FinalWin Prob.pScore
2828%86
95
1572%93
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.69093.3
NOH
111.19086.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Alexander Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHeat Rebound95
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)95
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 1 of 295
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMagloire BLOCK (4 BLK)95
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
7.1%
98
92.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot95
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (34 PTS)95
10.2%
98
89.8%
Q4 - 1:07MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)95
18.4%
96
81.6%
Q4 - 1:28NOHDavis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)92
8.0%
96
92.0%
Q4 - 1:50MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
13.7%
94
86.3%
Q4 - 1:50MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
12.1%
94
87.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 1:59NOHMISS Magloire Dunk90
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 2:13MIAGrant 9' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)90
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 2:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)88
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 2:23NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot88
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 2:36MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 4 AST)88
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:51NOHMagloire Layup (6 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)86
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 3:16MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 3:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 3:35NOHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 2 of 284
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 3:35NOHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 1 of 284
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 3:52NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 284
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 3:53MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)84
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 4:12NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 4:12NOHBrown Tip Shot (14 PTS)83
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 4:16NOHMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot83
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 4:33NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot83
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 4:53NOHMashburn 10' Jump Shot (32 PTS)83
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 5:22MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)83
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 5:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)82
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 5:43NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (30 PTS)81
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)81
7.8%
86
92.2%
Q4 - 6:06MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q4 - 6:18NOHMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot79
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q4 - 6:46MIABest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)79
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 6:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 6:57NOHMISS Mashburn 13' Fadeaway Jumper77
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 7:19MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Best 3 AST)77
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 7:31NOHAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 7:31NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 7:33MIADavis STEAL (4 STL)75
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 7:58NOHAlexander 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)75
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 8:11NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Butler Layup75
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 8:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot75
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 8:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 8:36NOHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 2 of 275
7.5%
82
92.5%
Q4 - 8:36NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)75
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAStepania 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)75
7.7%
81
92.3%
Q4 - 8:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 9:26NOHMashburn Driving Layup (27 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)73
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 9:30MIAAlexander STEAL (2 STL)73
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q4 - 9:49NOHDavis 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)73
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q4 - 10:00NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
12.7%
77
87.3%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Stepania Layup73
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q4 - 10:04MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Best Layup73
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q4 - 10:30NOHMISS Mashburn Finger Roll73
15.3%
77
84.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 173
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 10:46MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)73
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q4 - 11:16NOHDavis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 11:31NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)71
13.9%
75
86.1%
Q4 - 11:35NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
15.9%
75
84.1%
Q4 - 11:43NOHHORNETS Rebound71
13.9%
75
86.1%
Q4 - 11:43NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot71
15.9%
75
84.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
13.9%
75
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMashburn 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)71
16.8%
75
83.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
20.2%
73
79.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 270
19.7%
73
80.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
20.2%
73
79.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
21.4%
72
78.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIADavis STEAL (3 STL)70
23.7%
71
76.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
27.7%
71
72.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)70
28.2%
70
71.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)70
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJones Layup (20 PTS)69
27.2%
69
72.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Butler Layup67
21.2%
69
78.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Stepania Layup67
21.2%
69
78.8%
