FinalWin Prob.pScore
2239%107
116
1961%112
118
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
127.59189.1
MIA logo MIA
131.19091.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.116
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot116
2.5%
118
97.5%
Q4 - 0:12.5HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound116
34.2%
116
65.8%
Q4 - 0:14.9BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point driving hook shot116
42.0%
116
58.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)116
59.0%
116
41.0%
Q4 - 0:34.5BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)116
73.0%
114
27.0%
Q4 - 0:43.0BullsDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound116
83.8%
114
16.2%
Q4 - 0:45.2BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot116
74.6%
114
25.4%
Q4 - 1:02BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound116
80.2%
114
19.8%
Q4 - 1:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot116
76.2%
114
23.8%
Q4 - 1:06HeatKevin Love offensive rebound116
66.1%
114
33.9%
Q4 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot116
75.8%
114
24.2%
Q4 - 1:28BullsCoby White makes two point driving bank jump shot116
62.7%
114
37.3%
Q4 - 1:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)114
51.7%
114
48.3%
Q4 - 1:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound114
61.0%
112
39.0%
Q4 - 1:49HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot114
69.5%
112
30.5%
Q4 - 2:14BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)114
60.7%
112
39.3%
Q4 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup111
42.3%
112
57.7%
Q4 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound111
48.6%
110
51.4%
Q4 - 2:30HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup111
61.0%
110
39.0%
Q4 - 2:45HeatKevin Love defensive rebound111
48.6%
110
51.4%
Q4 - 2:48BullsAyo Dosunmu misses two point driving floating jump shot111
54.2%
110
45.8%
Q4 - 3:08HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip dunk111
62.9%
110
37.1%
Q4 - 3:08HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound111
69.3%
108
30.7%
Q4 - 3:11HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot111
77.1%
108
22.9%
Q4 - 3:33BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1111
64.6%
108
35.4%
Q4 - 3:33HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)110
63.6%
108
36.4%
Q4 - 3:46BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound108
48.6%
108
51.4%
Q4 - 3:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot108
45.6%
108
54.4%
Q4 - 4:09BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
39.0%
108
61.0%
Q4 - 4:09BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
37.9%
108
62.1%
Q4 - 4:09HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)106
36.6%
108
63.4%
Q4 - 4:22BullsCoby White defensive rebound106
31.6%
108
68.4%
Q4 - 4:24HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot106
29.0%
108
71.0%
Q4 - 4:28HeatHeat offensive rebound106
23.6%
108
76.4%
Q4 - 4:28HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot106
29.0%
108
71.0%
Q4 - 4:40HeatKevin Love defensive rebound106
23.5%
108
76.5%
Q4 - 4:43BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot106
25.8%
108
74.2%
Q4 - 4:57HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot106
31.5%
108
68.5%
Q4 - 5:24BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
38.9%
106
61.1%
Q4 - 5:24BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
37.9%
106
62.1%
Q4 - 5:24HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)104
36.8%
106
63.2%
Q4 - 5:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk104
32.3%
106
67.7%
Q4 - 5:52BullsAyo Dosunmu turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)104
38.9%
104
61.1%
Q4 - 5:52BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound104
47.6%
104
52.4%
Q4 - 5:52BullsCoby White misses three point running pullup jump shot104
41.5%
104
58.5%
Q4 - 5:55BullsCoby White defensive rebound104
47.6%
104
52.4%
Q4 - 5:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot104
44.9%
104
55.1%
Q4 - 6:19BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Ayo Dosunmu assists)104
38.3%
104
61.7%
Q4 - 6:26BullsJevon Carter defensive rebound101
27.1%
104
72.9%
Q4 - 6:26HeatDeMar DeRozan blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup101
25.1%
104
74.9%
Q4 - 6:40BullsAyo Dosunmu makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)101
20.9%
104
79.1%
Q4 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 299
18.6%
104
81.4%
Q4 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 299
19.4%
103
80.6%
Q4 - 7:03BullsCoby White shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)99
20.4%
102
79.6%
Q4 - 7:07HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound99
21.9%
102
78.1%
Q4 - 7:17BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot99
23.6%
102
76.4%
Q4 - 7:35BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound99
27.8%
102
72.2%
Q4 - 7:35HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 1 of 199
26.9%
102
73.1%
Q4 - 7:35BullsDalen Terry shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)99
24.2%
102
75.8%
Q4 - 7:49BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point fadeaway jump shot99
32.0%
100
68.0%
Q4 - 7:55BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound97
27.8%
100
72.2%
Q4 - 7:59HeatDeMar DeRozan blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup97
25.8%
100
74.2%
Q4 - 8:19BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Dalen Terry assists)97
22.9%
100
77.1%
Q4 - 8:25HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)94
15.6%
100
84.4%
Q4 - 8:40BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Patrick Williams assists)94
12.4%
100
87.6%
Q4 - 8:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 191
8.1%
100
91.9%
Q4 - 8:53BullsDalen Terry shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)91
8.4%
99
91.6%
Q4 - 9:05BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 291
13.2%
97
86.8%
Q4 - 9:05BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 290
12.9%
97
87.1%
Q4 - 9:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)89
12.5%
97
87.5%
Q4 - 9:13HeatCaleb Martin makes two point stepback jump shot89
11.1%
97
88.9%
Q4 - 9:36BullsCoby White makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
13.1%
95
86.9%
Q4 - 9:50HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)87
11.0%
95
89.0%
Q4 - 10:00BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Coby White assists)87
