for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, October 30, 2002
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Magic
51%98
100
25
Heat
49%97
86
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
112.48995.9
MIA logo MIA
97.78882.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMagic Rebound100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Sasser 14' Jump Shot100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMarks BLOCK (2 BLK)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS House 6' Running Jump Shot98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Burke 21' Jump Shot98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMarks 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17ORLBurke Layup (9 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22ORLMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55ORLMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44ORLKemp 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)96
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 4:05MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)94
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 4:22ORLBurke Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)94
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 4:39ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS James Driving Layup94
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 4:57ORLKemp 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)94
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)92
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 5:19MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 3 AST)92
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 5:34ORLMiller Traveling Turnover (P6.T14)92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 5:52MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)92
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 5:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59ORLMISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11ORLMagic Rebound92
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot92
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)92
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:22ORLButler BLOCK (1 BLK)92
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:39ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 292
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:40MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:52ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS)92
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 6:53ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS Sasser Layup90
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 6:55ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 6:58ORLMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot90
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 7:14MIAAllen Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (House 1 AST)90
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 7:27ORLGrant STEAL (2 STL)90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:31ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:46ORLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:08MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 8:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 8:20ORLMISS Kemp 16' Jump Shot90
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 8:37ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:07ORLGarrity Layup (16 PTS) (Kemp 1 AST)90
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 9:10ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 9:12ORLMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)88
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q4 - 9:21ORLGarrity Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)88
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 9:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)87
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 9:59ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)87
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q4 - 9:59ORLMiller Driving Layup (13 PTS)86
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot84
97.1%
69
2.9%
Q4 - 10:29ORLGarrity 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)84
96.6%
69
3.4%
Q4 - 10:44ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot82
95.5%
69
4.5%
Q4 - 11:06ORLKemp Foul Turnover (P1.T12)82
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q4 - 11:20ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
95.1%
69
4.9%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q4 - 11:36ORLVaughn Layup (2 PTS)82
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)80
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q4 - 11:47ORLHumphrey Foul Turnover (P1.T11)80
91.0%
69
9.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMiller 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAButler Running Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)78
88.1%
69
11.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLButler STEAL (1 STL)78
90.2%
67
9.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
91.8%
67
8.2%
Q3 - 1:00ORLMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)78
93.3%
65
6.7%
Q3 - 1:24MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
89.2%
65
10.8%
Q3 - 1:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)75
91.0%
63
9.0%
Q3 - 1:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
90.6%
63
9.4%
Q3 - 1:53MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)73
89.3%
63
10.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
87.2%
63
12.8%
Q3 - 2:02ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot73
86.5%
63
13.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIABest 7' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)73
88.1%
63
11.9%
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 2:30ORLMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot73
90.4%
61
9.6%
Q3 - 2:39ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
91.5%
61
8.5%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot73
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q3 - 2:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot73
91.1%
61
8.9%
Q3 - 2:59ORLMiller Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)73
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 3:15MIAGrant Reverse Layup (4 PTS)73
90.9%
61
9.1%
Q3 - 3:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Grant Layup73
93.1%
59
6.9%
Q3 - 3:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot73
93.1%
59
6.9%
Q3 - 3:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 3:57MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)73
93.5%
59
6.5%
Q3 - 4:15ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
91.4%
59
8.6%
Q3 - 4:15ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 4:37MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)71
90.2%
59
9.8%
Q3 - 4:56ORLMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)71
91.4%
57
8.6%
Q3 - 5:02MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)68
87.7%
57
12.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
85.7%
57
14.3%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot68
87.1%
57
12.9%
Q3 - 5:39ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)68
85.7%
57
14.3%
Q3 - 5:47ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
81.3%
57
18.7%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot65
80.5%
57
19.5%
Q3 - 5:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
78.4%
57
21.6%
Q3 - 5:56ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot65
79.3%
57
20.7%
Q3 - 6:15MIABest 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)65
80.4%
57
19.6%
Q3 - 6:39ORLHill 9' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)65
82.6%
55
17.4%
Q3 - 7:05MIABest Running Layup (18 PTS)63
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q3 - 7:18ORLHill 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)63
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 7:37MIAButler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)63
84.1%
53
15.9%
Q3 - 7:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
81.6%
53
18.4%
Q3 - 7:49ORLMISS Armstrong 7' Jump Shot63
