Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers63%116122
18Pistons37%112133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.6
35.7
29.9
38
64%
5
3
1
1
0
3
2
3
11-13
85%
9-16
5-10
56%
52%
3-8
38%
Darius Garland
G · 6'1" 192 · 25.2
34.5
30.3
21
59%
5
6
1
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
52%
5-11
45%
Evan Mobley
C · 6'11" 215 · 23.8
32.6
29.1
9
41%
6
4
0
1
2
3
0
6
1-2
50%
1-4
6-9
25%
60%
2-6
33%
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
24.8
18.3
7
63%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-8
63%
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'9" 243 · 26.9
19.3
28.1
8
57%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-8
57%
66%
0-0
-
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'1" 180 · 25.1
20.9
4.4
9
77%
5
2
3
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.9
20.4
23.5
6
60%
4
0
3
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
2-5
40%
De'Andre Hunter
F-G · 6'8" 221 · 27.3
19.5
25.5
11
57%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-2
0%
Dean Wade
F-C · 6'9" 228 · 28.4
18.6
21.7
10
79%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
1-1
1-1
100%
61%
2-4
50%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
12.6
8.2
1
27%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
1.2
6.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
F · 6'10" 210 · 24.3
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 21.2
Luke Travers
F · 6'7" 207 · 23.6
Jaylon Tyson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
Ty Jerome
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27.7
Max Strus
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dennis Schröder
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.5
39.2
24.6
17
50%
7
10
1
1
0
2
2
5
6-7
86%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 28.3
36.3
26.5
19
70%
4
4
1
1
0
1
3
1
8-8
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
51%
3-5
60%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 33.0
33.1
17.3
32
79%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
49%
7-11
64%
Ausar Thompson
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
31.6
20.1
18
48%
10
2
2
1
4
2
3
7
2-2
100%
8-16
4-6
50%
59%
0-2
0%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
27.5
25.3
16
69%
13
0
1
1
1
0
6
7
4-6
67%
6-9
5-8
67%
66%
0-0
-
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
20.5
19.3
14
85%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
5-6
2-4
83%
58%
0-0
-
Ronald Holland II
F · 6'8" 206 · 19.7
19.0
19.8
10
100%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-4
100%
61%
2-3
67%
Marcus Sasser
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.5
18.9
17.8
4
20%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
2-3
0%
54%
1-5
20%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'7" 209 · 29.3
13.8
16.4
3
50%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
1-3
33%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.7
5.0
0
0-0
55%
Paul Reed
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
4.4
0
1-1
57%
Bobi Klintman
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.1
2.8
0
0-0
53%
Daniss Jenkins
G · 6'3" 165 · 23.6
1.6
0
0-0
52%
Ron Harper Jr.
G-F · 6'4" 233 · 25.0
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 23.1
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
Tolu Smith
F · 6'11" 254 · 24.7
Tobias Harris
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.