Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 18, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | SuperSonics | 68% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Knicks | 27% | 93 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Mavericks | 95% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Bulls | 52% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Timberwolves | 72% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Heat | 35% | 87 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Pistons | 53% | 92 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 52% | 94 | 87 | |
 | 11 | Celtics | 48% | 93 | 74 |
Monday, March 17, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Raptors | 29% | 94 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 67% | 103 | 102 |
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Sunday, March 16, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 41% | 96 | 110 |
| 25 | Clippers | 59% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SuperSonics | 66% | 93 | 92 | |
| 28 | Nuggets | 34% | 87 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 39% | 95 | 75 |
| 16 | Rockets | 61% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 14% | 89 | 97 |
| 4 | Spurs | 86% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 37% | 101 | 111 |
| 20 | Knicks | 63% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 39% | 98 | 92 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 61% | 101 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 42% | 102 | 129 |
| 2 | Kings | 58% | 104 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 98 | 95 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 61% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 73% | 101 | 95 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 93 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 33% | 91 | 92 |
| 7 | Nets | 67% | 97 | 87 | |
Saturday, March 15, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 44% | 104 | 98 |
| 13 | Bucks | 56% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 24% | 84 | 82 |
| 20 | Wizards | 76% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 35% | 97 | 86 | |
 | 12 | Magic | 65% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 31% | 89 | 81 |
| 3 | Pistons | 69% | 95 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 25% | 98 | 94 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 75% | 107 | 88 | |
Friday, March 14, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 63% | 91 | 87 | |
| 27 | Heat | 37% | 87 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 95 | 79 |
| 11 | 76ers | 56% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 45% | 94 | 81 |
| 12 | Pacers | 55% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 44% | 98 | 104 |
| 23 | Hawks | 56% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 26% | 87 | 80 |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 41% | 101 | 106 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 59% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 26% | 94 | 91 |
| 18 | Rockets | 74% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 16% | 89 | 96 |
| 3 | Spurs | 84% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 18% | 93 | 84 |
| 2 | Kings | 82% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 57% | 107 | 116 |
| 17 | Warriors | 43% | 105 | 114 |
Thursday, March 13, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 54% | 101 | 100 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 46% | 99 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 64% | 103 | 84 |
| 22 | Suns | 36% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 24% | 89 | 75 |
| 6 | Nets | 76% | 98 | 90 | |
Wednesday, March 12, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 32% | 93 | 93 |
| 10 | 76ers | 68% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 49% | 99 | 111 |
| 13 | Magic | 51% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 100 | 92 |
| 23 | Hawks | 58% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 31% | 94 | 88 |
| 3 | Pistons | 69% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 36% | 95 | 111 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 64% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 28% | 97 | 95 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 72% | 105 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 27% | 93 | 114 |
| 19 | Rockets | 73% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 22% | 91 | 103 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 101 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 39% | 93 | 65 | |
| 18 | Celtics | 61% | 96 | 93 |
Tuesday, March 11, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 41% | 102 | 98 |
| 19 | Warriors | 59% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 97 | 105 |
| 22 | Wizards | 56% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 49% | 92 | 77 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 51% | 93 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 43% | 94 | 81 | |
| 14 | Pacers | 57% | 96 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 41% | 100 | 87 |
| 21 | Knicks | 59% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 52% | 100 | 105 |
| 13 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 99 |
| 26 | Bulls | 32% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 57% | 92 | 87 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 43% | 90 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 95 | 92 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 62% | 98 | 77 | |
Monday, March 10, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 22% | 98 | 92 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 78% | 107 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 36% | 96 | 86 |
| 24 | Hawks | 64% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 63% | 91 | 83 |
| 27 | Heat | 37% | 87 | 73 |
Sunday, March 9, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 19% | 93 | 88 |
| 1 | Kings | 81% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 42% | 95 | 96 |
| 23 | Knicks | 58% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 33% | 97 | 92 |
| 4 | Lakers | 67% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 95 | 94 |
| 13 | Celtics | 48% | 94 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 16% | 89 | 98 |
| 12 | Magic | 84% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 37% | 97 | 119 |
| 21 | Raptors | 63% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 22% | 94 | 105 |
| 6 | Pistons | 78% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 47% | 92 | 102 | |
| 16 | Hornets | 53% | 93 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 49% | 100 | 105 |
| 20 | Suns | 51% | 101 | 98 |
Saturday, March 8, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 42% | 104 | 133 |
| 15 | Bucks | 58% | 107 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 43% | 96 | 107 |
| 24 | Hawks | 57% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 67% | 102 | 115 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 33% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 42% | 83 | 98 |
| 27 | Heat | 58% | 85 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 38% | 97 | 103 |
| 26 | Bulls | 62% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 19% | 94 | 77 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 81% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 54% | 95 | 71 | |
| 18 | Rockets | 46% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 40% | 95 | 80 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 98 | 94 |
Friday, March 7, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 28% | 92 | 108 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 72% | 100 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 36% | 100 | 96 |
| 4 | Lakers | 64% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 57% | 98 | 108 |
| 11 | Jazz | 43% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 17% | 90 | 76 |
| 15 | Hornets | 83% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 81% | 101 | 91 |
| 27 | Heat | 19% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 25% | 93 | 72 |
| 13 | Celtics | 75% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 100 | 111 |
| 14 | Magic | 67% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 41% | 97 | 85 |
| 21 | Wizards | 59% | 100 | 82 |
Thursday, March 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 35% | 94 | 88 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 99 | 60 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 39% | 91 | 78 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 55% | 103 | 105 |
| 26 | Bulls | 45% | 102 | 119 |
Wednesday, March 5, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 25% | 94 | 95 |
| 12 | Celtics | 75% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 31% | 97 | 95 |
| 4 | Lakers | 69% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 21% | 97 | 95 |
| 2 | Kings | 79% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 98 | 92 |
| 21 | Suns | 45% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SuperSonics | 39% | 93 | 83 | |
| 11 | Jazz | 61% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 23% | 89 | 86 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 77% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 59% | 99 | 111 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 41% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 45% | 94 | 97 |
| 22 | Raptors | 55% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 33% | 103 | 99 |
| 14 | Magic | 67% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 37% | 94 | 80 |
| 20 | Wizards | 63% | 98 | 99 |