FinalWin Prob.pScore
752%100
105
1348%99
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.49191.2
MIL logo MIL
114.68988.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS105
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASKerr Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)105
97.8%
102
2.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASKerr Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)104
97.5%
102
2.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASSpurs Rebound103
94.4%
102
5.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
80.0%
102
20.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)103
63.6%
102
36.4%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)102
58.3%
102
41.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASSpurs Rebound101
41.5%
102
58.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)101
18.0%
102
82.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILMISS Johnson Tip Shot101
33.2%
102
66.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Kukoc Layup101
34.7%
102
65.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)101
21.9%
102
78.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)100
19.1%
102
80.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
16.4%
102
83.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILMISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot99
13.8%
102
86.2%
Q4 - 1:06SASRose Layup (34 PTS)99
10.9%
102
89.1%
Q4 - 1:07SASRose REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)97
6.8%
102
93.2%
Q4 - 1:09SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot97
4.5%
102
95.5%
Q4 - 1:16MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)97
8.0%
102
92.0%
Q4 - 1:34SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)97
22.7%
99
77.3%
Q4 - 1:34SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 296
21.0%
99
79.0%
Q4 - 1:45MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
24.8%
99
75.2%
Q4 - 1:45MILJohnson Layup (2 PTS)96
24.8%
99
75.2%
Q4 - 1:46MILMISS Mason Dunk96
42.8%
97
57.2%
Q4 - 1:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)96
34.3%
97
65.7%
Q4 - 1:49MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
42.9%
97
57.1%
Q4 - 2:13SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)96
33.8%
97
66.2%
Q4 - 2:32MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
50.5%
97
49.5%
Q4 - 2:32MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)96
53.4%
96
46.6%
Q4 - 2:44SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
56.3%
95
43.7%
Q4 - 2:44SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
53.9%
95
46.1%
Q4 - 2:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
50.7%
95
49.3%
Q4 - 2:51MILMISS Payton 9' Jump Shot94
44.4%
95
55.6%
Q4 - 3:11MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
34.6%
95
65.4%
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot94
39.0%
95
61.0%
Q4 - 3:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
49.6%
95
50.4%
Q4 - 3:17SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot94
39.0%
95
61.0%
Q4 - 3:42MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)94
48.0%
95
52.0%
Q4 - 3:42MILMason Tip Shot (24 PTS)94
48.0%
95
52.0%
Q4 - 3:44MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)94
56.7%
93
43.3%
Q4 - 3:44MILMISS Johnson Dunk94
63.2%
93
36.8%
Q4 - 3:45MILMISS Cassell Layup94
63.2%
93
36.8%
Q4 - 4:04MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
56.7%
93
43.3%
Q4 - 4:05MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot94
63.3%
93
36.7%
Q4 - 4:25SASJackson Layup (8 PTS)94
56.6%
93
43.4%
Q4 - 4:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)92
47.7%
93
52.3%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Kukoc Layup92
44.6%
93
55.4%
Q4 - 5:04SASDuncan Dunk (21 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)92
39.8%
93
60.2%
Q4 - 5:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
32.4%
93
67.6%
Q4 - 5:23MILMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot90
30.1%
93
69.9%
Q4 - 5:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)90
25.2%
93
74.8%
Q4 - 5:46SASDuncan Tip Shot (19 PTS)90
25.2%
93
74.8%
Q4 - 5:47SASMISS Duncan Layup88
16.1%
93
83.9%
Q4 - 6:15MILPayton Layup (20 PTS)88
22.4%
93
77.6%
Q4 - 6:26SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)88
27.2%
91
72.8%
Q4 - 6:26SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)87
26.1%
91
73.9%
Q4 - 6:48MILMason Driving Layup (22 PTS)86
22.3%
91
77.7%
Q4 - 7:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
27.1%
89
72.9%
Q4 - 7:02SASKukoc BLOCK (1 BLK)86
31.8%
89
68.2%
Q4 - 7:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)86
36.5%
89
63.5%
Q4 - 7:10MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot86
34.4%
89
65.6%
Q4 - 7:30SASRose REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)86
29.6%
89
70.4%
Q4 - 7:30SASRose Tip Shot (29 PTS)86
29.6%
89
70.4%
Q4 - 7:31SASMISS Rose Layup84
21.0%
89
79.0%
Q4 - 7:39SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
24.8%
89
75.2%
Q4 - 7:40MILMISS Kukoc Layup84
23.0%
89
77.0%
Q4 - 7:54MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
19.3%
89
80.7%
Q4 - 7:56MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
23.0%
89
77.0%
Q4 - 8:14SASMason STEAL (2 STL)84
21.5%
89
78.5%
Q4 - 8:35MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)84
26.2%
89
73.8%
Q4 - 8:35MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)84
31.4%
88
68.6%
Q4 - 8:49SASRose Layup (27 PTS)84
43.2%
85
56.8%
Q4 - 9:09MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)82
38.4%
85
61.6%
Q4 - 9:23SASBowen 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
