Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 19, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Pelicans | 73% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Bucks | 80% | 126 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 57% | 112 | 126 |
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Monday, December 18, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 22% | 105 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pistons | 19% | 113 | 124 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Timberwolves | 56% | 111 | 112 |
 | 17 | Heat | 44% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Hornets | 19% | 103 | 99 |
 | 19 | Raptors | 81% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 27% | 105 | 97 |
 | 5 | Thunder | 73% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Mavericks | 35% | 113 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Nets | 66% | 117 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 114 |
 | 21 | Lakers | 48% | 110 | 109 |
Sunday, December 17, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 27% | 104 | 97 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 68% | 120 | 146 |
| 27 | Spurs | 32% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 44% | 111 | 119 |
| 10 | Bucks | 56% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 21% | 113 | 108 |
| 9 | Suns | 79% | 125 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 68% | 115 | 118 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 109 | 114 |
Saturday, December 16, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 10% | 108 | 114 |
| 2 | Bucks | 90% | 127 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 78% | 119 | 135 |
| 29 | Hornets | 22% | 108 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 40% | 114 | 119 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 60% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 39% | 107 | 116 |
| 19 | Heat | 61% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 23% | 110 | 109 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 77% | 120 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 38% | 110 | 120 |
| 6 | Warriors | 62% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 42% | 112 | 118 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 58% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 64% | 116 | 131 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 36% | 113 | 104 |
| 21 | Kings | 64% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 40% | 109 | 122 |
| 8 | Clippers | 60% | 112 | 144 |
Friday, December 15, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 72% | 119 | 112 |
| 29 | Hornets | 28% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 15% | 108 | 92 |
| 2 | 76ers | 85% | 123 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 67% | 129 | 123 |
| 28 | Wizards | 33% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 23% | 104 | 111 |
| 1 | Celtics | 77% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 51% | 119 | 125 |
| 17 | Raptors | 49% | 118 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 66% | 116 | 115 |
| 27 | Spurs | 34% | 109 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 57% | 106 | 103 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 43% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 41% | 111 | 139 |
| 6 | Suns | 59% | 115 | 122 |
Thursday, December 14, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 37% | 106 | 124 |
| 14 | Heat | 63% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 27% | 105 | 107 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 48% | 112 | 119 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 52% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 33% | 110 | 101 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 67% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 51% | 117 | 123 |
| 22 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 32% | 106 | 122 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 51% | 112 | 113 |
| 16 | Clippers | 49% | 111 | 121 |
Wednesday, December 13, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 69% | 121 | 142 |
| 29 | Wizards | 31% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 82% | 122 | 129 |
| 30 | Pistons | 18% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 48% | 116 | 128 |
| 19 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 24% | 108 | 104 |
| 7 | Heat | 76% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 31% | 99 | 104 |
| 21 | Rockets | 69% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | 63% | 115 | 122 |
| 27 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 33% | 123 | 126 |
| 2 | Bucks | 67% | 129 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 68% | 117 | 113 |
| 26 | Jazz | 32% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 41% | 112 | 116 |
| 3 | Suns | 59% | 116 | 112 |
Tuesday, December 12, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 52% | 113 | 125 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 48% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 20% | 102 | 113 |
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 62% | 111 | 114 |
| 23 | Bulls | 38% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 49% | 113 | 116 |
| 12 | Suns | 51% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 36% | 113 | 99 |
| 3 | Clippers | 64% | 118 | 119 |
Monday, December 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 67% | 117 | 116 |
| 27 | Hornets | 33% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 73% | 127 | 131 |
| 30 | Pistons | 27% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 51% | 110 | 94 |
| 22 | Magic | 49% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 17% | 111 | 101 |
| 4 | 76ers | 83% | 125 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 53% | 119 | 129 |
| 14 | Hawks | 47% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 36% | 107 | 130 |
| 7 | Knicks | 64% | 112 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 59% | 112 | 120 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 41% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 30% | 107 | 82 |
| 21 | Rockets | 70% | 115 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 26% | 109 | 129 |
| 2 | Bucks | 74% | 119 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 48% | 110 | 107 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 52% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 17% | 107 | 120 |
| 5 | Thunder | 83% | 122 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 47% | 116 | 118 |
| 16 | Kings | 53% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 102 | 127 |
| 6 | Clippers | 78% | 113 | 132 |
Saturday, December 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 47% | 118 | 109 |
| 19 | Lakers | 53% | 119 | 123 |
Friday, December 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 63% | 115 | 116 |
| 25 | Hornets | 37% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 25% | 109 | 91 |
| 20 | Magic | 75% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 32% | 114 | 114 |
| 5 | 76ers | 68% | 121 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 24% | 111 | 97 |
| 11 | Nets | 76% | 122 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 32% | 105 | 123 |
| 1 | Celtics | 68% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 48% | 111 | 111 |
| 18 | Heat | 52% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 63% | 108 | 127 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 37% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 45% | 111 | 136 |
| 9 | Thunder | 55% | 113 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 56% | 112 | 121 |
| 26 | Spurs | 44% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 44% | 116 | 114 |
| 15 | Suns | 56% | 118 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 31% | 106 | 114 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 69% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 117 |
| 29 | Jazz | 23% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 70% | 116 | 125 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 109 | 112 |
Thursday, December 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 35% | 123 | 128 |
| 3 | Bucks | 65% | 129 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 51% | 113 | 89 |
| 19 | Lakers | 49% | 112 | 133 |
Wednesday, December 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 61% | 112 | 116 |
| 30 | Pistons | 39% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 70% | 121 | 131 |
| 26 | Wizards | 30% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 39% | 106 | 111 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 61% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 43% | 108 | 112 |
| 14 | Raptors | 57% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 47% | 118 | 114 |
| 17 | Hawks | 53% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 21% | 106 | 94 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 79% | 117 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 38% | 107 | 100 |
| 24 | Bulls | 62% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 56% | 111 | 101 |
| 20 | Rockets | 44% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 21% | 111 | 97 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 79% | 123 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 104 | 106 |
| 8 | Warriors | 76% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 45% | 111 | 102 |
| 3 | Clippers | 55% | 113 | 111 |