FinalWin Prob.pScore
2724%84
82
2076%93
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.38689.5
WAS logo WAS
100.08985.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS82
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABest 14' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)82
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)80
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Best 4 AST)77
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)75
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0WASMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)75
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0WASWIZARDS Rebound75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0WASRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0WASRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)75
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0WASRussell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 275
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0WASMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:19WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)74
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot74
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 1:26MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 1:28WASMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot74
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 1:46MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 273
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 1:54WASStackhouse 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (34 PTS)73
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 2:16WASRussell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 2:18WASMISS Jordan 17' Jump Shot73
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 2:37WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot73
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 2:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 2:51WASMISS Jordan 3' Layup73
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 2:52WASJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 2:54WASMISS Lue 6' Jump Shot73
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 3:21MIABest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)73
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 3:31MIAHeat Rebound70
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 3:50WASJordan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)70
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)70
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 4:19WASStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (32 PTS)70
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 4:42MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)70
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)70
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 4:43MIAJordan BLOCK (2 BLK)70
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 5:09WASRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 5:09WASMISS Russell Free Throw 1 of 270
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 269
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHeat Rebound69
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAStackhouse BLOCK (1 BLK)69
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 5:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q4 - 5:40WASMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 6:10MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 7 AST)69
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 6:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)67
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot67
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 6:45WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)67
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 6:45WASJordan 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)67
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 6:52WASRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS James 1' Layup67
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q4 - 7:01WASHaywood Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)67
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 7:25WASJump Ball Russell vs. Butler: Tip to Jordan67
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 7:48WASJordan 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Oakley 1 AST)67
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q4 - 8:10WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot67
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q4 - 8:31MIAHeat Rebound67
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q4 - 8:32WASMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q4 - 8:59MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 6 AST)67
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)65
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q4 - 9:16WASMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot65
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q4 - 9:33WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot65
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q4 - 9:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q4 - 9:59WASMISS Russell 22' Jump Shot65
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q4 - 10:20MIABest 20' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q4 - 10:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)63
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 10:30WASMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot63
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 10:47WASRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Lampley 10' Jump Shot63
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 11:15WASLaettner Driving Dunk (8 PTS)63
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 11:29WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q4 - 11:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Lampley 2' Layup63
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASRussell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)63
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)63
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot63
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0WASLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0WASLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)63
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0WASMISS Stackhouse 2' Layup61
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)61
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot61
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot61
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 1:43WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)61
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 1:43WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)61
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q3 - 1:59MIABest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)61
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 2:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 2:05WASMISS Laettner 1' Layup58
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 2:08WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q3 - 2:09MIALaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)58
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 2:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 2:18MIAHaywood BLOCK (3 BLK)58
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHeat Rebound58
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 2:33WASMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot58
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHaywood STEAL (2 STL)58
8.8%
64
91.2%
Q3 - 3:16WASLaettner 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)58
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 3:36WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 3:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 3:51WASMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot58
14.2%
62
85.8%
Q3 - 4:07WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
12.6%
62
87.4%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 4:31WASStackhouse 2' Driving Dunk (28 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)58
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 4:34WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 4:36MIAHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)58
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 4:41WASJordan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)58
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot58
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 4:57WASWIZARDS Rebound58
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Best 6' Jump Shot58
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 5:04WASJump Ball Hughes vs. Allen: Tip to Best58
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 5:29MIAGrant 1' Layup (14 PTS)58
17.1%
60
82.9%
Q3 - 5:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
15.1%
60
84.9%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot56
