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All Games Monday, December 11, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Heat
67%117
116
27
Hornets
33%110
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
124.79391.7
CHA logo CHA
120.09596.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.116
100%
114
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound116
95.5%
114
4.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot116
98.2%
114
1.8%
Q4 - 0:04.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2116
91.8%
114
8.2%
Q4 - 0:04.3HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2115
92.1%
114
7.9%
Q4 - 0:04.3HornetsTerry Rozier personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)115
97.5%
114
2.5%
Q4 - 0:07.5HeatHeat offensive rebound115
87.4%
114
12.6%
Q4 - 0:07.5HeatP.J. Washington blocks Jimmy Butler's two point cutting layup115
73.6%
114
26.4%
Q4 - 0:09.1HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
87.4%
114
12.6%
Q4 - 0:09.1HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
89.1%
113
10.9%
Q4 - 0:09.1HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Take) (Terry Rozier draws the foul)115
90.9%
112
9.1%
Q4 - 0:09.8HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
94.6%
112
5.4%
Q4 - 0:09.8HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
93.3%
112
6.7%
Q4 - 0:09.8HornetsTerry Rozier personal foul (Take) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)114
97.0%
112
3.0%
Q4 - 0:12.3HeatHeat defensive rebound114
95.1%
112
4.9%
Q4 - 0:12.3HornetsTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 2114
94.3%
112
5.7%
Q4 - 0:12.3HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
88.8%
112
11.2%
Q4 - 0:12.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)114
90.5%
111
9.5%
Q4 - 0:21.5HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Gordon Hayward steals)114
89.9%
111
10.1%
Q4 - 0:43.4HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot114
93.4%
111
6.6%
Q4 - 0:59.6HeatJimmy Butler turnover (traveling)114
97.1%
108
2.9%
Q4 - 1:15HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound114
98.0%
108
2.0%
Q4 - 1:19HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot114
97.4%
108
2.6%
Q4 - 1:32HeatCaleb Martin makes two point fadeaway jump shot114
95.2%
108
4.8%
Q4 - 1:56HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)112
91.7%
108
8.3%
Q4 - 1:57HornetsTerry Rozier offensive rebound112
96.3%
105
3.7%
Q4 - 2:00HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot112
97.5%
105
2.5%
Q4 - 2:15HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)112
96.5%
105
3.5%
Q4 - 2:37HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)109
92.9%
105
7.1%
Q4 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1109
95.2%
102
4.8%
Q4 - 2:55HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)108
94.9%
102
5.1%
Q4 - 3:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound106
90.7%
102
9.3%
Q4 - 3:06HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point pullup jump shot106
89.3%
102
10.7%
Q4 - 3:14HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)106
85.1%
102
14.9%
Q4 - 3:26HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound106
85.2%
102
14.8%
Q4 - 3:27HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
86.2%
102
13.8%
Q4 - 3:27HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
89.4%
102
10.6%
Q4 - 3:27HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)106
92.4%
102
7.6%
Q4 - 3:37HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound106
87.2%
102
12.8%
Q4 - 3:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot106
83.9%
102
16.1%
Q4 - 3:48HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound106
87.4%
102
12.6%
Q4 - 3:50HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point driving layup106
86.0%
102
14.0%
Q4 - 4:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 3106
82.5%
102
17.5%
Q4 - 4:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 3105
81.9%
102
18.1%
Q4 - 4:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 3104
81.1%
102
18.9%
Q4 - 4:11HornetsGordon Hayward shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)103
80.3%
102
19.7%
Q4 - 4:25HornetsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 1 of 1103
70.5%
102
29.5%
Q4 - 4:25HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)103
71.6%
101
28.4%
Q4 - 4:36HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot103
82.6%
99
17.4%
Q4 - 5:01HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)100
69.9%
99
30.1%
Q4 - 5:19HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound100
75.6%
97
24.4%
Q4 - 5:21HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot100
77.5%
97
22.5%
Q4 - 5:27HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound100
81.5%
97
18.5%
Q4 - 5:30HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot100
79.8%
97
20.2%
Q4 - 5:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)100
75.6%
97
24.4%
Q4 - 6:05HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point pullup jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)98
70.1%
97
29.9%
Q4 - 6:27HeatKevin Love makes two point putback layup98
74.6%
95
25.4%
Q4 - 6:27HeatKevin Love offensive rebound96
70.1%
95
29.9%
Q4 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup96
64.8%
95
35.2%
Q4 - 6:53HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot96
70.0%
95
30.0%
