Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Knicks | 24% | 109 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Hornets | 23% | 107 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 21% | 103 | 124 |
 | 2 | Celtics | 79% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Mavericks | 60% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pistons | 21% | 107 | 103 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 79% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Pelicans | 10% | 100 | 98 |
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Tuesday, April 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Hawks | 59% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Knicks | 81% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Bucks | 61% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Magic | 52% | 110 | 116 |
| 23 | Spurs | 48% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 42% | 114 | 118 |
 | 20 | Bulls | 58% | 117 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 54% | 112 | 140 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 46% | 111 | 139 |
Monday, March 31, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 48% | 111 | 106 |
| 27 | Hornets | 52% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 39% | 115 | 109 |
| 10 | Pacers | 61% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 61% | 106 | 96 |
| 14 | Magic | 39% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 69% | 114 | 120 |
| 25 | Wizards | 31% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 58% | 118 | 117 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 42% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 15% | 107 | 117 |
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 122 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Nets | 26% | 103 | 113 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 74% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 40% | 109 | 98 |
 | 7 | Lakers | 60% | 112 | 104 |
Sunday, March 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 37% | 110 | 122 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 63% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 109 | 93 |
| 10 | Knicks | 66% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 43% | 115 | 145 |
| 14 | Bucks | 57% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 34% | 107 | 104 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 66% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 52% | 107 | 94 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 48% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 69% | 119 | 148 |
| 23 | Spurs | 31% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 64% | 111 | 127 |
| 29 | 76ers | 36% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 57% | 114 | 148 |
| 15 | Suns | 43% | 112 | 109 |
Saturday, March 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 49% | 108 | 91 |
| 17 | Magic | 51% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 43% | 107 | 115 |
| 27 | Wizards | 57% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 66% | 112 | 118 |
| 25 | 76ers | 34% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 46% | 116 | 120 |
| 20 | Bulls | 54% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 44% | 115 | 134 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 56% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 25% | 109 | 111 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 119 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 74% | 119 | 121 |
| 23 | Spurs | 26% | 109 | 111 |
Friday, March 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 63% | 116 | 122 |
| 18 | Pistons | 37% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 79% | 112 | 132 |
| 25 | Nets | 21% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 37% | 106 | 97 |
| 24 | Raptors | 63% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Knicks | 51% | 111 | 116 |
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 30% | 108 | 109 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 70% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 85% | 119 | 111 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 15% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 13% | 109 | 93 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 87% | 126 | 129 |
Thursday, March 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 19% | 111 | 116 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 81% | 124 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 40% | 105 | 101 |
| 14 | Magic | 60% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 71% | 122 | 162 |
| 26 | Wizards | 29% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 45% | 112 | 112 |
| 15 | Heat | 55% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 52% | 117 | 117 |
| 20 | Bulls | 48% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 23% | 110 | 104 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 121 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 81% | 120 | 121 |
| 29 | Jazz | 19% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 113 | 107 |
| 13 | Kings | 61% | 117 | 128 |
Wednesday, March 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 38% | 113 | 119 |
| 24 | 76ers | 62% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 48% | 104 | 116 |
| 25 | Nets | 52% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 46% | 114 | 120 |
| 10 | Pacers | 54% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 59% | 111 | 126 |
| 12 | Knicks | 41% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 29% | 109 | 117 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 71% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 64% | 116 | 132 |
| 14 | Suns | 36% | 111 | 102 |
Tuesday, March 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 58% | 107 | 111 |
| 24 | Hornets | 42% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 37% | 111 | 96 |
| 14 | Pistons | 63% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 58% | 108 | 86 |
| 15 | Heat | 42% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 23% | 107 | 113 |
| 12 | Knicks | 77% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 31% | 112 | 114 |
| 6 | Rockets | 69% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 77% | 124 | 140 |
| 28 | Jazz | 23% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 68% | 118 | 122 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 118 | 121 |
| 17 | Kings | 22% | 107 | 105 |
Monday, March 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 51% | 115 | 103 |
| 10 | Pacers | 49% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 53% | 105 | 106 |
| 16 | Magic | 47% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 45% | 110 | 112 |
| 27 | Wizards | 55% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 55% | 109 | 120 |
| 24 | Nets | 45% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 99 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 44% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 49% | 117 | 129 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 51% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 44% | 111 | 106 |
| 12 | Suns | 56% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 62% | 117 | 113 |
| 14 | Kings | 38% | 112 | 95 |
Sunday, March 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pelicans | 21% | 104 | 130 |
| 12 | Pistons | 79% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 84% | 126 | 120 |
| 29 | Jazz | 16% | 111 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 35% | 114 | 119 |
| 16 | Hawks | 65% | 119 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 36% | 106 | 105 |
| 17 | Heat | 64% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 55% | 114 | 123 |
| 27 | Raptors | 45% | 112 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 129 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 31% | 108 | 116 |
| 6 | Rockets | 69% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 53% | 111 | 103 |
| 4 | Clippers | 47% | 110 | 101 |
Saturday, March 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 28% | 107 | 103 |
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 62% | 117 | 115 |
| 18 | Hawks | 38% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 12% | 104 | 103 |
| 9 | Knicks | 88% | 121 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 48% | 111 | 114 |
| 17 | Kings | 52% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 31% | 111 | 146 |
| 10 | Lakers | 69% | 119 | 115 |
Friday, March 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 68% | 111 | 120 |
| 27 | Wizards | 32% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 61% | 109 | 102 |
| 18 | Heat | 39% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 15% | 104 | 93 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 85% | 120 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 6% | 97 | 106 |
| 1 | Thunder | 94% | 120 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 39% | 113 | 120 |
| 22 | Spurs | 61% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 64% | 114 | 117 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 36% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 85% | 122 | 121 |
| 28 | Jazz | 15% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 65% | 119 | 112 |
| 13 | Suns | 35% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 55% | 113 | 109 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 39% | 112 | 108 |
| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 116 | 128 |
Thursday, March 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 114 | 98 |
| 23 | Hornets | 36% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 36% | 107 | 99 |
| 13 | Pacers | 64% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 17% | 104 | 114 |
| 4 | Warriors | 83% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 34% | 114 | 128 |
| 12 | Kings | 66% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 68% | 109 | 118 |
| 26 | Lakers | 32% | 103 | 89 |