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q3 - 8:08ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
83.7%
53
16.3%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot63
83.0%
53
17.0%
Q3 - 8:33ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 8:35ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 8:35ORLJones BLOCK (2 BLK)61
77.1%
53
22.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot61
78.3%
53
21.7%
Q3 - 9:00MIAHEAT Rebound61
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 9:02ORLMISS Burke 20' Jump Shot61
76.3%
53
23.7%
Q3 - 9:25MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
78.2%
53
21.8%
Q3 - 9:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 9:34ORLMISS Burke Free Throw 2 of 261
80.9%
51
19.1%
Q3 - 9:34ORLBurke Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
82.1%
51
17.9%
Q3 - 9:44MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
80.7%
51
19.3%
Q3 - 9:53ORLDeClercq Layup (2 PTS)60
82.8%
49
17.2%
Q3 - 9:57ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
80.7%
49
19.3%
Q3 - 9:59ORLMISS Burke 22' Jump Shot58
79.0%
49
21.0%
Q3 - 10:14MIABest Layup (16 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
80.1%
49
19.9%
Q3 - 10:32ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
82.1%
47
17.9%
Q3 - 10:57MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
80.2%
47
19.8%
Q3 - 11:20ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)56
81.7%
45
18.3%
Q3 - 11:40ORLMagic Rebound54
79.6%
45
20.4%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot54
78.9%
45
21.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
77.2%
45
22.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
77.2%
45
22.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot54
78.9%
45
21.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
76.8%
45
23.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot54
77.9%
45
22.1%
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)54
76.8%
45
23.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABest 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
71.0%
45
29.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)51
74.4%
43
25.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
71.0%
43
29.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
70.4%
43
29.6%
Q2 - 1:17ORLArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)49
68.8%
43
31.2%
Q2 - 1:21ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
64.6%
43
35.4%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup47
64.1%
43
35.9%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
63.0%
43
37.0%
Q2 - 1:30ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot47
63.5%
43
36.5%
Q2 - 1:51MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
64.6%
43
35.4%
Q2 - 2:15ORLMcGrady Dunk (20 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)47
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 2:18ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
64.7%
41
35.3%
Q2 - 2:20ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
62.9%
41
37.1%
Q2 - 2:28ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
64.7%
41
35.3%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot45
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 2:50ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 145
62.5%
41
37.5%
Q2 - 2:50ORLHill Driving Layup (9 PTS)45
62.1%
41
37.9%
Q2 - 3:07MIAButler Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)43
58.8%
41
41.2%
Q2 - 3:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
61.3%
39
38.7%
Q2 - 3:14ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)43
62.3%
39
37.7%
Q2 - 3:23ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
64.5%
39
35.5%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot43
63.5%
39
36.5%
Q2 - 3:52ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)43
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 4 AST)40
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 4:36ORLHill Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)40
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q2 - 4:41ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
55.6%
37
44.4%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot38
54.7%
37
45.3%
Q2 - 4:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
52.7%
37
47.3%
Q2 - 4:54ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot38
53.6%
37
46.4%
Q2 - 5:10ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
55.7%
37
44.3%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot38
54.7%
37
45.3%
Q2 - 5:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 5:34ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 238
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 5:34ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 5:45MIAButler Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)37
52.8%
37
47.2%
Q2 - 6:05ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)37
55.3%
35
44.7%
Q2 - 6:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
53.1%
35
46.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 235
53.7%
34
46.3%
Q2 - 6:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q2 - 6:31ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
53.5%
34
46.5%
Q2 - 6:44ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
55.8%
34
44.2%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot35
54.8%
34
45.2%
Q2 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
52.8%
34
47.2%
Q2 - 7:23ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
55.6%
34
44.4%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot35
54.7%
34
45.3%
Q2 - 7:45ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)35
52.8%
34
47.2%
Q2 - 7:52ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot32
46.8%
34
53.2%
Q2 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)32
44.7%
34
55.3%
Q2 - 8:20MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)30
42.5%
34
57.5%
Q2 - 8:39ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 8:52MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 8:52MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
37.9%
33
62.1%
Q2 - 9:25ORLKemp 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)28
40.0%
32
60.0%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMagic Rebound26
37.8%
32
62.2%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Marks 21' Jump Shot26
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 9:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 9:59ORLMISS Kemp Layup26
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 10:05ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot26
37.1%
32
62.9%
Q2 - 10:20ORLMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T6)26
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q2 - 10:26MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 10:43ORLHumphrey 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)26
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q2 - 11:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q2 - 11:14ORLMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot24
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q2 - 11:31ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot24
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Marks 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#5)24
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAButler Dunk (6 PTS)24
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot24
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLHumphrey 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
40.6%
28
59.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
37.8%
28
62.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q1 - 1:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 222
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 222
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q1 - 1:18MIAButler 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)22
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q1 - 1:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
45.3%
24
54.7%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot22
46.6%
24
53.4%
Q1 - 1:48ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
45.3%
24
54.7%
Q1 - 2:17MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)19
