FinalWin Prob.pScore
2824%108
104
776%119
115
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
104.0100103.5
MIA logo MIA
117.39894.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:08.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.1HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point stepback jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.8HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)101
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.2HeatHeat offensive rebound101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.2HeatThomas Bryant misses two point putback layup101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.9HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.1HeatThomas Bryant misses two point tip dunk101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.2HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11HeatJamal Cain makes two point cutting dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)101
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)101
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 1:41HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound98
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 1:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot98
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07HornetsNick Richards makes two point layup (Terry Rozier assists)98
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 2:23HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot96
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:49HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point pullup jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07HeatThomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07HeatThomas Bryant offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point stepback jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting dunk (Caleb Martin assists)91
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:57HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)91
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Miller steals)88
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 4:53HornetsGordon Hayward personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:56HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point driving floating jump shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)88
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 5:32HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)88
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 5:39HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound85
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 5:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot85
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:02HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot85
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 6:08HornetsGordon Hayward offensive rebound83
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:11HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot83
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)83
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:53HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound83
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:53HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point running alley-oop dunk83
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:57HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound83
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 6:59HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot83
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 7:18HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup (Terry Rozier assists)83
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 7:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup81
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 7:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound81
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 7:36HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point running jump shot81
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Miles Bridges steals)81
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 7:46HornetsGordon Hayward turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Cain steals)81
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 7:51HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound81
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 7:53HeatJamal Cain misses two point driving floating jump shot81
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 7:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound81
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 7:59HeatNick Richards blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving hook shot81
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 8:15HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 8:33HeatKevin Love makes two point driving finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)81
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 8:49HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)81
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 9:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot78
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 9:34HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)78
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 9:48HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 9:55HornetsGordon Hayward turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)75
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 10:01HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 10:04HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 10:20HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point pullup jump shot75
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 10:30HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound73
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 10:34HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot73
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 10:54HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)73
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 11:08HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:11HeatKevin Love defensive rebound70
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 11:14HornetsNick Richards misses two point jump shot70
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 11:28HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:28HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:30HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound70
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 11:34HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound70
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 11:49HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot70
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 270
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 270
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.7HornetsJT Thor shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:16.3HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point putback layup70
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:16.3HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound68
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:19.5HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point stepback jump shot68
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:37.6HeatJamal Cain makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)68
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:53.3HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound68
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 0:56.8HornetsJT Thor misses three point jump shot68
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 1:16HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 1:18HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 1:19HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot68
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q3 - 1:40HeatJamal Cain makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)68
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound68
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:47HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot68
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 1:49HornetsIsh Smith defensive rebound68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 1:51HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot68
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 1:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound68
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 1:56HeatJamal Cain misses two point putback layup68
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 1:57HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound68
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 2:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot68
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 2:18HornetsBryce McGowens makes two point tip layup68
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 2:21HornetsBryce McGowens offensive rebound66
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 2:23HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot66
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 2:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)66
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 2:50HornetsIsh Smith turnover (out of bounds lost ball)66
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q3 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 266
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 266
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 3:07HornetsIsh Smith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)66
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 3:25HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point stepback jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)66
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 3:42HornetsJT Thor defensive rebound64
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 3:45HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot64