32.6%
85
67.4%
Q4 - 9:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 9:47SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 280
23.6%
85
76.4%
Q4 - 9:47SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 280
25.4%
85
74.6%
Q4 - 10:00MILKukoc Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)80
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 10:20SASGinobili Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)80
24.1%
85
75.9%
Q4 - 10:34SASRose Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)78
20.5%
85
79.5%
Q4 - 10:58MILPayton 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q4 - 11:07SASRedd STEAL (1 STL)77
21.2%
83
78.8%
Q4 - 11:23SASSpurs Rebound77
25.2%
83
74.8%
Q4 - 11:24MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot77
23.9%
83
76.1%
Q4 - 11:44SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)77
21.1%
83
78.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS74
14.9%
83
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILCassell Layup (23 PTS)74
14.9%
83
85.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
19.4%
81
80.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Redd Layup74
21.7%
81
78.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
19.3%
81
80.7%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASMISS Ferry 16' Jump Shot74
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
22.6%
81
77.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
23.3%
80
76.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
26.4%
79
73.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 274
27.0%
79
73.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
29.7%
79
70.3%
Q3 - 1:05MILKukoc Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)73
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q3 - 1:20MILBUCKS Rebound73
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q3 - 1:21SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 3 of 373
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q3 - 1:21SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 373
26.9%
79
73.1%
Q3 - 1:21SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 373
30.0%
79
70.0%
Q3 - 1:45MILMason 9' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)73
27.7%
79
72.3%
Q3 - 1:54MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
31.7%
77
68.3%
Q3 - 1:56SASMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot73
33.0%
77
67.0%
Q3 - 2:04SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
36.8%
77
63.2%
Q3 - 2:05MILMISS Cassell Layup73
35.3%
77
64.7%
Q3 - 2:18SASBowen Layup (2 PTS)73
32.2%
77
67.8%
Q3 - 2:38MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
28.6%
77
71.4%
Q3 - 2:38MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 271
29.6%
76
70.4%
Q3 - 2:53MILCassell Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)71
28.2%
76
71.8%
Q3 - 2:53MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
32.2%
75
67.8%
Q3 - 2:55SASCassell BLOCK (1 BLK)71
33.5%
75
66.5%
Q3 - 3:23MILMason 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)71
37.4%
75
62.6%
Q3 - 3:38MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
41.4%
73
58.6%
Q3 - 3:40SASMISS Claxton Layup71
42.8%
73
57.2%
Q3 - 3:54MILMason 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)71
46.1%
73
53.9%
Q3 - 4:04SASCassell STEAL (2 STL)71
54.4%
70
45.6%
Q3 - 4:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)71
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q3 - 4:16MILMISS Cassell 21' Jump Shot71
57.9%
70
42.1%
Q3 - 4:33SASJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)71
54.5%
70
45.5%
Q3 - 5:01MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)68
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q3 - 5:12SASRose Reverse Layup (24 PTS)68
54.6%
67
45.4%
Q3 - 5:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)66
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q3 - 5:18SASMISS Bowen Layup66
47.7%
67
52.3%
Q3 - 5:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)66
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q3 - 5:26SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
47.7%
67
52.3%
Q3 - 5:48MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)66
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q3 - 6:09SASRose Layup (22 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)66
58.5%
64
41.5%
Q3 - 6:27MILCassell 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)64
54.8%
64
45.2%
Q3 - 6:48SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)64
62.3%
61
37.7%
Q3 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
54.8%
61
45.2%
Q3 - 6:57MILMISS Kukoc Layup61
53.5%
61
46.5%
Q3 - 7:00SASKukoc STEAL (2 STL)61
50.6%
61
49.4%
Q3 - 7:05MILPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)61
54.5%
61
45.5%
Q3 - 7:19SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)61
50.1%
61
49.9%
Q3 - 7:38SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
54.5%
61
45.5%
Q3 - 7:40MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot61
53.2%
61
46.8%
Q3 - 7:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)61
50.1%
61
49.9%
Q3 - 7:51SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
46.2%
61
53.8%
Q3 - 8:05MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)58
43.4%
61
56.6%
Q3 - 8:05MILPayton Layup (15 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)58
47.2%
60
52.8%
Q3 - 8:20SASRose Layup (20 PTS)58
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 8:21SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)56
47.1%
58
52.9%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot56
44.2%
58
55.8%
