for complete access.
All Games Monday, December 26, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Timberwolves
51%109
110
21
Heat
49%108
113
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
112.298108.2
MIA logo MIA
115.39889.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:02.5TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound110
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 0:03.9HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot110
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 0:26.6HeatMax Strus defensive rebound110
4.6%
113
95.4%
Q4 - 0:28.8TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 1110
5.6%
113
94.4%
Q4 - 0:28.8HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)110
9.1%
113
90.9%
Q4 - 0:33.2HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot108
2.6%
113
97.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0HeatHeat offensive rebound108
7.1%
111
92.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0HeatAnthony Edwards blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving layup108
12.2%
111
87.8%
Q4 - 0:55.7HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound108
10.4%
111
89.6%
Q4 - 1:00TimberwolvesAustin Rivers misses two point driving reverse layup108
12.9%
111
87.1%
Q4 - 1:15TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels defensive rebound108
21.3%
111
78.7%
Q4 - 1:19HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot108
18.7%
111
81.3%
Q4 - 1:30TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)108
14.5%
111
85.5%
Q4 - 1:33HeatHeat offensive rebound108
14.8%
111
85.2%
Q4 - 1:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot108
20.6%
111
79.4%
Q4 - 1:52TimberwolvesAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)108
15.8%
111
84.2%
Q4 - 1:52TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels offensive rebound105
7.3%
111
92.7%
Q4 - 1:54TimberwolvesOrlando Robinson blocks Naz Reid's two point layup105
5.1%
111
94.9%
Q4 - 2:10TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound105
7.6%
111
92.4%
Q4 - 2:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot105
6.2%
111
93.8%
Q4 - 2:24HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound105
4.0%
111
96.0%
Q4 - 2:30HeatNaz Reid blocks Caleb Martin's two point running dunk105
6.2%
111
93.8%
Q4 - 2:35TimberwolvesNaz Reid turnover (bad pass) (Orlando Robinson steals)105
3.9%
111
96.1%
Q4 - 2:45HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup105
7.6%
111
92.4%
Q4 - 2:50HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound105
9.6%
109
90.4%
Q4 - 2:50HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup105
14.7%
109
85.3%
Q4 - 3:09TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)105
12.0%
109
88.0%
Q4 - 3:09HeatHeat defensive rebound105
12.0%
109
88.0%
Q4 - 3:09TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point driving floating jump shot105
14.0%
109
86.0%
Q4 - 3:14TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound105
19.5%
109
80.5%
Q4 - 3:14HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup105
16.8%
109
83.2%
Q4 - 3:14HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound105
12.0%
109
88.0%
Q4 - 3:19HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot105
16.8%
109
83.2%
Q4 - 3:29HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound105
11.8%
109
88.2%
Q4 - 3:30HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup105
16.7%
109
83.3%
Q4 - 3:43TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
16.7%
109
83.3%
Q4 - 3:43TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
15.7%
109
84.3%
Q4 - 3:43HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Jaden McDaniels draws the foul)103
14.6%
109
85.4%
Q4 - 3:50HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Edwards steals)103
12.4%
109
87.6%
Q4 - 4:10TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point driving layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)103
8.6%
109
91.4%
Q4 - 4:17TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound101
6.3%
109
93.7%
Q4 - 4:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot101
5.6%
109
94.4%
Q4 - 4:42HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound101
4.3%
109
95.7%
Q4 - 4:45TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point jump shot101
4.8%
109
95.2%
Q4 - 4:54TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound101
6.1%
109
93.9%
Q4 - 4:57HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot101
5.5%
109
94.5%
Q4 - 5:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound101
6.2%
109
93.8%
Q4 - 5:06TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses two point layup101
6.8%
109
93.2%
Q4 - 5:22HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)101
8.4%
109
91.6%
Q4 - 5:31HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound101
10.9%
107
89.1%
Q4 - 5:33TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell misses two point jump shot101
12.0%
107
88.0%
Q4 - 5:54HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot101
14.6%
107
85.4%
Q4 - 5:59HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound101
18.8%
105
81.2%
Q4 - 6:01TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell misses two point layup101
23.0%
105
77.0%
Q4 - 6:06TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell offensive rebound101
27.6%
105
72.4%
Q4 - 6:06TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot101
23.0%
105
77.0%
Q4 - 6:20HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)101
27.5%
105
72.5%
Q4 - 6:41TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point alley-oop dunk (Anthony Edwards assists)101
32.3%
103
67.7%
Q4 - 6:50HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (traveling)99
