FinalWin Prob.pScore
634%107
118
166%113
139
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
114.6103105.7
BOS logo BOS
135.0103100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.118
0%
139
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)118
0%
139
100%
Q4 - 0:30.1CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound118
0%
139
100%
Q4 - 0:32.8BucksJevon Carter misses two point fadeaway jump shot118
0%
139
100%
Q4 - 0:43.2CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting dunk (Sam Hauser assists)118
0.1%
139
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00BucksMarJon Beauchamp makes three point running jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)118
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (lost ball) (Jevon Carter steals)115
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound115
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19BucksSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot115
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)115
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40BucksJevon Carter makes three point pullup jump shot115
0.1%
134
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup112
0.1%
134
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00BucksMarJon Beauchamp makes two point driving layup (Wesley Matthews assists)112
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)110
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound110
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38BucksJevon Carter misses two point pullup jump shot110
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup110
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09BucksJevon Carter makes two point fadeaway jump shot110
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20BucksBucks offensive rebound108
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20BucksSandro Mamukelashvili misses two point driving floating jump shot108
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24BucksJevon Carter offensive rebound108
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point pullup jump shot108
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41CelticsJaylen Brown makes technical free throw 1 of 1108
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo technical foul108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41BucksBucks offensive rebound108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running finger roll layup108
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Grant Williams steals)108
0.2%
124
99.8%
Q4 - 4:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot108
0.3%
124
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes three point pullup jump shot108
0.3%
122
99.7%
Q4 - 4:49CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Jaylen Brown assists)105
0.2%
122
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup105
0.5%
120
99.5%
Q4 - 5:22CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup103
0.3%
120
99.7%
Q4 - 5:35CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound103
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 5:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running jump shot103
0.6%
118
99.4%
Q4 - 5:43CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound103
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 5:43BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot103
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 5:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot103
0.6%
118
99.4%
Q4 - 6:10BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)103
1.2%
116
98.8%
Q4 - 6:23CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)101
1.0%
116
99.0%
Q4 - 6:45BucksBrook Lopez makes two point driving floating jump shot101
1.6%
113
98.4%
Q4 - 6:53BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound99
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 6:56CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup99
1.2%
113
98.8%
Q4 - 7:09BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 299
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 7:09BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 298
1.2%
113
98.8%
Q4 - 7:09CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)98
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 7:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)98
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 7:49BucksJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)98
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 7:55BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound95
1.3%
110
98.7%
Q4 - 7:58CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point stepback jump shot95
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 8:11BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 295
1.3%
110
98.7%
Q4 - 8:11BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 294
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 8:11CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)93
1.1%
110
98.9%
Q4 - 8:13BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound93
1.0%
110
99.0%
Q4 - 8:17CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot93
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 8:37BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 293
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 8:37BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 292
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 8:37CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)91
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 8:46BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound91
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 8:49CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot91
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 9:01CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound91
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 9:05BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving finger roll layup91
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 9:23CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)91
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 9:33CelticsCeltics defensive rebound91
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 9:35BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot91
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 9:44CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating jump shot91
1.6%
107
98.4%
Q4 - 9:53CelticsCeltics defensive rebound91
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 9:54BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving layup91
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 10:13CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop layup (Jaylen Brown assists)91
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 10:23BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)91
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 10:39CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)91
4.5%
103
95.5%
Q4 - 10:57BucksJoe Ingles makes three point running jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)91
6.7%
100
93.3%
Q4 - 11:01CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)88
5.1%
100
94.9%
Q4 - 11:03CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound88
4.2%
100
95.8%
Q4 - 11:07BucksBobby Portis misses two point bank hook shot88
4.4%
100
95.6%
Q4 - 11:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (traveling)88
5.1%
100
94.9%
Q4 - 11:40BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup88
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 11:49CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)86
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BucksBucks offensive rebound86
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup86
2.9%
100
97.1%
Q3 - 0:13.7CelticsGrant Williams makes three point stepback jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)86
3.9%
100
96.1%
Q3 - 0:35.2BucksGrayson Allen makes two point driving dunk (Bobby Portis assists)86
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound84
4.6%