8.7%
95
91.3%
Q4 - 10:14HeatKevin Love makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)85
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 10:25BullsDalen Terry personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)85
9.7%
93
90.3%
Q4 - 10:47BullsPatrick Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 285
9.7%
93
90.3%
Q4 - 10:47BullsPatrick Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 284
9.3%
93
90.7%
Q4 - 10:47HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Patrick Williams draws the foul)83
8.9%
93
91.1%
Q4 - 11:06HeatKevin Love makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)83
8.8%
93
91.2%
Q4 - 11:32BullsPatrick Williams makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)83
10.6%
91
89.4%
Q4 - 11:36BullsDalen Terry offensive rebound80
7.3%
91
92.7%
Q4 - 11:38BullsCoby White misses two point driving layup80
6.4%
91
93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
7.3%
91
92.7%
Q3 - 0:04.7BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound80
8.1%
91
91.9%
Q3 - 0:04.7HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot80
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q3 - 0:22.8BullsPatrick Williams makes two point driving reverse layup80
6.7%
91
93.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)78
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q3 - 0:36.4BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds lost ball)78
8.1%
88
91.9%
Q3 - 0:51.3HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)78
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q3 - 1:04BullsAndre Drummond turnover (offensive foul)78
14.4%
85
85.6%
Q3 - 1:04BullsAndre Drummond offensive foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)78
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q3 - 1:04BullsPatrick Williams offensive rebound78
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q3 - 1:07BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot78
15.2%
85
84.8%
Q3 - 1:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup78
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q3 - 1:32BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot78
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q3 - 1:46HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 176
16.9%
83
83.1%
Q3 - 1:46BullsPatrick Williams shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)76
17.5%
82
82.5%
Q3 - 1:52BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving finger roll layup76
22.6%
80
77.4%
Q3 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup74
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q3 - 2:10HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound74
23.3%
78
76.7%
Q3 - 2:14HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot74
25.7%
78
74.3%
Q3 - 2:26HeatHeat offensive rebound74
23.3%
78
76.7%
Q3 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup74
25.7%
78
74.3%
Q3 - 2:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound74
23.3%
78
76.7%
Q3 - 2:34BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving layup74
24.3%
78
75.7%
Q3 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 274
26.7%
78
73.3%
Q3 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 274
27.2%
77
72.8%
Q3 - 2:52BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)74
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q3 - 2:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound74
30.0%
76
70.0%
Q3 - 3:01BullsJevon Carter misses three point jump shot74
31.6%
76
68.4%
Q3 - 3:08HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)74
34.6%
76
65.4%
Q3 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound74
30.3%
76
69.7%
Q3 - 3:21BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
31.5%
76
68.5%
Q3 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup74
34.5%
76
65.5%
Q3 - 3:44HeatKevin Love defensive rebound74
37.8%
74
62.2%
Q3 - 3:47BullsJevon Carter misses three point jump shot74
39.2%
74
60.8%
Q3 - 3:57BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound74
42.5%
74
57.5%
Q3 - 4:00HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot74
41.0%
74
59.0%
Q3 - 4:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound74
37.7%
74
62.3%
Q3 - 4:14BullsDalen Terry misses three point jump shot74
39.0%
74
61.0%
Q3 - 4:16BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound74
42.1%
74
57.9%
Q3 - 4:19BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot74
39.0%
74
61.0%
Q3 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
42.1%
74
57.9%
Q3 - 4:48HeatKevin Love defensive rebound74
45.6%
72
54.4%
Q3 - 4:52BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot74
46.9%
72
53.1%
Q3 - 5:02HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 274
49.4%
72
50.6%
Q3 - 5:02HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 274
49.9%
71
50.1%
Q3 - 5:02BullsJevon Carter shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)74
46.6%
71
53.4%
Q3 - 5:08BullsDalen Terry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)74
49.0%
71
51.0%
Q3 - 5:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk (Kevin Love assists)74
53.3%
71
46.7%
Q3 - 5:19BullsJevon Carter turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)74
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q3 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 274
60.8%
69
39.2%
Q3 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 274
61.3%
68
38.7%
Q3 - 5:40BullsDalen Terry shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)74
61.8%
67
38.2%
Q3 - 5:53BullsNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 274
64.1%
67
35.9%
Q3 - 5:53BullsNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 273
63.6%
67
36.4%
Q3 - 5:53HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)72
63.0%
67
37.0%
Q3 - 6:07BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound72
60.1%
67
39.9%
Q3 - 6:09HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 272
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q3 - 6:09HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 272
57.2%
67
42.8%
Q3 - 6:09BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)72
54.3%
67
45.7%
Q3 - 6:32BullsPatrick Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 272
56.0%
67
44.0%
Q3 - 6:32BullsPatrick Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 271
55.3%
67
44.7%
Q3 - 6:32HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Patrick Williams draws the foul)70
54.4%
67
45.6%
Q3 - 6:52HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Coby White draws the foul)70
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q3 - 6:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball)70
52.8%
67
47.2%
Q3 - 7:02BullsCoby White makes two point putback layup70
48.0%
67
52.0%
Q3 - 7:03BullsCoby White offensive rebound68
45.0%
67
55.0%
Q3 - 7:07BullsKyle Lowry blocks Ayo Dosunmu's two point running layup68
42.1%
67
57.9%
Q3 - 7:14HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Ayo Dosunmu steals)68
45.0%
67
55.0%
Q3 - 7:30BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point cutting layup (Patrick Williams assists)68
40.9%
67
59.1%
Q3 - 7:40BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound66
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 7:44HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
36.9%
67
63.1%
Q3 - 8:06BullsPatrick Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
34.0%
67
66.0%
Q3 - 8:10BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound66
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q3 - 8:14HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot66
36.6%
67
63.4%
Q3 - 8:25HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound66
34.0%
67
66.0%
Q3 - 8:30BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot66
35.1%
67
64.9%
Q3 - 8:38HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 266
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q3 - 8:38HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 266
38.5%
66
61.5%
Q3 - 8:38BullsDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)66
36.0%
66
64.0%
Q3 - 8:42BullsPatrick Williams turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)66
37.2%
66
62.8%
Q3 - 8:58HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 266
41.2%
66
58.8%
Q3 - 8:58HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 266
41.6%
65
58.4%
Q3 - 8:58BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)66
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q3 - 9:09BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 266
43.5%
64
56.5%
Q3 - 9:09BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 265
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 9:09HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)64
42.7%
64
57.3%
Q3 - 9:28HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Vucevic steals)64
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 9:51BullsPatrick Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 164
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q3 - 9:51HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Patrick Williams draws the foul)63
36.5%
64
63.5%
Q3 - 10:06BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound61
31.6%
64
68.4%
Q3 - 10:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot61
30.5%
64
69.5%
Q3 - 10:18HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound61
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 10:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup61
30.5%
64
69.5%
Q3 - 10:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound61
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 10:31BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot61
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 10:40BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound61
31.6%
64
68.4%
Q3 - 10:45HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 261
31.1%
64
68.9%
Q3 - 10:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 261
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 10:45BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 10:54BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Coby White assists)61
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 11:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)59
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 11:32BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 259
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 11:32BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 258
33.5%
60
66.5%
Q3 - 11:32HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)57
33.1%
60
66.9%
Q3 - 11:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)57
31.3%
60
68.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
33.9%
58
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatHeat offensive rebound57
34.2%
58
65.8%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot57
35.9%
58
64.1%
Q2 - 0:02.2BullsCoby White personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
34.2%
58
65.8%
Q2 - 0:24.8BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)57
34.2%
58
65.8%
Q2 - 0:31.3HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Ayo Dosunmu steals)54
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q2 - 0:40.2BullsNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 254
26.3%
58
73.7%
Q2 - 0:40.2BullsNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 253
26.0%
58
74.0%
Q2 - 0:40.2HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)52
25.5%
58
74.5%
Q2 - 0:40.2BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound52
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q2 - 0:42.3BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot52
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q2 - 0:55.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup52
23.6%
58
76.4%
Q2 - 1:07BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds lost ball)52
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q2 - 1:11BullsAyo Dosunmu defensive rebound52
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q2 - 1:15HeatAyo Dosunmu blocks Jimmy Butler's two point jump shot52
28.1%
56
71.9%
Q2 - 1:33HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound52
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q2 - 1:37BullsDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot52
27.3%
56
72.7%
Q2 - 1:38BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound52
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q2 - 1:42BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot52
27.3%
56
72.7%
Q2 - 1:44BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound52
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q2 - 1:48HeatDeMar DeRozan blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup52
28.1%
56
71.9%
