Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 2, 2002

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	25	Nuggets	13%	88	96
	6	Trail Blazers	87%	102	79

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DEN	112.9	85	87.5
POR	96.3	82	79.7

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-21

POR

+16

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.17 58.5%

POR

0.90 44.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	POR		96 100%	79 0%
Q4 - 0:05.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0	DEN	MISS Posey 14' Running Jump Shot	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0	POR	MISS Randolph 9' Jump Shot	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0	DEN	Whitney 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Posey 10 AST)	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:00	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	93 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:03	DEN	MISS Posey 20' Jump Shot	93 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:26	POR	Patterson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)	93 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 1:48	DEN	Posey Driving Layup (19 PTS)	93 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:50	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)	91 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 1:53	DEN	MISS Andersen Driving Layup	91 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 2:10	POR	Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)	91 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 2:32	DEN	Blount Layup (10 PTS) (Whitney 4 AST)	91 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 2:48	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	89 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 2:50	POR	MISS Patterson Driving Layup	89 99.8%	73 0.2%
Q4 - 3:09	DEN	Whitney 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 9 AST)	89 99.6%	73 0.4%
Q4 - 3:25	POR	Anderson Foul Turnover (P2.T15)	87 99.4%	73 0.6%
Q4 - 3:35	DEN	Whitney Traveling Turnover (P3.T21)	87 97.6%	73 2.4%
Q4 - 3:51	POR	Daniels 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)	87 98.5%	73 1.5%
Q4 - 4:09	DEN	Whitney Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)	87 99.0%	71 1.0%
Q4 - 4:25	POR	Wallace 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)	87 99.3%	71 0.7%
Q4 - 4:45	DEN	MISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 1	87 99.6%	69 0.4%
Q4 - 4:45	DEN	Andersen Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)	87 99.5%	69 0.5%
Q4 - 4:58	POR	Anderson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)	85 99.4%	69 0.6%
Q4 - 5:14	DEN	Posey Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)	85 98.9%	67 1.1%
Q4 - 5:29	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	85 99.3%	67 0.7%
Q4 - 5:31	POR	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	85 99.2%	67 0.8%
Q4 - 5:57	DEN	Bowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	85 99.0%	67 1.0%
Q4 - 5:57	DEN	Bowen Layup (6 PTS) (Posey 8 AST)	84 98.6%	67 1.4%
Q4 - 6:01	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	82 96.5%	67 3.5%
Q4 - 6:03	POR	MISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot	82 96.2%	67 3.8%
Q4 - 6:17	DEN	Blount 6' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)	82 95.3%	67 4.7%
Q4 - 6:32	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	80 94.1%	67 5.9%
Q4 - 6:33	POR	MISS Wells 3PT Jump Shot	80 93.4%	67 6.6%
Q4 - 6:52	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	80 91.9%	67 8.1%
Q4 - 6:54	DEN	MISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 92.6%	67 7.4%
Q4 - 7:29	POR	Wallace 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)	80 91.3%	67 8.7%
Q4 - 7:44	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	80 93.1%	65 6.9%
Q4 - 7:44	DEN	Posey Layup (17 PTS)	80 93.1%	65 6.9%
Q4 - 7:49	DEN	MISS Blount 15' Jump Shot	78 89.5%	65 10.5%
Q4 - 8:07	POR	Wells Foul Turnover (P3.T14)	78 88.5%	65 11.5%
Q4 - 8:16	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	78 85.6%	65 14.4%
Q4 - 8:21	POR	MISS McInnis 10' Running Jump Shot	78 87.7%	65 12.3%
Q4 - 8:25	POR	McInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	78 85.7%	65 14.3%
Q4 - 8:28	DEN	MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 86.6%	65 13.4%