Q4 - 7:13HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound96
79.1%
92
20.9%
Q4 - 7:16HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot96
80.7%
92
19.3%
Q4 - 7:28HornetsBrandon Miller makes regular free throw 1 of 196
83.9%
92
16.1%
Q4 - 7:28HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Brandon Miller draws the foul)96
84.6%
91
15.4%
Q4 - 7:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)96
89.3%
89
10.7%
Q4 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound93
84.0%
89
16.0%
Q4 - 7:59HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot93
82.6%
89
17.4%
Q4 - 8:08HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound93
78.7%
89
21.3%
Q4 - 8:10HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
80.0%
89
20.0%
Q4 - 8:28HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)93
82.8%
89
17.2%
Q4 - 8:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)93
85.8%
87
14.2%
Q4 - 8:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)93
88.8%
87
11.2%
Q4 - 9:01HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound93
88.1%
87
11.9%
Q4 - 9:03HornetsBryce McGowens misses two point driving finger roll layup93
87.2%
87
12.8%
Q4 - 9:12HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup93
85.1%
87
14.9%
Q4 - 9:12HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound91
82.3%
87
17.7%
Q4 - 9:16HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup91
79.5%
87
20.5%
Q4 - 9:30HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)91
82.4%
87
17.6%
Q4 - 9:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 291
87.8%
84
12.2%
Q4 - 9:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 290
87.4%
84
12.6%
Q4 - 9:51HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)89
86.8%
84
13.2%
Q4 - 10:02HornetsBryce McGowens makes two point driving layup (Brandon Miller assists)89
84.4%
84
15.6%
Q4 - 10:10HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound89
86.7%
82
13.3%
Q4 - 10:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving reverse layup89
87.6%
82
12.4%
Q4 - 10:26HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 189
89.4%
82
10.6%
Q4 - 10:26HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)89
89.8%
81
10.2%
Q4 - 10:36HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound89
92.7%
79
7.3%
Q4 - 10:39HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot89
93.2%
79
6.8%
Q4 - 10:52HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound89
94.2%
79
5.8%
Q4 - 10:56HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot89
93.8%
79
6.2%
Q4 - 11:04HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound89
92.1%
79
7.9%
Q4 - 11:06HeatJosh Richardson misses two point stepback jump shot89
92.5%
79
7.5%
Q4 - 11:13HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound89
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q4 - 11:15HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point jump shot89
93.1%
79
6.9%
Q4 - 11:30HornetsHornets defensive rebound89
92.1%
79
7.9%
Q4 - 11:30HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot89
92.5%
79
7.5%
Q4 - 11:51HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup (Brandon Miller assists)89
93.5%
79
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.89
94.6%
77
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)89
95.6%
77
4.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)89
96.0%
75
4.0%
Q3 - 0:30.7HeatKevin Love defensive rebound87
95.1%
75
4.9%
Q3 - 0:33.1HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot87
94.9%
75
5.1%
Q3 - 0:46.2HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 287
94.2%
75
5.8%
Q3 - 0:46.2HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 286
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q3 - 0:46.2HornetsTerry Rozier personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)86
94.8%
75
5.2%
Q3 - 0:46.7HornetsBryce McGowens turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)86
94.2%
75
5.8%
Q3 - 1:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)86
92.2%
75
7.8%
Q3 - 1:28HeatKevin Love defensive rebound83
89.3%
75
10.7%
Q3 - 1:31HornetsBryce McGowens misses regular free throw 2 of 283
89.1%
75
10.9%
Q3 - 1:31HornetsBryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 283
87.8%
75
12.2%
Q3 - 1:31HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)83
88.3%
74
11.7%
Q3 - 1:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
89.2%
74
10.8%
Q3 - 2:08HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bryce McGowens assists)83
90.1%
74
9.9%
Q3 - 2:21HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound83
92.8%
71
7.2%
Q3 - 2:24HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot83
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q3 - 2:48HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 283
94.0%
71
6.0%
Q3 - 2:48HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 283
94.1%
70
5.9%
Q3 - 2:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)83
94.3%
69
5.7%
Q3 - 2:59HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)83
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q3 - 2:59HeatHeat offensive rebound83
95.7%
69
4.3%
Q3 - 2:59HeatKyle Lowry misses two point floating jump shot83
95.1%
69
4.9%
Q3 - 3:11HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound83
95.3%
69
4.7%
Q3 - 3:13HeatKevin Love misses three point running jump shot83
94.7%
69
5.3%
