FinalWin Prob.pScore
1748%91
83
2452%92
79
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
91.29192.1
MIA logo MIA
90.88786.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)83
97.2%
79
2.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)82
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
93.1%
79
6.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
94.5%
78
5.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDMiller Layup (26 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)81
95.1%
77
4.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
86.1%
77
13.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot79
82.6%
77
17.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)79
70.9%
77
29.1%
Q4 - 1:11INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
56.5%
77
43.5%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Butler Layup77
51.5%
77
48.5%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
41.6%
77
58.4%
Q4 - 1:33INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot77
46.2%
77
53.8%
Q4 - 1:50MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
55.5%
77
44.5%
Q4 - 1:50MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)77
57.5%
76
42.5%
Q4 - 2:03INDWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P2.T16)77
64.8%
75
35.2%
Q4 - 2:15MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)77
78.1%
75
21.9%
Q4 - 2:30INDWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P1.T15)77
87.9%
72
12.1%
Q4 - 2:31INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q4 - 2:33INDMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot77
90.1%
72
9.9%
Q4 - 2:52INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
91.5%
72
8.5%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot77
90.1%
72
9.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)77
86.0%
72
14.0%
Q4 - 3:12INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot77
88.1%
72
11.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
87.8%
72
12.2%
Q4 - 3:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
91.2%
70
8.8%
Q4 - 3:43INDAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)77
92.1%
70
7.9%
Q4 - 4:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)77
94.1%
70
5.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAHEAT Rebound77
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot77
97.8%
67
2.2%
Q4 - 4:41INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q4 - 4:41INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
97.0%
67
3.0%
Q4 - 4:41INDPacers Rebound75
96.0%
67
4.0%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot75
95.5%
67
4.5%
Q4 - 4:56INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)75
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 5:11INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)75
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
93.6%
67
6.4%
Q4 - 5:38INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)75
92.1%
67
7.9%
Q4 - 5:38INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
91.6%
67
8.4%
Q4 - 5:38INDPacers Rebound73
89.4%
67
10.6%
Q4 - 5:39INDMISS World Peace 12' Jump Shot73
86.9%
67
13.1%
Q4 - 5:56INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
89.5%
67
10.5%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot73
88.5%
67
11.5%
Q4 - 6:11INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)73
83.0%
67
17.0%
Q4 - 6:11INDO'Neal Driving Layup (19 PTS)72
78.3%
67
21.7%
Q4 - 6:23INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
73.7%
67
26.3%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Butler Layup70
71.5%
67
28.4%
Q4 - 6:39INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)70
66.4%
67
33.6%
Q4 - 6:39INDWorld Peace Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)69
59.3%
67
40.7%
Q4 - 6:57INDPacers Rebound67
52.9%
67
47.1%
Q4 - 6:58INDMISS Tinsley 31' 3PT Jump Shot67
46.9%
67
53.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)67
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q4 - 7:41INDMercer 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)67
45.0%
67
55.0%
Q4 - 8:00MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS)65
39.1%
67
60.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
45.5%
65
54.5%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Stepania Layup65
50.0%
65
50.0%
Q4 - 8:19INDJones STEAL (1 STL)65
45.5%
65
54.5%
Q4 - 8:30INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
52.0%
65
48.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot65
50.0%
65
50.0%
Q4 - 8:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
45.5%
65
54.5%
Q4 - 8:41INDMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot65
47.5%
65
52.5%
Q4 - 9:00INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)65
52.1%
65
47.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Butler Layup65
50.1%
65
49.9%
Q4 - 9:18INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
45.7%
65
54.3%
Q4 - 9:18INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
44.1%
65
55.9%
Q4 - 9:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
40.1%
65
59.9%
Q4 - 9:20INDMISS Foster Layup63
35.9%
65
64.1%
Q4 - 9:26INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
40.1%
65
59.9%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot63
38.2%
65
61.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
34.2%
65
65.8%
Q4 - 9:50INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot63
35.9%
65
64.1%
Q4 - 10:08INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
40.4%
65
59.6%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
38.6%
65
61.4%
Q4 - 10:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)63
34.7%
65
65.3%
Q4 - 10:29INDMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q4 - 10:52MIAStepania Layup (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)63
40.4%
65
59.6%
Q4 - 11:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
45.5%
63
54.5%
Q4 - 11:06INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot63
47.2%
63
52.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIAButler 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
51.2%
63
48.8%
Q4 - 11:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
56.3%
61
43.7%
Q4 - 11:44INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot63
58.0%
61
42.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND63
61.9%
61
38.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound63
61.9%
61
38.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot63
58.1%
61
41.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
61.2%
61
38.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDMercer Foul Turnover (P1.T12)63
66.0%
59
34.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
70.4%
59
29.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot63
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
66.0%
59
34.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0INDMISS Mercer 17' Jump Shot63
67.4%
59
32.6%
Q3 - 1:15MIAButler Layup (6 PTS)63
69.5%
59
30.5%
Q3 - 1:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
73.4%
57
26.6%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot63
76.0%
57
24.0%
Q3 - 1:35INDMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
73.4%
57
26.6%
Q3 - 1:35INDMISS Mercer Free Throw 1 of 262
72.8%
57
27.2%
Q3 - 1:35INDPacers Rebound62
73.5%
57
26.5%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot62
72.3%
57
27.7%
Q3 - 2:01INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T11)62
67.9%
57
32.1%
Q3 - 2:13MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)62
72.2%
57
27.8%
Q3 - 2:22MIAHEAT Rebound62
68.0%
57
32.0%
Q3 - 2:25INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot62
69.3%
57
30.7%
Q3 - 2:55MIABest Driving Layup (16 PTS)62
72.3%
57
27.7%
Q3 - 3:10INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
74.9%
55
25.1%
Q3 - 3:27MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)60
71.6%
55
28.4%
Q3 - 3:32MIAHEAT Rebound60
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot60
70.4%
55
29.6%
Q3 - 3:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot60
70.4%
55
29.6%
Q3 - 3:45INDBest STEAL (1 STL)60
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 3:48INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
71.6%
55
28.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 260
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 260
68.4%
55
31.6%
Q3 - 4:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)60
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
69.5%
55
30.5%
Q3 - 4:25INDO'Neal Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)60
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q3 - 4:29MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)60
70.8%
55
29.2%
Q3 - 4:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)60
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 4:49INDMISS Tinsley 7' Jump Shot60
67.9%
55
32.1%
Q3 - 5:10MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 2 AST)60
70.0%
55
30.0%
Q3 - 5:34INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)60
76.3%
52
23.7%
Q3 - 5:47MIAJones 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
73.4%
52
26.6%
Q3 - 6:15INDWorld Peace 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)58
75.3%
50
24.7%
Q3 - 6:21MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)56
72.4%
50
27.6%
Q3 - 6:37INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)56
68.9%
50
31.1%
Q3 - 6:37INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)55
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q3 - 6:40INDPacers Rebound54
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q3 - 6:41INDGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)54
62.9%
50
37.1%
Q3 - 6:59MIABest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)54
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q3 - 7:20INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)54
71.1%
47
28.9%
Q3 - 7:20INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)53
70.5%
47
29.5%
Q3 - 7:25INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
68.3%
47
31.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Jones Layup52
67.1%
47
32.9%
Q3 - 7:42INDTinsley Driving Layup (2 PTS)52
64.4%
47
35.6%
Q3 - 7:57MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
61.3%
47
38.7%
Q3 - 8:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
67.5%
44
32.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Jones Layup50
70.1%
44
29.9%
Q3 - 8:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)50
67.5%
44
32.5%
Q3 - 8:20INDMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 250
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q3 - 8:20INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q3 - 8:43INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)49
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 249
67.5%
44
32.5%
Q3 - 8:44MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
64.9%
44
35.1%
Q3 - 9:02INDHarrington Dunk (6 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)49
66.9%
43
33.1%
Q3 - 9:07MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
63.7%
43
36.3%
Q3 - 9:29INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
60.2%
43
39.8%
Q3 - 9:46MIAButler Reverse Layup (11 PTS)45
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q3 - 9:58INDO'Neal Layup (13 PTS)45
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q3 - 10:00INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)43
56.8%
41
43.2%
Q3 - 10:01INDJones BLOCK (1 BLK)43
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q3 - 10:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
56.7%
41
43.3%
Q3 - 10:06INDMISS World Peace 6' Jump Shot43
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q3 - 10:24MIABest Driving Layup (10 PTS)43
56.7%
41
43.3%
Q3 - 10:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q3 - 10:46INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot43
60.9%
39
39.1%
Q3 - 11:02INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Grant Layup43
62.0%
39
38.0%
Q3 - 11:27INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
59.6%
39
40.4%
Q3 - 11:40INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
56.4%
39
43.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot41
55.3%
39
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND41
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
56.4%
39
43.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot41
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot41
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)41
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot41
54.0%
39
46.0%
Q2 - 1:00MIAGrant Dunk (3 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)41
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 1:14INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
59.8%
37
40.2%
Q2 - 1:14INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)40
59.1%
37
40.9%
Q2 - 1:20INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
55.1%
37
44.9%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot39
54.6%
37
45.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 239
54.9%
37
45.1%
Q2 - 1:35MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
52.5%
37
47.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)39
56.7%
36
43.3%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot39
57.8%
36
42.2%
Q2 - 1:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
56.7%
36
43.3%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Marks Layup39
57.8%
36
42.2%
Q2 - 2:00INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)39
56.7%
36
43.3%
Q2 - 2:10MIAButler Reverse Layup (9 PTS)39
58.6%
36
41.4%
Q2 - 2:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)39
61.7%
34
38.3%
Q2 - 2:15INDMISS World Peace 12' Jump Shot39
62.6%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 2:31INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Butler Layup39
63.6%
34
36.4%
Q2 - 2:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)39
61.8%
34
38.2%
Q2 - 2:44INDMISS World Peace Reverse Layup39
62.6%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)39
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 3:06INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)39
