Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	78%	118	121	121.0	100	105.5
	17	Kings	22%	107	105	105.0	100	95.0

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+10

-15

SAC

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.27 63.7%

SAC

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	33.3	18	56%	10	2	2	0	2	3	1	9	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	32.9	32	59%	8	5	0	0	5	2	0	8	9-10	90%	7-17	41%	3-6	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	31.6	13	72%	4	1	1	1	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	27.9	11	79%	4	6	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	27.4	4	67%	10	5	0	2	3	2	1	9	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	27.6	14	100%	3	3	3	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	23.3	15	83%	5	6	0	2	1	2	1	4	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	20.6	9	64%	8	2	1	1	2	3	0	8	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	11.6	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	64%	52	30	7	6	15	18	6	46	16-20	80%	24-50	48%	19-32	59%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	33.3	18	56%	10	2	2	0	2	3	1	9	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	32.9	32	59%	8	5	0	0	5	2	0	8	9-10	90%	7-17	41%	3-6	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	31.6	13	72%	4	1	1	1	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	27.9	11	79%	4	6	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	27.4	4	67%	10	5	0	2	3	2	1	9	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	27.6	14	100%	3	3	3	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	23.3	15	83%	5	6	0	2	1	2	1	4	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	20.6	9	64%	8	2	1	1	2	3	0	8	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	11.6	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	64%	52	30	7	6	15	18	6	46	16-20	80%	24-50	48%	19-32	59%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	38.1	10	33%	6	6	1	1	1	1	0	6	1-1	100%	3-12	25%	1-3	33%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	38.1	8	29%	12	7	1	1	3	2	1	11	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	37.4	12	55%	3	4	4	2	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-8	50%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	36.8	19	59%	2	7	0	0	3	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	4-11	36%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	36.6	28	88%	6	0	1	3	1	2	3	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	9-13	69%

Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	21.2	11	69%	2	2	3	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	10.6	6	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	8.1	2	20%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	4.3	9	113%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	1.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	INACTIVE
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	36	32	10	7	11	15	5	31	8-12	67%	14-44	32%	23-47	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.27 63.7%

SAC

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

65%

SAC

50%

Midrange

OKC

39%

SAC

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

28.5

59%

89%

SAC

34.5

49%

73%

Free Throws

OKC

80%

SAC

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	32	59%	16.0 / 27
C. Holmgren	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Caruso	15	83%	7.5 / 9
I. Joe	14	100%	7.0 / 7
L. Dort	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Williams	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Williams	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Jones	5	63%	2.5 / 4
I. Hartenstein	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Flagler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	28	88%	14.0 / 16
Z. LaVine	19	59%	9.5 / 16
K. Ellis	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. LaRavia	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. DeRozan	10	33%	5.0 / 15
D. McDermott	9	113%	4.5 / 4
D. Sabonis	8	29%	4.0 / 14
M. Fultz	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Valančiūnas	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 7 115.9	OKC 121.0 +16.0 SAC 105.0
Pace	5 100.9 19 98.9	OKC 105.5 +10.5 SAC 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 15 14.4	OKC 13.6 −1.5 SAC 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 15 54.8%	OKC 64.0% +10.7% SAC 53.3%
TO %	1 10.9% 6 12.6%	OKC 15.8% SAC 10.3% −5.5%
ORB %	21 24.2% 16 25.4%	OKC 16.2% +6.4% SAC 9.8%
FTrt	28 22.0 21 23.5	OKC 24.4 +11.2 SAC 13.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 22 61.5%	OKC 69.8% SAC 86.5% +16.7%
STL %	1 10.2% 23 7.6%	OKC 7.0% SAC 10.0% +3.0%
BLK %	2 11.9% 23 8.8%	OKC 13.6% SAC 14.0% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 15 56.8%	OKC 63.7% +10.1% SAC 53.6%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 2 67.6%	OKC 64.7% +14.7% SAC 50.0%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 4 46.0%	OKC 39.4% +11.6% SAC 27.8%
3P %	6 37.4% 19 35.7%	OKC 59.4% +10.5% SAC 48.9%
FT %	1 81.9% 4 80.6%	OKC 80.0% +13.3% SAC 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 28 26.8%	OKC 20.7% +11.9% SAC 8.8%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 29 34.1%	OKC 40.2% SAC 39.6% −0.7%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 23 39.1%	OKC 39.0% SAC 51.6% +12.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	OKC	SAC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	121	105
Rebounds	52	36
Assists	30	32
Steals	7	10
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	11 (0)
Fouls	18	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	46 (1)	31 (1)
Field Goals	43-82	37-91
At-the-Rim FG	11-17	4-8
Midrange FG	13-33	10-36
2-Point FG	24-50	14-44
3-Point FG	19-32	23-47
Free Throws	16-20	8-12
Fast Break Pts	23	14
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	42	20
Pts off Turnovers	14	14
Bench Points	43	28
Biggest Lead	25	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg