for complete access.
All Games Monday, March 14, 2005
FinalWin Prob.pScore
29
Bucks
22%95
71
5
Heat
78%105
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
80.78884.8
MIA logo MIA
122.29094.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILMISS Gaines 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILMISS Goldwire 10' Jump Shot71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:07MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 271
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:21MILDoleac STEAL (1 STL)71
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 271
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Smith 16' Turnaround Jump Shot71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:18MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:22MILMISS Booth 12' Turnaround Jump Shot71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T8)71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:35MILBooth 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)71
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:56MIASmith Layup (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)69
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 3:11MILMISS Strickland 14' Turnaround Jump Shot69
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 3:18MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot69
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 3:38MILGaines Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)69
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 3:51MIADooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)69
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MILDooling STEAL (1 STL)69
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 4:11MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot69
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MILFizer Driving Dunk (11 PTS)69
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)67
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MILMISS Fizer 8' Jump Bank Shot67
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)67
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MILFizer Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)67
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17MILMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51MILMISS Booth 16' Jump Shot65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MILGoldwire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20MILStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Goldwire 2 AST)65
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup62
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)62
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34MILMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot62
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMourning 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)62
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAHEAT Rebound62
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot62
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20MILMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:33MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)62
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:33MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)62
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48MILMISS Booth Tip Shot62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52MILMISS Booth 5' Hook Shot62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIADooling Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:16MILMISS Gaines 20' Jump Shot62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:18MILGaines REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:20MILAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:33MILGoldwire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:43MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45MILMISS Goldwire 14' Jump Shot62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02MIADooling Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18MILGoldwire Layup (7 PTS)62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:20MILGoldwire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:22MILMISS Strickland Driving Layup60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJump Ball Doleac vs. Gaines: Tip to Strickland60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:47MILFizer 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:48MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50MILMISS Goldwire 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:09MILBooth REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 258
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Doleac Layup58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)56
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL56
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)56
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILBooth REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MILMISS Strickland 3PT Jump Shot56
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)56
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Booth 6' Jump Shot56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:05MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:29MILDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:41MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 2:00MILFizer Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 2:18MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 2:35MILFizer 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:50MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:10MILMason Layup (7 PTS)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:36MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 3:42MILMISS Goldwire 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 3:54MIAJones Reverse Layup (8 PTS)52
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 4:10MILMISS Booth Free Throw 2 of 252
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 4:10MILBooth Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 4:10MILBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 4:13MILMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot51
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q3 - 4:29MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 4:40MILFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)51
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 4:40MILMISS Fizer Free Throw 1 of 250
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)50
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade Driving Layup (28 PTS)50
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 5:22MILStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q3 - 5:28MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot48
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q3 - 5:53MILGoldwire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)48
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q3 - 6:13MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS)45
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 6:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot45
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS O'Neal Layup45
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 6:36MILGadzuric Dunk (6 PTS)45
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 6:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 6:41MILMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot43
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)43
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 7:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 7:01MILO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)43
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 7:24MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 7:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
0.3%
72
99.7%
Q3 - 7:40MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.3%
72
99.7%
Q3 - 8:00MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)43
0.3%
72
99.7%
Q3 - 8:04MILWade STEAL (2 STL)43
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q3 - 8:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 243
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 8:31MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 8:31MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 8:50MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)41
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 9:04MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot41
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 9:30MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)41
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 9:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 9:38MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot41
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 241
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 10:10MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 10:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
0.8%
64
99.2%
Q3 - 10:14MILMISS Redd 20' Turnaround Jump Shot39
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q3 - 10:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
0.8%
64
99.2%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 239
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 10:36MILJones STEAL (2 STL)39
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 11:07MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)39
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 11:38MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)37
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot37
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)37
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)37
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q2 - 1:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot37
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 1:30MIAHEAT Rebound37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 1:30MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 1:52MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 1:55MILMISS Fizer 18' Fadeaway Jumper37
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q2 - 2:10MIAJones Dunk (6 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)37
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q2 - 2:16MILAnderson STEAL (1 STL)37
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 2:32MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot37
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q2 - 2:48MILWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 3:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)35
3.7%
51
96.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 3:21MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot35
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 3:36MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot35
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q2 - 4:00MILFizer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)35
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 4:05MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 4:07MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot33
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 4:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal Layup33
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 4:41MILRedd Driving Layup (10 PTS)33
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 4:48MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
3.0%
49
97.0%
Q2 - 5:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
2.8%
49
97.2%
Q2 - 5:13MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot31
2.9%
49
97.1%
Q2 - 5:40MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)31
3.2%
49
96.8%
Q2 - 5:44MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 5:46MILO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)31
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 6:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)31
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 6:15MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 6:17MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot31
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 6:28MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 6:44MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 7:03MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)29
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 7:14MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot29
5.4%
42
94.6%
Q2 - 7:29MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
5.8%
42
94.2%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 1 of 229
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 7:35MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 229
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 7:37MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
6.1%
41
93.9%
Q2 - 7:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 7:46MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot29
6.6%
40
93.4%
Q2 - 7:59MILMason Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)29
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 8:16MIAAnderson Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
6.5%
40
93.5%
Q2 - 8:37MILGoldwire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 8:37MILGoldwire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 8:45MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q2 - 9:03MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
6.0%
38
94.0%
Q2 - 9:05MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)26
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q2 - 9:23MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)26
6.6%
38
93.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
7.2%
36
92.8%
Q2 - 9:33MILMISS Pachulia Layup26
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)26
8.0%
36
92.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (18 PTS)26
8.8%
35
91.2%
Q2 - 10:12MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Goldwire 1 AST)26
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 10:38MIADoleac 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)23
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 10:57MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
8.8%
31
91.2%
Q2 - 10:57MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 222
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 11:09MILBucks Rebound22
8.8%
31
91.2%
Q2 - 11:10MILMISS Pachulia Layup22
8.3%
31
91.7%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)22
8.8%
31
91.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)22
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 11:41MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q2 - 11:43MILMISS Pachulia 9' Hook Shot22
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound22
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
10.4%
29
89.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILMISS Pachulia Driving Layup20
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
11.6%
25
88.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot20
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 1:07MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
11.6%
25
88.4%
Q1 - 1:07MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 219
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 1:22MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Doleac 3' Jump Shot19
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
10.7%
25
89.3%
Q1 - 1:36MILMISS Goldwire 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)19
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)19
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q1 - 2:05MILMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot19
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWade Running Layup (12 PTS)19
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q1 - 2:39MILWilliams 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q1 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)17
13.5%
21
86.5%
Q1 - 3:08MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 3:08MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 3:14MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 3:35MILSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 3:53MIAWade Reverse Layup (10 PTS)13
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 4:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot13
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 4:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 4:14MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot13
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 4:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot13
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 4:34MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 4:34MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 4:41MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot11
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 4:54MILMason Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)11
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 5:15MIAJones Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
11.4%
17
88.6%
Q1 - 5:19MILJones STEAL (1 STL)11
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:37MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)11
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 5:41MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)11
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)11
15.3%
13
84.7%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
15.5%
12
84.5%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Clear Path11
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 6:09MILWade STEAL (1 STL)11
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 6:27MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 211
17.2%
11
82.8%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 211
16.7%
11
83.3%
Q1 - 6:43MILGadzuric Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 6:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
15.2%
11
84.8%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 29
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 7:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 7:18MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 7:27MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
14.1%
10
85.9%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 7:48MILRedd Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 7:55MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot5
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 8:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 8:20MILMISS Gadzuric 15' Jump Shot5
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 8:36MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)5
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 8:46MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
13.2%
8
86.8%
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 9:23MILGadzuric Layup (2 PTS)5
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 9:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 9:27MILMISS Redd 11' Running Jump Shot3
13.1%
6
86.9%
Q1 - 9:47MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 10:11MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)0
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:33MILMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 11:00MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Bank Shot0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 11:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Jones0
15.5%
0
84.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 39.0%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
19
58%
MIA
25
32
78%
Midrange
MIL
10
44
23%
MIA
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIL
17
21
81%
MIA
23
35
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd1447%7.0 / 15
M. Fizer1161%5.5 / 9
M. Williams1056%5.0 / 9
D. Mason739%3.5 / 9
A. Goldwire735%3.5 / 10
D. Gadzuric675%3.0 / 4
E. Strickland523%2.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia317%1.5 / 9
C. Booth325%1.5 / 6
T. Kukoc3150%1.5 / 1
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
R. Gaines0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2985%14.5 / 17
S. O'Neal2153%10.5 / 20
D. Jones1594%7.5 / 8
E. Jones1050%5.0 / 10
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
A. Mourning857%4.0 / 7
M. Doleac542%2.5 / 6
S. Anderson450%2.0 / 4
C. Laettner375%1.5 / 2
R. Butler338%1.5 / 4
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
S. Smith233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
77
+13
-11
90
MIA
82
+11
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 39.0%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
106.6
MIL 80.7 +41.5
MIA 122.2
Pace
93.5
93.9
MIL 84.8
MIA 94.0 +9.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.6
MIL 17.0
MIA 15.3 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
52.4%
MIL 34.6%
MIA 58.8% +24.2%
TO %
14.2%
14.0%
MIL 12.1%
MIA 8.2% +3.9%
ORB %
29.0%
27.0%
MIL 21.6% +1.0%
MIA 20.6%
FTrt
33.9
38.7
MIL 26.9
MIA 47.3 +20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
57.8%
MIL 36.0%
MIA 58.5% +22.5%
STL %
6.9%
6.8%
MIL 3.4%
MIA 8.9% +5.5%
BLK %
5.4%
8.7%
MIL 5.0%
MIA 9.5% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
52.7%
MIL 39.0%
MIA 58.5% +19.5%
Rim FG%
54.1%
63.0%
MIL 57.9%
MIA 78.1% +20.2%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.0%
MIL 22.7%
MIA 39.3% +16.6%
3P %
35.1%
37.7%
MIL 26.7%
MIA 35.7% +9.0%
FT %
77.2%
67.2%
MIL 81.0% +15.3%
MIA 65.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
37.6%
MIL 24.4%
MIA 43.2% +18.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.6%
MIL 56.4%
MIA 37.8% +18.6%
3P Att. %
14.1%
19.8%
MIL 19.2% +0.3%
MIA 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes24.923.0
Points71110
Rebounds3847
Assists924
Steals38
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)40 (1)
Field Goals25-7841-74
At-the-Rim FG11-1925-32
Midrange FG10-4411-28
2-Point FG21-6336-60
3-Point FG4-155-14
Free Throws17-2123-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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29 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Desmond Mason
F · 6'5" 222 · 27
28.2
7
39%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
5-5
100%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
26.8
14
47%
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
4
3-4
75%
4-11
36%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
20.6
10
56%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F · 6'10" 225 · 30
17.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
12.6
6
75%
6
0
1
0
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27
30.9
11
61%
7
2
0
1
3
3
1
6
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 34
27.4
7
35%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
22.2
5
23%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
18.3
3
17%
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
1
3-4
75%
0-7
0%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
17.1
3
25%
7
0
0
2
0
3
3
4
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 24
11.2
0
0%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36
7.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
71
39%
38
9
3
3
11
0
11
27
17-21
81%
21-63
33%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.