Q3 - 1:14NOHDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)67
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q3 - 1:31MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 2 AST)67
20.2%
69
79.8%
Q3 - 1:43NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)65
17.3%
69
82.7%
Q3 - 1:43NOHDavis Driving Layup (6 PTS)65
20.3%
68
79.7%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMarks Foul Turnover (P3.T10)65
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 2:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)65
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 2:09NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 265
26.4%
66
73.6%
Q3 - 2:09NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
24.2%
66
75.8%
Q3 - 2:09NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
26.6%
65
73.4%
Q3 - 2:09NOHMISS Davis Layup65
29.4%
65
70.6%
Q3 - 2:17NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
26.6%
65
73.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot65
27.8%
65
72.2%
Q3 - 2:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
30.8%
65
69.2%
Q3 - 2:35NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
29.5%
65
70.5%
Q3 - 2:49NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
26.6%
65
73.4%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 265
27.2%
65
72.8%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
29.5%
65
70.5%
Q3 - 2:59NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)64
27.0%
65
73.0%
Q3 - 2:59NOHBrown 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
30.8%
64
69.2%
Q3 - 3:16MIAGrant Layup (7 PTS)64
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 3:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)62
30.6%
62
69.4%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMagloire BLOCK (3 BLK)62
27.9%
62
72.1%
Q3 - 3:33NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)62
30.6%
62
69.4%
Q3 - 3:33NOHMagloire Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)62
34.6%
61
65.4%
Q3 - 3:37NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
38.5%
59
61.5%
Q3 - 3:41NOHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 4:02NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 4:05NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot62
40.5%
59
59.5%
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
37.3%
59
62.7%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 261
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)61
37.9%
59
62.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot61
34.7%
59
65.3%
Q3 - 4:45NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)61
37.9%
59
62.1%
Q3 - 4:52MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)61
45.8%
56
54.2%
Q3 - 4:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)61
50.7%
56
49.3%
Q3 - 5:00NOHMISS Mashburn 11' Hook Shot61
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 5:10NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 5:11NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 5:19NOHWesley Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)61
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 5:33MIAJones 14' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)61
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q3 - 5:39MIAHeat Rebound59
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot59
42.2%
55
57.8%
Q3 - 5:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)59
42.2%
55
57.8%
Q3 - 6:03NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
44.0%
55
56.0%
Q3 - 6:03NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
44.8%
54
55.2%
Q3 - 6:08NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
47.7%
53
52.3%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
49.0%
53
51.0%
Q3 - 6:24MIAHeat Rebound59
52.1%
53
47.9%
Q3 - 6:25NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot59
50.7%
53
49.3%
Q3 - 6:37NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
47.8%
53
52.2%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot59
49.1%
53
50.9%
Q3 - 7:01NOHBrown 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)59
50.9%
53
49.1%
Q3 - 7:16MIAWesley STEAL (2 STL)59
54.2%
51
45.8%
Q3 - 7:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
58.6%
51
41.4%
Q3 - 7:24NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot59
57.3%
51
42.7%
Q3 - 7:47MIAAllen Dunk (10 PTS) (Best 2 AST)59
54.3%
51
45.7%
Q3 - 8:10NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)57
50.1%
51
49.9%
Q3 - 8:15NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
57.2%
48
42.8%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot57
58.4%
48
41.6%
Q3 - 8:40NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
61.4%
48
38.6%
Q3 - 8:40NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
62.1%
47
37.9%
Q3 - 8:40NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q3 - 8:42NOHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
67.1%
46
32.9%
Q3 - 9:00MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)57
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q3 - 9:17NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q3 - 9:17NOHBrown Tip Shot (7 PTS)55
59.3%
46
40.7%
Q3 - 9:20NOHMISS Mashburn 9' Hook Shot55
65.1%
44
34.9%
Q3 - 9:33NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
62.7%
44
37.3%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot55
63.8%
44
36.2%
Q3 - 9:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
66.2%
44
33.8%
Q3 - 9:52NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
65.2%
44
34.8%
Q3 - 9:56NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
62.8%
44
37.2%
Q3 - 9:59NOHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
65.2%
44
34.8%
Q3 - 10:23MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
60.9%
44
39.1%
Q3 - 10:23MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
59.8%
44
40.2%
Q3 - 10:34NOHWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)53
57.8%
44
42.2%
Q3 - 10:54MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T7)53
64.3%
41
35.7%
Q3 - 11:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot53
63.7%
41
36.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
66.0%
41
34.0%
Q3 - 11:24NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot53
65.0%
41
35.0%
Q3 - 11:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
62.8%
41
37.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot53
63.8%
41
36.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH53
66.1%
41
33.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound53
62.8%
41
37.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Davis 31' 3PT Jump Shot53
65.1%
41
34.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS)53
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)51
57.6%
41
42.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0NOHHORNETS Rebound51
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot51
62.4%
39
37.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)51
64.0%
39
36.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)51
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q2 - 1:15MIAHouse Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)51
