Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 58% | 116 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bucks | 51% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, December 31, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Nets | 68% | 116 | 123 |
 | 26 | Hornets | 32% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bulls | 43% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Knicks | 67% | 113 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Mavericks | 67% | 117 | 126 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 32% | 111 | 116 |
 | 20 | Timberwolves | 68% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Thunder | 40% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pelicans | 30% | 110 | 101 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 70% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 38% | 110 | 126 |
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Friday, December 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 55% | 112 | 119 |
 | 27 | Magic | 45% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Lakers | 39% | 115 | 130 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Raptors | 49% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 36% | 111 | 118 |
| 21 | Bulls | 64% | 116 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 32% | 108 | 114 |
| 8 | Bucks | 68% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 51% | 113 | 116 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 49% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 45% | 112 | 119 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 55% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 51% | 120 | 125 |
| 19 | Kings | 49% | 119 | 126 |
Thursday, December 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 49% | 114 | 113 |
| 26 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 57% | 112 | 126 |
| 19 | Pacers | 43% | 109 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 58% | 113 | 119 |
| 15 | Raptors | 42% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 30% | 106 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 69% | 115 | 115 |
| 30 | Spurs | 31% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 22% | 108 | 114 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 119 | 129 |
Wednesday, December 28, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 52% | 110 | 102 |
| 20 | Wizards | 48% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 112 | 101 |
| 29 | Pistons | 53% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 32% | 107 | 98 |
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 69% | 116 | 108 |
| 23 | Hawks | 31% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 37% | 112 | 118 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 63% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 57% | 114 | 113 |
| 21 | Bulls | 43% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 52% | 118 | 126 |
| 17 | Kings | 48% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 63% | 116 | 107 |
| 27 | Warriors | 37% | 112 | 112 |
Tuesday, December 27, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 129 |
| 24 | Magic | 54% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 63% | 113 | 111 |
| 20 | Wizards | 37% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 12% | 103 | 102 |
| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 118 | 114 |
| 19 | Pacers | 45% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 42% | 108 | 124 |
| 8 | Raptors | 58% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 33% | 108 | 125 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 67% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 34% | 111 | 114 |
| 27 | Thunder | 66% | 117 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 45% | 112 | 121 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 38% | 111 | 105 |
| 23 | Warriors | 62% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 63% | 122 | 113 |
| 22 | Kings | 37% | 118 | 106 |
Monday, December 26, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 64% | 113 | 142 |
| 29 | Pistons | 36% | 108 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 46% | 107 | 125 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 54% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 51% | 109 | 110 |
| 21 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 35% | 111 | 133 |
| 20 | Bulls | 65% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 66% | 120 | 122 |
| 28 | Spurs | 34% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 42% | 112 | 93 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 58% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 34% | 113 | 113 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 119 | 124 |
Sunday, December 25, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 52% | 110 | 119 |
| 9 | Knicks | 48% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 32% | 111 | 115 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 34% | 107 | 118 |
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 113 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 71% | 117 | 109 |
| 27 | Warriors | 29% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 35% | 112 | 125 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 65% | 118 | 128 |
Friday, December 23, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 32% | 109 | 113 |
| 24 | Magic | 68% | 116 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 42% | 105 | 114 |
| 4 | 76ers | 58% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 28% | 111 | 105 |
| 15 | Hawks | 72% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 24% | 108 | 109 |
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 53% | 111 | 100 |
| 8 | Nets | 47% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 39% | 106 | 118 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 61% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 36% | 111 | 118 |
| 9 | Knicks | 64% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 41% | 109 | 111 |
| 13 | Heat | 59% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 69% | 115 | 112 |
| 30 | Rockets | 31% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 53% | 113 | 128 |
| 23 | Thunder | 47% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 115 | 107 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 60% | 119 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grizzlies | 54% | 112 | 125 |
| 17 | Suns | 46% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 30% | 113 | 125 |
| 12 | Kings | 70% | 121 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 45% | 114 | 134 |
| 26 | Lakers | 55% | 116 | 130 |
Thursday, December 22, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 23% | 108 | 117 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 77% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 34% | 113 | 112 |
| 18 | Jazz | 66% | 119 | 120 |
Wednesday, December 21, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 47% | 107 | 106 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 53% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 18% | 103 | 93 |
| 3 | 76ers | 82% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 42% | 115 | 110 |
| 20 | Hawks | 58% | 118 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 22% | 108 | 117 |
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 25% | 108 | 113 |
| 6 | Nets | 75% | 118 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 47% | 110 | 113 |
| 9 | Knicks | 53% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 54% | 111 | 116 |
| 29 | Rockets | 46% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 54% | 114 | 104 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 46% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 116 | 98 |
| 23 | Thunder | 42% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 33% | 115 | 120 |
| 13 | Kings | 67% | 121 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 29% | 108 | 105 |
| 8 | Clippers | 71% | 116 | 126 |
Tuesday, December 20, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 56% | 116 | 126 |
| 28 | Pistons | 44% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 40% | 111 | 94 |
| 9 | Knicks | 60% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 45% | 109 | 113 |
| 20 | Heat | 55% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 36% | 111 | 113 |
| 6 | Suns | 64% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 47% | 114 | 91 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 53% | 115 | 105 |
Monday, December 19, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 31% | 105 | 101 |
| 2 | 76ers | 69% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 36% | 108 | 99 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 64% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 110 | 125 |
| 22 | Hawks | 66% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 39% | 111 | 124 |
| 28 | Rockets | 61% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 64% | 116 | 106 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 36% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 46% | 110 | 128 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 54% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 115 | 121 |
| 23 | Thunder | 48% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 17% | 106 | 104 |
| 3 | Suns | 83% | 120 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 24% | 113 | 125 |
| 13 | Kings | 76% | 123 | 119 |