Q4 - 8:50	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	78 88.7%	65 11.3%
Q4 - 8:52	POR	MISS Wallace 3' Jump Shot	78 87.9%	65 12.1%
Q4 - 9:13	DEN	Posey 23' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Satterfield 4 AST)	78 82.4%	65 17.6%
Q4 - 9:18	DEN	Satterfield REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	76 78.9%	65 21.1%
Q4 - 9:19	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	76 74.4%	65 25.6%
Q4 - 9:19	POR	MISS Wallace Layup	76 77.6%	65 22.4%
Q4 - 9:20	POR	MISS Wallace Layup	76 77.6%	65 22.4%
Q4 - 9:22	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	76 74.4%	65 25.6%
Q4 - 9:24	POR	MISS Wells 5' Jump Shot	76 77.6%	65 22.4%
Q4 - 9:32	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	76 74.5%	65 25.5%
Q4 - 9:34	POR	MISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot	76 77.7%	65 22.3%
Q4 - 9:50	DEN	Bowen Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 7 AST)	76 74.6%	65 25.4%
Q4 - 9:55	POR	Patterson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)	74 70.1%	65 29.9%
Q4 - 9:58	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	74 64.6%	65 35.4%
Q4 - 10:00	POR	MISS Patterson Layup	74 68.4%	65 31.6%
Q4 - 10:18	DEN	Posey 19' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)	74 61.3%	65 38.7%
Q4 - 10:33	POR	Wells Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	72 56.3%	65 43.7%
Q4 - 10:33	POR	Wells Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	72 57.6%	64 42.4%
Q4 - 10:33	POR	Wells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	72 61.4%	63 38.6%
Q4 - 10:34	POR	MISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot	72 65.4%	63 34.6%
Q4 - 10:49	DEN	Harvey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	72 61.5%	63 38.5%
Q4 - 10:49	DEN	Harvey Layup (15 PTS)	72 61.5%	63 38.5%
Q4 - 10:51	DEN	Patterson BLOCK (3 BLK)	70 52.2%	63 47.8%
Q4 - 11:12	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	70 54.7%	63 45.3%
Q4 - 11:14	POR	MISS McInnis 17' Jump Shot	70 53.0%	63 47.0%
Q4 - 11:41	DEN	Harvey Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)	70 49.1%	63 50.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN		68 44.0%	63 56.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	68 44.0%	63 56.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot	68 40.1%	63 59.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0	POR	McInnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	68 41.3%	63 58.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0	POR	MISS McInnis Free Throw 1 of 2	68 42.0%	62 58.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	68 41.5%	62 58.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0	DEN	MISS Satterfield 9' Running Jump Shot	68 43.0%	62 57.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0	POR	Patterson Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)	68 46.6%	62 53.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0	DEN	Harvey Driving Layup (11 PTS)	68 41.6%	62 58.4%
Q3 - 1:00	DEN	Posey Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)	66 36.7%	62 63.3%
Q3 - 1:00	POR	Davis Foul Turnover (P2.T11)	65 32.1%	62 67.9%
Q3 - 1:16	DEN	Harvey 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Satterfield 3 AST)	65 26.2%	62 73.8%
Q3 - 1:27	POR	Daniels Driving Layup (4 PTS)	63 22.8%	62 77.2%
Q3 - 1:50	DEN	Harvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	63 26.3%	60 73.7%
Q3 - 1:50	DEN	Harvey Layup (7 PTS)	63 26.3%	60 73.7%
Q3 - 1:54	DEN	MISS Harvey 4' Jump Shot	61 20.4%	60 79.6%
Q3 - 2:09	POR	Wallace Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	61 21.9%	60 78.1%
Q3 - 2:21	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	61 18.6%	60 81.4%
Q3 - 2:23	POR	MISS Wallace 23' Jump Shot	61 20.8%	60 79.2%
Q3 - 2:48	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	61 18.6%	60 81.4%
Q3 - 2:50	DEN	MISS Bowen 21' Jump Shot	61 19.6%	60 80.4%
Q3 - 3:12	POR	Davis Dunk (10 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)	61 21.6%	60 78.4%
Q3 - 3:36	DEN	Posey 19' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	61 24.6%	58 75.4%
Q3 - 3:56	POR	Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)	59 21.6%	58 78.4%
Q3 - 4:20	DEN	Anderson STEAL (2 STL)	59 26.6%	55 73.4%
Q3 - 4:24	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	59 30.7%	55 69.3%
