FinalWin Prob.pScore
181%101
91
2719%90
89
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
103.48892.0
MIA logo MIA
97.89187.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
95.4%
89
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot91
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
92.5%
89
7.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALMISS Nash Free Throw 1 of 290
91.7%
89
8.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)90
94.4%
89
5.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)90
90.6%
88
9.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)90
93.2%
87
6.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)90
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAButler Foul Turnover (P5.T14)88
96.7%
86
3.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
89.8%
86
10.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
92.3%
86
7.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
95.0%
86
5.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot88
88.8%
86
11.2%
Q4 - 1:02MIAButler Driving Layup (16 PTS)88
91.1%
86
8.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
94.4%
84
5.6%
Q4 - 1:08DALGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)88
95.3%
84
4.7%
Q4 - 1:25MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
96.7%
84
3.3%
Q4 - 1:25MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
97.0%
83
3.0%
Q4 - 1:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 1:26DALMISS Nash 5' Finger Roll88
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)88
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJames Driving Layup (16 PTS)88
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 1:58DALBradley Layup (13 PTS)88
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 1:59DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 2:00DALMISS Bradley Layup86
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 2:02DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 2:04DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot86
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 2:32MIAJames Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)86
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)86
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 2:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)86
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 2:41DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot86
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 3:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot86
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 3:20DALBradley 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)86
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 3:40DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 3:59MIAHEAT Rebound84
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Marks 15' Jump Shot84
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 4:16DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 4:16DALBradley Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)83
96.9%
76
3.1%
Q4 - 4:33MIAButler Layup (14 PTS) (Best 2 AST)81
95.7%
76
4.3%
Q4 - 4:37MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 4:39DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot81
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 4:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS James 12' Running Jump Shot81
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 5:22DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q4 - 5:42DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot79
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q4 - 5:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
93.1%
74
6.9%
Q4 - 5:54DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot79
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q4 - 6:13MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q4 - 6:37DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)79
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)76
92.8%
72
7.2%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMarks Dunk (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)76
94.6%
71
5.4%
Q4 - 7:04DALNash Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)76
95.3%
69
4.7%
Q4 - 7:11MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)76
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q4 - 7:26DALNash 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
95.3%
69
4.7%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMarks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)74
94.1%
69
5.9%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 7:54DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot74
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q4 - 8:09DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)74
93.3%
69
6.7%
Q4 - 8:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot73
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q4 - 8:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
89.3%
69
10.7%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Butler 12' Running Jump Shot73
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q4 - 8:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
89.3%
69
10.7%
Q4 - 8:37DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
90.0%
69
10.0%
Q4 - 8:52DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
91.6%
69
8.4%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot73