27.3%
103
72.7%
Q4 - 7:01TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (traveling)99
23.4%
103
76.6%
Q4 - 7:07TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound99
29.5%
103
70.5%
Q4 - 7:10HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot99
27.5%
103
72.5%
Q4 - 7:27TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)99
23.2%
103
76.8%
Q4 - 7:28TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell offensive rebound96
15.8%
103
84.2%
Q4 - 7:33TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point jump shot96
13.0%
103
87.0%
Q4 - 7:50HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 196
15.7%
103
84.3%
Q4 - 7:50TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)96
16.7%
102
83.3%
Q4 - 7:57TimberwolvesAustin Rivers personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)96
23.1%
100
76.9%
Q4 - 8:08TimberwolvesAustin Rivers makes regular free throw 1 of 196
24.8%
100
75.2%
Q4 - 8:08HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Austin Rivers draws the foul)95
23.9%
100
76.1%
Q4 - 8:22HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running layup (Victor Oladipo assists)93
16.9%
100
83.1%
Q4 - 8:25TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)93
20.4%
98
79.6%
Q4 - 8:36HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)93
25.0%
98
75.0%
Q4 - 8:56TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell makes two point pullup jump shot93
35.1%
95
64.9%
Q4 - 9:02TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound91
31.4%
95
68.6%
Q4 - 9:06HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot91
29.7%
95
70.3%
Q4 - 9:27TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell makes three point stepback jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)91
26.0%
95
74.0%
Q4 - 9:51HeatGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway jump shot88
18.4%
95
81.6%
Q4 - 10:09TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point alley-oop layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)88
23.2%
93
76.8%
Q4 - 10:15TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound86
19.9%
93
80.1%
Q4 - 10:19HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot86
18.7%
93
81.3%
Q4 - 10:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound86
16.2%
93
83.8%
Q4 - 10:31TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point jump shot86
17.3%
93
82.7%
Q4 - 10:39TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound86
19.8%
93
80.2%
Q4 - 10:43HeatGabe Vincent misses two point fadeaway jump shot86
18.7%
93
81.3%
Q4 - 11:08TimberwolvesNaz Reid turnover (out of bounds step)86
17.6%
93
82.4%
Q4 - 11:08TimberwolvesNaz Reid offensive rebound86
20.9%
93
79.1%
Q4 - 11:09TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses two point floating jump shot86
18.5%
93
81.5%
Q4 - 11:17HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)86
20.8%
93
79.2%
Q4 - 11:22TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound86
20.8%
93
79.2%
Q4 - 11:25HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point bank hook shot86
19.8%
93
80.2%
Q4 - 11:45TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)86
17.5%
93
82.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
20.8%
93
79.2%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 286
22.3%
93
77.7%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 1 of 286
23.8%
92
76.2%
Q3 - 0:00.7TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)86
22.0%
92
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatHeat offensive rebound86
22.4%
92
77.6%
Q3 - 0:02.6HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot86
24.8%
92
75.2%
Q3 - 0:25.2TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point floating jump shot (Jaylen Nowell assists)86
22.3%
92
77.7%
Q3 - 0:34.7HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot84
18.9%
92
81.1%
Q3 - 0:50.7TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (traveling)84
25.8%
89
74.2%
Q3 - 1:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)84
31.0%
89
69.0%
Q3 - 1:11HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound84
39.2%
86
60.8%
Q3 - 1:14TimberwolvesMatt Ryan misses three point jump shot84
40.7%
86
59.3%
Q3 - 1:40HeatKyle Lowry makes two point floating jump shot84
44.0%
86
56.0%
Q3 - 1:51TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Nowell assists)84
48.4%
84
51.6%
Q3 - 2:05HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)81
40.0%
84
60.0%
Q3 - 2:17TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point dunk (Jaylen Nowell assists)81
35.5%
84
64.5%
Q3 - 2:30TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound79
31.8%
84
68.2%
Q3 - 2:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot79
30.6%
84
69.4%
Q3 - 2:48HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound79
27.8%
84
72.2%
Q3 - 2:52TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell misses regular free throw 1 of 179
28.3%
84
71.7%
Q3 - 2:52HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jaylen Nowell draws the foul)79
30.9%
84
69.1%
Q3 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot77
25.9%
84
74.1%
Q3 - 3:22TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot77
28.6%
82
71.4%
Q3 - 3:29TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound74
22.7%
82
77.3%
Q3 - 3:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot74
21.6%
82
78.4%
Q3 - 3:54TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point layup74
19.4%
82
80.6%
Q3 - 3:55TimberwolvesNaz Reid offensive rebound72
17.2%
82
82.8%
Q3 - 3:55TimberwolvesNikola Jovic blocks Naz Reid's two point layup72
15.4%
82
84.6%
Q3 - 4:09HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup (Caleb Martin assists)72