Q3 - 4:26	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	59 26.6%	55 73.4%
Q3 - 4:26	POR	MISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot	59 29.4%	55 70.6%
Q3 - 4:29	POR	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	59 29.4%	55 70.6%
Q3 - 4:46	DEN	Harvey 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)	59 26.7%	55 73.3%
Q3 - 5:03	POR	McInnis Driving Layup (5 PTS)	57 23.2%	55 76.8%
Q3 - 5:16	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	57 26.1%	53 73.9%
Q3 - 5:19	DEN	MISS Posey 17' Turnaround Jump Shot	57 27.1%	53 72.9%
Q3 - 5:38	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)	57 29.7%	53 70.3%
Q3 - 6:08	DEN	Harrington 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	57 25.0%	53 75.0%
Q3 - 6:24	POR	Wallace 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)	55 22.4%	53 77.6%
Q3 - 6:38	DEN	Nene Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)	55 25.1%	51 74.9%
Q3 - 6:42	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	55 28.5%	51 71.5%
Q3 - 6:44	POR	MISS Wells 20' Jump Shot	55 27.4%	51 72.6%
Q3 - 6:58	DEN	Posey 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)	55 25.1%	51 74.9%
Q3 - 7:07	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	53 22.0%	51 78.0%
Q3 - 7:09	DEN	MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot	53 19.9%	51 80.1%
Q3 - 7:15	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	53 22.0%	51 78.0%
Q3 - 7:17	POR	MISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot	53 21.1%	51 78.9%
Q3 - 7:31	DEN	Andersen Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	53 19.1%	51 80.9%
Q3 - 7:42	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	51 17.1%	51 82.9%
Q3 - 7:44	POR	MISS McInnis 12' Jump Shot	51 16.4%	51 83.6%
Q3 - 7:56	DEN	Blount Foul Turnover (P4.T16)	51 14.7%	51 85.3%
Q3 - 8:10	POR	Wells Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	51 16.8%	51 83.2%
Q3 - 8:27	DEN	Blount 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 6 AST)	51 14.5%	51 85.5%
Q3 - 8:35	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49 13.0%	51 87.0%
Q3 - 8:37	POR	MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot	49 12.4%	51 87.6%
Q3 - 8:48	DEN	Wells STEAL (1 STL)	49 11.2%	51 88.8%
Q3 - 9:13	POR	Davis Layup (8 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)	49 12.4%	51 87.6%
Q3 - 9:35	DEN	Harrington 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	49 14.1%	49 85.9%
Q3 - 9:47	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 12.5%	49 87.5%
Q3 - 9:49	DEN	MISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot	47 11.3%	49 88.7%
Q3 - 9:54	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	47 12.5%	49 87.5%
Q3 - 9:56	POR	MISS Stoudamire 23' Jump Shot	47 12.0%	49 88.0%
Q3 - 10:18	DEN	Andersen 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)	47 10.5%	49 89.5%
Q3 - 10:20	DEN	Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	45 9.4%	49 90.6%
Q3 - 10:22	DEN	MISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot	45 8.5%	49 91.5%
Q3 - 10:47	DEN	Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 9.4%	49 90.6%
Q3 - 10:49	POR	MISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot	45 9.0%	49 91.0%
Q3 - 10:52	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	45 8.1%	49 91.9%
Q3 - 10:55	POR	MISS Wells 18' Jump Shot	45 9.0%	49 91.0%
Q3 - 11:16	DEN	Whitney 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 5 AST)	45 7.9%	49 92.1%
Q3 - 11:39	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 7.0%	49 93.0%
Q3 - 11:41	POR	MISS Wallace 18' Turnaround Jump Shot	43 6.8%	49 93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR		43 6.1%	49 93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	43 6.1%	49 93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot	43 6.8%	49 93.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0	DEN	Anderson STEAL (1 STL)	43 6.5%	49 93.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	43 7.0%	49 93.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0	POR	MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot	43 6.9%	49 93.1%
