FinalWin Prob.pScore
1119%94
77
181%104
101
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
81.195109.6
DAL logo DAL
107.49482.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTAMISS Padgett 17' Jump Shot77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALGriffin Slam Dunk (16 PTS)77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0UTAGriffin STEAL (5 STL)77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALBell Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAGriffin STEAL (4 STL)77
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0UTAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0UTAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09DALJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29UTAArroyo Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35DALMISS Griffin 12' Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47UTAArroyo Driving Layup (7 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DALMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18DALJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DALMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54DALMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15UTAKirilenko Layup (11 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18DALGriffin Inbound Turnover (P2.T11)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22UTAKirilenko Reverse Layup (9 PTS)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 267
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DALJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54DALMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (7 PTS)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19UTAMISS Padgett Layup65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 265
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40DALJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 264
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24DALMISS Najera 5' Jump Shot64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27DALMISS Najera 6' Jump Shot64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44UTAKirilenko 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DALJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)62
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DALJohnson 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19UTAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 262
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19UTAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27DALMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40UTAJones STEAL (1 STL)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53DALMISS Jones Layup61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09UTAPadgett Layup (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21DALMISS Najera 7' Jump Shot59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24DALMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44UTANajera STEAL (3 STL)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57DALGriffin Driving Layup (14 PTS)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47DALMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 259
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:53UTANajera BLOCK (1 BLK)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09DALNajera Layup (4 PTS)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:13DALMISS Bell 5' Jump Shot59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:51UTAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:52UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Griffin 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:13UTAArroyo Reverse Layup (4 PTS)59
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31DALNowitzki 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)57
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:48UTAStevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T15)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 10:52DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:09UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:11UTAMISS Arroyo 4' Jump Shot55
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)55
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 11:43UTAStevenson Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 11:50DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTACheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0UTABradley BLOCK (3 BLK)53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALMISS Najera 18' Jump Shot53
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q3 - 1:05DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q3 - 1:07UTAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot53
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q3 - 1:25DALGriffin Driving Layup (10 PTS)53
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q3 - 1:29UTAGriffin STEAL (3 STL)53
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q3 - 1:44DALBradley Layup (11 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)53
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q3 - 1:56UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q3 - 1:56UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q3 - 2:13UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q3 - 2:15DALMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot51
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q3 - 2:40UTAMalone 3' Finger Roll (14 PTS)51
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q3 - 3:01DALGriffin 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q3 - 3:30UTAHarpring Layup (8 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)49
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 3:45DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 3:45DALBradley 3' Hook Shot (9 PTS)47
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 3:48DALMISS Bradley Layup47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 4:02DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 4:04UTAMISS Cheaney 21' Jump Shot47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 4:27UTAJazz Rebound47
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 4:28DALMISS Nash Reverse Layup47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 4:33DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 4:35UTAMISS Ostertag Dunk47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 4:51UTAJazz Rebound47
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 4:52DALMISS Finley 4' Hook Shot47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 5:11UTAGriffin STEAL (2 STL)47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 5:25UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 5:27DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot47
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 5:45UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 5:45UTAMISS Stockton Free Throw 1 of 246
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 5:56DALGriffin Driving Layup (6 PTS)46
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 5:59UTAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)46
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 6:08DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 6:08DALBradley Tip Shot (7 PTS)46
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 6:10DALMISS Nash 11' Jump Shot46
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 6:26UTAHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)46
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 6:38DALGriffin 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)44
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 6:54DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 6:55UTAMISS Malone Layup44
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 6:59UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 7:01DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 7:06DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 7:09UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot44
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 7:16UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 7:18DALMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot44
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 7:36UTACheaney Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)44
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 7:39DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 7:44UTAOstertag Dunk (2 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)42
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 7:48UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 7:50UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot40