66.9%
37
33.1%
Q2 - 1:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 1:21NOHMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot49
62.1%
37
37.9%
Q2 - 1:28NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
61.0%
37
39.0%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot49
61.5%
37
38.5%
Q2 - 1:47NOHDavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)49
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 1:54NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
67.0%
35
33.0%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot49
67.4%
35
32.6%
Q2 - 2:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
68.5%
35
31.5%
Q2 - 2:05NOHMISS Alexander 20' Jump Shot49
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 2:22MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
65.0%
35
35.0%
Q2 - 2:22MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
64.1%
35
35.9%
Q2 - 2:37NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)47
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 2:37NOHBrown Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)47
64.8%
34
35.2%
Q2 - 2:54MIAHouse Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)47
67.9%
32
32.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
64.8%
32
35.2%
Q2 - 2:59NOHMISS Alexander Layup45
64.0%
32
36.0%
Q2 - 3:04NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
59.6%
32
40.4%
Q2 - 3:07NOHMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot45
61.8%
32
38.2%
Q2 - 3:20MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS) (House 4 AST)45
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 3:40NOHMashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)43
57.2%
32
42.8%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMarks 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST)43
62.7%
29
37.3%
Q2 - 4:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
58.1%
29
41.9%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot41
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 4:29NOHWesley Foul Turnover (P2.T8)41
58.2%
29
41.8%
Q2 - 4:54MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (House 2 AST)41
55.4%
29
44.6%
Q2 - 4:56MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
52.5%
29
47.5%
Q2 - 5:00NOHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot39
51.6%
29
48.4%
Q2 - 5:21MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)39
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q2 - 5:26NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)36
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWesley STEAL (1 STL)36
40.3%
29
59.7%
Q2 - 6:01NOHAlexander 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 6:19MIAAlexander STEAL (1 STL)36
44.8%
27
55.2%
Q2 - 6:27NOHHORNETS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#6)36
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMarks 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)36
44.9%
27
55.1%
Q2 - 6:57NOHWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q2 - 7:09MIALynch STEAL (1 STL)34
38.8%
27
61.2%
Q2 - 7:24NOHWesley 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alexander 2 AST)34
41.6%
27
58.4%
Q2 - 7:32NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
44.0%
25
56.0%
Q2 - 7:36NOHMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot34
45.9%
25
54.1%
Q2 - 7:46NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
44.0%
25
56.0%
Q2 - 7:48NOHMISS Alexander 18' Jump Shot34
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 134
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)34
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q2 - 8:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Butler Layup32
39.2%
25
60.8%
Q2 - 8:24NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)32
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMarks Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)32
45.9%
22
54.1%
Q2 - 8:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q2 - 8:46NOHMISS Alexander 17' Jump Shot30
42.8%
22
57.2%
Q2 - 9:03MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
40.0%
22
60.0%
Q2 - 9:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
42.8%
22
57.2%
Q2 - 9:18NOHMISS Moiso 17' Jump Shot30
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q2 - 9:37MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)30
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q2 - 9:50NOHMISS Moiso 16' Jump Shot28
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q2 - 10:12MIAJames Driving Layup (6 PTS)28
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q2 - 10:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
33.2%
22
66.8%
Q2 - 10:19NOHMISS Alexander Layup26
32.5%
22
67.5%
Q2 - 10:30NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30.8%
22
69.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot26
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q2 - 10:57NOHMoiso 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)26
33.2%
22
66.8%
Q2 - 11:10NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot26
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q2 - 11:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q2 - 11:22NOHMISS Alexander Layup26
36.1%
20
63.9%
Q2 - 11:34NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot26
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound26
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James Layup26
35.3%
20
64.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHAlexander Layup (2 PTS)26
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot26
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAJones 14' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)26
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
36.0%
18
64.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0NOHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot24
35.5%
18
64.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAButler 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)24
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 1:13NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)22
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 1:38MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 1:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 1:58NOHMISS Alexander 15' Jump Shot20
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 2:13NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot20
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 2:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
31.8%
16
68.2%
Q1 - 2:24NOHMISS Traylor 13' Jump Shot20
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)20
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJones Layup (9 PTS)19
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 3:00NOHMashburn 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)17
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 3:22MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
27.4%
14
72.6%
