FinalWin Prob.pScore
2942%83
98
2758%85
92
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
102.19696.9
MIA logo MIA
97.99493.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN98
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)98
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot98
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)98
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
99.5%
89
0.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJames Layup (14 PTS)94
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)94
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 293
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
98.8%
87
1.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.5%
87
1.5%
Q4 - 1:04DENNene Layup (16 PTS)93
95.7%
87
4.3%
Q4 - 1:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
92.8%
87
7.2%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot91
88.9%
87
11.1%
Q4 - 1:23MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)91
90.8%
87
9.2%
Q4 - 1:42DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)91
82.0%
87
18.0%
Q4 - 1:50MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)91
87.9%
87
12.1%
Q4 - 2:08DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)91
79.6%
87
20.4%
Q4 - 2:08DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)90
77.3%
87
22.7%
Q4 - 2:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
74.9%
87
25.1%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
70.8%
87
29.2%
Q4 - 2:35DENYarbrough 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)89
59.9%
87
40.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIAButler Driving Layup (11 PTS)86
41.7%
87
58.3%
Q4 - 3:18DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)86
47.8%
85
52.2%
Q4 - 3:18DENHoward Dunk (11 PTS)85
37.3%
85
62.7%
Q4 - 3:38DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
31.8%
85
68.2%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
29.3%
85
70.7%
Q4 - 3:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
24.0%
85
76.0%
Q4 - 3:48DENButler BLOCK (1 BLK)83
26.1%
85
73.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)83
31.5%
85
68.5%
Q4 - 4:11MIAButler Layup (8 PTS)83
40.2%
84
59.8%
Q4 - 4:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
48.9%
82
51.1%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
55.9%
82
44.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
49.0%
82
51.0%
Q4 - 4:25DENMISS Harrington Layup83
52.0%
82
48.0%
Q4 - 4:44MIAButler 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)83
59.0%
82
41.0%
Q4 - 5:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
71.5%
79
28.5%
Q4 - 5:12DENMISS Nene 8' Jump Shot83
73.6%
79
26.4%
Q4 - 5:19MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)83
78.1%
79
21.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
71.7%
79
28.3%
Q4 - 5:37DENMISS Nene Dunk83
73.8%
79
26.2%
Q4 - 5:48DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
78.3%
79
21.7%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot83
76.4%
79
23.6%
Q4 - 5:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
71.8%
79
28.2%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot83
76.4%
79
23.6%
Q4 - 6:19DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
68.6%
79
31.4%
Q4 - 6:19DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
66.4%
79
33.6%
Q4 - 6:39MIAJames Dunk (12 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)81
62.8%
79
37.2%
Q4 - 6:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
68.7%
77
31.3%
Q4 - 6:44DENMISS Savovic Layup81
71.0%
77
29.0%
Q4 - 7:07MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
73.2%
77
26.8%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 281
75.3%
76
24.7%
Q4 - 7:27DENWilliams 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
72.6%
76
27.4%
Q4 - 7:42MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)79
67.6%
76
32.4%
Q4 - 8:05DENNene Dunk (14 PTS)79
70.8%
74
29.2%
Q4 - 8:09MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)77
65.4%
74
34.6%
Q4 - 8:26DENWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harvey 3 AST)77
59.3%
74
40.7%
Q4 - 8:52MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)74
46.8%
74
53.2%
Q4 - 9:09DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T14)74
52.2%
72
47.8%
Q4 - 9:32MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
58.5%
72
41.5%
Q4 - 9:59DENSavovic Layup (10 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)74
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q4 - 10:18MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 4 AST)72
57.5%
70
42.5%
Q4 - 10:35DENWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
67.8%
67
32.2%
Q4 - 10:35DENWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
66.9%
67
33.1%
Q4 - 10:45MIAGrant Dunk (16 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)70
63.0%
67
37.0%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHEAT Rebound70
67.8%
65
32.2%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Grant 8' Jump Shot70
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q4 - 10:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)70
67.8%
65
32.2%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot70
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q4 - 11:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
66.6%
65
33.4%
Q4 - 11:07DENMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
68.1%
65
31.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAGrant 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
71.5%
65
28.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
75.6%
63
24.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Carter 63' 3PT Jump Shot70
76.8%
63
23.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENMISS Camby 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
75.4%
63
24.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)70
78.0%
63
22.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)70
81.4%
61
18.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENMISS Harvey 9' Jump Shot70
82.3%
61
17.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
84.3%
61
15.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
83.5%
61
16.5%
Q3 - 1:11DENCarter STEAL (1 STL)70
79.8%
61
20.2%
Q3 - 1:20MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)70
82.9%
61
17.1%
Q3 - 1:31DENSavovic Layup (8 PTS)70
79.8%
61
20.2%
Q3 - 1:34MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)68
76.6%
61
23.4%
Q3 - 1:49DENWilliams 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 2:09DENNuggets Rebound66
67.3%
61
32.7%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot66
66.0%
61
34.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHEAT Rebound66
62.7%
61
37.3%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Grant Layup66
66.0%
61
34.0%
Q3 - 2:26DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
62.8%
61
37.2%
Q3 - 2:26DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
61.4%
61
38.6%
Q3 - 2:39DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
58.8%
61
41.2%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS House Layup64
57.3%
61
42.7%
Q3 - 2:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)64
53.8%
61
46.2%
Q3 - 2:48DENMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot64
55.3%
61
44.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAHouse Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)64
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 3:18DENHoward 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)64
62.3%
59
37.7%
Q3 - 3:39MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
58.2%
59
41.8%
Q3 - 3:39MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
59.3%
58
40.7%
Q3 - 3:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)62
62.3%
57
37.7%
Q3 - 3:46DENMISS Yarbrough Layup62
63.6%
57
36.4%
Q3 - 3:59MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T14)62
66.6%
57
33.4%
Q3 - 4:20DENHouse STEAL (2 STL)62
61.0%
57
39.0%
Q3 - 4:31MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)62
65.7%
57
34.3%
Q3 - 4:52DENYarbrough Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)62
61.1%
57
38.9%
Q3 - 5:11MIAGrant Dunk (12 PTS) (House 2 AST)60
56.8%
57
43.2%
Q3 - 5:17DENHoward 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
60.5%
55
39.5%
Q3 - 5:31MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)58
56.8%
55
43.2%
Q3 - 5:31MIAButler Layup (13 PTS) (House 1 AST)58
60.8%
54
39.2%
Q3 - 5:35DENHouse STEAL (1 STL)58
64.4%
52
35.6%
Q3 - 5:46DENNuggets Rebound58
68.5%
52
31.5%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot58
67.3%
52
32.7%
Q3 - 5:55MIAHEAT Rebound58
64.4%
52
35.6%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Allen 8' Hook Shot58
67.3%
52
32.7%
Q3 - 6:15DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T10)58
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q3 - 6:31MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)58
67.3%
52
32.7%
Q3 - 6:48DENHarrington 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)58
73.8%
49
26.2%
Q3 - 7:00DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
70.8%
49
29.2%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot56
68.5%
49
31.5%
Q3 - 7:18DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)56
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q3 - 7:18DENHarrington Driving Layup (11 PTS)55
62.3%
49
37.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)53
59.1%
49
40.9%
Q3 - 7:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
54.8%
49
45.2%
Q3 - 7:34DENMISS Yarbrough 20' Jump Shot53
56.1%
49
43.9%
Q3 - 7:41DENHarrington Free Throw Clear Path (9 PTS)53
59.1%
49
40.9%
Q3 - 7:44MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)52
55.3%
49
44.7%
Q3 - 7:51DENHarrington Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
50.9%
49
49.1%
Q3 - 8:15MIAGrant Dunk (10 PTS) (Best 2 AST)50
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q3 - 8:17MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
50.8%
47
49.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot50
53.8%
47
46.2%
Q3 - 8:53DENNene Dunk (12 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)50
50.8%
47
49.2%
Q3 - 9:00DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
47.5%
47
52.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Butler Layup48
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q3 - 9:23DENNene Dunk (10 PTS)48
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q3 - 9:47MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 1 AST)46
39.6%
47
60.4%
Q3 - 10:10DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 146
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q3 - 10:10DENNene Layup (8 PTS)46
42.7%
45
57.3%
Q3 - 10:23DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
39.6%
45
60.4%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Butler Layup44
38.5%
45
61.5%
Q3 - 10:32DENNene Reverse Layup (6 PTS)44
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q3 - 10:43DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
33.1%
45
66.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot42
32.0%
45
68.0%
Q3 - 11:04DENTskitishvili Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)42
30.0%
45
70.0%
Q3 - 11:18MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
27.3%
45
72.7%
Q3 - 11:18MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
27.8%
44
72.2%
Q3 - 11:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)40
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot40
30.9%
43
69.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
30.0%
43
70.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Williams 31' 3PT Jump Shot40
30.9%
43
69.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)40
33.0%
43
67.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
36.0%
42
64.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENHarrington 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMarks Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)38
36.0%
40
64.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENYarbrough 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
40.0%
38
60.0%
Q2 - 1:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Marks Layup36
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 1:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot36
34.8%
38
65.2%
Q2 - 1:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot36
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 1:58DENHarrington 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 4 AST)36
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 2:12MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
31.0%
38
69.0%
Q2 - 2:30DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)34
33.9%
36
66.1%
Q2 - 2:54MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
36.5%
36
63.5%
Q2 - 2:54MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 2:54DENAllen STEAL (1 STL)34
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 3:02DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 3:04DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 234
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 3:04DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 234