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q3 - 5:51WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)56
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 6:20MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 6:40MIAHeat Rebound54
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 6:40WASMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot54
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIAHaywood STEAL (1 STL)54
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q3 - 6:49WASHughes Driving Layup (5 PTS)54
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 6:54MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)54
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 7:07WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)54
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 7:07WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)54
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q3 - 7:11MIAJordan STEAL (2 STL)54
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 7:36WASStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Laettner 5 AST)54
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q3 - 7:52MIAButler 15' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q3 - 8:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 8:09WASMISS Laettner Free Throw 2 of 252
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 8:09WASMISS Laettner Free Throw 1 of 252
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q3 - 8:11MIALaettner STEAL (3 STL)52
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 8:30WASHaywood Layup (4 PTS)52
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 8:53MIAJordan STEAL (1 STL)52
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q3 - 9:13WASStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Laettner 4 AST)52
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)52
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q3 - 9:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q3 - 9:37WASMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot50
23.0%
50
77.0%
Q3 - 10:00MIALaettner STEAL (2 STL)50
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q3 - 10:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q3 - 10:06WASMISS Stackhouse 4' Jump Shot50
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q3 - 10:15WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot50
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q3 - 10:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q3 - 10:23WASMISS Hughes 14' Jump Shot50
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q3 - 10:49WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot50
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q3 - 11:08WASLaettner 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)50
22.6%
50
77.4%
Q3 - 11:26MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
25.1%
48
74.9%
Q3 - 11:26MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q3 - 11:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
22.7%
48
77.3%
Q3 - 11:42WASMISS Stackhouse 10' Jump Shot48
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
20.3%
48
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASStackhouse 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)48
22.7%
48
77.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
25.3%
46
74.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot48
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0WASStackhouse 17' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)48
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIABest 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASLaettner Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)46
27.1%
44
72.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 1:11MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 1:27MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 1:28WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot44
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 1:40MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
25.4%
42
74.6%
Q2 - 1:40MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
25.1%
42
74.9%
Q2 - 1:51WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
22.0%
42
78.0%
Q2 - 1:51WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)42
22.2%
41
77.8%
Q2 - 2:07MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)42
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 2:30WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)40
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 2:30WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 2:47MIAAllen 14' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)40
24.7%
38
75.3%
Q2 - 2:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 2:56WASMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot38
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 3:23MIABest 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 3:33WASHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)36
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 3:50MIAAllen 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)36
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 4:07WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
14.7%
38
85.3%
Q2 - 4:07WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 4:07WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 4:09WASMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot34
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 4:28MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)34
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 4:47WASStackhouse 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)31
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)31
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 5:25WASStackhouse Driving Layup (10 PTS)29
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)29
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 5:56WASLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)27
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 6:01WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Stepania 10' Jump Shot27
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 6:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot27
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 6:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 6:19WASMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot27
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 6:27WASRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot27
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 6:44WASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 127
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q2 - 6:44WASBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIAAllen 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)27
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q2 - 7:17WASStackhouse 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)25
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 7:28WASWIZARDS Rebound25
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q2 - 7:28WASMISS White 1' Layup25
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 7:45MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q2 - 7:45MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)24
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q2 - 7:49WASLue Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)22
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q2 - 8:00WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q2 - 8:02WASMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q2 - 8:28WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWhite BLOCK (1 BLK)22
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q2 - 8:41MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q2 - 8:42WASMISS Russell Free Throw 2 of 222
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q2 - 8:42WASMISS Russell Free Throw 1 of 222
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q2 - 8:42WASRussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q2 - 8:43WASMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q2 - 8:56WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot22
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q2 - 9:25WASWhite 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)22
16.1%
25
83.9%
Q2 - 9:42MIALampley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q2 - 9:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.0%
23
81.0%
Q2 - 9:50WASMISS Jordan 14' Jump Shot22
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 122
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIALampley 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q2 - 10:25MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q2 - 10:27WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot20
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q2 - 10:33WASRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14.7%
23
85.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot20
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q2 - 11:04WASJordan 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)20
15.8%
23
84.2%