60.9%
34
39.1%
Q2 - 3:06INDMiller Driving Layup (12 PTS)38
58.0%
34
42.0%
Q2 - 3:23MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 3:23MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
55.7%
33
44.3%
Q2 - 3:35INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)36
58.0%
32
42.0%
Q2 - 3:42INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
55.4%
32
44.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Marks 14' Turnaround Jump Shot34
54.4%
32
45.6%
Q2 - 4:07INDMercer 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)34
52.0%
32
48.0%
Q2 - 4:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
49.1%
32
50.9%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot32
48.3%
32
51.7%
Q2 - 4:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)32
46.3%
32
53.7%
Q2 - 4:31INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 232
46.7%
32
53.3%
Q2 - 4:31INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
48.4%
32
51.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T4)31
46.3%
32
53.7%
Q2 - 4:50MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.4%
32
56.6%
Q2 - 4:52INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot31
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q2 - 5:15MIAButler Driving Layup (7 PTS)31
46.4%
32
53.6%
Q2 - 5:32INDMercer Layup (3 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)31
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 5:37INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot29
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 5:56INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)29
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 6:04INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot27
40.3%
30
59.7%
Q2 - 6:42INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 6:43INDMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 125
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 6:43INDMiller 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q2 - 6:58MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 6:58MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS)23
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q2 - 6:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS James Layup23
37.7%
27
62.3%
Q2 - 7:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 7:08INDMISS Mercer Free Throw 2 of 223
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q2 - 7:08INDMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q2 - 7:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Jones Layup22
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 7:50INDO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)22
33.9%
27
66.1%
Q2 - 7:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
31.7%
27
68.3%
Q2 - 7:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q2 - 8:01INDStepania STEAL (1 STL)20
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q2 - 8:22INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
36.6%
25
63.4%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot20
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q2 - 8:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q2 - 8:42INDMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot20
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q2 - 8:57MIAStepania Dunk (4 PTS)20
36.6%
25
63.4%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
38.7%
23
61.3%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS James Layup20
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
38.8%
23
61.2%
Q2 - 9:38INDMISS Mercer 12' Jump Shot20
39.7%
23
60.3%
Q2 - 10:00MIAStepania 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)20
41.6%
23
58.4%
Q2 - 10:07MIAHEAT Rebound20
43.7%
21
56.3%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q2 - 10:20MIAHEAT Rebound20
43.7%
21
56.3%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Butler 12' Hook Shot20
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q2 - 10:37INDBender Layup (2 PTS)20
43.7%
21
56.3%
Q2 - 10:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
41.6%
21
58.4%
Q2 - 10:57MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot18
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q2 - 11:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
39.1%
21
60.9%
Q2 - 11:12INDMISS Foster 8' Hook Shot18
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q2 - 11:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q2 - 11:28INDMISS Bender 14' Jump Shot18
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q2 - 11:46MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND18
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound18
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMarks Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)18
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
43.9%
19
56.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAButler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
41.1%
19
58.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T5)16
43.9%
17
56.1%
Q1 - 1:11MIABest Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 1:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)16
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 1:23INDMISS Tinsley 13' Jump Shot16
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
50.5%
15
49.5%
Q1 - 1:57INDBender Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
53.4%
13
46.6%
Q1 - 2:03INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
55.5%
13
44.5%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup16
54.9%
13
45.1%
Q1 - 2:25INDHarrington Layup (2 PTS)16
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 2:27INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 2:29INDMISS Bender 19' Jump Shot14
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 2:49MIABest 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 3:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)14
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 3:02INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot14
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
55.3%
11
44.7%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
56.0%
10
44.0%
Q1 - 3:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
57.3%
9
42.7%
Q1 - 3:32INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot14
58.0%
9
42.0%
Q1 - 3:46INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
59.7%
9
40.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 4:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
56.9%
9
43.1%
Q1 - 4:04INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot14
57.7%
9
42.3%
Q1 - 4:23MIABest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
59.5%
9
40.5%
Q1 - 4:35INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
61.2%
7
38.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAButler Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)14
63.7%
7
36.3%
Q1 - 5:00INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
65.3%
5
34.7%