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 3:11DENNuggets Rebound34
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Marks Layup34
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 3:31DENHarvey Layup (4 PTS)34
39.3%
34
60.7%
Q2 - 3:43DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS James Layup32
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 3:57DENNene Dunk (4 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)32
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 4:09MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 4:09MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 4:18DENHoward 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 4:25MIACarter 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
31.5%
32
68.5%
Q2 - 4:45DENHarvey 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)28
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 4:55MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)26
31.5%
30
68.5%
Q2 - 5:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)26
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 226
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 226
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 5:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 5:22DENMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot26
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 5:45MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
36.8%
28
63.2%
Q2 - 5:45MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
37.3%
27
62.7%
Q2 - 5:47DENStepania STEAL (1 STL)26
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 6:09MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
42.3%
26
57.7%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 226
43.4%
25
56.6%
Q2 - 6:23DENCamby 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)26
41.8%
25
58.2%
Q2 - 6:48MIACarter Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
39.7%
25
60.3%
Q2 - 6:58DENCamby 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q2 - 7:00DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
39.7%
23
60.3%
Q2 - 7:02DENMISS Yarbrough 12' Jump Shot22
37.7%
23
62.3%
Q2 - 7:12MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)22
39.6%
23
60.4%
Q2 - 7:27DENAndersen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)22
36.9%
23
63.1%
Q2 - 7:35DENMISS Williams Free Throw Technical20
34.7%
23
65.3%
Q2 - 7:57MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)20
34.7%
23
65.3%
Q2 - 8:02DENButler STEAL (2 STL)20
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q2 - 8:03MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)20
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q2 - 8:28DENSavovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)20
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q2 - 8:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 8:37DENMISS Andersen 9' Jump Shot17
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 8:45DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 8:47DENGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)17
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 8:54DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot17
33.9%
20
66.1%
Q2 - 9:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)17
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 9:20DENGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)17
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 9:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
33.9%
20
66.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 9:43DENMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot17
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAButler Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)17
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 9:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)17
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q2 - 10:00DENMISS Camby 13' Jump Shot17
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q2 - 10:10MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
39.4%
18
60.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot17
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q2 - 10:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot17
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q2 - 10:48DENWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q2 - 11:05DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 215
38.6%
16
61.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 215
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS James Layup15
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q2 - 11:19DENSavovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q2 - 11:19DENSavovic Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q2 - 11:22MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)12
32.3%
16
67.7%
Q2 - 11:37DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q2 - 11:37DENCamby Layup (2 PTS)11
28.2%
16
71.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN9
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0DENMISS Howard Layup9
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENMISS Savovic 19' Jump Shot9
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot9
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENMISS Camby 17' Jump Shot9
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 1:08MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 1:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
28.6%
14
71.4%
Q1 - 1:26DENMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot9
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 1:48MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 1:54MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.6%
12
67.4%
Q1 - 1:56DENMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot9
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 2:04DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 2:06DENMISS Savovic Layup9
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 2:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Stepania 9' Hook Shot9
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHEAT Rebound9
32.6%
12
67.4%
Q1 - 2:38DENMISS Yarbrough Layup9
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 2:53MIAAllen 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 3:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 3:18DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot9
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 3:45MIABest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)9
