FinalWin Prob.pScore
271%97
78
2629%90
88
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
82.195100.1
MIA logo MIA
96.79187.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0SACJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)78
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0SACJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0SACTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SACMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SACJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0SACMISS Funderburke Driving Layup76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10SACClark REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)76
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 1:29SACFunderburke Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)76
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 1:33SACChristie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot76
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 1:51SACJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 1:51SACJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 2:01MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 2:01MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 2:16SACClark Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 2:16SACClark Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 2:35SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot72
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 2:50SACAllen STEAL (1 STL)72
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 3:04MIABest Driving Layup (10 PTS)72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 3:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 3:16SACMISS Funderburke Free Throw 2 of 272
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 3:16SACFunderburke Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 3:16SACFunderburke REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 3:17SACMISS Clark Layup71
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 3:28MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 4 AST)71
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 3:50SACMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 171
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 3:50SACJackson Running Layup (10 PTS)71
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 3:54SACDivac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot69
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 4:02SACStepania STEAL (1 STL)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 4:20MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)69
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 4:44SACDivac Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 4:44SACDivac Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 4:52SACDivac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot67
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 5:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 5:12SACMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 5:25SACDivac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot67
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 5:45SACJackson Layup (8 PTS) (Clark 3 AST)67
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 6:02MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 6:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)65
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 6:22SACTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T12)65
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 6:36MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)65
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q4 - 6:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q4 - 6:47SACMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot65
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 7:02MIAStepania 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)65
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q4 - 7:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q4 - 7:22SACMISS Divac Layup65
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q4 - 7:23SACDivac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
18.5%
74
81.5%
Q4 - 7:25SACMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup65
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q4 - 7:37SACKings Rebound65
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q4 - 7:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
14.1%
74
85.9%
Q4 - 7:58SACMISS Stojakovic Layup65
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q4 - 8:17MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
21.0%
74
79.0%
Q4 - 8:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
30.5%
71
69.5%
Q4 - 8:35SACMISS Turkoglu Layup65
32.2%
71
67.8%
Q4 - 8:55MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)65
36.2%
71
63.8%
Q4 - 9:16SACTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
50.7%
68
49.3%
Q4 - 9:16SACTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q4 - 9:37MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
44.9%
68
55.1%
Q4 - 9:55SACClark 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)63
50.6%
66
49.4%
Q4 - 10:11MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)61
46.4%
66
53.6%
Q4 - 10:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
40.4%
66
59.6%
Q4 - 10:18SACMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
42.2%
66
57.8%
Q4 - 10:33SACChristie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
46.4%
66
53.6%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
44.5%
66
55.5%
Q4 - 10:58SACJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T11)61
40.3%
66
59.7%
Q4 - 11:03SACTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
46.7%
66
53.3%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup61
45.0%
66
55.0%