Q3 - 8:46MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)56
47.1%
58
52.9%
Q3 - 9:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)56
54.1%
55
45.9%
Q3 - 9:00SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
50.4%
55
49.6%
Q3 - 9:17MILMason 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
47.0%
55
53.0%
Q3 - 9:31SASParker Layup (11 PTS)53
50.6%
53
49.4%
Q3 - 9:41MILPayton Layup (13 PTS)51
47.1%
53
52.9%
Q3 - 9:49MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
50.6%
51
49.4%
Q3 - 9:51SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot51
51.7%
51
48.3%
Q3 - 10:05MILMason 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)51
54.7%
51
45.3%
Q3 - 10:26SASParker 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
57.7%
49
42.3%
Q3 - 10:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
54.6%
49
45.4%
Q3 - 10:32MILMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot49
53.4%
49
46.6%
Q3 - 10:49SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q3 - 10:49SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)48
50.0%
49
50.0%
Q3 - 10:57MILPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)47
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q3 - 11:03MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q3 - 11:05MILMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot47
46.7%
49
53.3%
Q3 - 11:19MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot47
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q3 - 11:34SASSpurs Rebound47
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q3 - 11:35SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q3 - 11:40MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)47
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q3 - 11:42MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q3 - 11:44MILMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot47
46.7%
49
53.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS47
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound47
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Claxton 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 247
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMason STEAL (2 STL)47
48.6%
48
51.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot47
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASClaxton Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)47
48.5%
48
51.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0MILPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 1:13SASClaxton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)45
42.6%
48
57.4%
Q2 - 1:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q2 - 1:25MILMISS Payton Layup43
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 1:40SASMason STEAL (1 STL)43
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q2 - 1:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q2 - 1:56MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 2 of 243
37.8%
48
62.2%
Q2 - 1:56MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)43
35.4%
48
64.6%
Q2 - 2:17SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)43
39.3%
47
60.7%
Q2 - 2:30SASFerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)43
42.1%
47
57.9%
Q2 - 2:39MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
39.0%
47
61.0%
Q2 - 2:39MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q2 - 2:39MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 2:40SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot42
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q2 - 2:58MILCassell 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)42
45.1%
45
54.9%
Q2 - 3:03MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
48.5%
43
51.5%
Q2 - 3:05SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q2 - 3:17MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
51.8%
43
48.2%
Q2 - 3:17MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
52.2%
42
47.8%
Q2 - 3:26SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
54.5%
41
45.5%
Q2 - 3:26SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)41
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 3:27MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)40
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q2 - 3:57SASRose Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)40
48.5%
41
51.5%
Q2 - 4:13MILPayton Layup (11 PTS)38
46.0%
41
54.0%
Q2 - 4:42SASRose Layup (12 PTS)38
48.8%
39
51.2%
Q2 - 5:00SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
46.0%
39
54.0%
Q2 - 5:01MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 2 of 236
45.9%
39
54.1%
Q2 - 5:01MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
43.9%
39
56.1%
Q2 - 5:17SASParker 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
46.1%
38
53.9%
Q2 - 5:30MILCassell 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 5:47SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)34
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 6:04MILCassell 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)31
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 6:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)31
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 6:18SASDuncan Tip Shot (10 PTS)31
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 6:21SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Rose Layup29
39.2%
34
60.8%
Q2 - 6:22SASMISS Parker Layup29
39.2%
34
60.8%
Q2 - 6:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 6:38MILMISS Caffey 10' Jump Shot29
40.4%
34
59.6%
Q2 - 6:53MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 6:54SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot29