Q1 - 5:00INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
64.9%
5
35.1%
Q1 - 5:04MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)12
62.7%
5
37.3%
Q1 - 5:05MIAHEAT Rebound12
60.5%
5
39.5%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot12
62.0%
5
38.0%
Q1 - 5:14INDAllen STEAL (1 STL)12
60.5%
5
39.5%
Q1 - 5:27INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
62.8%
5
37.2%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Best 13' Jump Shot12
62.1%
5
37.9%
Q1 - 5:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
60.6%
5
39.4%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot12
62.1%
5
37.9%
Q1 - 6:01INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
59.9%
5
40.1%
Q1 - 6:01INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
59.4%
5
40.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)10
58.1%
5
41.9%
Q1 - 6:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
59.9%
3
40.1%
Q1 - 6:41INDMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot10
60.6%
3
39.4%
Q1 - 6:57INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
62.0%
3
38.0%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 210
61.7%
3
38.3%
Q1 - 6:58MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
60.5%
3
39.5%
Q1 - 6:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot10
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 7:15INDO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)10
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 7:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 7:19INDAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)8
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 7:58INDMiller Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)8
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 8:12INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot6
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIAHEAT Rebound6
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 8:28INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot6
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 8:37INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot6
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 8:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot6
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 8:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot6
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 9:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 9:16INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot6
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 9:28INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot6
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 9:53INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)6
57.2%
0
42.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 10:18INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 10:21INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot4
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 10:44INDMiller Dunk (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)4
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 10:57INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
51.8%
0
48.2%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Allen Layup2
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 11:12INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 11:12INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 11:17INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Best 23' Jump Shot0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:34MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:36INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot0
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. O'Neal: Tip to Miller0
47.8%
0
52.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.94 47.2%
MIA
0.81 40.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
20
75%
MIA
14
29
48%
Midrange
IND
13
44
30%
MIA
11
44
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
3
0%
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
IND
27
32
84%
MIA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Miller2878%14.0 / 18
J. O'Neal2255%11.0 / 20
R. Mercer1260%6.0 / 10
M. World Peace938%4.5 / 12
A. Harrington633%3.0 / 9
J. Bender450%2.0 / 4
J. Tinsley211%1.0 / 9
J. Foster0-0.0 / 2
E. Strickland0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1753%8.5 / 16
T. Best1657%8.0 / 14
C. Butler1447%7.0 / 15
V. Stepania1155%5.5 / 10
R. Butler833%4.0 / 12
B. Grant521%2.5 / 12
S. Marks433%2.0 / 6
M. James429%2.0 / 7
M. Allen0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
75
+13
-16
88
MIA
76
+22
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.94 47.2%
MIA
0.81 40.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
94.5
IND 91.2 +0.4
MIA 90.8
Pace
94.7
90.0
IND 92.1 +6.1
MIA 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
IND 15.6 +1.1
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.9%
43.9%
IND 41.8% +4.4%
MIA 37.4%
TO %
14.7%
14.8%
IND 16.5%
MIA 10.3% +6.2%
ORB %
28.9%
26.8%
IND 22.2%
MIA 30.2% +8.0%
FTrt
34.4
25.9
IND 47.8 +26.0
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.6%
55.8%
IND 46.4% +13.1%
MIA 33.3%
STL %
9.0%
7.9%
IND 8.8% +4.2%
MIA 4.6%
BLK %
8.1%
6.4%
IND 11.0% +4.7%
MIA 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
46.0%
IND 47.2% +6.9%
MIA 40.3%
Rim FG%
58.0%
53.7%
IND 75.0% +26.7%
MIA 48.3%
Mid FG%
38.0%
37.6%
IND 29.5% +4.5%
MIA 25.0%
3P %
33.9%
31.6%
IND 0.0%
MIA 35.7% +35.7%
FT %
76.6%
76.5%
IND 84.4% +10.7%
MIA 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
28.9%
IND 29.9%
MIA 33.3% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
49.2%
54.2%
IND 65.7%
MIA 50.6% +15.1%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.9%
IND 4.5%
MIA 16.1% +11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9187
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8379
Rebounds4544
Assists1310
Steals84
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)28 (2)
Field Goals28-6730-87
At-the-Rim FG15-2014-29
Midrange FG13-4411-44
2-Point FG28-6425-73
3-Point FG0-35-14
Free Throws27-3214-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 255 · 24
41.4
22
55%
13
3
0
5
4
3
4
9
6-7
86%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 261 · 27
40.3
28
78%
8
2
3
1
4
3
1
7
16-18
89%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
38.7
2
11%
3
6
4
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 260 · 23
32.0
9
38%
7
2
0
1
2
6
0
7
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 23
28.7
6
33%
7
0
1
0
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
28.0
12
60%
3
0
0
0
1
4
0
3
2-4
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 230 · 22
17.3
4
50%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26
9.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 29
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 225 · 24
G · 6'4" 195 · 22
C · 7'1" 255 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
45
13
8
8
16
0
8
37
27-32
84%
28-64
44%
0-3
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.