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 4:03HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Ish Smith assists)64
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 4:06HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound62
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 4:08HeatNick Richards blocks Kevin Love's two point driving hook shot62
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 4:24HornetsBryce McGowens makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)62
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 4:32HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound59
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 4:35HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot59
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 4:57HornetsIsh Smith makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot59
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 5:06HeatKevin Love personal foul (Ish Smith draws the foul)57
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 5:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 5:36HeatKevin Love defensive rebound57
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 5:40HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot57
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 5:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 357
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 5:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 357
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 5:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 357
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 5:49HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)57
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 6:01HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (offensive foul)57
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 6:01HornetsBrandon Miller offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)57
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 6:16HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound57
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 6:22HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point floating jump shot57
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 6:46HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup57
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 6:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)55
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 7:01HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup55
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 7:19HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup53
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 7:21HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound53
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 7:21HeatCaleb Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot53
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 7:47HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point finger roll layup (Gordon Hayward assists)53
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 8:07HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup51
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 8:09HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound51
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup51
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 8:11HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound51
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 8:11HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup51
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 8:11HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound51
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 8:12HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving finger roll layup51
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 8:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 8:21HornetsGordon Hayward misses three point stepback jump shot51
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 251
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 251
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 8:35HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)51
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound51
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 8:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot51
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 8:47HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (out of bounds lost ball)51
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 9:01HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)51
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 9:19HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound51
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 9:23HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot51
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 9:32HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)51
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 9:49HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (offensive foul)51
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 9:49HeatOrlando Robinson offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)51
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 10:01HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)51
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 10:13HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)48
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 10:24HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound48
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 10:28HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot48
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 10:37HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Miles Bridges steals)48
5.7%
62
94.3%
Q3 - 10:56HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (Gordon Hayward assists)48
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 11:01HornetsTerry Rozier makes technical free throw 1 of 146
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 11:01Duncan Robinson technical foul (Defensive three second)45
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 11:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 11:18HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)45
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 11:37HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1HornetsHornets offensive rebound45
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q2 - 0:01.2HornetsIsh Smith misses three point pullup bank jump shot45
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q2 - 0:24.3HornetsNick Richards turnover (offensive foul)45
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 0:24.3HornetsNick Richards offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)45
10.2%
54
89.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
10.2%
54
89.8%
Q2 - 0:47.7HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound45
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 0:50.6HornetsIsh Smith misses two point fadeaway jump shot45
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q2 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler turnover (traveling)45
14.3%
51
85.7%
Q2 - 1:21HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (traveling)45
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 1:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)45
14.3%
51
85.7%
Q2 - 1:55HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound45
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 1:59HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot45
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 2:22HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 2:32HornetsTerry Rozier personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
23.3%
45
76.7%
Q2 - 2:32HeatKevin Love defensive rebound45
23.3%
45
76.7%
Q2 - 2:36HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point pullup jump shot45
24.0%
45
76.0%
Q2 - 2:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kevin Love assists)45
25.6%
45
74.4%
Q2 - 2:51HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound45
27.8%
43
72.2%
Q2 - 2:55HornetsCaleb Martin blocks Gordon Hayward's two point driving layup45
28.6%
43
71.4%
Q2 - 3:06HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)45
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 3:06HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)45
27.1%
43
72.9%
Q2 - 3:10HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)45
27.1%
43
72.9%
Q2 - 3:20HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound45
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot45
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q2 - 3:32HornetsMiles Bridges personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)45
27.1%
43
72.9%
Q2 - 3:43HornetsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 2 of 245
27.1%
43
72.9%
Q2 - 3:43HornetsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 1 of 244
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q2 - 3:43HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)43
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 3:46HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (JT Thor steals)43
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 4:07HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point running pullup jump shot43
22.6%
43
77.4%
Q2 - 4:10HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound41
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q2 - 4:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup41
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 4:20HornetsGordon Hayward turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)41
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 4:33HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 3 of 341
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q2 - 4:33HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 341
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 4:33HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 341