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q3 - 8:08DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 8:20DALNash Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)40
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 8:38DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Harpring: Tip to Nash40
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 8:47UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 8:50DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 9:08UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 9:08UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 239
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 9:26DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)39
0.9%
62
99.1%
Q3 - 9:51UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)39
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 9:51UTAMalone 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)38
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 10:05UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 10:06DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot36
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 10:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound36
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q3 - 10:28UTAMISS Harpring 16' Jump Shot36
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q3 - 10:47DALLaFrentz Layup (5 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)36
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 10:48DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
1.1%
57
98.9%
Q3 - 10:50DALMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot36
1.2%
57
98.8%
Q3 - 11:10UTAMalone 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)36
1.1%
57
98.9%
Q3 - 11:24DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)34
1.0%
57
99.0%
Q3 - 11:39UTAHarpring Layup (4 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)34
1.1%
55
98.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL32
1.0%
55
99.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0UTAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
1.0%
55
99.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
0.8%
55
99.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 130
1.1%
52
98.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0UTAStevenson Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)30
1.1%
52
98.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 1:11DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
1.0%
52
99.0%
Q2 - 1:14UTAMISS Kirilenko 5' Jump Shot28
1.0%
52
99.0%
Q2 - 1:30DALGriffin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)28
1.0%
52
99.0%
Q2 - 1:48UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)28
1.0%
52
99.0%
Q2 - 1:48UTAJazz Rebound28
1.0%
52
99.0%
Q2 - 1:48UTALaFrentz BLOCK (4 BLK)28
1.0%
52
99.0%
Q2 - 2:16DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)28
1.2%
52
98.8%
Q2 - 2:27DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 2:29UTAMISS Harpring 22' Jump Shot28
1.4%
50
98.6%
Q2 - 2:48DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)28
1.5%
50
98.5%
Q2 - 2:55DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
1.9%
47
98.1%
Q2 - 2:57UTAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot28
2.0%
47
98.0%
Q2 - 3:14DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)28
2.3%
47
97.7%
Q2 - 3:25UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)28
2.9%
44
97.1%
Q2 - 3:40DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)26
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 3:45UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 126
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 3:45UTAMalone Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)26
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 3:50DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 3:50DALLaFrentz Tip Shot (3 PTS)24
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 3:53DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 4:07UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 4:07UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 223
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q2 - 4:33DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)23
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 4:48UTAPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)23
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 5:11DALNajera Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)23
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 5:18UTANajera STEAL (2 STL)23
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 5:27UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
4.8%
36
95.2%
Q2 - 5:29DALMISS Griffin 13' Jump Shot23
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q2 - 5:52UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 5:52UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 5:52UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
3.8%
36
96.2%
Q2 - 5:54UTALaFrentz BLOCK (3 BLK)21
3.5%
36
96.5%
Q2 - 6:01UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 6:03UTAMISS Stevenson 14' Jump Shot21
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q2 - 6:05UTAJazz Rebound21
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 6:08UTAMISS Harpring 16' Jump Shot21
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q2 - 6:24DALVan Exel Foul Turnover (P2.T4)21
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 6:43UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)21
3.5%
36
96.5%
Q2 - 6:56DALVan Exel Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)21
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 6:59DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 7:01UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot21
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q2 - 7:28DALNowitzki 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q2 - 7:41DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
5.6%
32
94.4%
Q2 - 7:43UTAMISS Kirilenko Reverse Layup21
5.8%
32
94.2%
Q2 - 7:53UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
6.3%
32
93.7%
Q2 - 7:55DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot21
6.1%
32
93.9%
Q2 - 8:11UTAPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Amaechi 1 AST)21
5.7%
32
94.3%
Q2 - 8:19DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
4.7%
32
95.3%
Q2 - 8:19DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
4.8%
31
95.2%
Q2 - 8:30DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
5.2%
30
94.8%
Q2 - 8:32UTAMISS Amaechi 14' Jump Shot18
5.3%
30
94.7%
Q2 - 8:52DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)18
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q2 - 9:16UTAStevenson Layup (2 PTS)18
7.0%
27
93.0%
Q2 - 9:18UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q2 - 9:20UTABell BLOCK (1 BLK)16
6.0%
27
94.0%
Q2 - 9:39UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q2 - 9:41DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot16
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q2 - 9:54DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q2 - 9:56UTAMISS Amaechi 18' Jump Shot16
6.0%
27
94.0%
Q2 - 10:10UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q2 - 10:12DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot16
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q2 - 10:29UTAPadgett Layup (2 PTS)16
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q2 - 10:30UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
5.4%
27
94.6%
Q2 - 10:32UTABradley BLOCK (2 BLK)14
5.0%
27
95.0%
Q2 - 10:49DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
5.4%
27
94.6%
Q2 - 10:49DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
6.0%
26
94.0%
Q2 - 11:03UTANajera STEAL (1 STL)14
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q2 - 11:16DALBradley Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)14
7.1%
24
92.9%
Q2 - 11:23DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
7.8%
22
92.2%
Q2 - 11:25DALMISS Bradley 14' Jump Shot14
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q2 - 11:37DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
7.8%
22
92.2%
Q2 - 11:39UTABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)14
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA14
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot14
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0UTAJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0UTAMISS Cheaney 16' Jump Shot14
8.1%
22
91.9%
Q1 - 1:20DALVan Exel 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 1:33UTAMassenburg 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)14
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 1:55DALVan Exel 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 2:20UTAMassenburg Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)14