Q3 - 3:21HornetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)83
95.3%
69
4.7%
Q3 - 3:31HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)83
94.4%
69
5.6%
Q3 - 3:49HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound80
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q3 - 3:54HornetsP.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 280
92.3%
69
7.7%
Q3 - 3:54HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 280
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q3 - 3:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)80
91.9%
68
8.1%
Q3 - 4:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Josh Richardson assists)80
91.9%
68
8.1%
Q3 - 4:10HornetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)78
90.8%
68
9.2%
Q3 - 4:25HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 278
89.2%
68
10.8%
Q3 - 4:25HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 277
89.0%
68
11.0%
Q3 - 4:25HornetsNick Richards shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)76
88.7%
68
11.3%
Q3 - 4:46HornetsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)76
87.7%
68
12.3%
Q3 - 5:01HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Ish Smith steals)76
88.7%
66
11.3%
Q3 - 5:17HeatKevin Love defensive rebound76
90.3%
66
9.7%
Q3 - 5:19HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point turnaround hook shot76
89.8%
66
10.2%
Q3 - 5:30HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound76
88.7%
66
11.3%
Q3 - 5:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot76
89.2%
66
10.8%
Q3 - 5:45HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 276
90.3%
66
9.7%
Q3 - 5:45HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 276
90.5%
65
9.5%
Q3 - 5:45HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)76
90.7%
64
9.3%
Q3 - 5:50HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound76
91.5%
64
8.5%
Q3 - 5:54HeatOrlando Robinson misses three point jump shot76
91.9%
64
8.1%
Q3 - 6:01HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound76
92.4%
64
7.6%
Q3 - 6:06HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot76
92.0%
64
8.0%
Q3 - 6:16HeatOrlando Robinson personal foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)76
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q3 - 6:16HornetsP.J. Washington offensive rebound76
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q3 - 6:18HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point floating jump shot76
92.0%
64
8.0%
Q3 - 6:20HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound76
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q3 - 6:26HornetsOrlando Robinson blocks Miles Bridges's two point driving layup76
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q3 - 6:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup76
91.2%
64
8.8%
Q3 - 6:44HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound74
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q3 - 6:46HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot74
88.9%
64
11.1%
Q3 - 7:02HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound74
89.5%
64
10.5%
Q3 - 7:05HornetsNick Richards misses two point jump shot74
89.0%
64
11.0%
Q3 - 7:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)74
87.9%
64
12.1%
Q3 - 7:35HornetsNick Richards makes two point tip dunk71
84.8%
64
15.2%
Q3 - 7:35HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound71
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 7:38HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot71
87.6%
62
12.4%
Q3 - 7:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 271
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 7:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 270
86.1%
62
13.9%
Q3 - 7:55HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
85.8%
62
14.2%
Q3 - 8:01HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
84.6%
62
15.4%
Q3 - 8:01HornetsOrlando Robinson blocks Nick Richards's two point putback layup69
83.9%
62
16.1%
Q3 - 8:03HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound69
82.2%
62
17.8%
Q3 - 8:04HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot69
83.9%
62
16.1%
Q3 - 8:13HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)69
82.2%
62
17.8%
Q3 - 8:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Caleb Martin assists)69
82.2%
62
17.8%
Q3 - 8:39HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot67
80.6%
62
19.4%
Q3 - 9:00HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 267
84.2%
59
15.8%
Q3 - 9:00HeatOrlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 266
83.8%
59
16.2%
Q3 - 9:00HornetsGordon Hayward shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)66
85.1%
59
14.9%
Q3 - 9:13HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
84.3%
59
15.7%
Q3 - 9:24HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound66
82.1%
59
17.9%
Q3 - 9:29HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot66
82.8%
59
17.2%
Q3 - 9:48HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)66
84.3%
59
15.7%
Q3 - 9:56HeatOrlando Robinson personal foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)66
87.3%
56
12.7%
Q3 - 10:06HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)66
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 10:06HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Brandon Miller draws the foul)66
88.6%
56
11.4%
Q3 - 10:13HornetsGordon Hayward personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)66
88.6%
56
11.4%
Q3 - 10:22HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (offensive foul)66
88.6%
56
11.4%
Q3 - 10:22HornetsBrandon Miller offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)66
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 10:29HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)66
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 10:48HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)63
84.0%
56
16.0%
Q3 - 10:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Orlando Robinson assists)63
86.9%
53
13.1%
Q3 - 11:21HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)61
85.4%
53
14.6%
Q3 - 11:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)61
88.3%
50
11.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
87.0%
50
13.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound59
85.3%
50
14.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HornetsJimmy Butler blocks Terry Rozier's three point pullup jump shot59
86.5%
50
13.5%
Q2 - 0:04.6HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk (Kevin Love assists)59
85.6%
50
14.4%
Q2 - 0:06.5HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)57
83.8%
50
16.2%
Q2 - 0:26.2HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)57
82.3%
50
17.7%
Q2 - 0:42.8HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 2 of 254
78.0%
50
22.0%
Q2 - 0:42.8HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 254
78.5%
49
21.5%
Q2 - 0:42.8HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)54
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q2 - 0:59.2HeatKevin Love makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)54
80.4%
48
19.6%
Q2 - 1:03HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound51
76.1%
48
23.9%
Q2 - 1:07HornetsBryce McGowens misses three point jump shot51
75.5%
48
24.5%
Q2 - 1:12HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound51
74.2%
48
25.8%
Q2 - 1:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot51
74.8%
48
25.2%
Q2 - 1:32HornetsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 2 of 251
76.0%
48
24.0%
Q2 - 1:32HornetsGordon Hayward misses regular free throw 1 of 251
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q2 - 1:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)51
74.5%
47
25.5%
Q2 - 1:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 251
76.5%
47
23.5%
Q2 - 1:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 250
76.0%
47
24.0%
Q2 - 1:45HornetsBryce McGowens shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)49
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q2 - 1:52HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)49
73.7%
47
26.3%
Q2 - 2:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)49
78.0%
44
22.0%
Q2 - 2:26HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point driving layup47
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 2:33HornetsHornets offensive rebound47
78.0%
42
22.0%
Q2 - 2:33HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point pullup jump shot47
79.5%
42
20.5%
Q2 - 2:50HornetsHornets defensive rebound47
78.0%
42
22.0%
Q2 - 2:51HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot47
78.7%
42
21.3%
Q2 - 3:10HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (Gordon Hayward assists)47
80.0%
42
20.0%
Q2 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)47
81.4%
40
18.6%
Q2 - 3:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)47
81.4%
40
18.6%
Q2 - 3:59HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point pullup jump shot (Ish Smith assists)44
78.1%
40
21.9%
Q2 - 4:07HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound44
79.8%
38
20.2%
Q2 - 4:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot44
80.4%
38
19.6%
Q2 - 4:34HornetsIsh Smith makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)44
81.7%
38
18.3%
Q2 - 4:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)44
84.6%
35
15.4%
Q2 - 4:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)44
86.1%
35
13.9%
Q2 - 5:06HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound44
86.3%
35
13.7%
Q2 - 5:10HornetsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot44
85.7%
35
14.3%
Q2 - 5:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)44
84.5%
35
15.5%
Q2 - 5:37HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound42
83.5%
35
16.5%
Q2 - 5:39HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving finger roll layup42
82.9%
35
17.1%
Q2 - 5:53HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound42
81.5%
35
18.5%
Q2 - 5:56HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot42
82.1%
35
17.9%
Q2 - 6:03HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound42
83.4%
35
16.6%
Q2 - 6:06HornetsIsh Smith misses two point finger roll layup42
82.8%
35
17.2%
Q2 - 6:23HornetsHornets defensive rebound42
81.5%
35
18.5%
Q2 - 6:23HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot42
82.1%
35
17.9%
Q2 - 6:33HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound42
83.4%
35
16.6%
Q2 - 6:35HornetsNick Richards misses two point alley-oop dunk42
82.8%
35
17.2%
Q2 - 6:42HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 142
81.5%
35
18.5%
Q2 - 6:42HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)41
81.2%
35
18.8%
Q2 - 6:52HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point floating jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)39
78.5%
35
21.5%
Q2 - 7:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)39
79.9%
33
20.1%
Q2 - 7:21HornetsHornets turnover (5-second violation)37
80.8%
33
19.2%
Q2 - 7:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 237
76.3%
33
23.7%
Q2 - 7:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 236
76.0%
33
24.0%
Q2 - 7:21HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)35
75.6%
33
24.4%
Q2 - 7:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
74.6%
33
25.4%
Q2 - 7:29HornetsJT Thor misses three point jump shot35
73.9%
33
26.1%
Q2 - 7:47HornetsHornets defensive rebound35
72.4%
33
27.6%
Q2 - 7:47HeatJT Thor blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup35
73.1%
33
26.9%
Q2 - 7:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
74.6%
33
25.4%
Q2 - 8:00HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot35
73.9%
33
26.1%
Q2 - 8:08HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)35
72.3%
33
27.7%
Q2 - 8:23HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound33
70.4%
33
29.6%
Q2 - 8:25HornetsJT Thor misses three point jump shot33
69.7%
33
30.3%
Q2 - 8:48HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 9:02HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point running jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)33
70.0%
33
30.0%
Q2 - 9:06HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound33
74.0%
30
26.0%
Q2 - 9:08HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point alley-oop dunk33
74.6%
30
25.4%
Q2 - 9:18HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound33
76.0%
30
24.0%
Q2 - 9:20HornetsBryce McGowens misses three point jump shot33
75.4%
30
24.6%
Q2 - 9:37HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound33
74.1%
30
25.9%
Q2 - 9:39HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot33
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 10:04HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point running jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)33
76.1%
30
23.9%
Q2 - 10:10HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (JT Thor steals)33
79.5%
27
20.5%
Q2 - 10:17HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound33
81.1%
27
18.9%
Q2 - 10:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup33
80.0%
27
20.0%
Q2 - 10:33HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)33
81.1%
27
18.9%
Q2 - 10:45HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)33
83.9%
24
16.1%
Q2 - 10:55HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
82.6%
24
17.4%
Q2 - 10:57HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot31
82.1%
24
17.9%
Q2 - 11:02HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound31
80.8%
24
19.2%
Q2 - 11:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot31
81.3%
24
18.7%
Q2 - 11:14HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound31
82.3%
24
17.7%
Q2 - 11:17HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point driving floating jump shot31
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 11:40HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 231
80.9%
24
19.1%
Q2 - 11:40HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 230
80.6%
24
19.4%
Q2 - 11:40HornetsBryce McGowens shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.29
79.3%
24
20.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound29
77.7%
24
22.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot29
78.9%
24
21.1%
Q1 - 0:00.2HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound29
77.7%
24
22.3%
Q1 - 0:02.2HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup29
78.1%
24
21.9%
Q1 - 0:25.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound29
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot29
78.8%
24
21.2%
Q1 - 0:35.1HornetsBryce McGowens defensive rebound29
77.6%
24
22.4%
Q1 - 0:37.4HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot29
78.1%
24
21.9%
Q1 - 0:47.5HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup29
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q1 - 0:55.8HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 229
80.8%
22
19.2%
Q1 - 0:55.8HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 228
80.6%
22
19.4%
Q1 - 0:55.8HornetsMiles Bridges personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)27
80.4%
22
19.6%
Q1 - 1:03HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point turnaround hook shot (Terry Rozier assists)27
79.3%
22
20.7%
Q1 - 1:24HornetsHornets defensive rebound27
80.8%
20
19.2%
Q1 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
81.2%
20
18.8%
Q1 - 1:41HeatHeat defensive rebound27
82.2%
20
17.8%
Q1 - 1:41HornetsIsh Smith misses two point fadeaway jump shot27
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 1:53HornetsTerry Rozier makes technical free throw 1 of 127
80.8%
20
19.2%
Q1 - 1:53Caleb Martin technical foul (Defensive three second)27
81.2%
19
18.8%
Q1 - 2:12HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 127
81.9%
19
18.1%
Q1 - 2:12HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)26
81.7%
19
18.3%
Q1 - 2:26HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)24
79.3%
19
20.7%
Q1 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)24
81.9%
16
18.1%
Q1 - 2:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound22
80.8%
16
19.2%
Q1 - 2:50HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point pullup jump shot22
80.3%
16
19.7%
Q1 - 3:10HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 222
78.7%
16
21.3%
Q1 - 3:10HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 221
78.6%
16
21.4%
Q1 - 3:10HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
78.3%
16
21.7%
Q1 - 3:21HornetsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)20
77.6%
16
22.4%
Q1 - 3:30HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound20
80.2%
13
19.8%
Q1 - 3:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot20
80.7%
13
19.3%
Q1 - 3:50HeatKevin Love defensive rebound20
81.9%
13
18.1%
Q1 - 3:53HornetsGordon Hayward misses regular free throw 1 of 120
81.7%
13
18.3%
Q1 - 3:53HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)20
80.8%
13
19.2%
Q1 - 4:06HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
82.5%
11
17.5%
Q1 - 4:24HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound17
80.2%
11
19.8%
Q1 - 4:27HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot17
79.7%
11
20.3%
Q1 - 4:44HornetsHornets defensive rebound17
78.6%
11
21.4%
Q1 - 4:44HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot17
79.1%
11
20.9%
Q1 - 5:08HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 117
80.1%
11
19.9%
Q1 - 5:08HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)17
80.4%
10
19.6%
Q1 - 5:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
82.5%
8
17.5%
Q1 - 5:48HornetsGordon Hayward makes two point driving layup15
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 6:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)15
82.4%
6
17.6%
Q1 - 6:15HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound12
79.9%
6
20.1%
Q1 - 6:18HornetsNick Richards misses two point putback layup12
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 6:19HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound12
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 6:23HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot12
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 6:36HornetsHornets offensive rebound12
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 6:36HornetsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot12
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 6:48HeatOrlando Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)12
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 7:04HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)9
76.2%
6
23.8%
Q1 - 7:09HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound9
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 7:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot9
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 7:31HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)9
78.9%
4
21.1%
Q1 - 7:55HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 29
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 7:55HeatOrlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 28
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 7:55HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)8
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 8:00HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)8
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 8:19HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)8
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 8:38HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound5
73.6%
4
26.4%
Q1 - 8:41HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot5
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 8:43HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound5
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 8:44HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup5
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 8:44HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound5
73.6%
4
26.4%
Q1 - 8:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point running layup5
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 8:53HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)5
73.6%
4
26.4%
Q1 - 9:06HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound5
71.7%
4
28.3%
Q1 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot5
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 9:13HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound5
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 9:15HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point running layup5
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 9:20HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound5
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 9:24HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot5
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 9:37HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound5
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 9:37HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot5
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 9:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)5
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 10:07HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point alley-oop layup (Nick Richards assists)3
70.4%
4
29.6%
Q1 - 10:21HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)3
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 10:21HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)3
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 10:29HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound3
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 10:32HornetsGordon Hayward misses two point driving floating jump shot3
72.9%
2
27.1%
Q1 - 10:40HornetsGordon Hayward defensive rebound3
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 10:40HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point tip layup3
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:41HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound3
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 10:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot3
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:56HornetsGordon Hayward personal foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)3
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 11:08HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (offensive foul)3
73.6%
2
26.4%
Q1 - 11:08HornetsTerry Rozier offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)3
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 11:25HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)3
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 11:42HornetsNick Richards makes two point layup (Terry Rozier assists)0
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 12:00Orlando Robinson vs. Nick Richards (Terry Rozier gains possession)0
70.5%
0
29.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.23 61.7%
CHA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
27
59%
CHA
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIA
6
15
40%
CHA
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
35
43%
64%
CHA
17
25.5
41
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
27
34
79%
CHA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson2480%12.0 / 15
J. Butler2372%11.5 / 16
C. Martin2059%10.0 / 17
K. Love1986%9.5 / 11
J. Jaquez1882%9.0 / 11
O. Robinson750%3.5 / 7
K. Lowry321%1.5 / 7
J. Richardson213%1.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Rozier3489%17.0 / 19
M. Bridges1860%9.0 / 15
G. Hayward1765%8.5 / 13
B. Miller1657%8.0 / 14
P. Washington1563%7.5 / 12
N. Richards643%3.0 / 7
I. Smith563%2.5 / 4
B. McGowens330%1.5 / 5
J. Thor0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+10
-10
93
CHA
85
+11
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.23 61.7%
CHA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
108.9
MIA 124.7 +4.7
CHA 120.0
Pace
96.7
97.7
MIA 91.7
CHA 96.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.7
MIA 15.7
CHA 14.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
52.9%
MIA 57.8% +0.1%
CHA 57.7%
TO %
12.2%
13.3%
MIA 10.7%
CHA 10.5% +0.2%
ORB %
21.8%
21.3%
MIA 24.2% +9.6%
CHA 14.6%
FTrt
25.7
21.2
MIA 44.2 +18.0
CHA 26.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
61.9%
MIA 83.8% +6.3%
CHA 77.5%
STL %
7.8%
7.0%
MIA 7.5% +4.3%
CHA 3.2%
BLK %
6.9%
8.8%
MIA 7.0% +2.2%
CHA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
54.5%
MIA 61.7% +2.3%
CHA 59.4%
Rim FG%
61.2%
62.5%
MIA 59.3%
CHA 62.5% +3.2%
Mid FG%
44.2%
40.1%
MIA 40.0%
CHA 42.1% +2.1%
3P %
37.0%
35.4%
MIA 42.9% +1.4%
CHA 41.5%
FT %
81.8%
78.6%
MIA 79.4% +2.1%
CHA 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
34.2%
MIA 35.1% +6.5%
CHA 28.6%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
26.7%
MIA 19.5% +3.1%
CHA 22.6%
3P Att. %
39.4%
39.1%
MIA 45.5%
CHA 48.8% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points116114
Rebounds4331
Assists3131
Steals73
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (1)
Fouls2222
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)25 (6)
Field Goals37-7740-84
At-the-Rim FG16-2715-24
Midrange FG6-158-19
2-Point FG22-4223-43
3-Point FG15-3517-41
Free Throws27-3417-22
Fast Break Pts118
2nd Chance Pts77
Points in Paint4234
Pts off Turnovers922
Bench Points3923
Biggest Lead142

BOXSCORE

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19 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Caleb Martin
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 28
38.6
20
59%
9
5
0
0
3
3
2
7
5-7
71%
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
35.5
23
72%
4
8
1
1
3
4
2
2
8-9
89%
6-11
55%
1-1
100%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38
35.0
3
21%
5
5
2
0
1
3
1
4
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
33.5
24
80%
7
4
2
0
0
0
1
6
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
22.5
7
50%
6
2
0
2
1
5
1
5
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
25.4
2
13%
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-4
0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
24.2
18
82%
0
1
0
0
2
6
0
0
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
21.5
19
86%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
Thomas Bryant
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
3.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
Cole Swider
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
R.J. Hampton
#4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Contusion
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
Dru Smith
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Acl; 3rd Degree Sprain
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
62%
43
31
7
3
10
22
8
35
27-34
79%
22-42
52%
15-35
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.