Q2 - 11:22MIARussell STEAL (1 STL)20
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q2 - 11:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q2 - 11:41WASMISS Brown 8' Jump Shot20
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS20
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWIZARDS Rebound20
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Jordan 38' 3PT Jump Shot20
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIARussell BLOCK (1 BLK)20
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0WASJordan 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)20
18.3%
21
81.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAGrant 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)20
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 1:03WASLue Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 1:18MIAGrant 1' Layup (8 PTS)18
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q1 - 1:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 1:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 1:33WASMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot16
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 1:55WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Stepania 22' Jump Shot16
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 2:06WASMISS Stackhouse 8' Jump Shot16
15.4%
19
84.6%
Q1 - 2:14WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 2:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAHeat Rebound16
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 2:47MIAJordan BLOCK (1 BLK)16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 2:50WASJordan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 3:04WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 3:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Butler 2' Layup16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 3:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 3:40WASJordan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)16
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 3:49WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 3:51WASMISS Haywood 1' Layup16
17.9%
17
82.1%
Q1 - 3:53WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 3:55WASMISS Haywood 6' Jump Shot16
17.9%
17
82.1%
Q1 - 4:13MIALaettner STEAL (1 STL)16
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 4:31WASJordan 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 4:44WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot16
19.6%
15
80.4%
Q1 - 4:51MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 4:53WASMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot16
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 5:05WASStackhouse Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)16
18.7%
15
81.3%
Q1 - 5:14MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 5:14MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 5:31WASJordan 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 5:41WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot14
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 5:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 5:56WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot14
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 6:21MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)14
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 6:42WASStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)12
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 7:04MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)12
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 7:29WASHughes 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
19.5%
9
80.5%
Q1 - 7:32WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 7:33WASMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.6%
7
78.4%
Q1 - 7:41WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 7:43WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot10
21.6%
7
78.4%
Q1 - 8:09MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 3 AST)10
20.4%
7
79.6%
Q1 - 8:34WASJordan 5' Finger Roll (4 PTS)8
19.3%
7
80.7%
Q1 - 8:51WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
20.4%
5
79.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot8
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 9:10WASJordan 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 9:12WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
22.6%
3
77.4%
Q1 - 9:14WASMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot8
23.8%
3
76.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIAButler 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)8
22.6%
3
77.4%
Q1 - 9:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
21.7%
3
78.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)6
20.6%
3
79.4%
Q1 - 9:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.7%
3
78.3%
Q1 - 9:51WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot6
21.2%
3
78.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIAButler 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)6
20.1%
3
79.9%
Q1 - 10:10MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
19.0%
3
81.0%
Q1 - 10:13WASMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot4
18.6%
3
81.4%
Q1 - 10:36MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)4
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 10:55WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
16.8%
3
83.2%
Q1 - 10:55WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 22
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 10:59WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Butler 2' Layup2
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 11:04MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:05WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot2
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:24MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:42WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:42WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
15.8%
1
84.2%
Q1 - 11:45MIAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)0
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Haywood vs. Grant: Tip to Best0
17.7%
0
82.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
WAS
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
4
11
36%
WAS
11
17
65%
Midrange
MIA
25
55
45%
WAS
18
47
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
WAS
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
WAS
25
33
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant1673%8.0 / 11
T. Best1662%8.0 / 13
C. Butler1437%7.0 / 19
M. Allen1470%7.0 / 10
R. Butler1042%5.0 / 12
M. James836%4.0 / 11
S. Lampley220%1.0 / 5
A. Carter233%1.0 / 3
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse3764%18.5 / 29
M. Jordan1950%9.5 / 19
C. Laettner836%4.0 / 11
L. Hughes536%2.5 / 7
T. Lue536%2.5 / 7
B. Russell542%2.5 / 6
B. Haywood450%2.0 / 4
K. Brown225%1.0 / 4
J. White250%1.0 / 2
B. Simmons2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+16
-14
88
WAS
81
+12
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
WAS
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
100.1
MIA 95.3 +4.7
WAS 100.0
Pace
90.0
90.7
MIA 89.5 +3.8
WAS 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 16.1 +0.7
WAS 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.0%
MIA 43.8%
WAS 43.8%
TO %
14.8%
13.8%
MIA 13.9%
WAS 9.3% +4.6%
ORB %
26.8%
27.3%
MIA 29.5% +5.1%
WAS 24.4%
FTrt
25.9
32.5
MIA 20.0
WAS 45.2 +25.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
57.2%
MIA 63.6% +18.4%
WAS 45.2%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 7.0%
WAS 12.4% +5.4%
BLK %
6.4%
7.4%
MIA 6.3%
WAS 13.6% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
48.8%
MIA 45.1%
WAS 47.8% +2.7%
Rim FG%
53.7%
56.7%
MIA 36.4%
WAS 64.7% +28.3%
Mid FG%
37.6%
40.9%
MIA 45.5% +7.2%
WAS 38.3%
3P %
31.6%
31.2%
MIA 28.6% +6.4%
WAS 22.2%
FT %
76.5%
77.9%
MIA 75.0%
WAS 75.8% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
27.7%
MIA 13.8%
WAS 23.3% +9.5%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
59.6%
MIA 68.8%
WAS 64.4% +4.4%
3P Att. %
16.9%
12.7%
MIA 17.5% +5.2%
WAS 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8289
Rebounds4441
Assists2114
Steals611
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals33-8031-73
At-the-Rim FG4-1111-17
Midrange FG25-5518-47
2-Point FG29-6629-64
3-Point FG4-142-9
Free Throws12-1625-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
41.3
14
37%
4
5
3
1
3
4
1
3
5-8
63%
3-10
30%
1-5
20%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
38.8
16
73%
11
1
0
1
4
3
6
5
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
32.2
16
62%
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
29.9
14
70%
3
1
1
1
4
5
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
28.0
10
42%
6
3
0
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
30.2
8
36%
4
7
0
0
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
21.8
0
0%
10
0
0
1
1
3
5
5
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
11.6
2
20%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
6.3
2
33%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
45%
44
21
6
4
14
0
13
31
12-16
75%
29-66
44%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.