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q4 - 9:14DALBradley 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)73
89.2%
69
10.8%
Q4 - 9:16DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
86.8%
69
13.2%
Q4 - 9:18DALMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot71
84.6%
69
15.4%
Q4 - 9:42MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P2.T11)71
86.8%
69
13.2%
Q4 - 10:03DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q4 - 10:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
76.2%
69
23.8%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot68
74.8%
69
25.2%
Q4 - 10:25DALNajera Tip Shot (2 PTS)68
71.5%
69
28.5%
Q4 - 10:27DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
67.1%
69
32.9%
Q4 - 10:29DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot66
63.2%
69
36.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)66
67.1%
69
32.9%
Q4 - 10:58DALButler STEAL (1 STL)66
61.4%
69
38.6%
Q4 - 11:09DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
66.7%
69
33.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
65.1%
69
34.9%
Q4 - 11:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
61.5%
69
38.5%
Q4 - 11:28DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Running Jump Shot66
63.1%
69
36.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)66
66.7%
69
33.3%
Q4 - 11:39MIACarter 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
71.3%
68
28.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
75.4%
66
24.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound66
75.4%
66
24.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot66
78.2%
66
21.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALJames STEAL (3 STL)66
76.5%
66
23.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
79.9%
66
20.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Stepania 5' Jump Shot66
78.9%
66
21.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
76.4%
66
23.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
72.4%
66
27.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot64
71.1%
66
28.9%
Q3 - 1:07DALNash 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
69.6%
66
30.4%
Q3 - 1:20DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
65.4%
66
34.6%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS James Driving Layup62
64.0%
66
36.0%
Q3 - 1:36DALNash Layup (15 PTS)62
60.7%
66
39.3%
Q3 - 1:41DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
56.1%
66
43.9%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot60
54.5%
66
45.5%
Q3 - 1:48DALJames STEAL (2 STL)60
51.0%
66
49.0%
Q3 - 1:58DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
56.0%
66
44.0%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot60
54.5%
66
45.5%
Q3 - 2:18DALBradley Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)60
52.5%
66
47.5%
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)58
48.3%
66
51.7%
Q3 - 2:32MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
52.9%
65
47.1%
Q3 - 2:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
57.1%
63
42.9%
Q3 - 2:40DALMISS Griffin Layup58
58.6%
63
41.4%
Q3 - 2:44MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)58
62.0%
63
38.0%
Q3 - 3:02DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
58.6%
63
41.4%
Q3 - 3:02DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
58.2%
63
41.8%
Q3 - 3:16MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)56
54.4%
63
45.6%
Q3 - 3:34DALGriffin 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Najera 3 AST)56
58.5%
61
41.5%
Q3 - 3:58MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)54
54.3%
61
45.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHEAT Rebound54
64.0%
58
36.0%
Q3 - 4:14DALAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)54
65.4%
58
34.6%
Q3 - 4:32MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
68.4%
58
31.6%
Q3 - 4:32MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 4:46DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
71.5%
56
28.5%
Q3 - 4:46DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
71.2%
56
28.8%
Q3 - 4:56MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)52
68.3%
56
31.7%
Q3 - 5:17DALBell 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)52
72.2%
54
27.8%
Q3 - 5:31MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
69.0%
54
31.0%
Q3 - 5:45DALBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)50
72.2%
52
27.8%
Q3 - 5:45DALMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 249
71.4%
52
28.6%
Q3 - 5:57MIAButler 4' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
72.5%
52
27.5%
Q3 - 6:23MIAHEAT Rebound49
76.0%
50
24.0%
Q3 - 6:25DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot49
76.9%
50
23.1%
Q3 - 6:32DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
79.0%
50
21.0%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot49
78.1%
50
21.9%
Q3 - 6:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
76.0%
50
24.0%
Q3 - 6:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
75.6%
50
24.4%
Q3 - 6:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
73.1%
50
26.9%
Q3 - 6:56DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
70.7%
50
29.3%
Q3 - 7:04DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
73.2%
50
26.8%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot47
72.1%
50
27.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
69.6%
50
30.4%
Q3 - 7:19DALMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot47
70.7%
50
29.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAGrant Dunk (8 PTS)47
73.2%
50
26.8%
Q3 - 8:02DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)47