97
95.4%
Q3 - 0:52.4CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot84
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q3 - 0:56.9CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound84
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q3 - 0:59.3BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup84
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q3 - 1:13CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 284
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q3 - 1:13CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 284
5.4%
96
94.6%
Q3 - 1:13BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)84
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q3 - 1:13BucksBobby Portis turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)84
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q3 - 1:13BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound84
7.5%
95
92.5%
Q3 - 1:17CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot84
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q3 - 1:24CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound84
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q3 - 1:27BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point pullup jump shot84
6.5%
95
93.5%
Q3 - 1:38CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup84
7.4%
95
92.6%
Q3 - 1:39CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound84
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q3 - 1:41CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot84
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q3 - 2:00BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Wesley Matthews assists)84
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q3 - 2:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 281
6.9%
93
93.1%
Q3 - 2:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 281
7.0%
92
93.0%
Q3 - 2:15BucksJevon Carter shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)81
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q3 - 2:30CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound81
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q3 - 2:34BucksWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot81
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q3 - 2:49CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup (Marcus Smart assists)81
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q3 - 2:56CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound81
11.0%
89
89.0%
Q3 - 2:56BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 281
11.2%
89
88.8%
Q3 - 2:56BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 281
12.3%
89
87.7%
Q3 - 2:56CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)80
11.7%
89
88.3%
Q3 - 3:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 280
11.9%
89
88.1%
Q3 - 3:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 280
12.1%
88
87.9%
Q3 - 3:04BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)80
12.4%
87
87.6%
Q3 - 3:06CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound80
13.4%
87
86.6%
Q3 - 3:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot80
15.1%
87
84.9%
Q3 - 3:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 280
13.4%
87
86.6%
Q3 - 3:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 279
12.9%
87
87.1%
Q3 - 3:26CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)78
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q3 - 3:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)78
11.8%
87
88.2%
Q3 - 3:56BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)78
13.4%
85
86.6%
Q3 - 4:01BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound76
12.3%
85
87.7%
Q3 - 4:04CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot76
11.7%
85
88.3%
Q3 - 4:20BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)76
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q3 - 4:20BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball)76
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q3 - 4:36CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)76
12.3%
85
87.7%
Q3 - 4:52BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)76
15.9%
82
84.1%
Q3 - 5:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)73
12.8%
82
87.2%
Q3 - 5:23BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)73
14.5%
80
85.5%
Q3 - 5:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot71
12.7%
80
87.3%
Q3 - 6:00BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)71
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q3 - 6:13CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup (Derrick White assists)68
13.1%
77
86.9%
Q3 - 6:17CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound68
14.8%
75
85.2%
Q3 - 6:22BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot68
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 6:25BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound68
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 6:29BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot68
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 6:40CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 268
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 6:40CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 268
17.3%
74
82.7%
Q3 - 6:40BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)68
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 6:50CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound68
16.8%
74
83.2%
Q3 - 6:53BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot68
17.5%
74
82.5%
Q3 - 7:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating bank jump shot68
19.5%
74
80.5%
Q3 - 7:32BucksJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot68
21.6%
72
78.4%
Q3 - 7:45CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot65
17.3%
72
82.7%
Q3 - 8:04CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound65
19.3%
70
80.7%
Q3 - 8:07BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot65
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 8:16CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)65
22.1%
70
77.9%
Q3 - 8:38BucksBrook Lopez makes two point putback layup65
19.3%
70
80.7%
Q3 - 8:39BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound63
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 8:42BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving reverse layup63
15.9%
70
84.1%
Q3 - 8:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot63
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 9:06CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound63
21.8%
67
78.2%
Q3 - 9:10BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot63
22.6%
67
77.4%
Q3 - 9:13BucksBucks offensive rebound63
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 9:13BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving floating jump shot63
22.6%
67
77.4%
Q3 - 9:19BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound63
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 9:23CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot63
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q3 - 9:34BucksPat Connaughton makes regular free throw 2 of 263
21.8%
67
78.2%
Q3 - 9:34BucksPat Connaughton misses regular free throw 1 of 262
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 9:34CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Pat Connaughton draws the foul)62
23.4%
67
76.6%
Q3 - 9:49CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)62
22.1%
67
77.9%
Q3 - 10:06BucksBrook Lopez turnover (traveling)62
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 10:21BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound62
30.0%
64
70.0%
Q3 - 10:24CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot62
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 10:29CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound62
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 10:31BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot62
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 10:41CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Grayson Allen steals)62
30.0%
64
70.0%