Q2 - 0:19.0	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 6.5%	49 93.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0	DEN	Patterson BLOCK (2 BLK)	43 6.6%	49 93.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0	POR	Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	43 7.0%	49 93.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0	DEN	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	43 9.3%	46 90.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0	POR	Patterson Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)	43 10.1%	46 89.9%
Q2 - 1:13	POR	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	43 12.0%	44 88.0%
Q2 - 1:16	DEN	MISS Whitney 19' Jump Shot	43 12.2%	44 87.8%
Q2 - 1:34	POR	Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)	43 12.7%	44 87.3%
Q2 - 1:38	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	43 16.7%	41 83.3%
Q2 - 1:41	POR	MISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot	43 17.4%	41 82.6%
Q2 - 2:04	DEN	Posey 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	43 16.1%	41 83.9%
Q2 - 2:06	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	41 14.4%	41 85.6%
Q2 - 2:09	POR	MISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot	41 14.0%	41 86.0%
Q2 - 2:11	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	41 13.0%	41 87.0%
Q2 - 2:14	POR	MISS Stoudamire 3PT Jump Shot	41 14.0%	41 86.0%
Q2 - 2:34	DEN	Harvey Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Whitney 3 AST)	41 13.0%	41 87.0%
Q2 - 2:53	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	39 11.6%	41 88.4%
Q2 - 2:53	POR	Wallace Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)	39 11.6%	41 88.4%
Q2 - 2:55	POR	MISS Wells 9' Jump Shot	39 14.0%	39 86.0%
Q2 - 3:07	DEN	Posey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	39 12.5%	39 87.5%
Q2 - 3:12	POR	Anderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	39 14.1%	39 85.9%
Q2 - 3:22	DEN	Posey Foul Turnover (P2.T11)	39 12.6%	39 87.4%
Q2 - 3:22	DEN	Whitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	39 14.1%	39 85.9%
Q2 - 3:25	POR	MISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot	39 13.6%	39 86.4%
Q2 - 3:39	DEN	Whitney 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)	39 12.6%	39 87.4%
Q2 - 3:54	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	37 11.5%	39 88.5%
Q2 - 3:55	POR	MISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 2	37 11.3%	39 88.7%
Q2 - 3:55	POR	Wells Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	37 10.6%	39 89.4%
Q2 - 4:07	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 11.1%	38 88.9%
Q2 - 4:09	DEN	Harvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	37 12.3%	38 87.7%
Q2 - 4:09	DEN	MISS Harvey 21' Jump Shot	37 11.5%	38 88.5%
Q2 - 4:12	DEN	MISS Blount Finger Roll	37 11.5%	38 88.5%
Q2 - 4:34	POR	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	37 12.3%	38 87.7%
Q2 - 4:34	POR	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	37 12.6%	37 87.4%
Q2 - 4:51	DEN	Harvey Foul Turnover (P1.T10)	37 12.3%	37 87.7%
Q2 - 4:54	DEN	Whitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 13.6%	37 86.4%
Q2 - 4:56	POR	MISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot	37 13.2%	37 86.8%
Q2 - 5:16	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 12.0%	37 88.0%
Q2 - 5:18	DEN	MISS Whitney 21' Jump Shot	37 12.5%	37 87.5%
Q2 - 5:24	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	37 13.4%	37 86.6%
Q2 - 5:25	DEN	MISS Harvey Free Throw 2 of 2	37 12.2%	37 87.8%
Q2 - 5:25	DEN	Harvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	37 12.9%	37 87.1%
Q2 - 5:31	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	36 12.2%	37 87.8%
Q2 - 5:33	DEN	MISS Blount 21' Jump Shot	36 11.3%	37 88.7%
Q2 - 5:34	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	36 12.2%	37 87.8%
Q2 - 5:36	DEN	MISS Whitney 21' Jump Shot	36 11.3%	37 88.7%
Q2 - 6:05	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	36 12.1%	37 87.9%
Q2 - 6:05	POR	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	36 11.9%	37 88.1%
Q2 - 6:05	POR	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	36 11.2%	37 88.8%
Q2 - 6:21	DEN	Tskitishvili Foul Turnover (P3.T9)	36 11.8%	36 88.2%
Q2 - 6:33	POR	Wells 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)	36 13.3%	36 86.7%
Q2 - 6:54	DEN	Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)	36 15.8%	33 84.2%
Q2 - 7:12	POR	Wells Driving Layup (6 PTS)	33 13.1%	33 86.9%
Q2 - 7:32	DEN	Tskitishvili Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)	33 14.2%	31 85.8%