18.3%
82
81.7%
Q3 - 4:15TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)72
20.4%
80
79.6%
Q3 - 4:27TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound72
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q3 - 4:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot72
22.7%
80
77.3%
Q3 - 4:37HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound72
20.4%
80
79.6%
Q3 - 4:37HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot72
22.6%
80
77.4%
Q3 - 4:49TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point driving reverse layup72
20.4%
80
79.6%
Q3 - 5:11HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
19.2%
80
80.8%
Q3 - 5:35TimberwolvesMatt Ryan makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)70
24.2%
77
75.8%
Q3 - 5:40TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound67
19.1%
77
80.9%
Q3 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot67
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 5:51TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point driving layup67
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q3 - 5:58TimberwolvesMatt Ryan defensive rebound65
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q3 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot65
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 6:12TimberwolvesNaz Reid turnover (traveling)65
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q3 - 6:21HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 165
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q3 - 6:21TimberwolvesMatt Ryan shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)65
16.0%
76
84.0%
Q3 - 6:26TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Anthony Edwards assists)65
19.8%
74
80.2%
Q3 - 6:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot63
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 6:57TimberwolvesRudy Gobert turnover (traveling)63
19.8%
72
80.2%
Q3 - 7:03TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels defensive rebound63
23.5%
72
76.5%
Q3 - 7:07HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot63
22.5%
72
77.5%
Q3 - 7:19TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (offensive foul)63
20.6%
72
79.4%
Q3 - 7:19TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards offensive foul (Charge) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)63
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 7:45HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 7:51HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound63
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q3 - 7:54HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot63
31.0%
69
69.0%
Q3 - 8:23TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)63
29.1%
69
70.9%
Q3 - 8:30TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards offensive rebound60
24.1%
69
75.9%
Q3 - 8:32TimberwolvesAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot60
22.0%
69
78.0%
Q3 - 8:48HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)60
24.1%
69
75.9%
Q3 - 8:51TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point layup (Anthony Edwards assists)60
26.2%
67
73.8%
Q3 - 9:03TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound58
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q3 - 9:03HeatNikola Jovic misses two point jump shot58
23.8%
67
76.2%
Q3 - 9:25TimberwolvesRudy Gobert turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 9:42HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)58
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 9:56TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point bank jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)58
29.8%
64
70.2%
Q3 - 10:03HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jaden McDaniels draws the foul)56
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 10:14HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)56
27.9%
64
72.1%
Q3 - 10:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound56
33.2%
61
66.8%
Q3 - 10:32TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot56
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q3 - 10:43TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound56
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q3 - 10:44HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot56
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 10:51HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound56
33.2%
61
66.8%
Q3 - 10:57TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot56
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q3 - 11:19HeatKyle Lowry makes two point floating jump shot56
36.9%
61
63.1%
Q3 - 11:31TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (traveling)56
39.8%
59
60.2%
Q3 - 11:32TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound56
43.2%
59
56.8%
Q3 - 11:36HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup bank jump shot56
42.1%
59
57.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
39.8%
59
60.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)56
43.2%
59
56.8%
Q2 - 0:13.5HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound56
50.3%
56
49.7%
Q2 - 0:17.1TimberwolvesAustin Rivers misses two point driving layup56
51.1%
56
48.9%
Q2 - 0:27.7HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot56
52.9%
56
47.1%
Q2 - 0:51.3TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point tip layup56
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q2 - 0:52.3TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels offensive rebound54
52.9%
54
47.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses two point running layup54