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 2:38UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 2:40DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 3:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 3:03UTAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 3:14UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 3:16DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot12
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 3:25UTACheaney 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)12
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 3:37DALVan Exel 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
8.7%
18
91.3%
Q1 - 3:43DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 3:45UTAMISS Malone 5' Hook Shot10
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 4:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 4:01DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 210
10.2%
15
89.8%
Q1 - 4:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 4:09UTAMISS Harpring 13' Jump Shot10
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 4:25DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)10
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 4:47UTABell STEAL (1 STL)10
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 4:47DALVan Exel Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 4:47DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 4:49UTAMISS Malone 9' Jump Shot10
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 4:59UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 5:01DALMISS Nowitzki Layup10
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 5:17DALMAVERICKS Rebound10
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 5:17UTAMISS Stockton 10' Jump Shot10
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 5:28UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 5:30DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 5:37DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 5:39UTAMISS Malone 9' Jump Shot10
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 5:55DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)10
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 6:11DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 6:11UTAMISS Malone 9' Jump Shot10
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 6:33DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 6:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 6:40UTALaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)10
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 6:52UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 6:54DALMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot10
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 7:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound10
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 7:04DALMISS LaFrentz 5' Jump Shot10
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 7:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 7:18UTAMISS Malone 17' Jump Shot10
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 7:39DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 7:59UTAStockton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)10
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:19DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 8:30UTACheaney 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
16.8%
5
83.2%
Q1 - 8:47DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 8:47DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 8:58UTAStockton Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)6
16.8%
3
83.2%
Q1 - 9:14UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.8%
3
84.2%
Q1 - 9:16DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 24
15.6%
3
84.4%
Q1 - 9:16DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
15.0%
3
85.0%
Q1 - 9:32UTAMalone 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)4
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 9:42UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 9:44DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot2
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 9:57UTAMalone Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:03DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 10:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:10DALMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot2
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:38UTAStockton 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:47UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 10:48DALMISS Finley Layup0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 10:53DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 10:55UTAMISS Malone 13' Jump Shot0
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:14DALNash 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:29UTALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)0
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 11:38UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 11:41DALMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot0
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Ostertag: Tip to Nash0
13.6%
0
86.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.90 44.8%
DAL
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
21
34
62%
DAL
14
23
61%
Midrange
UTA
9
36
25%
DAL
18
42
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
1
1.5
2
50%
75%
DAL
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
UTA
14
21
67%
DAL
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Malone1640%8.0 / 20
A. Kirilenko1161%5.5 / 9
C. Arroyo1150%5.5 / 11
M. Harpring850%4.0 / 8
J. Stockton758%3.5 / 6
D. Stevenson744%3.5 / 8
S. Padgett758%3.5 / 6
C. Cheaney650%3.0 / 6
G. Ostertag250%1.0 / 2
T. Massenburg250%1.0 / 2
J. Amaechi0-0.0 / 4
M. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2166%10.5 / 16
A. Griffin1667%8.0 / 12
M. Finley1454%7.0 / 13
S. Nash1286%6.0 / 7
S. Bradley1161%5.5 / 9
N. Van Exel1050%5.0 / 10
E. Najera638%3.0 / 8
R. LaFrentz563%2.5 / 4
A. Johnson429%2.0 / 7
R. Bell225%1.0 / 4
P. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
76
+10
-19
86
DAL
81
+14
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.90 44.8%
DAL
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
108.0
UTA 81.1 +26.4
DAL 107.4
Pace
91.5
94.9
UTA 109.6 +26.7
DAL 82.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.3
UTA 13.1 +4.2
DAL 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.8%
UTA 43.8%
DAL 51.8% +8.0%
TO %
17.3%
11.6%
UTA 19.8%
DAL 12.5% +7.3%
ORB %
32.6%
25.5%
UTA 21.1%
DAL 30.2% +9.1%
FTrt
38.0
25.7
UTA 29.2 +3.6
DAL 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
72.7%
58.1%
UTA 64.5% +18.3%
DAL 46.2%
STL %
9.4%
8.5%
UTA 8.4%
DAL 11.7% +3.3%
BLK %
9.2%
8.5%
UTA 3.1%
DAL 12.9% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.11 and 3.11.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
52.1%
UTA 44.8%
DAL 52.6% +7.8%
Rim FG%
59.8%
58.2%
UTA 61.8% +0.9%
DAL 60.9%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.7%
UTA 25.0%
DAL 42.9% +17.9%
3P %
34.9%
38.1%
UTA 50.0% +8.8%
DAL 41.2%
FT %
74.5%
82.9%
UTA 66.7%
DAL 76.2% +9.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
29.6%
UTA 47.2% +19.2%
DAL 28.0%
Mid Att. %
52.5%
46.5%
UTA 50.0% +1.2%
DAL 51.2%
3P Att. %
10.4%
23.9%
UTA 2.8%
DAL 20.7% +18.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes20.827.2
Points77101
Rebounds3843
Assists2018
Steals811
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals31-7239-82
At-the-Rim FG21-3414-23
Midrange FG9-3618-42
2-Point FG30-7032-65
3-Point FG1-27-17
Free Throws14-2116-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
25.4
8
50%
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 259 · 40
24.9
16
40%
4
2
2
0
2
2
0
4
4-6
67%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 32
24.0
6
50%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 41
18.0
7
58%
4
4
2
0
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 30
15.9
2
50%
3
1
0
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22
25.9
7
44%
2
2
1
0
3
2
1
1
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 27
25.2
7
58%
7
0
0
0
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
23.1
11
61%
5
1
2
0
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
21.4
11
50%
1
5
0
0
3
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32
20.1
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 38
8.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36
7.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
45%
38
20
8
2
19
0
8
30
14-21
67%
30-70
43%
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.