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 7:18MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)29
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q2 - 7:39SASCaffey STEAL (1 STL)29
46.8%
31
53.2%
Q2 - 7:57SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
49.7%
31
50.3%
Q2 - 7:58SASMISS Jackson Layup29
47.7%
31
52.3%
Q2 - 8:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q2 - 8:04MILMISS Kukoc Layup29
48.7%
31
51.3%
Q2 - 8:25SASRose Layup (10 PTS)29
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q2 - 8:46MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)27
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 8:52SASKukoc STEAL (1 STL)27
46.7%
29
53.3%
Q2 - 9:06MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)27
49.7%
29
50.3%
Q2 - 9:16SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
54.4%
26
45.6%
Q2 - 9:16SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
53.7%
26
46.3%
Q2 - 9:31MILKukoc Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)25
52.2%
26
47.8%
Q2 - 9:41MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Kerr 18' Jump Shot25
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 9:58MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)25
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q2 - 10:19SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q2 - 10:36MILJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)25
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q2 - 10:49SASKerr 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)25
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q2 - 11:05MILPayton 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)23
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q2 - 11:24SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q2 - 11:24SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS)22
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q2 - 11:36MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)20
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL20
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
59.6%
17
40.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
60.8%
17
39.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Kerr 16' Jump Shot20
59.6%
17
40.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILMason Foul Turnover (P2.T5)20
60.8%
17
39.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASWillis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)20
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 1:09MILPayton Driving Layup (7 PTS)18
56.2%
17
43.8%
Q1 - 1:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
59.0%
15
41.0%
Q1 - 1:33SASDuncan Tip Shot (8 PTS)18
59.0%
15
41.0%
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Bowen 8' Jump Shot16
55.0%
15
45.0%
Q1 - 2:05MILPayton 3' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 2:21SASRose Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)16
59.0%
13
41.0%
Q1 - 2:41SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 2:42MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot14
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 2:48SASPayton STEAL (1 STL)14
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 2:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 2:51MILMISS Cassell Layup14
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 3:06MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 3:08SASMISS Parker 4' Running Jump Shot14
54.8%
13
45.2%
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 3:17SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot14
54.9%
13
45.1%
Q1 - 3:30MILJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 3:33SASMason STEAL (1 STL)14
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 3:53MILMason 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)14
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 4:15SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 4:32MILMason 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)12
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 4:50SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 5:10MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 5:37SASParker Layup (2 PTS)12
54.1%
11
45.9%
Q1 - 6:02MILCassell 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)10
52.0%
11
48.0%
Q1 - 6:11MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 6:14SASMISS Rose Dunk10
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 6:31SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
56.1%
9
43.9%
Q1 - 6:33MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot10
55.4%
9
44.6%
Q1 - 6:40SASCassell STEAL (1 STL)10
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 6:47SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
56.1%
9
43.9%
Q1 - 6:50MILMISS Payton 11' Jump Shot10
55.4%
9
44.6%
Q1 - 6:56MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 6:57SASMISS Jackson Layup10
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 7:12MILMason 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)10
56.0%
9
44.0%
Q1 - 7:29SASRose Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
57.6%
7
42.4%
Q1 - 7:33MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
56.0%
7
44.0%
Q1 - 7:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
53.9%
7
46.1%
Q1 - 7:39SASRose Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
53.9%
7
46.1%
Q1 - 7:41SASMISS Parker Layup6
50.7%
7
49.3%
Q1 - 8:00MILMason 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)6
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 8:13MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.3%