76.5%
48
23.5%
Q3 - 8:12DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
71.0%
48
29.0%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
69.9%
48
30.1%
Q3 - 8:37DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
67.3%
48
32.7%
Q3 - 8:37DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
67.0%
48
33.0%
Q3 - 8:51MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 1 AST)42
64.3%
48
35.7%
Q3 - 9:08DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
68.7%
46
31.3%
Q3 - 9:14DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
65.5%
46
34.5%
Q3 - 9:17DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q3 - 9:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
65.5%
46
34.5%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot40
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q3 - 9:52DALNash Layup (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)40
61.9%
46
38.1%
Q3 - 10:07MIAAllen Layup (7 PTS)38
60.7%
46
39.3%
Q3 - 10:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot38
66.2%
44
33.8%
Q3 - 10:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
63.6%
44
36.4%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot38
66.1%
44
33.9%
Q3 - 10:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)38
63.6%
44
36.4%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot38
66.1%
44
33.9%
Q3 - 11:02DALFinley 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
65.6%
44
34.4%
Q3 - 11:14DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
62.5%
44
37.5%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot36
61.4%
44
38.6%
Q3 - 11:30MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
59.0%
44
41.0%
Q3 - 11:32DALBest BLOCK (1 BLK)36
60.0%
44
40.0%
Q3 - 11:40DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
62.4%
44
37.6%
Q3 - 11:43DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
60.0%
44
40.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL36
62.4%
44
37.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
62.4%
44
37.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot36
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALLaFrentz Dunk (10 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)36
61.0%
44
39.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAButler Layup (11 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)34
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALStepania STEAL (1 STL)34
60.9%
42
39.1%
Q2 - 1:04MIAButler Dunk (9 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)34
63.7%
42
36.3%
Q2 - 1:08MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 1:10DALMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot34
68.4%
40
31.6%
Q2 - 1:30DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot34
68.9%
40
31.1%
Q2 - 1:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 1:49DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
68.3%
40
31.7%
Q2 - 2:07MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
70.6%
40
29.4%
Q2 - 2:18DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)34
73.3%
38
26.7%
Q2 - 2:18DALMavericks Rebound34
75.5%
38
24.5%
Q2 - 2:19DALButler BLOCK (3 BLK)34
73.9%
38
26.1%
Q2 - 2:51MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)34
75.4%
38
24.6%
Q2 - 2:55DALGrant STEAL (1 STL)34
73.3%
38
26.7%
Q2 - 3:02DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 3:04DALMISS Finley 6' Jump Shot34
74.9%
38
25.1%
Q2 - 3:25MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)34
76.5%
38
23.5%
Q2 - 3:46DALLaFrentz Layup (8 PTS)34
78.3%
36
21.7%
Q2 - 3:48DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q2 - 3:50DALMISS Nash 5' Running Jump Shot32
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 4:14DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
77.1%
36
22.9%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)32
75.0%
36
25.0%
Q2 - 4:30DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)32
77.1%
35
22.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)30
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q2 - 4:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
79.1%
32
20.9%
Q2 - 4:59DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
79.7%
32
20.3%
Q2 - 5:15MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
81.4%
32
18.6%
Q2 - 5:30DALGriffin Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 5:34DALMavericks Rebound30
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 5:36DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot30
84.9%
29
15.1%
Q2 - 5:47DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 230
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 230
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 5:59DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 6:15MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
83.4%
29
16.6%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 228
83.7%
28
16.3%
Q2 - 6:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
83.1%
28
16.9%
Q2 - 6:19DALMISS Najera 5' Hook Shot28
83.7%
28
16.3%
Q2 - 6:40DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
84.9%
28
15.1%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS James 9' Running Jump Shot28
84.4%
28
15.6%
Q2 - 7:09DALBradley Layup (2 PTS)28
83.5%
28
16.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
82.1%
28
17.9%
Q2 - 7:39DALJames STEAL (1 STL)26
80.3%
28
19.7%
Q2 - 7:46MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)26
82.1%
28
17.9%
Q2 - 7:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)26
80.3%
28
19.7%
