Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 8, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SuperSonics | 42% | 102 | 98 | |
 | 9 | Magic | 58% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 29% | 92 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Nets | 72% | 101 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Lakers | 46% | 96 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Hornets | 78% | 101 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Mavericks | 74% | 111 | 114 |
 | 29 | Bulls | 26% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, November 7, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Pistons | 55% | 90 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | 40% | 100 | 110 |
 | 20 | Timberwolves | 60% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 45% | 97 | 95 |
 | 10 | Celtics | 55% | 99 | 98 |
Wednesday, November 6, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 62% | 108 | 106 |
 | 21 | Raptors | 38% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 65% | 104 | 88 |
| 25 | Knicks | 35% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 33% | 98 | 99 |
| 10 | 76ers | 67% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 88 | 100 |
| 19 | Wizards | 76% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SuperSonics | 41% | 93 | 84 | |
| 12 | Hornets | 59% | 96 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 48% | 94 | 80 |
| 17 | Jazz | 52% | 95 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 44% | 96 | 88 |
| 22 | Suns | 56% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 51% | 103 | 93 | |
| 14 | Bucks | 49% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 21% | 96 | 88 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 59% | 103 | 91 |
| 27 | Bulls | 41% | 100 | 69 |
Tuesday, November 5, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 71% | 99 | 70 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 29% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 49% | 102 | 121 |
| 8 | Magic | 51% | 103 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 48% | 91 | 83 |
 | 24 | Heat | 52% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 45% | 97 | 86 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 55% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 53% | 95 | 104 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 13% | 93 | 73 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 52% | 96 | 103 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 48% | 95 | 87 |
Monday, November 4, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 49% | 93 | 84 |
| 23 | Suns | 51% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 12% | 100 | 100 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 88% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 70% | 105 | 103 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 30% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 26% | 95 | 82 |
| 4 | Nets | 74% | 103 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 54% | 104 | 97 |
| 25 | Knicks | 46% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 32% | 95 | 105 |
| 24 | Raptors | 68% | 101 | 109 |
Sunday, November 3, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 96 | 95 |
| 8 | Lakers | 69% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 25% | 93 | 77 |
| 4 | SuperSonics | 75% | 102 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 71% | 97 | 78 |
| 26 | Heat | 29% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 98 | 72 |
| 13 | Clippers | 57% | 100 | 74 |
Saturday, November 2, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 13% | 88 | 96 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 87% | 102 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 17% | 94 | 92 |
| 12 | Jazz | 83% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 44% | 96 | 76 |
| 21 | Rockets | 56% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 13% | 101 | 83 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 87% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 36% | 106 | 100 |
| 14 | Bucks | 64% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 28% | 86 | 95 |
| 15 | Hornets | 72% | 93 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 76% | 104 | 116 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 24% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 61% | 99 | 117 |
| 24 | Knicks | 39% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 39% | 98 | 80 |
| 20 | Pacers | 61% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 21% | 96 | 92 |
| 16 | Hawks | 79% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 51% | 97 | 87 | |
| 19 | Wizards | 49% | 96 | 79 |
Friday, November 1, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 27% | 91 | 91 |
| 5 | Nets | 73% | 99 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 21% | 90 | 86 |
| 7 | 76ers | 79% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 29% | 98 | 86 |
| 8 | Pistons | 71% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 48% | 100 | 105 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 52% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 58% | 98 | 79 | |
| 26 | Bulls | 42% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 48% | 96 | 83 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 52% | 97 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 29% | 87 | 74 |
| 23 | Suns | 71% | 94 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 43% | 99 | 108 |
| 11 | Clippers | 57% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SuperSonics | 67% | 100 | 106 | |
| 27 | Warriors | 33% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 23% | 93 | 72 |
| 2 | Spurs | 77% | 102 | 91 |
Thursday, October 31, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 95 | 72 |
| 2 | Kings | 73% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 43% | 96 | 98 |
| 16 | Hawks | 57% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 58% | 96 | 69 |
| 24 | Wizards | 42% | 93 | 114 |
Wednesday, October 30, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 31% | 99 | 90 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 20% | 92 | 99 |
| 13 | Celtics | 80% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 37% | 99 | 93 |
| 10 | 76ers | 63% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 29% | 93 | 68 |
| 18 | Raptors | 71% | 100 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 39% | 94 | 82 |
| 19 | Pacers | 61% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 25% | 91 | 94 |
| 6 | Nets | 75% | 99 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 51% | 98 | 100 |
| 25 | Heat | 49% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 20% | 91 | 77 |
| 11 | Pistons | 80% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 27% | 94 | 77 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 73% | 102 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 59% | 105 | 119 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 41% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 47% | 97 | 75 |
| 16 | Hornets | 53% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 23% | 91 | 73 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 77% | 100 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 10% | 89 | 98 |
| 12 | Clippers | 90% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 98 |
| 26 | Warriors | 32% | 94 | 106 |
Tuesday, October 29, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 40% | 98 | 88 |
| 11 | Magic | 60% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 46% | 95 | 87 |
| 9 | Lakers | 54% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 8% | 85 | 67 |
| 1 | Kings | 92% | 102 | 94 |