Q2 - 7:36	POR	Davis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	33 15.7%	31 84.3%
Q2 - 7:43	DEN	McInnis STEAL (1 STL)	33 14.2%	31 85.8%
Q2 - 7:46	POR	McInnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	33 15.7%	31 84.3%
Q2 - 8:09	DEN	Blount 5' Finger Roll (4 PTS)	33 14.1%	31 85.9%
Q2 - 8:33	POR	Daniels 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)	31 13.0%	31 87.0%
Q2 - 8:45	POR	McInnis Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)	31 14.1%	29 85.9%
Q2 - 8:58	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	31 15.4%	28 84.6%
Q2 - 8:58	DEN	MISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot	31 15.9%	28 84.1%
Q2 - 9:11	POR	McInnis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	31 16.5%	28 83.5%
Q2 - 9:30	DEN	Nene Layup (10 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)	31 17.8%	26 82.2%
Q2 - 9:34	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	29 16.6%	26 83.4%
Q2 - 9:36	POR	MISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot	29 16.1%	26 83.9%
Q2 - 10:05	DEN	Harrington 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	29 15.1%	26 84.9%
Q2 - 10:25	POR	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	27 14.0%	26 86.0%
Q2 - 10:25	POR	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	27 14.3%	25 85.7%
Q2 - 10:36	DEN	MISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 2	27 15.3%	24 84.7%
Q2 - 10:36	DEN	MISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 2	27 16.1%	24 83.9%
Q2 - 10:40	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	27 15.1%	24 84.9%
Q2 - 10:41	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 1	27 15.3%	24 84.7%
Q2 - 10:41	DEN	Nene Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)	27 15.1%	24 84.9%
Q2 - 10:44	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	25 14.0%	24 86.0%
Q2 - 10:46	DEN	MISS Andersen 7' Running Jump Shot	25 13.1%	24 86.9%
Q2 - 11:06	POR	Patterson 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)	25 13.5%	24 86.5%
Q2 - 11:20	DEN	Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	25 14.7%	22 85.3%
Q2 - 11:21	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 15.9%	22 84.1%
Q2 - 11:24	POR	MISS Sabonis 14' Hook Shot	25 15.5%	22 84.5%
Q2 - 11:26	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	25 14.7%	22 85.3%
Q2 - 11:28	POR	MISS Pippen 23' Jump Shot	25 15.6%	22 84.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		25 14.7%	22 85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	25 14.7%	22 85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS McInnis 29' 3PT Jump Shot	25 15.6%	22 84.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0	DEN	Posey Driving Layup (4 PTS)	25 14.6%	22 85.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	23 13.2%	22 86.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0	POR	MISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 2	23 13.1%	22 86.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0	POR	MISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 2	23 12.5%	22 87.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0	POR	Jump Ball Patterson vs. Blount: Tip to Wells	23 12.4%	22 87.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0	DEN	Patterson BLOCK (1 BLK)	23 12.6%	22 87.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0	POR	Wells Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	23 13.2%	22 86.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0	POR	Wells Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	23 13.5%	21 86.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	23 14.6%	20 85.4%
Q1 - 1:02	DEN	MISS Blount 20' Jump Shot	23 14.9%	20 85.1%
Q1 - 1:10	POR	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	23 15.5%	20 84.5%
Q1 - 1:10	POR	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	23 15.8%	19 84.2%
Q1 - 1:22	DEN	Blount 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)	23 15.8%	19 84.2%
Q1 - 1:45	POR	Anderson 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)	21 14.3%	19 85.7%
Q1 - 2:04	DEN	Nene 6' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 4 AST)	21 15.6%	17 84.4%
Q1 - 2:23	POR	Wells 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	19 14.3%	17 85.7%
Q1 - 2:37	DEN	Bowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)	19 15.6%	15 84.4%