Q2 - 7:54DALMISS Van Exel Layup26
80.9%
28
19.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)26
82.0%
28
18.0%
Q2 - 8:31DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)26
80.3%
28
19.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
77.0%
28
23.0%
Q2 - 8:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)23
78.6%
26
21.4%
Q2 - 8:57DALMISS Griffin 20' Jump Shot23
79.2%
26
20.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
80.8%
26
19.2%
Q2 - 9:28DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)23
83.5%
23
16.5%
Q2 - 9:33DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
80.8%
23
19.2%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot20
80.2%
23
19.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
78.9%
23
21.1%
Q2 - 9:50DALMISS Najera Reverse Layup20
79.5%
23
20.5%
Q2 - 10:07DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
80.6%
23
19.4%
Q2 - 10:09DALMISS Bradley 21' Jump Shot20
79.3%
23
20.7%
Q2 - 10:29DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
80.6%
23
19.4%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup20
80.1%
23
19.9%
Q2 - 10:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
78.8%
23
21.2%
Q2 - 10:42DALButler BLOCK (2 BLK)20
79.4%
23
20.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMarks 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)20
80.9%
23
19.1%
Q2 - 11:17DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)20
82.3%
21
17.7%
Q2 - 11:24DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
83.7%
21
16.3%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot20
83.3%
21
16.7%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
82.3%
21
17.7%
Q2 - 11:39DALMISS Najera 5' Jump Shot20
82.7%
21
17.3%
Q2 - 11:41DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)20
83.7%
21
16.3%
Q2 - 11:42DALMISS Van Exel 14' Jump Shot20
82.7%
21
17.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL20
83.7%
21
16.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound20
83.7%
21
16.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Najera 14' Jump Shot20
82.8%
21
17.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
83.5%
21
16.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot20
82.8%
21
17.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)20
83.5%
21
16.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
85.1%
19
14.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALMISS LaFrentz Reverse Layup20
85.3%
19
14.7%
Q1 - 1:15MIAButler 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
86.0%
19
14.0%
Q1 - 1:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
87.3%
17
12.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot20
87.9%
17
12.1%
Q1 - 1:44DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
87.3%
17
12.7%
Q1 - 1:54MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
86.0%
17
14.0%
Q1 - 2:12DALNowitzki Layup (4 PTS)18
85.3%
17
14.7%
Q1 - 2:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
84.0%
17
16.0%
Q1 - 2:15DALMISS Nowitzki Layup16
83.1%
17
16.9%
Q1 - 2:28MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)16
84.0%
17
16.0%
Q1 - 2:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
82.7%
17
17.3%
Q1 - 2:39DALMISS LaFrentz 19' Jump Shot16
83.1%
17
16.9%
Q1 - 2:46DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
84.0%
17
16.0%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot16
83.6%
17
16.4%
Q1 - 3:13DALButler STEAL (1 STL)16
82.8%
17
17.2%
Q1 - 3:30DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
84.2%
17
15.8%
Q1 - 3:32DALMISS LaFrentz 18' Jump Shot16
83.3%
17
16.7%
Q1 - 3:51MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
84.2%
17
15.8%
Q1 - 3:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
85.2%
15
14.8%
Q1 - 4:00DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
85.6%
15
14.4%
Q1 - 4:03DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
86.8%
15
13.2%
Q1 - 4:05DALButler BLOCK (1 BLK)16
85.9%
15
14.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
86.8%
15
13.2%
Q1 - 4:26DALLaFrentz 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)16
85.5%
15
14.5%
Q1 - 4:40MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)14
84.6%
15
15.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAHEAT Rebound14
85.5%
13
14.5%
Q1 - 4:52DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Hook Shot14
85.9%
13
14.1%
Q1 - 5:05MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
86.9%
13
13.1%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 214
87.1%
12
12.9%
Q1 - 5:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
86.8%
12
13.2%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot14
87.6%
12
12.4%
Q1 - 5:34DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
86.8%
12
13.2%
Q1 - 5:40DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
85.9%
12
14.1%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot12
85.6%
12
14.4%
Q1 - 6:00DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)12
84.8%
12
15.2%
Q1 - 6:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
82.7%
12
17.3%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Best Driving Layup9
82.4%
12
17.6%
Q1 - 6:38DALLaFrentz 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)9
81.5%
12
18.5%
Q1 - 6:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
80.3%
12
19.7%
Q1 - 6:44DALMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot7
79.3%
12
20.7%
Q1 - 6:50DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
80.3%
12
19.7%
Q1 - 6:52DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot7
79.3%
12
20.7%