Q3 - 10:46CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound62
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 10:49BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving hook shot62
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 11:03BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound62
29.5%
64
70.5%
Q3 - 11:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot62
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 11:23CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound62
26.7%
64
73.3%
Q3 - 11:26BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot62
27.6%
64
72.4%
Q3 - 11:30BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound62
29.5%
64
70.5%
Q3 - 11:30BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 262
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q3 - 11:30BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 262
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 11:30CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)61
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 11:39CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)61
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 11:50CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 261
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 11:50CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 261
27.3%
63
72.7%
Q3 - 11:50BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)61
27.9%
62
72.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
29.4%
62
70.6%
Q2 - 0:00.6BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound61
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q2 - 0:00.6CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 3 of 361
31.5%
62
68.5%
Q2 - 0:00.6CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 361
29.7%
62
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.6CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 361
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q2 - 0:00.6BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)61
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q2 - 0:02.8BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot61
29.6%
62
70.4%
Q2 - 0:12.5CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot59
26.6%
62
73.4%
Q2 - 0:32.3BucksJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot59
29.6%
60
70.4%
Q2 - 0:37.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 256
24.1%
60
75.9%
Q2 - 0:37.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 256
24.5%
59
75.5%
Q2 - 0:37.7BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)56
24.8%
58
75.2%
Q2 - 0:42.6CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound56
27.0%
58
73.0%
Q2 - 0:45.6BucksJoe Ingles misses three point running jump shot56
27.6%
58
72.4%
Q2 - 0:50.4CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)56
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q2 - 1:13BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot56
27.3%
58
72.7%
Q2 - 1:25CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)54
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q2 - 1:34BucksJoe Ingles makes regular free throw 3 of 354
27.3%
56
72.7%
Q2 - 1:34BucksJoe Ingles makes regular free throw 2 of 353
26.8%
56
73.2%
Q2 - 1:34BucksJoe Ingles makes regular free throw 1 of 352
26.3%
56
73.7%
Q2 - 1:34CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)51
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q2 - 1:37BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound51
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q2 - 1:40CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot51
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q2 - 1:49BucksBrook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)51
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q2 - 1:49BucksBrook Lopez offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)51
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q2 - 2:07CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)51
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q2 - 2:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 151
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q2 - 2:13BucksJoe Ingles personal foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)51
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q2 - 2:13BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)51
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q2 - 2:18BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound51
24.7%
55
75.3%
Q2 - 2:21CelticsBrook Lopez blocks Robert Williams III's two point cutting dunk51
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q2 - 2:35BucksJrue Holiday makes two point running layup51
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q2 - 2:39CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)49
20.5%
55
79.5%
Q2 - 2:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound49
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q2 - 2:54BucksBrook Lopez misses regular free throw 2 of 249
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q2 - 2:54BucksBrook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 249
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q2 - 2:54CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)48
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q2 - 2:54BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound48
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q2 - 2:55BucksRobert Williams III blocks Joe Ingles's two point driving finger roll layup48
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 3:01CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Pat Connaughton draws the foul)48
19.0%
55
81.0%
Q2 - 3:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Marcus Smart assists)48
19.0%
55
81.0%
Q2 - 3:30BucksBrook Lopez makes two point tip layup48
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q2 - 3:30BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound46
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q2 - 3:34BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point running layup46
17.6%
53
82.4%
Q2 - 3:40BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound46
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q2 - 3:44CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot46
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q2 - 3:51BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)46
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q2 - 4:14CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup46
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q2 - 4:34CelticsCeltics defensive rebound46
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q2 - 4:36BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point running pullup jump shot46
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q2 - 4:40BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound46
22.7%
51
77.3%
Q2 - 4:43CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot46
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q2 - 4:54BucksBrook Lopez makes two point layup (Jrue Holiday assists)46
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q2 - 5:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)44
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q2 - 5:14CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound44
20.6%
49
79.4%
Q2 - 5:17BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot44
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 5:35CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 244
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 5:35CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 244
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q2 - 5:35BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)44
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 5:49BucksGrayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 244
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 5:49BucksGrayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 243
24.2%
47
75.8%
Q2 - 5:49CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)42
24.0%
47
76.0%