Q4 - 11:25SACTurkoglu Finger Roll (6 PTS)61
41.1%
66
58.9%
Q4 - 11:34SACWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
36.2%
66
63.8%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC59
31.1%
66
68.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
31.1%
66
68.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 9' Running Jump Shot59
37.3%
66
62.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0SACClark Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
33.9%
66
66.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0SACClark Layup (14 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)58
29.5%
66
70.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0SACChristie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
25.3%
66
74.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0SACStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)56
22.7%
66
77.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)56
25.2%
66
74.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0SACMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
22.6%
66
77.4%
Q3 - 1:07SACClark REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
27.9%
66
72.1%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones 11' Fadeaway Jumper56
26.7%
66
73.3%
Q3 - 1:27SACDivac Foul Turnover (P4.T10)56
24.0%
66
76.0%
Q3 - 1:41MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)56
27.8%
66
72.2%
Q3 - 1:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 1:52SACMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot56
33.1%
64
66.9%
Q3 - 2:10MIABest Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)56
38.0%
64
62.0%
Q3 - 2:13SACButler STEAL (2 STL)56
42.0%
62
58.0%
Q3 - 2:21SACClark REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
47.0%
62
53.0%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot56
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q3 - 2:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
42.0%
62
58.0%
Q3 - 2:43SACMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot56
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 2:56MIAStepania Tip Shot (4 PTS)56
47.0%
62
53.0%
Q3 - 2:58MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
51.2%
60
48.8%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Stepania 5' Jump Shot56
54.8%
60
45.2%
Q3 - 3:24SACClark 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)56
52.5%
60
47.5%
Q3 - 3:46MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS)54
48.2%
60
51.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)54
52.4%
58
47.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot54
55.7%
58
44.3%
Q3 - 4:07SACStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)54
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 4:16MIABest Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
45.5%
58
54.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAHEAT Rebound51
49.1%
56
50.9%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Butler Layup51
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q3 - 4:44MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
49.1%
56
50.9%
Q3 - 4:46SACMISS Clark 10' Jump Shot51
50.6%
56
49.4%
Q3 - 5:05MIABest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)51
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 5:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)51
58.6%
54
41.4%
Q3 - 5:16SACMISS Christie Dunk51
60.0%
54
40.0%
Q3 - 5:17SACChristie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
62.9%
54
37.1%
Q3 - 5:20SACMISS Clark 15' Jump Shot51
60.0%
54
40.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)51
62.9%
54
37.1%
Q3 - 6:01SACDivac Layup (12 PTS) (Clark 2 AST)51
67.0%
52
33.0%
Q3 - 6:18MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
63.6%
52
36.4%
Q3 - 6:18MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 6:32SACStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)49
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q3 - 6:33SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot49
69.5%
50
30.5%
Q3 - 6:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q3 - 6:48SACMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
68.1%
50
31.9%
Q3 - 6:56MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)49
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q3 - 7:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
66.6%
50
33.4%
Q3 - 7:15SACMISS Jackson 5' Hook Shot49
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q3 - 7:32SACClark REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q3 - 7:58SACClark 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
66.7%
50
33.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)47
64.4%
50
35.6%
Q3 - 8:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)47
60.3%
50
39.7%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot47
63.2%
50
36.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
60.3%
50
39.7%
Q3 - 8:33SACMISS Stojakovic 18' Fadeaway Jumper47
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q3 - 8:43SACDivac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
64.3%
50
35.7%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot47
63.1%
50
36.9%
Q3 - 9:04SACDivac Layup (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)47
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q3 - 9:09SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
58.0%
50
42.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup45
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q3 - 9:15SACButler STEAL (1 STL)45
54.3%
50
45.7%
Q3 - 9:28SACDivac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
58.0%
50
42.0%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q3 - 9:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 9:45SACMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot45
55.3%
50
44.7%
Q3 - 9:50SACDivac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q3 - 9:52SACMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
55.3%
50
44.7%
Q3 - 10:00SACDivac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup45
58.3%
50
41.7%
Q3 - 10:23SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)45
55.5%
50
44.5%
Q3 - 10:28MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)45
59.4%
50
40.6%
Q3 - 10:50SACDivac Dunk (8 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)45
55.4%
50
44.6%
Q3 - 10:52SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
52.3%
50
47.7%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot43
51.1%
50
48.9%
Q3 - 11:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
48.3%
50
51.7%
Q3 - 11:01SACMISS Stojakovic 10' Jump Shot43
51.4%
50
48.6%
Q3 - 11:19MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Best 3 AST)43
53.8%
50
46.2%
Q3 - 11:37SACDivac 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
57.1%
48
42.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
53.8%
48
46.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
50.1%
48
49.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 16' Running Jump Shot41
53.8%
48
46.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0SACDivac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
54.4%
48
45.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0SACMISS Jackson 14' Running Jump Shot41
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
54.4%
48
45.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
58.6%
46
41.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0SACMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot41
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q2 - 1:08MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T4)41
61.1%
46
38.9%
Q2 - 1:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q2 - 1:15SACMISS Christie 14' Jump Shot41
59.9%
46
40.1%
Q2 - 1:26MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
61.1%
46
38.9%
Q2 - 1:26MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q2 - 1:40SACJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
65.5%
44
34.5%
Q2 - 1:40SACMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 240
64.9%
44
35.1%
Q2 - 1:48MIABest Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)40
64.1%
44
35.9%
Q2 - 2:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
68.1%
42
31.9%
Q2 - 2:04SACMISS Clark Tip Shot40
68.9%
42
31.1%
Q2 - 2:06SACClark REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
70.6%
42
29.4%
Q2 - 2:07SACMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 240
68.4%
42
31.6%
Q2 - 2:07SACJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
70.3%
42
29.7%
Q2 - 2:07SACKings Rebound39
67.9%
42
32.1%
Q2 - 2:08SACMISS Clark 10' Jump Shot39
66.1%
42
33.9%
Q2 - 2:19SACClark REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
67.9%
42
32.1%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Butler Tip Shot39
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 2:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Jones 14' Fadeaway Jumper39
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 2:38SACDivac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)39
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q2 - 2:54SACDivac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot37
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 3:12SACWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
60.4%
42
39.6%
Q2 - 3:12SACWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
59.5%
42
40.5%
Q2 - 3:30MIAEllis 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)35
57.8%
42
42.2%
Q2 - 3:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
60.3%
40
39.7%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
62.5%
40
37.5%
Q2 - 3:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)35
60.3%
40
39.7%
Q2 - 3:45SACMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup35
61.3%
40
38.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)35
63.4%
40
36.6%
Q2 - 4:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
69.3%
37
30.7%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot35
71.0%
37
29.0%
Q2 - 4:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
69.3%
37
30.7%
Q2 - 4:22SACMISS Stojakovic 8' Jump Shot35
70.1%
37
29.9%
Q2 - 4:36SACTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
71.7%
37
28.3%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
71.0%
37
29.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
69.3%
37
30.7%
Q2 - 4:50SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
70.0%
37
30.0%
Q2 - 4:54SACClark REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
71.7%
37
28.3%
Q2 - 4:56SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
70.0%
37
30.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)35
72.2%
37
27.8%
Q2 - 5:23SACClark Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)35
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 5:28SACWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
72.1%
35
27.9%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot33
71.4%
35
28.6%
Q2 - 5:51SACJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)33
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 6:08MIAGrant 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
65.7%
35
34.3%
Q2 - 6:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
67.6%
33
32.4%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Grant Layup30
69.6%
33
30.4%
Q2 - 6:31SACTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
67.6%
33
32.4%
Q2 - 6:31SACMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 229
67.0%
33
33.0%
Q2 - 6:31SACKings Rebound29
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
67.2%
33
32.8%
Q2 - 6:47MIAHEAT Rebound29
65.1%
33
34.9%
Q2 - 6:48SACMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot29
66.0%
33
34.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)29
68.6%
33
31.4%
Q2 - 7:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
66.1%
33
33.9%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup29
67.8%
33
32.2%
Q2 - 7:22SACMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 129
66.4%
33
33.6%
Q2 - 7:22SACWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)29
66.1%
33
33.9%
Q2 - 7:28SACKings Rebound27
63.8%
33
36.2%
Q2 - 7:30SACMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot27
62.0%
33
38.0%
Q2 - 7:48MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)27
63.8%
33
36.2%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)27
66.0%
31
34.0%
Q2 - 8:14SACWallace 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)27
68.3%
30
31.7%
Q2 - 8:24SACJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
66.3%
30
33.7%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS James Running Layup25
65.5%
30
34.5%
Q2 - 8:39SACTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
63.7%
30
36.3%
Q2 - 8:39SACMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 224
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 8:58MIAButler Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)24
64.0%
30
36.0%
Q2 - 9:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
66.0%
28
34.0%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot24
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 9:20SACTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
66.5%
28
33.5%
Q2 - 9:33MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)22
64.4%
28
35.6%
Q2 - 9:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
68.7%
25
31.3%
Q2 - 9:53SACButler BLOCK (1 BLK)22
69.4%
25
30.6%
Q2 - 10:09MIAButler Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)22
70.9%
25
29.1%
Q2 - 10:28SACChristie Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)22
72.7%
23
27.3%
Q2 - 10:32SACJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
70.9%
23
29.1%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
70.2%
23
29.8%
Q2 - 10:56MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
68.6%
23
31.4%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot20
70.2%
23
29.8%
Q2 - 11:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
69.1%
23
30.9%
Q2 - 11:07SACMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
69.7%
23
30.3%
Q2 - 11:20MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
71.1%
23
28.9%
Q2 - 11:20MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
71.9%
22
28.1%
Q2 - 11:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q2 - 11:43SACMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup20
73.6%
21
26.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC20
74.9%
21
25.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACKings Rebound20
74.9%
21
25.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS Wallace 40' 3PT Jump Shot20
73.6%
21
26.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0SACWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
74.6%
21
25.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Butler 7' Running Hook Shot20
74.2%
21
25.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0SACMISS Funderburke 20' Jump Shot20
73.7%
21
26.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0SACKings Rebound20
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot20
74.2%
21
25.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0SACAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)20
73.7%
21
26.3%
Q1 - 1:08SACWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
74.8%
21
25.2%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 220
74.6%
21
25.4%
Q1 - 1:09MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q1 - 1:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
75.1%
20
24.9%
Q1 - 1:16SACMISS Jackson Running Layup20
75.6%
20
24.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAButler Layup (6 PTS)20
76.5%
20
23.5%
Q1 - 1:53SACStojakovic 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
78.5%
18
21.5%
Q1 - 2:04SACFunderburke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
76.9%
18
23.1%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
76.4%
18
23.6%
Q1 - 2:29SACChristie Running Dunk (4 PTS)18
75.3%
18
24.7%
Q1 - 2:46MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)16
73.4%
18
26.6%
Q1 - 3:03SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
75.3%
16
24.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 216
75.9%
16
24.1%
Q1 - 3:20MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
77.1%
16
22.9%
Q1 - 3:38SACJackson Running Layup (4 PTS)16
76.9%
15
23.1%
Q1 - 3:43SACJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Best Layup14
74.9%
15
25.1%
Q1 - 3:45MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
73.6%
15
26.4%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot14
74.9%
15
25.1%
Q1 - 4:00SACChristie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
73.6%
15
26.4%
Q1 - 4:00SACChristie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
73.3%
15
26.7%
Q1 - 4:01MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
72.5%
15
27.5%
Q1 - 4:25SACDivac Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
70.3%
15
29.7%
Q1 - 4:36SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
72.5%
15
27.5%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot12
71.8%
15
28.2%
Q1 - 4:50SACClark Foul Turnover (P3.T3)12
70.3%
15
29.7%
Q1 - 5:10MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)12
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 5:29SACClark Layup (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)12
76.0%
12
24.0%
Q1 - 5:50SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
74.5%
12
25.5%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot10
74.0%
12
26.0%
Q1 - 6:08SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
73.0%
12
27.0%
Q1 - 6:08SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
72.8%
12
27.2%
Q1 - 6:13MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
71.4%
12
28.6%
Q1 - 6:31SACDivac Dunk (2 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)8
69.7%
12
30.3%
Q1 - 6:35SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot6
67.4%
12
32.6%
Q1 - 6:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
66.1%
12
33.9%
Q1 - 6:43SACMISS Stojakovic 14' Fadeaway Jumper6
66.7%
12
33.3%
Q1 - 7:01MIAButler Reverse Layup (4 PTS)6
69.0%
12
31.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
70.4%
10
29.6%
Q1 - 7:15SACMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
70.9%
10
29.1%
Q1 - 7:18SACClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 7:20SACMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot6
70.9%
10
29.1%
Q1 - 7:37SACKings Rebound6
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot6
71.6%
10
28.4%
Q1 - 7:53SACClark Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAJones 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
72.0%
10
28.0%
Q1 - 8:15SACClark 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)6
74.1%
8
25.9%
Q1 - 8:34MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)4
72.8%
8
27.2%
Q1 - 8:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
74.1%
6
25.9%
Q1 - 8:46SACMISS Divac 14' Jump Shot4
74.6%
6
25.4%
Q1 - 9:07MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
75.7%
6
24.3%
Q1 - 9:17SACBest STEAL (1 STL)4
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 9:23SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot4
77.9%
4
22.1%
Q1 - 9:30MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 9:32SACAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)4
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 9:36SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup4
77.9%
4
22.1%
Q1 - 9:50SACJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)4
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 10:12SACClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.6%
4
24.4%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot2
75.1%
4
24.9%
Q1 - 10:43SACClark Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)2
74.0%
4
26.0%
Q1 - 10:59MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)0
72.7%
4
27.3%
Q1 - 11:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 11:12SACMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot0
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 11:17SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 11:19SACMISS Divac 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot0
77.8%
0
22.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Clark: Tip to Butler0
77.0%
0
23.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.83 41.5%
MIA
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
15
29
52%
MIA
13
24
54%
Midrange
SAC
10
33
30%
MIA
17
48
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
SAC
22
29
76%
MIA
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Clark1959%9.5 / 16
V. Divac1470%7.0 / 10
B. Jackson1229%6.0 / 21
H. Turkoglu836%4.0 / 11
P. Stojakovic725%3.5 / 14
D. Christie660%3.0 / 5
G. Wallace633%3.0 / 9
D. Jones5125%2.5 / 2
L. Funderburke113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1644%8.0 / 18
M. Allen1550%7.5 / 15
C. Butler1343%6.5 / 15
T. Best1036%5.0 / 14
B. Grant1063%5.0 / 8
V. Stepania880%4.0 / 5
M. James840%4.0 / 10
R. Butler638%3.0 / 8
L. Ellis233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
80
+14
-15
94
MIA
82
+16
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.83 41.5%
MIA
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
94.5
SAC 82.1
MIA 96.7 +14.6
Pace
97.6
90.0
SAC 100.1 +13.0
MIA 87.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.2
SAC 14.4 +2.1
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
43.9%
SAC 36.8%
MIA 42.1% +5.3%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
SAC 14.5%
MIA 8.6% +5.9%
ORB %
25.6%
26.8%
SAC 22.9%
MIA 28.6% +5.7%
FTrt
26.2
25.9
SAC 38.2 +21.3
MIA 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
55.8%
SAC 63.0% +3.0%
MIA 60.0%
STL %
9.1%
7.9%
SAC 4.2%
MIA 5.5% +1.3%
BLK %
7.7%
6.4%
SAC 11.1% +4.6%
MIA 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
46.0%
SAC 41.5%
MIA 44.9% +3.4%
Rim FG%
61.6%
53.7%
SAC 51.7%
MIA 54.2% +2.5%
Mid FG%
39.3%
37.6%
SAC 30.3%
MIA 35.4% +5.1%
3P %
38.1%
31.6%
SAC 14.3%
MIA 29.4% +15.1%
FT %
74.6%
76.5%
SAC 75.9%
MIA 86.7% +10.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
28.9%
SAC 38.2% +11.2%
MIA 27.0%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
54.2%
SAC 43.4% +10.5%
MIA 53.9%
3P Att. %
18.4%
16.9%
SAC 18.4%
MIA 19.1% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes22.825.1
Points7888
Rebounds4651
Assists1721
Steals45
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)37 (2)
Field Goals27-7635-89
At-the-Rim FG15-2913-24
Midrange FG10-3317-48
2-Point FG25-6230-72
3-Point FG2-145-17
Free Throws22-2913-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 205 · 32
38.4
6
60%
8
3
2
0
2
3
3
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 221 · 28
35.7
19
59%
9
3
2
4
4
4
3
6
3-3
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 30
34.8
12
29%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-7
57%
4-11
36%
0-6
0%
F · 6'10" 229 · 25
33.9
7
25%
6
2
0
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-10
10%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 260 · 35
30.2
14
70%
10
1
0
2
5
2
3
7
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 20
22.3
6
33%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 24
18.3
8
36%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
13.2
5
125%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 230 · 32
13.2
1
13%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 28
G · 6'2" 210 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
42%
46
17
4
8
15
0
11
35
22-29
76%
25-62
40%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.