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 4:33HornetsJT Thor shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)41
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 4:55HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup (Ish Smith assists)41
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 5:14HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 139
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 5:14HornetsJT Thor shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)39
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 5:15HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound39
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 5:16HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup39
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q2 - 5:35HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point driving floating bank jump shot39
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 5:41HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound37
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 5:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot37
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 6:08HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Ish Smith assists)37
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 6:10HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound35
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 6:13HeatNick Richards blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving floating bank jump shot35
20.0%
37
80.0%
Q2 - 6:29HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point driving bank jump shot (Ish Smith assists)35
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 6:45HornetsIsh Smith defensive rebound33
17.4%
37
82.6%
Q2 - 6:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot33
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 7:06HornetsNick Richards makes two point driving layup (Gordon Hayward assists)33
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 7:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup31
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 7:29HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound31
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 7:34HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point jump shot31
16.2%
35
83.8%
Q2 - 7:48HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 7:55HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound31
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 8:00HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point pullup jump shot31
16.2%
35
83.8%
Q2 - 8:13HeatJamal Cain makes two point floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)31
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 8:30HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot31
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 8:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)29
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 9:03HornetsJT Thor turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)29
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Miller steals)29
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 9:26HornetsBryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 229
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:26HornetsBryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 228
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)27
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 9:44HeatThomas Bryant makes two point putback dunk27
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 9:45HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound27
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q2 - 9:48HeatCaleb Martin misses two point floating jump shot27
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 10:03HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound27
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q2 - 10:08HornetsNick Richards misses regular free throw 1 of 127
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 10:08HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)27
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q2 - 10:09HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound25
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 10:10HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot25
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q2 - 10:30HeatJamal Cain makes two point pullup jump shot25
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 10:47HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound25
18.6%
27
81.4%
Q2 - 10:52HornetsJT Thor misses three point jump shot25
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q2 - 11:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)25
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q2 - 11:21HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot25
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q2 - 11:42HeatThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup23
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q2 - 11:42HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound23
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q2 - 11:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup23
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 0:02.6HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound23
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 0:03.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot23
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 0:12.6HeatKevin Love defensive rebound23
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 0:15.4HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving finger roll layup23
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q1 - 0:35.8HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)23
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 0:47.2HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point running layup (Bryce McGowens assists)23
26.3%
20
73.7%
Q1 - 0:48.2HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound21
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 0:50.7HeatJamal Cain misses two point layup21
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 0:52.2HornetsNick Richards turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Cain steals)21
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 0:53.3HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound21
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 0:54.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup21
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 0:54.2HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound21
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 0:58.9HeatKevin Love misses two point pullup jump shot21
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 1:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 1:08HornetsJamal Cain blocks Miles Bridges's two point driving floating jump shot21
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)21
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Ish Smith draws the foul)21
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 1:25HeatKevin Love defensive rebound21
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 1:29HornetsBryce McGowens misses two point running layup21
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 1:34HornetsBryce McGowens defensive rebound21
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 1:38HeatJamal Cain misses three point running jump shot21
23.8%
20
76.2%
Q1 - 1:40HeatKevin Love defensive rebound21
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 1:43HornetsKevin Love blocks Nick Richards's two point running layup21
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 1:51HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)21
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:01HeatKevin Love defensive rebound21
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:06HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot21
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 2:12HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Nick Richards draws the foul)21
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:12HornetsHornets offensive rebound21
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:13HornetsBryce McGowens misses three point jump shot21
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 2:29HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 221
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:29HeatKevin Love misses regular free throw 1 of 221
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 2:29HornetsIsh Smith shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)21
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 2:39HornetsIsh Smith makes two point driving bank hook shot (Terry Rozier assists)21
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 119
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 2:58HornetsBryce McGowens shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)19
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 3:01HornetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)19
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:04HornetsBryce McGowens defensive rebound19
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 3:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point reverse layup19
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 3:18HornetsBryce McGowens personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)19
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:18HeatKevin Love defensive rebound19
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 3:19HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)19
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 3:49HornetsIsh Smith makes two point driving floating bank jump shot19
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 4:12HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:22HornetsGordon Hayward turnover (offensive foul)17
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 4:22HornetsGordon Hayward offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)17
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:27HornetsGordon Hayward makes technical free throw 1 of 117
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:27Jamal Cain technical foul (Defensive three second)16
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 4:35HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound16
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 4:38HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot16
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 4:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound16
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 4:53HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot16
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 5:10HeatJamal Cain makes regular free throw 2 of 216
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 5:10HeatJamal Cain makes regular free throw 1 of 216
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 5:10HornetsIsh Smith shooting foul (Jamal Cain draws the foul)16
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:14HornetsIsh Smith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 5:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk16
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 5:41HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)16
26.3%
12
73.7%
Q1 - 5:53HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (3-second violation)16
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 6:18HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point driving layup (P.J. Washington assists)16
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 6:28HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound14
24.6%
12
75.4%
Q1 - 6:31HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot14
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 6:38HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound14
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 6:43HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point pullup jump shot14
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 7:02HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)14
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 7:16HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point running layup (Terry Rozier assists)14
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 7:18HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound12
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 7:22HeatTerry Rozier blocks Orlando Robinson's two point cutting layup12
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 7:41HornetsMiles Bridges personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 7:41HeatHeat defensive rebound12
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 7:42HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup12
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 7:42HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)12
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 7:43HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound12
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 7:46HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point floating jump shot12
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 8:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot12
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 8:22HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (out of bounds bad pass)12
22.3%
10
77.7%
Q1 - 8:22HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound12
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 8:25HeatNick Richards blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving dunk12
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 8:34HornetsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 2 of 212
22.3%
10
77.7%
Q1 - 8:34HornetsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 1 of 211
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 8:34HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)10
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 8:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)10
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 9:21HornetsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)10
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 9:38HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)7
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 9:55HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)7
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:09HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound4
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 10:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot4
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 10:33HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (offensive foul)4
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 10:33HornetsTerry Rozier offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)4
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 10:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)4
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 11:03HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (traveling)4
22.6%
1
77.4%
Q1 - 11:08HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Miller steals)4
24.0%
1
76.0%
Q1 - 11:21HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound4
22.6%
1
77.4%
Q1 - 11:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot4
23.6%
1
76.4%
Q1 - 11:30HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 14
22.6%
1
77.4%
Q1 - 11:30Nick Richards technical foul (Defensive three second)4
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 11:43HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup4
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:47HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)2
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:48HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 22
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:48HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 21
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:48HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 12:00Nick Richards vs. Orlando Robinson (Terry Rozier gains possession)0
20.5%
0
79.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.22 61.2%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
18
25
72%
MIA
19
36
53%
Midrange
CHA
11
21
52%
MIA
7
20
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
MIA
15
22.5
30
50%
75%
Free Throws
CHA
10
11
91%
MIA
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Rozier2893%14.0 / 15
G. Hayward2071%10.0 / 14
M. Bridges1950%9.5 / 19
B. Miller1856%9.0 / 16
B. McGowens770%3.5 / 5
N. Richards660%3.0 / 5
I. Smith660%3.0 / 5
J. Thor0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson2396%11.5 / 12
K. Lowry17142%8.5 / 6
J. Jaquez1753%8.5 / 16
J. Butler1568%7.5 / 11
J. Cain1454%7.0 / 13
T. Bryant1179%5.5 / 7
C. Martin935%4.5 / 13
O. Robinson660%3.0 / 5
K. Love315%1.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
79
+6
-21
85
MIA
76
+18
-22
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.22 61.2%
MIA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
113.5
CHA 104.0
MIA 117.3 +13.3
Pace
97.7
96.7
CHA 103.5 +8.8
MIA 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.8
CHA 13.9 +1.3
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.8%
CHA 61.0% +4.6%
MIA 56.4%
TO %
13.3%
12.2%
CHA 20.4%
MIA 19.6% +0.8%
ORB %
21.3%
21.8%
CHA 11.8%
MIA 38.6% +26.8%
FTrt
21.2
25.7
CHA 14.3
MIA 22.1 +7.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
64.8%
CHA 65.9%
MIA 70.7% +4.8%
STL %
7.0%
7.8%
CHA 11.0% +0.8%
MIA 10.2%
BLK %
8.8%
6.9%
CHA 8.9% +2.4%
MIA 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
56.2%
CHA 61.2%
MIA 61.2%
Rim FG%
62.5%
61.2%
CHA 72.0% +19.2%
MIA 52.8%
Mid FG%
40.1%
44.2%
CHA 52.4% +17.4%
MIA 35.0%
3P %
35.4%
37.0%
CHA 38.7%
MIA 50.0% +11.3%
FT %
78.6%
81.8%
CHA 90.9%
MIA 94.7% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.2%
30.4%
CHA 32.5%
MIA 41.9% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
30.2%
CHA 27.3%
MIA 23.3% +4.0%
3P Att. %
39.1%
39.4%
CHA 40.3% +5.4%
MIA 34.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions10098
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points104115
Rebounds3147
Assists2729
Steals1110
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)22 (1)
Fouls1812
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals41-7741-86
At-the-Rim FG18-2519-36
Midrange FG11-217-20
2-Point FG29-4626-56
3-Point FG12-3115-30
Free Throws10-1118-19
Fast Break Pts1412
2nd Chance Pts818
Points in Paint4446
Pts off Turnovers1332
Bench Points1345
Biggest Lead421

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#4 · C · 7'0" 245 · 26
39.9
6
60%
10
0
0
4
2
1
1
9
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21
38.6
18
56%
2
3
3
0
5
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
4-10
40%
#3 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
37.3
28
93%
3
7
4
1
1
2
0
3
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
5-6
83%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34
34.7
20
71%
5
7
0
0
4
2
1
4
5-5
100%
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
#0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 26
34.4
19
50%
5
4
2
0
4
2
1
4
0-0
-
8-11
73%
1-8
13%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 21
18.3
7
70%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35
17.1
6
60%
2
4
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 21
16.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#25 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 25
3.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#44 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Tibia; Non-displaced fracture
#9 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 23
#2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
#8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#10 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#12 · SF · 6'9" 209 · 24
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#5 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Contusion
#1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
61%
31
27
11
5
21
18
4
27
10-11
91%
29-46
63%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.