Q2 - 6:03BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound42
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 6:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot42
22.3%
47
77.7%
Q2 - 6:32BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point pullup jump shot42
20.7%
47
79.3%
Q2 - 6:43BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound40
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q2 - 6:44CelticsBlake Griffin misses two point cutting layup40
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 7:05BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)40
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 7:12BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound37
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 7:16CelticsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot37
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 7:28BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)37
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q2 - 7:29BucksGrayson Allen turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)37
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q2 - 7:40CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Brook Lopez steals)37
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 7:52BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 237
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q2 - 7:52BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 236
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q2 - 7:52CelticsBlake Griffin shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)36
14.1%
47
85.9%
Q2 - 8:05CelticsBlake Griffin makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)36
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q2 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 136
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 8:13BucksBobby Portis technical foul36
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound36
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 8:14BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot36
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q2 - 8:27CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)36
17.9%
44
82.1%
Q2 - 8:40BucksJoe Ingles makes two point driving finger roll layup36
19.4%
42
80.6%
Q2 - 8:53CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 234
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 8:53CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 234
18.1%
41
81.9%
Q2 - 8:53BucksJoe Ingles shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)34
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 8:55BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Blake Griffin steals)34
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 8:59CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)34
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 9:12CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Wesley Matthews steals)34
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 9:19CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound34
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 9:23BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot34
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q2 - 9:27BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound34
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 9:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup34
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 9:52BucksJevon Carter makes two point pullup jump shot34
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 10:11CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 232
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 10:11CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 232
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 10:11BucksWesley Matthews shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)32
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 10:26BucksJoe Ingles turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 10:29BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound32
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 10:32CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot32
20.9%
38
79.1%
Q2 - 10:48BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point stepback jump shot (Wesley Matthews assists)32
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 11:01BucksBucks defensive rebound30
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 11:02CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 130
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 11:02BucksWesley Matthews shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)30
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 11:21BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving dunk30
19.9%
36
80.1%
Q2 - 11:31BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound28
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 11:33CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point alley-oop layup28
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CelticsSam Hauser makes three point pullup bank jump shot (Grant Williams assists)28
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q1 - 0:01.9BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)28
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q1 - 0:01.9BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)28
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q1 - 0:05.6BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound28
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q1 - 0:08.3CelticsGrant Williams misses two point pullup bank jump shot28
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q1 - 0:28.5BucksJevon Carter turnover (double dribble)28
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q1 - 0:36.5CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot28
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q1 - 0:42.7BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point turnaround jump shot28
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q1 - 0:59.5CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (offensive goaltending)26
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q1 - 1:05CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound26
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q1 - 1:08BucksWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot26
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 1:30BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound26
24.7%
30
75.3%
Q1 - 1:33CelticsSam Hauser misses three point pullup jump shot26
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q1 - 1:45CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound26
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q1 - 1:48BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot26
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 1:55BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound26
24.7%
30
75.3%
Q1 - 1:58CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot26
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q1 - 2:00CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound26
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q1 - 2:02CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot26
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q1 - 2:13BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jevon Carter assists)26
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q1 - 2:23BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound24
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q1 - 2:26CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot24
21.2%
30
78.8%
Q1 - 2:39BucksWesley Matthews makes regular free throw 2 of 224
20.2%
30
79.8%
Q1 - 2:39BucksWesley Matthews makes regular free throw 1 of 223
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q1 - 2:39CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Wesley Matthews draws the foul)22
19.6%
30
80.4%
Q1 - 2:58BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound22
18.8%
30
81.2%