Q1 - 2:40	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	19 16.8%	15 83.2%
Q1 - 2:42	POR	MISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot	19 16.4%	15 83.6%
Q1 - 3:09	DEN	Bowen Layup (2 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)	19 15.0%	15 85.0%
Q1 - 3:14	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17 14.1%	15 85.9%
Q1 - 3:16	POR	MISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot	17 13.7%	15 86.3%
Q1 - 3:29	DEN	Nene Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)	17 12.9%	15 87.1%
Q1 - 3:44	POR	Stoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	15 12.0%	15 88.0%
Q1 - 3:44	POR	MISS Stoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2	15 12.1%	14 87.9%
Q1 - 3:59	DEN	Andersen Layup (6 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)	15 11.9%	14 88.1%
Q1 - 4:06	POR	Stoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	13 10.8%	14 89.2%
Q1 - 4:25	DEN	Whitney Layup (5 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)	13 9.9%	14 90.1%
Q1 - 4:30	POR	Wells Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	11 9.3%	14 90.7%
Q1 - 4:52	DEN	Nene Dunk (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)	11 8.4%	14 91.6%
Q1 - 4:57	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 7.9%	14 92.1%
Q1 - 4:59	POR	MISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot	9 7.7%	14 92.3%
Q1 - 5:16	DEN	Harrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	9 7.1%	14 92.9%
Q1 - 5:19	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 7.7%	14 92.3%
Q1 - 5:23	POR	MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot	9 7.5%	14 92.5%
Q1 - 5:36	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	9 7.1%	14 92.9%
Q1 - 5:37	DEN	MISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot	9 7.3%	14 92.7%
Q1 - 5:58	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 7.7%	14 92.3%
Q1 - 6:01	DEN	MISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot	9 7.3%	14 92.7%
Q1 - 6:09	POR	Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	9 7.7%	14 92.3%
Q1 - 6:09	POR	MISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2	9 7.8%	13 92.2%
Q1 - 6:26	DEN	Andersen Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)	9 7.7%	13 92.3%
Q1 - 6:42	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	7 7.1%	13 92.9%
Q1 - 7:07	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	7 6.6%	13 93.4%
Q1 - 7:09	DEN	MISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot	7 6.8%	13 93.2%
Q1 - 7:39	POR	Wallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)	7 7.2%	13 92.8%
Q1 - 7:54	DEN	Blount Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)	7 7.6%	11 92.4%
Q1 - 8:06	POR	Davis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)	7 8.1%	11 91.9%
Q1 - 8:23	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 8.6%	9 91.4%
Q1 - 8:25	DEN	MISS Posey 16' Fadeaway Jumper	7 8.8%	9 91.2%
Q1 - 8:31	DEN	Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 9.3%	9 90.7%
Q1 - 8:33	POR	MISS Wallace Driving Layup	7 9.1%	9 90.9%
Q1 - 8:54	DEN	Whitney 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)	7 8.6%	9 91.4%
Q1 - 9:04	POR	Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	4 7.5%	9 92.5%
Q1 - 9:18	DEN	Posey Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	4 6.8%	9 93.2%
Q1 - 9:25	POR	Wallace 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	4 7.5%	9 92.5%
Q1 - 9:47	DEN	Andersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)	4 7.9%	7 92.1%
Q1 - 9:57	POR	Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	2 7.5%	7 92.5%
Q1 - 10:17	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 8.4%	4 91.6%
Q1 - 10:19	DEN	MISS Blount 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	2 8.6%	4 91.4%
Q1 - 10:29	POR	Anderson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 9.1%	4 90.9%
Q1 - 10:41	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 9.7%	2 90.3%
Q1 - 10:43	POR	MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot	2 10.2%	2 89.8%
Q1 - 11:00	DEN	Blount Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	2 9.7%	2 90.3%
Q1 - 11:15	POR	Davis Layup (2 PTS)	2 10.3%	2 89.7%
Q1 - 11:43	DEN	Posey Driving Dunk (2 PTS)	2 11.0%	0 89.0%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Wallace vs. Blount: Tip to Whitney	0 10.3%	0 89.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.17 58.5%

