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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 21, 2025
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets61%109102
18Heat39%10598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.2
34.0
32.4
11
46%
1
0
3
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
1-7
14%
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.1
34.5
10.8
18
59%
9
5
7
0
1
2
3
6
2-3
67%
8-14
2-3
57%
61%
0-0
-
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 22.7
33.6
30.4
8
24%
10
2
2
1
2
2
5
5
0-4
0%
4-15
7-12
27%
56%
0-0
-
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 23.1
32.2
35.1
6
23%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
0-4
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 31.1
36.2
30.6
37
99%
0
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
47%
9-11
82%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
27.2
27.8
7
51%
8
2
0
2
0
4
3
5
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
1-2
50%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
21.8
28.1
11
71%
6
0
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
53%
3-4
75%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.7
20.5
14.6
4
69%
8
1
1
0
0
1
4
4
0-2
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 28.5
10.1
0
1-1
48%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 29.4
9.6
0
1-2
57%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 38.6
8.8
0
1-1
57%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
6.3
0
1-1
58%
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
4.1
0
1-1
54%
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.1
3.0
0
0-1
53%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 24.0
Jack McVeigh
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
Reed Sheppard
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.7
N'Faly Dante
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.1
29.6
14.5
30
88%
2
3
1
0
1
4
0
2
8-9
89%
8-9
2-4
89%
50%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
37.5
33.6
16
56%
6
6
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
6-11
44%
54%
2-4
50%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.9
35.1
25.3
16
80%
14
1
2
1
2
1
2
12
0-0
-
5-8
4-6
63%
61%
2-2
100%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.1
14.6
24.6
4
40%
2
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.2
38.6
32.3
8
34%
3
4
0
1
0
6
0
3
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
52%
0-1
0%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.5
33.6
28.4
12
60%
3
4
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
23.9
21.1
8
80%
4
3
4
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
17.6
26.0
4
40%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.5
5.6
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.7
3.8
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
10.5
0
1-1
52%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
9.9
0
1-2
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.0
9.7
0
1-2
50%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.8
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.2
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.