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 4:05DENHarrington 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yarbrough 3 AST)9
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 4:12MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)7
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 4:26DENNene Dunk (2 PTS) (Yarbrough 2 AST)7
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)5
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 4:49DENHoward 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)5
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 5:13MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T5)3
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 5:26DENMISS Yarbrough 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 5:47DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 5:58DENMISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 6:10MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)3
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 6:30DENTskitishvili Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)3
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 6:38DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 6:51DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 6:51DENMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 22
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 7:06MIAAllen 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 7:20DENButler STEAL (1 STL)2
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 7:37DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot2
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 7:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 7:54DENMISS Yarbrough 18' Jump Shot2
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 7:59MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 8:12DENTskitishvili Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)2
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 8:38MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:04DENTskitishvili Layup (2 PTS)2
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 9:06DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:08DENMISS Tskitishvili Tip Shot0
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 9:09DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:11DENMISS Yarbrough 14' Jump Shot0
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 9:21MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:25DENGrant STEAL (1 STL)0
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 9:38MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 10:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot0
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:22DENYarbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 10:36MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 10:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 10:48DENMISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 10:53DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 10:55DENMISS Howard Dunk0
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 11:08DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 11:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 11:21DENMISS Tskitishvili 11' Jump Shot0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Nene: Tip to Best0
38.2%
0
61.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
33
67%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
DEN
13
34
38%
MIA
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
DEN
19
25
76%
MIA
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harrington1963%9.5 / 15
Nene1667%8.0 / 12
J. Howard1246%6.0 / 13
S. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
P. Savovic1056%5.0 / 9
M. Camby950%4.5 / 9
D. Harvey880%4.0 / 5
V. Yarbrough735%3.5 / 10
N. Tskitishvili433%2.0 / 6
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler2255%11.0 / 20
B. Grant1667%8.0 / 12
M. James1447%7.0 / 15
M. Allen1150%5.5 / 11
C. Butler1146%5.5 / 12
A. Carter880%4.0 / 5
V. Stepania433%2.0 / 6
T. Best2100%1.0 / 1
E. House225%1.0 / 4
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+10
-14
92
MIA
74
+16
-20
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
90.7
94.5
DEN 102.1
MIA 97.9 +4.2
Pace
92.6
90.0
DEN 96.9 +3.7
MIA 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.2
DEN 14.9 +0.6
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
42.8%
43.9%
DEN 52.0% +2.7%
MIA 49.3%
TO %
18.7%
14.8%
DEN 14.7% +4.1%
MIA 18.8%
ORB %
31.3%
26.8%
DEN 25.6%
MIA 33.3% +7.7%
FTrt
28.3
25.9
DEN 32.9 +2.6
MIA 30.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
55.8%
DEN 44.7%
MIA 57.1% +12.4%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
DEN 14.6% +6.1%
MIA 8.5%
BLK %
8.5%
6.4%
DEN 7.0% +2.5%
MIA 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
44.6%
46.0%
DEN 52.7% +2.2%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
53.8%
53.7%
DEN 66.7% +3.1%
MIA 63.6%
Mid FG%
35.8%
37.6%
DEN 38.2%
MIA 45.7% +7.5%
3P %
27.8%
31.6%
DEN 33.3% +7.0%
MIA 26.3%
FT %
69.9%
76.5%
DEN 76.0% +2.1%
MIA 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
28.9%
DEN 43.4% +14.5%
MIA 28.9%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
54.2%
DEN 44.7% +1.3%
MIA 46.1%
3P Att. %
12.6%
16.9%
DEN 11.8%
MIA 25.0% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points9892
Rebounds3441
Assists1720
Steals148
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)29 (1)
Field Goals38-7635-76
At-the-Rim FG22-3314-22
Midrange FG13-3416-35
2-Point FG35-6730-57
3-Point FG3-95-19
Free Throws19-2517-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
34.5
12
46%
8
4
1
0
1
3
2
6
2-3
67%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 22
31.6
19
63%
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
1
7-8
88%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 20
29.9
16
67%
5
0
4
1
3
4
2
3
0-3
0%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 22
28.6
7
35%
3
4
1
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 225 · 20
18.9
4
33%
3
0
0
1
3
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 23
24.5
8
80%
3
3
2
0
3
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 28
20.9
11
61%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29
19.9
9
50%
6
2
1
2
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 27
15.0
10
56%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25
11.7
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 27
4.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
34
17
14
4
14
0
10
24
19-25
76%
35-67
52%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.