Q2 - 2:12BullsPatrick Williams makes three point jump shot (Ayo Dosunmu assists)52
26.5%
56
73.5%
Q2 - 2:30HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)49
22.4%
56
77.6%
Q2 - 2:33HeatKevin Love defensive rebound49
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q2 - 2:36BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot49
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin makes two point stepback jump shot49
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q2 - 3:11BullsPatrick Williams makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)49
28.9%
52
71.1%
Q2 - 3:29HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot46
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q2 - 3:51BullsTorrey Craig makes regular free throw 1 of 146
28.9%
49
71.1%
Q2 - 3:51HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)45
28.4%
49
71.6%
Q2 - 4:11HeatThomas Bryant makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)43
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q2 - 4:23HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound43
27.0%
47
73.0%
Q2 - 4:23BullsCoby White misses three point running pullup jump shot43
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 4:26BullsAyo Dosunmu defensive rebound43
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q2 - 4:28HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot43
28.7%
47
71.3%
Q2 - 4:46HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound43
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 4:48BullsCoby White misses two point pullup jump shot43
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 4:59BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound43
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q2 - 5:01HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot43
28.6%
47
71.4%
Q2 - 5:20BullsPatrick Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)43
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 5:32HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Patrick Williams draws the foul)41
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 5:35BullsBulls offensive rebound41
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 5:37BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot41
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 5:43HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)41
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 5:58BullsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)41
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 6:10HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)38
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 6:28BullsNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 238
27.0%
42
73.0%
Q2 - 6:28BullsNikola Vucevic misses regular free throw 1 of 237
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 6:28HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)37
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q2 - 6:38BullsCoby White defensive rebound37
27.4%
42
72.6%
Q2 - 6:41HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot37
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 6:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound37
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 7:00BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot37
25.7%
42
74.3%
Q2 - 7:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Coby White steals)37
27.4%
42
72.6%
Q2 - 7:31BullsAyo Dosunmu makes three point jump shot (Patrick Williams assists)37
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 7:38BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound34
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 7:41HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot34
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 7:43HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound34
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 7:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot34
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 8:06BullsDeMar DeRozan makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)34
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 8:14BullsBulls offensive rebound31
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 8:14BullsThomas Bryant blocks Patrick Williams's two point driving layup31
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 8:30HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)31
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 8:42BullsPatrick Williams makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)31
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 8:51BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound28
17.0%
39
83.0%
Q2 - 8:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point layup28
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 9:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound28
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 9:15BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot28
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 9:34BullsCoby White defensive rebound28
17.0%
39
83.0%
Q2 - 9:34HeatThomas Bryant misses two point jump shot28
16.6%
39
83.4%
Q2 - 9:57HeatHeat defensive rebound28
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 9:57BullsDalen Terry misses three point jump shot28
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 10:05BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound28
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 10:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot28
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 10:13HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound28
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 10:17HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot28
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 10:25HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound28
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 10:27BullsAndre Drummond misses two point hook shot28
16.3%
39
83.7%
Q2 - 10:45BullsAyo Dosunmu defensive rebound28
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 10:48HeatJosh Richardson misses two point turnaround jump shot28
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 10:58BullsPatrick Williams makes two point driving dunk28
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 11:04BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound26
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 11:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot26
14.6%
39
85.4%
Q2 - 11:24BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 11:49HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)24
12.7%
39
87.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.1BullsBulls offensive rebound24
16.3%
36
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.2BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot24
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q1 - 0:03.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)24
16.3%
36
83.7%
Q1 - 0:12.5BullsDalen Terry makes two point running dunk (Jevon Carter assists)24
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Andre Drummond steals)22
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q1 - 0:32.9BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 222
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q1 - 0:32.9BullsDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 221
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q1 - 0:32.9HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)21
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q1 - 0:53.9BullsBulls defensive rebound21
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q1 - 0:54.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot21
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q1 - 1:05BullsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 2 of 221
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q1 - 1:05BullsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 1 of 220
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q1 - 1:05HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)19
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q1 - 1:26HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)19
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q1 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 119
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q1 - 1:35Dalen Terry technical foul (Defensive three second)19
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 1:44BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point running layup (Ayo Dosunmu assists)19
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q1 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Dalen Terry steals)17
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q1 - 1:58HeatHeat offensive rebound17
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 1:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup17
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 2:07BullsAyo Dosunmu turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)17
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q1 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 217
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q1 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 217
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 2:27BullsJevon Carter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)17
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q1 - 2:49BullsAndre Drummond makes two point hook shot (Dalen Terry assists)17
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 3:14HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)15
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 3:36BullsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)15
19.6%
24
80.4%
Q1 - 3:50HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)12
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 3:57HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound12
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 4:01BullsJevon Carter misses three point jump shot12
20.8%
21
79.2%
Q1 - 4:11BullsTorrey Craig offensive rebound12
21.9%
21
78.1%
Q1 - 4:15BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot12
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 4:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)12
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 4:38BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)12
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 4:46BullsTorrey Craig offensive rebound12
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 4:49BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot12
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 5:06HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)12
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 5:21BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot12
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 5:36HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 110
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 5:36BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)10
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 5:55HeatKevin Love defensive rebound10
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 5:58BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point hook shot10
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 6:06HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Ayo Dosunmu draws the foul)10
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 6:11BullsCoby White defensive rebound10
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 6:15HeatOrlando Robinson misses three point jump shot10
31.1%
13
68.9%
Q1 - 6:29BullsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)10
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 6:47BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound7
26.7%
13
73.3%
Q1 - 6:49HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point hook shot7
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 7:06BullsBulls turnover (shot clock violation)7
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 7:06BullsBulls offensive rebound7
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:07BullsAyo Dosunmu misses two point pullup jump shot7
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 7:27BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound7
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 7:31HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot7
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 7:38BullsTorrey Craig makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)7
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 7:59HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)4
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 8:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound4
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 8:22BullsTorrey Craig misses regular free throw 2 of 24
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 8:22BullsTorrey Craig makes regular free throw 1 of 24
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 8:22HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Torrey Craig draws the foul)3
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 8:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)3
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 8:45BullsCoby White turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)3
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 9:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Caleb Martin assists)3
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 9:20BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
28.5%
7
71.5%
Q1 - 9:25BullsBulls offensive rebound3
30.2%
7
69.8%
Q1 - 9:26BullsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot3
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 9:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)3
30.2%
7
69.8%
Q1 - 9:56HeatHeat defensive rebound3
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:56BullsTorrey Craig misses two point layup3
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 23
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 23
35.2%
3
64.8%
Q1 - 10:11BullsCoby White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)3
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 10:28BullsPatrick Williams turnover (offensive foul)3
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:28BullsPatrick Williams offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)3
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:35BullsCoby White defensive rebound3
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:38HeatOrlando Robinson misses three point jump shot3
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 11:07BullsAyo Dosunmu makes three point pullup jump shot3
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:31BullsPatrick Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:31HeatHeat offensive rebound0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:32HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:41BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:43BullsAyo Dosunmu offensive rebound0
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:47BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Orlando Robinson (Coby White gains possession)0
36.4%
0
63.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.23 61.7%
MIA
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
12
20
60%
MIA
18
28
64%
Midrange
CHI
9
19
47%
MIA
12
20
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
16
24.0
38
42%
63%
MIA
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
CHI
26
29
90%
MIA
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2779%13.5 / 17
P. Williams25104%12.5 / 12
C. White2265%11.0 / 17
T. Craig16100%8.0 / 8
N. Vučević1238%6.0 / 16
A. Dosunmu836%4.0 / 11
A. Drummond467%2.0 / 3
D. Terry233%1.0 / 3
J. Carter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2861%14.0 / 23
K. Love2292%11.0 / 12
J. Jaquez1864%9.0 / 14
C. Martin1777%8.5 / 11
K. Lowry1056%5.0 / 9
D. Robinson950%4.5 / 9
J. Richardson857%4.0 / 7
O. Robinson225%1.0 / 4
H. Highsmith250%1.0 / 2
T. Bryant250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
77
+16
-14
93
MIA
80
+13
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.23 61.7%
MIA
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
113.5
CHI 127.5
MIA 131.1 +3.6
Pace
96.8
96.7
CHI 89.1
MIA 91.9 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
CHI 16.2
MIA 15.7 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.5%
53.8%
CHI 58.4%
MIA 59.6% +1.2%
TO %
11.9%
12.2%
CHI 14.3%
MIA 9.6% +4.7%
ORB %
25.2%
21.8%
CHI 32.4% +10.8%
MIA 21.6%
FTrt
23.6
25.7
CHI 37.7 +7.6
MIA 30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
64.8%
CHI 67.6% +7.1%
MIA 60.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
CHI 8.8% +1.0%
MIA 7.8%
BLK %
10.1%
6.9%
CHI 8.3% +3.2%
MIA 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
56.2%
CHI 61.7%
MIA 62.8% +1.1%
Rim FG%
60.7%
61.2%
CHI 60.0%
MIA 64.3% +4.3%
Mid FG%
45.0%
44.2%
CHI 47.4%
MIA 60.0% +12.6%
3P %
35.9%
37.0%
CHI 42.1% +5.0%
MIA 37.1%
FT %
79.1%
81.8%
CHI 89.7% +13.7%
MIA 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
30.4%
CHI 26.0%
MIA 33.7% +7.8%
Mid Att. %
30.5%
30.2%
CHI 24.7%
MIA 24.1% +0.6%
3P Att. %
35.8%
39.4%
CHI 49.4% +7.2%
MIA 42.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points116118
Rebounds4031
Assists2526
Steals87
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)10 (0)
Fouls1919
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)23 (2)
Field Goals37-7743-83
At-the-Rim FG12-2018-28
Midrange FG9-1912-20
2-Point FG21-3930-48
3-Point FG16-3813-35
Free Throws26-2919-25
Fast Break Pts1515
2nd Chance Pts1210
Points in Paint3444
Pts off Turnovers1824
Bench Points2252
Biggest Lead715

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34
42.0
27
79%
3
5
2
3
3
1
1
2
8-9
89%
8-11
73%
1-2
50%
#12 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24
40.9
8
36%
4
3
2
1
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
39.0
22
65%
7
5
1
0
1
3
1
6
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
4-10
40%
#44 · PF · 6'7" 215 · 22
33.0
25
104%
7
4
0
0
3
3
1
6
5-5
100%
4-5
80%
4-5
80%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 33
32.3
12
38%
11
3
1
0
2
1
4
7
5-6
83%
2-9
22%
1-4
25%
#25 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21
16.3
2
33%
1
2
1
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33
13.6
16
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
#5 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 28
12.2
0
0%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30
10.7
4
67%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#15 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 20
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Inflammation
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
62%
40
25
8
4
14
19
11
29
26-29
90%
21-39
54%
16-38
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.