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q2 - 0:56.1HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jaden McDaniels steals)54
52.9%
54
47.1%
Q2 - 1:13TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point driving hook shot54
50.8%
54
49.2%
Q2 - 1:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup52
46.8%
54
53.2%
Q2 - 1:37HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound52
50.8%
52
49.2%
Q2 - 1:39TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point stepback jump shot52
51.5%
52
48.5%
Q2 - 1:46TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound52
53.0%
52
47.0%
Q2 - 1:51HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot52
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q2 - 2:11TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 152
50.2%
52
49.8%
Q2 - 2:11HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)51
49.5%
52
50.5%
Q2 - 2:21HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)49
44.5%
52
55.5%
Q2 - 2:43TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point driving layup49
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q2 - 2:52TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound47
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 2:55HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot47
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q2 - 3:07HeatHeat offensive rebound47
44.4%
49
55.6%
Q2 - 3:09HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot47
46.7%
49
53.3%
Q2 - 3:11HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound47
44.4%
49
55.6%
Q2 - 3:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot47
46.7%
49
53.3%
Q2 - 3:28TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)47
44.4%
49
55.6%
Q2 - 3:41TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)47
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q2 - 3:57HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
39.2%
49
60.8%
Q2 - 4:08TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 244
45.0%
46
55.0%
Q2 - 4:08TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 243
44.3%
46
55.7%
Q2 - 4:08HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)42
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 4:20HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)42
42.2%
46
57.8%
Q2 - 4:29HeatHeat defensive rebound42
45.0%
44
55.0%
Q2 - 4:30TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses regular free throw 2 of 242
45.3%
44
54.7%
Q2 - 4:30TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 242
47.1%
44
52.9%
Q2 - 4:30HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)41
46.3%
44
53.7%
Q2 - 4:41HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)41
45.0%
44
55.0%
Q2 - 4:43HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Edwards steals)41
45.0%
44
55.0%
Q2 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
42.2%
44
57.8%
Q2 - 4:49TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point jump shot41
43.0%
44
57.0%
Q2 - 5:03HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup41
45.5%
44
54.5%
Q2 - 5:04HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound41
47.6%
42
52.4%
Q2 - 5:05HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot41
50.0%
42
50.0%
Q2 - 5:23HeatHeat defensive rebound41
47.7%
42
52.3%
Q2 - 5:25TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot41
48.7%
42
51.3%
Q2 - 5:43TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound41
51.0%
42
49.0%
Q2 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot41
50.0%
42
50.0%
Q2 - 6:05TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (out of bounds bad pass)41
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 6:15HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)41
51.2%
42
48.8%
Q2 - 6:35TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)41
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 6:49HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving bank jump shot38
43.1%
42
56.9%
Q2 - 7:06TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)38
45.5%
40
54.5%
Q2 - 7:27HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point tip layup35
40.6%
40
59.4%
Q2 - 7:27HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound35
42.9%
38
57.1%
Q2 - 7:28HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot35
44.9%
38
55.1%
Q2 - 7:46TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point turnaround hook shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)35
42.9%
38
57.1%
Q2 - 7:57HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)33
40.6%
38
59.4%
Q2 - 8:23TimberwolvesAustin Rivers makes two point driving layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)33
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 8:31TimberwolvesAustin Rivers defensive rebound31
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 8:37HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot31
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 8:43TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)31
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 8:55TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound31
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 8:58HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot31
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 9:06HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound31
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 9:10HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot31
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 9:22HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound31
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 9:25TimberwolvesMatt Ryan misses three point jump shot31