Q1 - 3:40NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 3:40NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
25.8%
12
74.2%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot13
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 4:05NOHAlexander Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 4:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 4:18NOHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot11
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 4:27NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot11
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 4:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)11
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 4:57NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 5:08MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 5:31NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 5:31NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 5:38NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot9
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 5:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 5:53NOHMISS Magloire 14' Jump Shot9
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 6:16MIAAllen Tip Shot (4 PTS)9
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Grant Layup7
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 6:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 6:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Allen Layup7
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot7
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAHeat Rebound7
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMashburn BLOCK (1 BLK)7
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 6:59NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)7
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)7
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 7:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 7:43NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot4
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)4
16.7%
8
83.3%
Q1 - 8:00NOHMashburn 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)4
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 8:24MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 8:41NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 8:43NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 9:11MIAHeat Rebound2
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:11NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:14NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
16.3%
6
83.7%
Q1 - 9:21NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot2
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:35MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.3%
6
83.7%
Q1 - 9:53NOHDavis Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)2
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:59MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)2
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:07NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot0
17.2%
4
82.8%
Q1 - 10:12NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Best Layup0
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 10:23NOHMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:37NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot0
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 10:59NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:59NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
17.7%
3
82.3%
Q1 - 11:12NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot0
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 11:39NOHMashburn 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Grant: Tip to Mashburn0
21.0%
0
79.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.5%
NOH
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
31
55%
NOH
11
17
65%
Midrange
MIA
16
40
40%
NOH
18
45
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
NOH
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
20
26
77%
NOH
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones3060%15.0 / 25
C. Butler1243%6.0 / 14
M. Allen1250%6.0 / 12
B. Grant1155%5.5 / 10
V. Stepania850%4.0 / 8
M. James758%3.5 / 6
S. Marks675%3.0 / 4
E. House440%2.0 / 5
R. Butler325%1.5 / 6
T. Best214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn3556%17.5 / 31
D. Wesley1973%9.5 / 13
B. Davis1539%7.5 / 19
P. Brown1470%7.0 / 10
C. Alexander938%4.5 / 12
J. Magloire643%3.0 / 7
J. Moiso233%1.0 / 3
R. Traylor0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+22
-13
99
NOH
82
+16
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.5%
NOH
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
101.4
MIA 105.6
NOH 111.1 +5.6
Pace
90.0
91.7
MIA 93.3 +6.4
NOH 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
MIA 15.4 +1.1
NOH 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.5%
MIA 45.7%
NOH 46.8% +1.1%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
MIA 12.2%
NOH 8.9% +3.3%
ORB %
26.8%
31.8%
MIA 40.0% +8.2%
NOH 31.8%
FTrt
25.9
28.5
MIA 31.7
NOH 42.3 +10.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.0%
MIA 55.6%
NOH 55.9% +0.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.6%
MIA 4.4%
NOH 10.0% +5.6%
BLK %
6.4%
7.1%
MIA 3.2%
NOH 7.0% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
48.7%
MIA 47.5%
NOH 51.0% +3.5%
Rim FG%
53.7%
53.8%
MIA 54.8%
NOH 64.7% +9.9%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.0%
MIA 40.0%
NOH 40.0%
3P %
31.6%
37.6%
MIA 27.3%
NOH 31.3% +4.0%
FT %
76.5%
76.8%
MIA 76.9%
NOH 81.8% +4.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
32.2%
MIA 37.8% +16.0%
NOH 21.8%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
51.7%
MIA 48.8% +8.9%
NOH 57.7%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.1%
MIA 13.4%
NOH 20.5% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points95100
Rebounds4841
Assists2019
Steals49
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (4)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals36-8234-78
At-the-Rim FG17-3111-17
Midrange FG16-4018-45
2-Point FG33-7129-62
3-Point FG3-115-16
Free Throws20-2627-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
39.6
30
60%
8
2
1
1
0
3
2
6
8-10
80%
8-13
62%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
37.9
12
43%
4
4
1
0
1
5
2
2
6-6
100%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
36.4
12
50%
6
0
0
1
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
31.0
11
55%
16
1
0
0
2
3
6
10
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
23.3
2
14%
1
4
0
0
2
5
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 23
18.5
3
25%
2
3
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
18.4
7
58%
4
2
1
0
1
4
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
14.2
8
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
14.2
6
75%
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
6.6
4
40%
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
48%
48
20
4
2
13
0
18
30
20-26
77%
33-71
46%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.