FinalWin Prob.pScore
2734%102
94
1166%107
105
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
88.7106107.2
SAC logo SAC
105.010098.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAC
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL94
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SACStojakovic Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLSkinner STEAL (3 STL)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SACThomas 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bibby 10 AST)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)94
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:03ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)93
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:03ORLCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SACMobley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 1:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39SACMISS Mobley 15' Turnaround Jump Shot90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58ORLMISS Cato 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16SACStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Thomas 7 AST)90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:30ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)90
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 2:30ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)89
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 2:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:30ORLMISS Stevenson 10' Jump Shot88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:32ORLCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:34ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:54SACMobley 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)88
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 3:13ORLFrancis Layup (23 PTS)88
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 3:16SACSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)86
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 3:19SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 3:21SACMISS Stojakovic 10' Jump Shot86
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 3:36ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P8.T24)86
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMagic Rebound86
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 3:41SACMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 4:03ORLStevenson Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)86
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 4:09ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:11SACMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:28SACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:42SACThomas Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:58ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)84
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:58ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 283
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:16SACBibby 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Skinner 2 AST)83
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 5:31SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 5:33ORLMISS Cato 5' Hook Shot83
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 5:49SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 5:49SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 6:01ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 6:01ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 6:02SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 6:06ORLThomas STEAL (1 STL)81
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:20SACSkinner 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 6:22SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 6:24SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 6:31ORLSkinner STEAL (2 STL)81
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 6:44SACMobley 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)81
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 7:02ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)81
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 7:02ORLFrancis Layup (18 PTS)80
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 7:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 7:14SACMISS Skinner 5' Hook Shot78
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 7:28ORLEvans STEAL (4 STL)78
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 7:31ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 7:33SACMISS Evans Layup78
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 7:39SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 7:42SACMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 8:06ORLEvans STEAL (3 STL)78
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 8:19SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 8:19SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 8:35ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)78
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 8:46SACBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)78
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 9:01ORLHill 10' Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
8.3%
85
91.7%
Q4 - 9:18ORLMagic Rebound76
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 9:19SACMISS Thomas 22' Jump Shot76
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 9:32ORLEvans STEAL (2 STL)76
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 9:46SACBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Thomas 6 AST)76
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 10:06ORLTurkoglu Layup (14 PTS)76
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q4 - 10:11SACThomas Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)74
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 10:22SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)74
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 10:24ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 10:42SACBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)74
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 10:54ORLTurkoglu 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)74
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q4 - 11:11SACEvans 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)72
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 11:33ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q4 - 11:33ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 271
13.7%
77
86.3%
Q4 - 11:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q4 - 11:43SACMISS Williamson 11' Jump Shot71
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL71
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound71
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot71
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
15.4%
76
84.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0SACKINGS Rebound71
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0SACMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
19.8%
75
80.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLTurkoglu Layup (10 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)71
17.6%
75
82.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0SACBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)69
14.8%
75
85.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)69
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (15 PTS)68
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q3 - 1:06SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 1:06SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 1:27ORLHill 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)66
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 1:39SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 1:39SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 1:55ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)64
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 2:08ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 2:11SACMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot61
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 161
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 2:27ORLHill Driving Layup (18 PTS)61
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 2:27ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)59
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 2:32SACMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot59
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 2:47SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Francis 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 2:55ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 2:58SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot59
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 3:21SACKINGS Rebound59
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 3:30SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)59
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 3:32SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 3:33ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot59
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 3:45ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 3:47SACMISS Skinner 8' Jump Hook Shot59
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 4:11ORLNelson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)59
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 4:13SACBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)59
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 4:36ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 4:44SACSongaila Foul Turnover (P2.T10)57
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 4:59ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)57
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 5:05ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 5:08SACMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 5:27ORLFrancis 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 5:29ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMISS Cato 6' Hook Shot55
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 5:33ORLCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot55
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 5:53ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 5:55SACMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot55