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 9:34HeatOrlando Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)31
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 9:34TimberwolvesTimberwolves offensive rebound31
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 9:34TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell misses two point jump shot31
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 9:39TimberwolvesMatt Ryan defensive rebound31
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 9:46HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot31
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 10:01TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
33.8%
38
66.2%
Q2 - 10:03TimberwolvesBryn Forbes defensive rebound31
36.2%
38
63.8%
Q2 - 10:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot31
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 10:11TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)31
33.8%
38
66.2%
Q2 - 10:17TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound31
36.1%
38
63.9%
Q2 - 10:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot31
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 10:26HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound31
33.8%
38
66.2%
Q2 - 10:30TimberwolvesRudy Gobert misses two point turnaround bank hook shot31
34.5%
38
65.5%
Q2 - 10:44HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup31
36.1%
38
63.9%
Q2 - 10:45HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound31
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 10:48HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup31
40.1%
36
59.9%
Q2 - 10:57HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound31
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 11:00TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell misses two point driving floating jump shot31
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 11:14HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (offensive foul)31
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 11:14HeatOrlando Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)31
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 11:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
38.9%
36
61.1%
Q2 - 11:28TimberwolvesHaywood Highsmith blocks Bryn Forbes's three point jump shot31
39.6%
36
60.4%
Q2 - 11:32HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jaylen Nowell draws the foul)31
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 11:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)31
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
46.0%
33
54.0%
Q1 - 0:12.4HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
48.1%
33
51.9%
Q1 - 0:30.6TimberwolvesMatt Ryan makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Nowell assists)31
46.0%
33
54.0%
Q1 - 0:35.1TimberwolvesMatt Ryan defensive rebound28
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q1 - 0:35.1HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot28
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q1 - 0:56.4TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point driving layup (Jaylen Nowell assists)28
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q1 - 1:07HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point reverse layup (Orlando Robinson assists)26
37.0%
33
63.0%
Q1 - 1:08HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound26
39.4%
31
60.6%
Q1 - 1:09HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point tip dunk26
40.8%
31
59.2%
Q1 - 1:11HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound26
39.4%
31
60.6%
Q1 - 1:11HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point layup26
40.8%
31
59.2%
Q1 - 1:21TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point driving finger roll layup (Matt Ryan assists)26
39.4%
31
60.6%
Q1 - 1:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)24
37.0%
31
63.0%
Q1 - 1:43HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound24
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q1 - 1:47TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell misses three point jump shot24
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q1 - 2:01HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 124
44.2%
28
55.8%
Q1 - 2:01TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)24
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q1 - 2:05HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound24
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q1 - 2:08TimberwolvesBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot24
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q1 - 2:27HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 224
50.8%
25
49.2%
Q1 - 2:27HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q1 - 2:27TimberwolvesBryn Forbes shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)24
51.8%
23
48.2%
Q1 - 2:32TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 224
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q1 - 2:32TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 223
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q1 - 2:32HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)22
52.1%
23
47.9%
Q1 - 2:39HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)22
50.8%
23
49.2%
Q1 - 2:50TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels turnover (out of bounds bad pass)22
53.0%
21
47.0%
Q1 - 3:04HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup22
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q1 - 3:18TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Naz Reid assists)22
