FinalWin Prob.pScore
2622%95
89
678%105
102
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
97.89191.6
MIA logo MIA
107.49594.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0LALMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0LALAnderson STEAL (2 STL)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)89
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00LALAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)89
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21LALButler Dunk (10 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38LALBryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00LALOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T14)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAO'Neal Dunk (25 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31LALButler Dunk (8 PTS) (Atkins 6 AST)81
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)79
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04LALCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Atkins 5 AST)79
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 3:17LALLakers Rebound76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWade Tip Shot (25 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot76
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 3:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 3:49LALMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot76
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 4:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 4:11LALMISS Butler Tip Shot76
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 4:12LALButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 4:14LALMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot76
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Bank Shot (21 PTS)76
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 4:54LALAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)76
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 5:09LALBryant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 5:32LALO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)73
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 5:41MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:05LALMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 6:19LALAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Haslem Layup73
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 6:29MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot73
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 6:46LALHaslem STEAL (1 STL)73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 7:03MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:03MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 7:08MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 7:10LALMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 173
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIAO'Neal Layup (19 PTS)73
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIAHEAT Rebound73
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q4 - 7:35LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot73
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 7:47MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 273
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q4 - 8:00LALWade STEAL (3 STL)73
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 8:19MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS)73
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q4 - 8:40LALCook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)73
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q4 - 8:56MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS)70
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q4 - 9:13LALMISS Brown 12' Jump Bank Shot70
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q4 - 9:25MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q4 - 9:25MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q4 - 9:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 9:32LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot70
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q4 - 9:44MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)70
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q4 - 10:03LALCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)70
12.8%
73
87.2%
Q4 - 10:22MIADooling 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q4 - 10:33LALMISS Medvedenko 20' Jump Shot67
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q4 - 10:56MIADooling 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q4 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q4 - 11:15LALMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
17.1%
69
82.9%
Q4 - 11:31LALLakers Rebound67
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q4 - 11:33LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot67
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q4 - 11:48MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)67
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALAnderson STEAL (1 STL)67
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)67
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 267
18.7%
69
81.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot67
21.5%
68
78.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Jones Layup67
21.5%
68
78.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
21.5%
68
78.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0LALAtkins 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)67
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
15.4%
68
84.6%
Q3 - 1:13LALGrant 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 1:15LALGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 1:17LALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot63
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 1:23LALBryant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)63
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 1:24LALMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot63
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 1:45MIADooling 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 2:10LALMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot63
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 2:19MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)63
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 2:34LALGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 2:46MIAJones Driving Layup (11 PTS)61
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 3:03LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)61
13.8%
64
86.2%
Q3 - 3:03LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)60
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 3:05LALBryant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 3:06LALLaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)59
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 3:10LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot59
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 3:20LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot59
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 3:27LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 3:29LALMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot59
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 3:45MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)59
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 4:06LALMISS Butler 13' Fadeaway Jumper59
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q3 - 4:25LALLakers Rebound59
16.1%
62
83.9%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 4:42MIAHEAT Rebound59
13.6%
62
86.4%
Q3 - 4:43LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q3 - 5:01LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
16.1%
62
83.9%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones Layup59
15.4%
62
84.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 5:07LALMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (16 PTS)59
16.1%
62
83.9%
Q3 - 5:48LALGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)59
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 6:01MIAWade Layup (19 PTS)57
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 6:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot57
19.9%
58
80.1%
Q3 - 6:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
18.1%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 6:13LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 6:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 6:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 6:48LALAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)57
23.3%
56
76.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)54
18.3%
56
81.7%
Q3 - 7:09LALMihm Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)54
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q3 - 7:09LALMISS Mihm Free Throw 1 of 253
15.2%
56
84.8%
Q3 - 7:21LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup53
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 7:48LALAtkins 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
13.8%
56
86.2%
Q3 - 7:54LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 8:16MIAHEAT Rebound51
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 8:17LALMISS Bryant Layup51
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 8:34MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)51
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 8:40LALJones STEAL (1 STL)51
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 9:03MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS)51
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q3 - 9:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup51
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 9:25LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot51
18.1%
52
81.9%
Q3 - 9:50MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)51
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q3 - 9:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q3 - 10:01LALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot51
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q3 - 10:10MIAJones Running Layup (7 PTS)51
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q3 - 10:38LALAtkins Running Layup (10 PTS)51
26.6%
48
73.4%
Q3 - 10:42LALAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Jones Layup49
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q3 - 10:59LALButler Layup (6 PTS)49
21.4%
48
78.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)47
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q3 - 11:18LALWade STEAL (2 STL)47
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q3 - 11:26LALLakers Rebound47
21.0%
47
79.0%
Q3 - 11:28LALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)47
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q3 - 11:32MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
21.0%
47
79.0%
Q3 - 11:47LALButler 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)47
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0LALOdom Layup (11 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)45
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0LALButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)43
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 1:06LALBryant Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)41
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 1:11LALBryant Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)39
10.5%
45
89.5%
Q2 - 1:16MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 1:35LALAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)38
11.1%
43
88.9%
Q2 - 1:52LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 235
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 2:05LALMISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot35
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 2:21MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)35
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 2:35MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Butler: Tip to O'Neal35
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 2:37LALMISS Atkins 13' Running Jump Shot35
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 2:46LALAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
10.9%
41
89.1%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot35
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHEAT Rebound35
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 3:01LALMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
10.2%
41
89.8%
Q2 - 3:10LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 3:30LALAtkins Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS)35
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 3:43LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot33
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 3:58LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)33
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q2 - 3:58LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)32
7.7%
41
92.3%
Q2 - 4:12MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)31
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 4:39LALAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)31
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 5:06MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)28
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 5:26LALBryant 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)28
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 5:42LALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
6.5%
37
93.5%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 226
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 226
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 5:54LALButler Foul Turnover (P1.T8)26
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 5:58LALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
6.5%
37
93.5%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS O'Neal Layup26
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q2 - 6:16LALO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)26
5.9%
37
94.1%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)26
6.7%
37
93.3%
Q2 - 6:51LALLaettner STEAL (2 STL)26
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 7:06MIAAnderson 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
8.4%
35
91.6%
Q2 - 7:08MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup26
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 7:19MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 7:21LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Bank Shot26
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 7:34LALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot26
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 7:42MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 7:44LALMISS Jones 5' Hook Shot26
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 8:02MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#5)26
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 8:23LALBryant 20' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)26
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 8:33LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot24
8.3%
33
91.7%
Q2 - 8:58LALBryant Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)24
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q2 - 9:13MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)22
7.1%
33
92.9%
Q2 - 9:20LALLaettner STEAL (1 STL)22
7.7%
31
92.3%
Q2 - 9:22LALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 9:24LALMISS Walton 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.0%
31
92.0%
Q2 - 9:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 9:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)22
8.7%
30
91.3%
Q2 - 9:46LALJones Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)22
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHEAT Rebound22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll22
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 10:54LALOdom 10' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 11:23MIADooling 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
10.3%
27
89.7%
Q2 - 11:40MIAHEAT Rebound20
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q2 - 11:41LALMISS Bryant 18' Turnaround Jump Shot20
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL20
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0LALCook Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
14.5%
22
85.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0LALMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 219
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
14.2%
22
85.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0LALMISS Medvedenko 18' Jump Shot19
13.6%
22
86.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
14.2%
22
85.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 1:13LALBryant 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 1:29MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)17
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
13.4%
20
86.6%
Q1 - 1:36LALMISS Atkins 16' Jump Shot17
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 1:40LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 1:43LALO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)17
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 2:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 2:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 2:10LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
15.6%
18
84.4%
Q1 - 2:10LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 216
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 2:28LALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot16
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 2:43LALOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 2:46LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup16
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound16
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 3:20LALGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 3:38LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot14
12.9%
18
87.1%
Q1 - 3:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 3:58LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 214
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 3:58LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 4:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)13
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 4:28LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:51MIAWade Layup (6 PTS)13
15.3%
15
84.7%
Q1 - 4:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
16.2%
13
83.8%
Q1 - 4:57LALO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)13
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 4:59LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
17.7%
13
82.3%
Q1 - 5:01LALMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot13
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 5:10MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)13
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 5:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 5:16LALMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot13
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
17.5%
12
82.5%
Q1 - 5:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
18.3%
11
81.7%
Q1 - 5:40LALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot13
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 6:10MIAJones 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 6:18LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
21.0%
9
79.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 6:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
21.6%
9
78.4%
Q1 - 6:55LALOdom Layup (6 PTS)13
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 6:56LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 6:58LALMISS Butler Driving Layup11
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 7:04LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
18.9%
9
81.1%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 7' Driving Finger Roll11
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 7:21LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 7:50MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
18.9%
9
81.1%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 8:00LALMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot11
20.4%
7
79.6%
Q1 - 8:06LALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
21.1%
7
78.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot11
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 8:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 8:14LALMISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 8:26MIAWade Running Dunk (2 PTS)11
21.1%
7
78.9%
Q1 - 8:29LALWade STEAL (1 STL)11
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 8:32LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot11
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 8:53LALOdom Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)11
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 8:57LALLakers Rebound9
21.1%
5
78.9%
Q1 - 8:58LALMISS Mihm Layup9
20.1%
5
79.9%
Q1 - 9:01LALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:03LALMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 9:07LALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:09LALMISS Mihm 6' Hook Shot9
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 9:11LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:13LALO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)9
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 9:18LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot9
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 9:32MIAHEAT Rebound9
19.4%
5
80.6%
Q1 - 9:34LALMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)9
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 10:16LALBryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mihm 1 AST)9
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:51LALBryant Layup (4 PTS)6
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 10:52LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 10:54LALMISS Mihm 12' Turnaround Jump Shot4
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 11:03LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot4
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot4
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:24LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 11:24LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 11:27MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 11:40LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:40LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:42LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mihm: Tip to Jones0
15.2%
0
84.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
13
24
54%
MIA
21
36
58%
Midrange
LAL
10
39
26%
MIA
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
MIA
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
LAL
13
17
76%
MIA
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2648%13.0 / 27
C. Atkins2364%11.5 / 18
L. Odom1150%5.5 / 11
C. Butler1036%5.0 / 14
B. Cook10125%5.0 / 4
B. Grant844%4.0 / 9
C. Mihm110%0.5 / 5
J. Jones0-0.0 / 3
S. Medvedenko0-0.0 / 2
T. Brown0-0.0 / 1
L. Walton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2761%13.5 / 22
S. O'Neal2552%12.5 / 24
K. Dooling1765%8.5 / 13
E. Jones1238%6.0 / 16
D. Jones1161%5.5 / 9
S. Anderson4100%2.0 / 2
U. Haslem214%1.0 / 7
C. Laettner2100%1.0 / 1
M. Doleac2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
76
+18
-15
94
MIA
84
+15
-11
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.3
106.6
LAL 97.8 +9.6
MIA 107.4
Pace
93.4
93.9
LAL 91.6
MIA 94.3 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.6
LAL 15.7
MIA 15.3 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
52.4%
LAL 43.7%
MIA 50.6% +6.9%
TO %
14.7%
14.0%
LAL 13.7%
MIA 11.5% +2.2%
ORB %
29.5%
27.0%
LAL 31.8% +3.2%
MIA 28.6%
FTrt
32.2
38.7
LAL 19.5
MIA 36.3 +16.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
57.8%
LAL 57.6% +10.2%
MIA 47.4%
STL %
6.6%
6.8%
LAL 11.0% +0.5%
MIA 10.5%
BLK %
6.4%
8.7%
LAL 3.3%
MIA 9.5% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.7%
LAL 46.4%
MIA 51.5% +5.1%
Rim FG%
55.0%
63.0%
LAL 54.2%
MIA 58.3% +4.1%
Mid FG%
38.6%
41.0%
LAL 25.6%
MIA 48.0% +22.4%
3P %
35.5%
37.7%
LAL 41.7% +15.4%
MIA 26.3%
FT %
77.7%
67.2%
LAL 76.5% +4.1%
MIA 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
37.6%
LAL 27.6%
MIA 45.0% +17.4%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
42.6%
LAL 44.8%
MIA 31.3% +13.6%
3P Att. %
27.3%
19.8%
LAL 27.6% +3.8%
MIA 23.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9195
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points89102
Rebounds4442
Assists1918
Steals1010
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)30 (7)
Field Goals33-8738-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2421-36
Midrange FG10-3912-25
2-Point FG23-6333-61
3-Point FG10-245-19
Free Throws13-1721-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 212 · 27
45.5
26
48%
10
3
4
1
3
2
5
5
8-9
89%
6-17
35%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 230 · 25
42.5
11
50%
11
5
3
1
3
4
2
9
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 31
40.9
23
64%
3
6
0
0
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
5-9
56%
F · 6'7" 228 · 25
37.0
10
36%
7
2
0
0
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
15.4
1
10%
4
1
0
0
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33
18.6
8
44%
5
0
1
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 26
13.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
8.9
10
125%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
3-3
100%
F · 6'10" 253 · 26
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 26
7.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
46%
44
19
10
2
15
0
14
30
13-17
76%
23-63
37%
10-24
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.