5
45.7%
Q1 - 8:15SASMason BLOCK (2 BLK)6
54.9%
5
45.1%
Q1 - 8:32MILMason Dunk (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)6
56.3%
5
43.7%
Q1 - 8:45MILBUCKS Rebound6
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Rose Layup6
58.6%
3
41.4%
Q1 - 8:46SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
60.0%
3
40.0%
Q1 - 8:48SASMason BLOCK (1 BLK)6
58.6%
3
41.4%
Q1 - 9:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
60.0%
3
40.0%
Q1 - 9:02MILMISS Payton 11' Jump Shot6
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 9:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
57.6%
3
42.4%
Q1 - 9:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 9:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
56.3%
3
43.7%
Q1 - 9:14SASMISS Bowen Layup4
54.6%
3
45.4%
Q1 - 9:32MILPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)4
56.3%
3
43.7%
Q1 - 9:37MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 9:38MILMISS Mason Layup4
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 9:43MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 9:44SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot4
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 10:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 10:04MILMISS Cassell 9' Jump Shot4
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 10:12MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 10:13SASMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot4
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 10:30SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 10:31MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 24
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 10:31MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 24
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 10:31MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 10:33MILMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot4
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 10:59SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 11:17MILMISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot2
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:41SASRose Layup (2 PTS)2
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Thomas vs. Duncan: Tip to Jackson0
54.0%
0
46.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
MIL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
26
42
62%
MIL
12
26
46%
Midrange
SAS
8
20
40%
MIL
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIL
11
16.5
17
65%
97%
Free Throws
SAS
25
32
78%
MIL
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Rose3468%17.0 / 25
T. Duncan2574%12.5 / 17
T. Parker1350%6.5 / 13
S. Jackson836%4.0 / 11
B. Bowen739%3.5 / 9
M. Ginobili550%2.5 / 5
S. Claxton440%2.0 / 5
K. Willis4100%2.0 / 2
S. Kerr467%2.0 / 3
D. Ferry150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Cassell2659%13.0 / 22
D. Mason2467%12.0 / 18
T. Kukoc2475%12.0 / 16
G. Payton2059%10.0 / 17
M. Redd429%2.0 / 7
A. Mason2100%1.0 / 1
E. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
T. Thomas0-0.0 / 2
J. Caffey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
75
+19
-16
94
MIL
75
+12
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
MIL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
106.1
SAS 115.4 +0.8
MIL 114.6
Pace
92.6
92.7
SAS 91.2 +2.4
MIL 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.7
SAS 15.8 +0.4
MIL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
50.0%
SAS 52.6%
MIL 57.2% +4.6%
TO %
16.5%
13.0%
SAS 15.1%
MIL 14.1% +1.0%
ORB %
28.8%
25.7%
SAS 45.9% +14.3%
MIL 31.6%
FTrt
34.8
28.7
SAS 42.1 +14.5
MIL 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
59.9%
SAS 39.5%
MIL 63.2% +23.7%
STL %
8.3%
8.1%
SAS 8.8%
MIL 12.4% +3.6%
BLK %
9.3%
6.4%
SAS 5.1%
MIL 6.5% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
51.8%
SAS 55.3%
MIL 58.0% +2.7%
Rim FG%
59.3%
57.7%
SAS 61.9% +15.7%
MIL 46.2%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.4%
SAS 40.0%
MIL 45.5% +5.5%
3P %
35.4%
38.3%
SAS 28.6%
MIL 64.7% +36.1%
FT %
72.5%
77.6%
SAS 78.1% +6.7%
MIL 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
30.4%
SAS 55.3% +21.1%
MIL 34.2%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
46.7%
SAS 26.3% +17.1%
MIL 43.4%
3P Att. %
20.2%
22.9%
SAS 18.4%
MIL 22.4% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points105102
Rebounds4332
Assists1524
Steals811
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (2)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)20 (2)
Field Goals38-7638-76
At-the-Rim FG26-4212-26
Midrange FG8-2015-33
2-Point FG34-6227-59
3-Point FG4-1411-17
Free Throws25-3215-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
44.3
25
74%
15
6
0
2
6
2
6
9
9-10
90%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
40.8
7
39%
6
0
2
0
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C · 6'7" 255 · 28
33.8
34
68%
9
0
1
0
2
5
7
2
8-9
89%
13-21
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
32.0
8
36%
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-3
0%
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
26.8
13
50%
4
2
2
0
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
26.2
5
50%
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
G · 5'11" 170 · 25
14.2
4
40%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
8.4
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
7.1
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
6.5
1
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
43
15
8
3
16
0
17
26
25-32
78%
34-62
55%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.