POR

0.90 44.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

81%

POR

55%

Midrange

DEN

46%

POR

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

4.5

33%

50%

POR

10.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

38%

POR

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Posey	19	63%	9.5 / 15
D. Harvey	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Whitney	14	58%	7.0 / 12
C. Andersen	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Blount	10	45%	5.0 / 11
Nene	10	71%	5.0 / 7
R. Bowen	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Harrington	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Tskitishvili	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Satterfield	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Wallace	21	44%	10.5 / 24
D. Anderson	16	47%	8.0 / 17
B. Wells	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Davis	10	125%	5.0 / 4
R. Patterson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. McInnis	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Daniels	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Stoudamire	1	10%	0.5 / 5
S. Pippen	0	-	0.0 / 1
Z. Randolph	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Sabonis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-21

POR

+16

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.17 58.5%

POR

0.90 44.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	90.7 103.4	DEN 112.9 POR 96.3 +16.6
Pace	92.6 91.2	DEN 87.5 +7.8 POR 79.7
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 15.8	DEN 16.5 +1.6 POR 18.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	42.8% 48.9%	DEN 61.2% +16.1% POR 45.1%
TO %	18.7% 15.7%	DEN 20.9% POR 15.4% +5.5%
ORB %	31.3% 30.3%	DEN 50.0% +23.7% POR 26.3%
FTrt	28.3 30.0	DEN 10.5 POR 31.9 +21.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	64.6% 62.3%	DEN 71.1% +12.5% POR 58.6%
STL %	9.3% 9.6%	DEN 8.2% +2.1% POR 6.1%
BLK %	8.5% 6.0%	DEN 5.9% +1.4% POR 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	44.6% 50.4%	DEN 58.5% +13.6% POR 44.9%
Rim FG%	53.8% 60.0%	DEN 81.3% +26.3% POR 55.0%
Mid FG%	35.8% 39.6%	DEN 45.7% +10.2% POR 35.5%
3P %	27.8% 33.0%	DEN 33.3% POR 33.3%
FT %	69.9% 74.5%	DEN 37.5% POR 60.9% +23.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35.1% 37.2%	DEN 42.1% +14.3% POR 27.8%
Mid Att. %	52.3% 45.1%	DEN 46.1% POR 43.1% +3.0%
3P Att. %	12.6% 17.7%	DEN 11.8% POR 29.2% +17.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.

Game Totals	DEN	POR
Possessions	85	82
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	96	79
Rebounds	41	23
Assists	32	17
Steals	7	5
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	13 (6)
Field Goals	45-76	29-72
At-the-Rim FG	26-32	11-20
Midrange FG	16-35	11-31
2-Point FG	42-67	22-51
3-Point FG	3-9	7-21
Free Throws	3-8	14-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 26	43.3	19	63%	14	10	3	0	4	5	4	10	1-1	100%	9-13	69%	0-2	0%
Chris Whitney G · 6'0" 175 · 31	34.6	14	58%	2	4	0	1	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Mark Blount C · 7'0" 250 · 27	33.9	10	45%	3	2	2	1	4	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F · 6'10" 245 · 24	25.3	12	55%	7	1	1	0	0	4	0	7	0-3	0%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Junior Harrington G · 6'4" 190 · 22	21.5	6	50%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 27	24.3	7	58%	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Donnell Harvey F · 6'8" 220 · 22	18.6	15	75%	3	2	0	1	2	3	3	0	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20	18.2	10	71%	2	4	0	0	2	5	1	1	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Kenny Satterfield G · 6'2" 170 · 22	13.3	0	0%	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili F · 7'0" 225 · 20	6.9	3	75%	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 30
Rodney White F · 6'9" 230 · 22
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	59%	41	32	7	3	21	0	13	28	3-8	38%	42-67	63%	3-9	33%

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25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 26	43.3	19	63%	14	10	3	0	4	5	4	10	1-1	100%	9-13	69%	0-2	0%
Chris Whitney G · 6'0" 175 · 31	34.6	14	58%	2	4	0	1	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Mark Blount C · 7'0" 250 · 27	33.9	10	45%	3	2	2	1	4	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F · 6'10" 245 · 24	25.3	12	55%	7	1	1	0	0	4	0	7	0-3	0%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Junior Harrington G · 6'4" 190 · 22	21.5	6	50%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 27	24.3	7	58%	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Donnell Harvey F · 6'8" 220 · 22	18.6	15	75%	3	2	0	1	2	3	3	0	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20	18.2	10	71%	2	4	0	0	2	5	1	1	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Kenny Satterfield G · 6'2" 170 · 22	13.3	0	0%	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili F · 7'0" 225 · 20	6.9	3	75%	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 30
Rodney White F · 6'9" 230 · 22
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	59%	41	32	7	3	21	0	13	28	3-8	38%	42-67	63%	3-9	33%

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6 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rasheed Wallace F · 6'11" 230 · 28	42.5	21	44%	8	1	1	0	2	3	3	5	3-6	50%	6-16	38%	2-5	40%
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 28	36.9	16	47%	3	4	2	0	2	2	2	1	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	3-8	38%
Dale Davis C · 6'11" 252 · 34	35.7	10	125%	5	3	0	0	2	5	2	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Bonzi Wells F · 6'5" 210 · 26	34.8	12	55%	2	1	1	0	3	1	1	1	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 29	25.4	1	10%	1	4	0	0	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Ruben Patterson F · 6'5" 223 · 27	20.4	7	50%	3	1	0	3	2	2	1	2	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Jeff McInnis G · 6'4" 190 · 28	18.5	6	43%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 28	15.3	6	75%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Qyntel Woods F-G · 6'8" 220 · 22	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Scottie Pippen F-G · 6'8" 228 · 37	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 21	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Arvydas Sabonis C · 7'3" 292 · 38	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	45%	23	17	5	3	13	0	10	13	14-23	61%	22-51	43%	7-21	33%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE