Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Warriors45%111136
9Thunder55%113138
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.7
40.4
33.5
34
72%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
8-8
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
55%
6-12
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'5" 220 · 33.8
38.7
29.0
22
69%
4
0
0
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
4-9
44%
Draymond Green
F · 6'6" 230 · 33.8
35.1
28.9
12
76%
5
13
0
1
1
4
1
4
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
1-2
50%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'7" 197 · 28.8
32.3
28.9
12
51%
6
1
0
1
0
6
2
4
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
52%
2-4
50%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 222 · 27.8
15.7
17.9
5
75%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-3
33%
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.2
28.9
17.2
24
56%
12
0
0
1
0
3
6
6
1-1
100%
7-15
3-5
47%
57%
3-6
50%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
23.0
23.2
12
52%
6
4
1
1
0
1
5
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Dario Saric
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.7
22.6
20.1
11
56%
12
3
1
1
0
3
6
6
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
2-6
33%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 21.5
15.8
25.6
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-4
50%
58%
0-4
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'2" 200 · 32.3
12.7
7.2
2
33%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 38.6
17.2
1
1-3
51%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.0
9.5
1
1-2
66%
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
51%
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 26.8
Lester Quinones
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.1
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 21.5
Usman Garuba
F · 6'8" 229 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.4
42.3
35.4
38
55%
5
5
5
2
1
0
3
2
8-11
73%
15-27
9-16
56%
56%
0-3
0%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'5" 211 · 22.7
39.9
30.9
28
84%
5
2
3
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
11-14
5-9
79%
58%
1-1
100%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.6
39.4
20.7
16
64%
5
1
0
1
1
1
4
1
8-8
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'1" 208 · 21.6
34.6
27.0
21
68%
7
1
0
1
3
3
2
5
8-8
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
60%
1-4
25%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 216 · 21.2
24.7
22.8
9
38%
9
4
3
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
1-6
17%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.1
23.9
22.2
10
85%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
57%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.4
22.7
17.4
5
47%
1
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
22.0
14.0
9
90%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
60%
1-2
50%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 29.0
9.0
15.0
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-3
0%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.4
6.3
12.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 31.1
0.2
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.8
15.2
1
1-3
48%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'9" 185 · 20.6
4.3
0
0-1
59%
Vasilije Micic
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
3.0
0
0-0
51%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.9
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.