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 6:02SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 6:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 255
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 6:03ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)55
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 6:19SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Songaila 4 AST)54
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 6:38ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)54
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 6:50ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 6:52SACMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 252
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 6:52SACSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 7:09ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)52
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 7:15SACSongaila Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)50
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 7:29SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 7:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 250
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 7:31ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 7:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 7:39ORLMISS Francis 7' Jump Shot49
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 7:40ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 7:43ORLMISS Francis 12' Jump Shot49
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 7:52SACStojakovic Layup (19 PTS) (Bibby 9 AST)49
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 7:57ORLSongaila STEAL (3 STL)49
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 8:16SACMobley Foul Turnover (P3.T8)49
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 8:34ORLFrancis Driving Layup (11 PTS)49
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 8:51ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 8:53SACMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot47
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 9:00ORLMobley STEAL (1 STL)47
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 9:23SACSkinner Dunk (10 PTS)47
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 9:25SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 9:27SACMISS Songaila 19' Jump Shot47
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 9:41SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 9:43ORLMISS Cato 13' Jump Shot47
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 10:06SACBibby Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)47
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 10:13SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 10:15ORLMISS Cato 5' Hook Shot47
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 10:21SACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)47
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 10:35ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)47
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 10:35ORLMagic Rebound47
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 10:35ORLMISS Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 11:00SACMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot47
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 11:07ORLFrancis Inbound Turnover (P4.T12)47
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 11:09SACStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)47
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 11:16SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 11:18ORLMISS Nelson 13' Jump Shot47
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 11:28SACStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)47
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 11:42SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 11:45ORLMISS Francis 5' Jump Shot47
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL47
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound47
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 44' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0SACBibby 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)47
7.1%
61
92.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot47
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0SACThomas 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)47
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Hill Layup47
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q2 - 1:03SACStojakovic Layup (15 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)47
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q2 - 1:06SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 1:08ORLSkinner BLOCK (3 BLK)47
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q2 - 1:26SACThomas Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)47
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q2 - 1:38ORLFrancis Driving Layup (9 PTS)47
17.1%
53
82.9%
Q2 - 1:41ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 1:43SACMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot45
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 1:59ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q2 - 1:59ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 1:59ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
11.7%
53
88.3%
Q2 - 1:59ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
11.7%
53
88.3%
Q2 - 1:59ORLMISS Cato Layup43
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 2:00ORLMISS Hill 11' Jump Shot43
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 2:09SACMISS Stojakovic Free Throw Technical43
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 2:09SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)43
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 2:29ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)43
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 2:41SACBibby Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)40
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 2:44SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 2:45ORLMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot40
14.2%
48
85.8%
Q2 - 2:55ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 2:57SACMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot40
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 3:09ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)40
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q2 - 3:09ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 3:11ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot40
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 3:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 3:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot40
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 3:36SACStojakovic Layup (10 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)40
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 3:41ORLSkinner STEAL (1 STL)40
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 3:54SACThomas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)40
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 4:11ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 4:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 4:20SACMISS Mobley 3' Turnaround Jump Shot38
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 4:44ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)38
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 4:48SACWilliamson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 4:59SACWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 5:02ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot38
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 5:16SACHouse 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)38
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 5:27ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)38
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 5:33SACStojakovic Layup (8 PTS)36
19.4%
42
80.6%
Q2 - 5:34SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 5:37SACMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 5:54ORLNelson 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)36
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 6:04ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 6:06SACMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot33
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 6:26ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q2 - 6:26ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 6:47SACMobley 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)31
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 7:09ORLGarrity 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)31
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 7:30SACEvans Dunk (4 PTS) (Songaila 3 AST)28
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 7:47ORLHill Layup (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)28
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 7:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 7:52SACMISS House 18' Jump Shot26
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 8:16ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 8:34SACEvans 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)24
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 8:42ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 8:42ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
11.7%
34
88.3%
Q2 - 8:56SACSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 8:56SACSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q2 - 8:56SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 8:57SACMISS Evans 9' Jump Shot21
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 9:03ORLEvans STEAL (1 STL)21
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 9:14SACWilliamson 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 9:34SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Francis 14' Jump Shot21
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 9:41ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 9:43ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot21
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 10:07SACSongaila 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)21
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 10:14SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 10:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot21