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHEAT Rebound19
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot19
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q1 - 2:50ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)19
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMarks 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)16
39.0%
22
61.0%
Q1 - 3:19ORLBest STEAL (1 STL)16
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIAButler Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q1 - 3:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q1 - 3:34ORLMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 3:39ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
47.8%
18
52.2%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot16
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 4:04ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
45.4%
18
54.6%
Q1 - 4:04ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 215
44.9%
18
55.1%
Q1 - 4:23MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)15
45.8%
18
54.2%
Q1 - 4:23MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)15
46.0%
17
54.0%
Q1 - 4:28ORLGrant STEAL (1 STL)15
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 4:40MIABest Driving Layup (10 PTS)15
50.2%
16
49.8%
Q1 - 4:56ORLBurke 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)15
51.9%
14
48.1%
Q1 - 5:04ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot13
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 5:18ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 5:57MIABest Driving Layup (8 PTS)13
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
51.9%
12
48.1%
Q1 - 6:12ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot13
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:20ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot13
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 6:39ORLBurke 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)13
51.9%
12
48.1%
Q1 - 6:50ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
49.9%
12
50.1%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 211
49.7%
12
50.3%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 211
48.2%
12
51.8%
Q1 - 7:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 7:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
47.5%
12
52.5%
Q1 - 7:19MIABest 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 7:40ORLMcGrady Layup (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)9
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)7
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 8:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
48.3%
8
51.7%
Q1 - 8:08ORLMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot7
49.0%
8
51.0%
Q1 - 8:14MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
50.4%
8
49.6%
Q1 - 8:14MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 8:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 8:27ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot7
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 8:47MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)7
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 9:05ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 9:22MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMcGrady 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS)5
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 10:02MIABest Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 10:09MIAHEAT Rebound3
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot3
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 10:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 10:26ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 23
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 10:26ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 10:38MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 10:57ORLBurke Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 10:59ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot0
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 11:10MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
48.2%
2
51.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
48.3%
1
51.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot0
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 11:32ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. DeClercq: Tip to Burke0
51.9%
0
48.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
21
67%
MIA
13
17
76%
Midrange
ORL
17
38
45%
MIA
22
56
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
12
67%
100%
MIA
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
Free Throws
ORL
14
21
67%
MIA
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2467%12.0 / 18
G. Hill1765%8.5 / 13
P. Garrity16100%8.0 / 8
M. Miller1464%7.0 / 11
P. Burke941%4.5 / 11
S. Kemp867%4.0 / 6
D. Armstrong440%2.0 / 5
R. Humphrey467%2.0 / 3
A. DeClercq2100%1.0 / 1
J. Vaughn233%1.0 / 3
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Allen2269%11.0 / 16
T. Best2269%11.0 / 16
C. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
E. Jones630%3.0 / 10
R. Butler433%2.0 / 6
S. Marks440%2.0 / 5
M. James433%2.0 / 6
E. House220%1.0 / 5
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
76
+11
-13
87
MIA
78
+12
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
94.5
ORL 112.4
MIA 97.7 +14.6
Pace
95.5
90.0
ORL 95.9 +13.9
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.2
ORL 15.0 +2.5
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
43.9%
ORL 60.6% +13.8%
MIA 46.8%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
ORL 17.5%
MIA 11.4% +6.1%
ORB %
27.1%
26.8%
ORL 27.8% +5.6%
MIA 22.2%
FTrt
30.7
25.9
ORL 29.6 +7.8
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
55.8%
ORL 56.4% +0.8%
MIA 55.6%
STL %
8.8%
7.9%
ORL 5.6% +1.1%
MIA 4.5%
BLK %
5.6%
6.4%
ORL 2.7%
MIA 10.2% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
46.0%
ORL 58.1% +11.4%
MIA 46.7%
Rim FG%
54.6%
53.7%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 76.5% +9.8%
Mid FG%
39.9%
37.6%
ORL 44.7% +5.4%
MIA 39.3%
3P %
35.7%
31.6%
ORL 66.7% +46.7%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
77.7%
76.5%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 76.5% +9.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
28.9%
ORL 29.6% +7.8%
MIA 21.8%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
54.2%
ORL 53.5% +18.3%
MIA 71.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
16.9%
ORL 16.9% +10.5%
MIA 6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points10086
Rebounds3834
Assists2220
Steals54
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)13 (4)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)26 (1)
Field Goals39-7136-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2113-17
Midrange FG17-3822-56
2-Point FG31-5935-73
3-Point FG8-121-5
Free Throws14-2113-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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9 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tracy McGrady
G · 6'8" 225 · 23
31.8
24
67%
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
6-10
60%
6-10
60%
2-3
67%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
27.4
4
40%
5
3
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Pat Burke
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
27.4
9
41%
6
1
0
0
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 30
24.5
17
65%
5
6
0
0
2
0
2
3
3-5
60%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30
11.5
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23
30.2
14
64%
7
4
2
0
6
1
0
7
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
3-4
75%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 26
24.6
16
100%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
3-3
100%
Shawn Kemp
F · 6'10" 280 · 33
23.7
8
67%
5
1
0
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
20.2
2
33%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
11.0
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Jeryl Sasser
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
7.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
58%
38
22
5
2
13
0
10
28
14-21
67%
31-59
53%
8-12
67%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.