57.0%
19
43.0%
Q1 - 3:26TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound19
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot19
52.3%
19
47.7%
Q1 - 3:43TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)19
50.4%
19
49.6%
Q1 - 3:59HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)19
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 4:10TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels makes two point hook shot (Naz Reid assists)19
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 4:21HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)17
53.0%
17
47.0%
Q1 - 4:30TimberwolvesNaz Reid personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)17
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 4:35HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound17
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 4:39TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell misses two point pullup jump shot17
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 4:50TimberwolvesJaylen Nowell defensive rebound17
57.2%
15
42.8%
Q1 - 4:55HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot17
56.5%
15
43.5%
Q1 - 5:00HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound17
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 5:02TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point jump shot17
55.5%
15
44.5%
Q1 - 5:11HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Austin Rivers steals)17
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 5:37TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Nowell assists)17
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 5:43TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound14
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 5:46HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 114
50.7%
15
49.3%
Q1 - 5:46TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)14
49.4%
15
50.6%
Q1 - 5:52TimberwolvesAustin Rivers makes two point driving layup14
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 5:57TimberwolvesAustin Rivers defensive rebound12
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 6:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot12
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 6:18HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound12
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 6:22TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot12
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 6:31HeatTyler Herro personal foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)12
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 6:43HeatNikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)12
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 6:55TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)12
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 7:01TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point floating jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)12
53.0%
11
47.0%
Q1 - 7:24HeatKyle Lowry makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)10
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 7:27TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)10
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 7:31TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound10
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 7:32HeatJaden McDaniels blocks Kyle Lowry's two point floating jump shot10
54.5%
9
45.5%
Q1 - 7:38HeatMax Strus defensive rebound10
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 7:41TimberwolvesRudy Gobert misses two point finger roll layup10
53.7%
9
46.3%
Q1 - 8:02HeatKyle Lowry makes two point jump shot10
55.3%
9
44.7%
Q1 - 8:11TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaden McDaniels assists)10
57.0%
7
43.0%
Q1 - 8:17TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound8
55.3%
7
44.7%
Q1 - 8:22HeatCaleb Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot8
54.7%
7
45.3%
Q1 - 8:36TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (bad pass)8
53.2%
7
46.8%
Q1 - 8:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot8
55.3%
7
44.7%
Q1 - 9:02HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound8
56.8%
5
43.2%
Q1 - 9:07TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell misses three point stepback jump shot8
57.4%
5
42.6%
Q1 - 9:20HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)8
58.8%
5
41.2%
Q1 - 9:20TimberwolvesTimberwolves offensive rebound8
58.8%
5
41.2%
Q1 - 9:20TimberwolvesAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot8
57.5%
5
42.5%
Q1 - 9:27TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound8
58.8%
5
41.2%
Q1 - 9:31HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot8
58.2%
5
41.8%
Q1 - 9:38TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)8
56.9%
5
43.1%
Q1 - 9:45TimberwolvesAustin Rivers defensive rebound5
53.3%
5
46.7%
Q1 - 9:49HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot5
52.7%
5
47.3%
Q1 - 10:06TimberwolvesAustin Rivers turnover (discontinue dribble)5
51.1%
5
48.9%
Q1 - 10:09TimberwolvesAustin Rivers defensive rebound5
53.1%
5
46.9%
Q1 - 10:12HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot5
52.5%
5
47.5%
Q1 - 10:27TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell makes three point stepback jump shot5
51.1%
5
48.9%
Q1 - 10:37HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)2
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 10:47HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
49.3%
3
50.7%
Q1 - 10:50TimberwolvesRudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 22