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q2 - 10:36SACThomas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q2 - 10:56ORLFrancis Driving Layup (7 PTS)21
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q2 - 11:04ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 11:07SACMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q2 - 11:29SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 11:32ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q2 - 11:34ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 11:36ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot19
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC19
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACKINGS Rebound19
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS Stojakovic 28' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0SACKINGS Rebound19
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot19
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0SACStojakovic Layup (6 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)19
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLBibby STEAL (1 STL)19
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 1:00SACThomas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)19
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q1 - 1:10SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 1:12ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot19
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 1:28ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 1:30SACMISS Mobley Layup19
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 1:44ORLBattie 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 2:07SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 2:07SACSkinner Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 2:08SACMISS Songaila Layup17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 2:09SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 2:11SACMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 2:19ORLSongaila STEAL (2 STL)17
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 2:27SACMobley Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 2:29SACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 2:32ORLMISS Francis Layup17
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 2:38ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 2:40SACMISS Skinner Dunk17
28.3%
18
71.7%
Q1 - 2:54ORLHill 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)17
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 3:08SACMobley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
25.3%
18
74.7%
Q1 - 3:26ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)15
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 3:40SACBibby Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 3:57ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)13
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 4:10SACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 4:22SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 4:25ORLSkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)13
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 4:31SACMISS Songaila Reverse Layup13
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 4:40SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 4:42ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot13
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:57SACStojakovic 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)13
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 5:12ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)13
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 5:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 5:26SACMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot13
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 5:42ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 5:46ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 5:48SACMISS Stojakovic Layup13
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 6:07ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 6:08ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 6:11ORLMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot11
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 6:30SACStojakovic 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)11
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 6:51SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.4%
12
73.6%
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Nelson Layup11
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 7:07SACSongaila 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)11
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 7:24ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 7:24ORLFrancis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 7:44SACSkinner Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 8:04ORLHill Dunk (4 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)8
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 8:06ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 8:09SACMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot6
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:35ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:54SACBibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)6
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 9:15ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 9:23ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 9:25SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot4
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 9:43ORLHill Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
24.5%
6
75.5%
Q1 - 9:56ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 9:58SACMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 22
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 9:58SACMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 22
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 10:02SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 10:05ORLSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)2
22.3%
6
77.7%
Q1 - 10:14SACSkinner 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)2
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 10:30SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 10:32ORLMISS Cato 14' Fadeaway Jumper2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:54SACSongaila 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)2
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 11:03ORLSongaila STEAL (1 STL)2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 11:25SACSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)2
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 11:41ORLFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:45SACSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Skinner vs. Cato: Tip to0
27.5%
0
72.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 47.0%
SAC
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
28
64%
SAC
15
23
65%
Midrange
ORL
13
38
34%
SAC
22
43
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
SAC
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
ORL
20
25
80%
SAC
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2546%12.5 / 27
G. Hill2455%12.0 / 22
H. Turkoglu1450%7.0 / 14
J. Nelson1372%6.5 / 9
P. Garrity6100%3.0 / 3
K. Cato422%2.0 / 9
D. Howard450%2.0 / 4
T. Battie233%1.0 / 3
D. Stevenson220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2771%13.5 / 19
M. Bibby2155%10.5 / 19
K. Thomas1667%8.0 / 12
B. Skinner1359%6.5 / 11
C. Mobley1042%5.0 / 12
D. Songaila857%4.0 / 7
M. Evans650%3.0 / 6
C. Williamson250%1.0 / 2
E. House250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+18
-24
100
SAC
81
+10
-19
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 47.0%
SAC
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
107.4
ORL 88.7 +16.3
SAC 105.0
Pace
97.7
95.7
ORL 107.2 +8.3
SAC 98.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.4
ORL 13.4 +1.1
SAC 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
49.6%
ORL 45.7%
SAC 56.1% +10.4%
TO %
16.0%
13.1%
ORL 21.4%
SAC 17.5% +3.9%
ORB %
30.0%
28.8%
ORL 32.6% +11.0%
SAC 21.6%
FTrt
35.0
28.7
ORL 30.9 +10.2
SAC 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
62.6%
ORL 37.1%
SAC 62.8% +25.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
ORL 9.4%
SAC 13.0% +3.6%
BLK %
8.0%
5.6%
ORL 7.6% +3.1%
SAC 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
51.6%
ORL 47.0%
SAC 57.7% +10.7%
Rim FG%
57.1%
59.3%
ORL 64.3%
SAC 65.2% +0.9%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.2%
ORL 34.2%
SAC 51.2% +17.0%
3P %
34.9%
37.4%
ORL 26.7%
SAC 37.5% +10.8%
FT %
75.9%
78.7%
ORL 80.0% +3.5%
SAC 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
30.3%
ORL 34.6% +6.5%
SAC 28.0%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
49.7%
ORL 46.9% +5.5%
SAC 52.4%
3P Att. %
13.7%
20.0%
ORL 18.5%
SAC 19.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAC
Possessions106100
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points94105
Rebounds4337
Assists1327
Steals1013
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)24 (1)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)29 (2)
Field Goals35-8143-82
At-the-Rim FG18-2815-23
Midrange FG13-3822-43
2-Point FG31-6637-66
3-Point FG4-156-16
Free Throws20-2513-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
39.9
24
55%
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2-5
40%
11-17
65%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
38.2
25
46%
8
7
2
0
8
4
2
6
7-7
100%
9-20
45%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
33.7
13
72%
2
2
2
0
4
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 275 · 31
32.9
4
22%
12
1
4
0
2
3
4
8
4-4
100%
0-7
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
29.9
4
50%
5
0
1
2
2
1
2
3
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 26
26.5
14
50%
5
1
0
0
6
0
1
4
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
19.9
2
33%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
12.6
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
4.7
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 266 · 24
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 260 · 25
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37
C · 6'10" 255 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
47%
43
13
10
5
24
0
14
29
20-25
80%
31-66
47%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.