Q1 - 7:04DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot7
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q1 - 7:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
79.7%
12
20.3%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot7
80.6%
12
19.4%
Q1 - 7:40DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)7
79.6%
12
20.4%
Q1 - 8:06MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
78.1%
12
21.9%
Q1 - 8:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
79.2%
10
20.8%
Q1 - 8:25DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot4
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
80.5%
10
19.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
79.1%
10
20.9%
Q1 - 8:57DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot4
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 9:14MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)4
80.5%
10
19.5%
Q1 - 9:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot4
82.4%
8
17.6%
Q1 - 9:28DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 9:28DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
81.3%
8
18.7%
Q1 - 9:43MIAGrant 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
80.6%
8
19.4%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHEAT Rebound2
81.4%
6
18.6%
Q1 - 10:02DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 10:24MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
82.8%
6
17.2%
Q1 - 10:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
83.7%
4
16.3%
Q1 - 10:30DALAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)2
84.0%
4
16.0%
Q1 - 10:42MIABest Layup (2 PTS)2
84.8%
4
15.2%
Q1 - 10:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
85.6%
2
14.4%
Q1 - 10:51DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot2
85.9%
2
14.1%
Q1 - 11:11MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
86.6%
2
13.4%
Q1 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
87.5%
0
12.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot2
88.0%
0
12.0%
Q1 - 11:30DALLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)2
87.5%
0
12.5%
Q1 - 11:36DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
86.6%
0
13.4%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot0
86.4%
0
13.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Butler0
85.8%
0
14.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.92 46.0%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
11
26
42%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
DAL
16
44
36%
MIA
14
45
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
MIA
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
Free Throws
DAL
16
18
89%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash2265%11.0 / 17
D. Nowitzki2146%10.5 / 23
M. Finley1544%7.5 / 17
S. Bradley1372%6.5 / 9
R. LaFrentz1056%5.0 / 9
R. Bell338%1.5 / 4
N. Van Exel330%1.5 / 5
E. Najera217%1.0 / 6
A. Griffin225%1.0 / 4
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler2056%10.0 / 18
M. James2067%10.0 / 15
C. Butler1653%8.0 / 15
M. Allen1142%5.5 / 13
B. Grant1042%5.0 / 12
S. Marks563%2.5 / 4
A. Carter350%1.5 / 3
T. Best225%1.0 / 4
V. Stepania233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
78
+21
-10
99
MIA
77
+12
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.92 46.0%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
94.5
DAL 103.4
MIA 97.8 +5.6
Pace
94.9
90.0
DAL 92.0 +4.6
MIA 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.2
DAL 15.6 +0.8
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
43.9%
DAL 43.1%
MIA 46.7% +3.6%
TO %
11.6%
14.8%
DAL 10.4% +3.6%
MIA 14.0%
ORB %
25.5%
26.8%
DAL 39.1% +16.6%
MIA 22.5%
FTrt
25.7
25.9
DAL 20.7
MIA 28.9 +8.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
55.8%
DAL 50.0% +11.8%
MIA 38.2%
STL %
8.5%
7.9%
DAL 9.1% +1.4%
MIA 7.7%
BLK %
8.5%
6.4%
DAL 4.3%
MIA 10.0% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
46.0%
DAL 46.0%
MIA 50.0% +4.0%
Rim FG%
58.2%
53.7%
DAL 42.3%
MIA 70.8% +28.5%
Mid FG%
40.7%
37.6%
DAL 36.4% +5.3%
MIA 31.1%
3P %
38.1%
31.6%
DAL 41.2%
MIA 42.9% +1.7%
FT %
82.9%
76.5%
DAL 88.9% +7.1%
MIA 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
28.9%
DAL 29.9%
MIA 31.6% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
54.2%
DAL 50.6% +8.6%
MIA 59.2%
3P Att. %
23.9%
16.9%
DAL 19.5% +10.3%
MIA 9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions8891
Possession Minutes22.925.0
Points9189
Rebounds4937
Assists1713
Steals87
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)28 (4)
Field Goals34-8734-76
At-the-Rim FG11-2617-24
Midrange FG16-4414-45
2-Point FG27-7031-69
3-Point FG7-173-7
Free Throws16-1818-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 25
41.4
21
46%
10
4
1
0
1
3
3
7
3-3
100%
6-16
38%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 225 · 30
40.7
15
44%
11
4
2
1
1
1
2
9
0-0
-
3-10
30%
3-7
43%
G · 6'3" 178 · 29
32.8
22
65%
4
5
1
0
3
2
1
3
11-12
92%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
26.8
10
56%
3
0
0
2
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
13.0
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
32.1
2
17%
8
3
2
0
0
3
4
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 31
22.4
13
72%
9
0
1
0
0
3
3
6
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 29
13.9
2
25%
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
12.4
3
30%
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 5'11" 185 · 38
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
46%
49
17
8
3
10
0
18
31
16-18
89%
27-70
39%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.