49.5%
3
50.5%
Q1 - 10:50TimberwolvesRudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 22
50.6%
3
49.4%
Q1 - 10:50HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)2
51.8%
3
48.2%
Q1 - 10:50TimberwolvesRudy Gobert offensive rebound2
51.3%
3
48.7%
Q1 - 10:53TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point jump shot2
49.9%
3
50.1%
Q1 - 11:04TimberwolvesAustin Rivers defensive rebound2
51.3%
3
48.7%
Q1 - 11:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot2
50.7%
3
49.3%
Q1 - 11:11HeatMax Strus defensive rebound2
49.2%
3
50.8%
Q1 - 11:16TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
49.9%
3
50.1%
Q1 - 11:29HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
51.3%
3
48.7%
Q1 - 11:35TimberwolvesD'Angelo Russell personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)2
54.6%
0
45.4%
Q1 - 11:45TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point pullup jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)2
54.6%
0
45.4%
Q1 - 12:00Rudy Gobert vs. Nikola Jovic (D'Angelo Russell gains possession)0
53.1%
0
46.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.26 63.2%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
14
20
70%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
MIN
14
25
56%
MIA
18
30
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
15
22.5
34
44%
66%
MIA
13
19.5
49
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIN
9
14
64%
MIA
6
8
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Edwards2985%14.5 / 17
N. Reid2162%10.5 / 17
J. McDaniels1680%8.0 / 10
D. Russell1359%6.5 / 11
A. Rivers1063%5.0 / 8
R. Gobert1063%5.0 / 8
M. Ryan675%3.0 / 4
J. Nowell536%2.5 / 7
B. Forbes0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Strus1979%9.5 / 12
K. Lowry1856%9.0 / 16
O. Robinson1583%7.5 / 9
T. Herro1437%7.0 / 19
G. Vincent1150%5.5 / 11
N. Jović956%4.5 / 8
D. Robinson990%4.5 / 5
C. Martin833%4.0 / 12
V. Oladipo750%3.5 / 7
H. Highsmith330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
76
+10
-22
86
MIA
89
+17
-9
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.26 63.2%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.7
112.9
MIN 112.2
MIA 115.3 +3.1
Pace
101.0
96.3
MIN 108.2 +18.7
MIA 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.0
MIN 13.3 +2.8
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.0%
53.0%
MIN 63.9% +11.4%
MIA 52.5%
TO %
14.5%
13.2%
MIN 20.5%
MIA 8.7% +11.8%
ORB %
21.5%
22.8%
MIN 22.9%
MIA 26.5% +3.6%
FTrt
27.0
27.0
MIN 17.7 +9.9
MIA 7.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
60.8%
MIN 72.1% +14.7%
MIA 57.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
MIN 4.1%
MIA 9.2% +5.1%
BLK %
9.8%
6.3%
MIN 5.7%
MIA 6.7% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.0%
55.9%
MIN 63.2% +9.9%
MIA 53.3%
Rim FG%
64.9%
62.6%
MIN 70.0% +0.4%
MIA 69.6%
Mid FG%
43.2%
45.3%
MIN 56.0%
MIA 60.0% +4.0%
3P %
36.5%
34.4%
MIN 44.1% +17.6%
MIA 26.5%
FT %
75.5%
83.1%
MIN 64.3%
MIA 75.0% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
29.9%
MIN 25.3% +2.8%
MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %
23.2%
29.4%
MIN 31.6%
MIA 29.4% +2.2%
3P Att. %
38.1%
40.8%
MIN 43.0%
MIA 48.0% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points110113
Rebounds4440
Assists3127
Steals49
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)9 (1)
Fouls1417
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)27 (3)
Field Goals43-7947-102
At-the-Rim FG14-2016-23
Midrange FG14-2518-30
2-Point FG28-4534-53
3-Point FG15-3413-49
Free Throws9-146-8
Fast Break Pts49
2nd Chance Pts1316
Points in Paint5264
Pts off Turnovers1215
Bench Points3245
Biggest Lead312

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
17 Minnesota Timberwolves
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Anthony Edwards
#1 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 21
39.9
29
85%
6
7
2
1
8
3
1
5
2-3
67%
6-8
75%
5-8
63%
D'Angelo Russell
#0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27
36.2
13
59%
3
8
0
0
6
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-8
38%
Austin Rivers
#25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30
32.2
10
63%
5
4
1
0
1
1
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gobert
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30
31.2
10
63%
8
0
0
0
2
0
1
7
0-2
0%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Jaden McDaniels
#3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 22
29.8
16
80%
4
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
Naz Reid
#11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23
29.3
21
62%
11
2
0
1
3
1
2
9
4-5
80%
7-11
64%
1-4
25%
Jaylen Nowell
#4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23
20.4
5
36%
3
6
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
Matt Ryan
#37 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26
13.9
6
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Bryn Forbes
#10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Nathan Knight
#13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr.
#7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza
#55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott
#8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
Karl-Anthony Towns
#32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
Kyle Anderson
#5 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
Jordan McLaughlin
#6 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Calf; Strain
Taurean Prince
#12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Subluxation
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
63%
44
31
4
3
22
14
8
36
9-14
64%
28-45
62%
15-34
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.