.6%
ORB %
32.0%
31.3%
UTA 31.8% +4.1%
DET 27.7%
FTrt
36.1
33.5
UTA 23.0
DET 28.8 +5.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
62.7%
UTA 75.0% +22.8%
DET 52.2%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
UTA 7.3%
DET 10.6% +3.3%
BLK %
8.0%
9.4%
UTA 12.7%
DET 16.4% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
49.3%
UTA 35.6%
DET 37.2% +1.6%
Rim FG%
56.5%
55.5%
UTA 44.4%
DET 52.6% +8.2%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.7%
UTA 27.5%
DET 33.3% +5.8%
3P %
32.8%
34.5%
UTA 14.3% +8.7%
DET 5.6%
FT %
75.7%
73.9%
UTA 76.5%
DET 81.0% +4.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
35.1%
UTA 36.5% +10.5%
DET 26.0%
Mid Att. %
51.0%
48.5%
UTA 54.1%
DET 49.3% +4.7%
3P Att. %
12.1%
16.4%
UTA 9.5%
DET 24.7% +15.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADET
Possessions8285
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points6264
Rebounds4843
Assists1812
Steals69
Blocks711
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)30 (3)
Field Goals24-7423-73
At-the-Rim FG12-2710-19
Midrange FG11-4012-36
2-Point FG23-6722-55
3-Point FG1-71-18
Free Throws13-1717-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
45.2
27
64%
14
3
3
5
7
1
6
8
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 230 · 29
39.1
10
36%
7
2
0
0
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
36.9
6
33%
6
2
1
0
2
5
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
28.7
4
25%
0
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 242 · 24
12.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
35.8
7
35%
11
3
1
2
1
3
3
8
3-4
75%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
19.3
4
29%
2
3
1
0
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
11.7
4
40%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
11.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22
C · 6'10" 240 · 31
G · 6'4" 209 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
62
36%
48
18
6
7
16
0
14
34
13-17
76%
23-67
34%
1-7
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.