Q1 - 3:01CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving dunk22
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q1 - 3:17BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)22
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q1 - 3:33CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point stepback jump shot (Grant Williams assists)20
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q1 - 3:51BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 220
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q1 - 3:51BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 219
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q1 - 3:51CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)18
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 4:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup (Jayson Tatum assists)18
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 4:15CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound18
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 4:18BucksGrayson Allen misses two point driving layup18
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 4:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup18
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 4:49BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)18
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 4:59BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound18
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 5:02CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot18
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 5:19CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound18
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 5:22BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot18
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 5:37BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound18
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 5:40CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot18
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 5:42CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound18
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 5:45CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point running jump shot18
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 5:50CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound18
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 5:53BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround jump shot18
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 6:02BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound18
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 6:04CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot18
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 6:21BucksGrayson Allen makes two point driving floating jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)18
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 6:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup16
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q1 - 7:01BucksJrue Holiday makes two point putback layup16
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 7:01BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound14
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 7:05BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot14
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 7:25CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 7:40BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving dunk (Pat Connaughton assists)14
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 7:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)12
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound12
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 8:06BucksPat Connaughton misses two point cutting layup12
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 8:24CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running pullup jump shot12
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 8:29BucksGrayson Allen turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)12
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 8:31BucksGrayson Allen offensive rebound12
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 8:33BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot12
28.5%
13
71.5%
Q1 - 8:45CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup12
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 9:02BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)12
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 9:09BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound9
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 9:12CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving hook shot9
27.6%
11
72.4%
Q1 - 9:29BucksGrayson Allen makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)9
26.5%
11
73.5%
Q1 - 9:47CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)7
25.2%
11
74.8%
Q1 - 9:54BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point turnaround jump shot7
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 10:06CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup (Jaylen Brown assists)5
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 10:14CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound5
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 10:15BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving finger roll layup5
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 10:23BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound5
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 10:25CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot5
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 10:38BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)5
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 10:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)2
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 11:05CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound2
27.5%
3
72.5%
Q1 - 11:08BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot2
28.0%
3
72.0%
Q1 - 11:21CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)2
29.2%
3
70.8%
Q1 - 11:43BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup (Pat Connaughton assists)2
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Al Horford (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)0
30.7%
0
69.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.17 58.4%
BOS
1.43 71.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
23
61%
BOS
20
25
80%
Midrange
MIL
15
25
60%
BOS
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
BOS
19
28.5
39
49%
73%
Free Throws
MIL
21
27
78%
BOS
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2748%13.5 / 28
J. Holiday2372%11.5 / 16
B. Lopez1689%8.0 / 9
P. Connaughton1575%7.5 / 10
J. Ingles1161%5.5 / 9
G. Allen850%4.0 / 8
J. Carter770%3.5 / 5
M. Beauchamp583%2.5 / 3
B. Portis450%2.0 / 4
W. Matthews233%1.0 / 3
S. Mamukelashvili0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum4176%20.5 / 27
J. Brown2969%14.5 / 21
D. White1286%6.0 / 7
A. Horford1179%5.5 / 7
G. Williams1179%5.5 / 7
M. Brogdon956%4.5 / 8
M. Smart660%3.0 / 5
R. Williams675%3.0 / 4
S. Hauser675%3.0 / 4
P. Pritchard4100%2.0 / 2
B. Griffin233%1.0 / 3
L. Kornet2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
88
+12
-15
100
BOS
92
+5
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.17 58.4%
BOS
1.43 71.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
117.6
MIL 114.6
BOS 135.0 +20.4
Pace
101.0
98.8
MIL 105.7 +5.2
BOS 100.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.8
MIL 13.6 +0.7
BOS 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
56.6%
MIL 57.7%
BOS 70.0% +12.3%
TO %
13.6%
12.7%
MIL 13.5%
BOS 11.1% +2.4%
ORB %
25.0%
22.1%
MIL 21.1% +7.2%
BOS 13.9%
FTrt
24.8
24.3
MIL 32.1 +2.7
BOS 29.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
63.2%
MIL 52.4%
BOS 58.0% +5.6%
STL %
6.2%
6.3%
MIL 7.8%
BOS 8.7% +0.9%
BLK %
8.3%
9.3%
MIL 2.2% +0.1%
BOS 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
58.7%
MIL 58.4%
BOS 71.6% +13.2%
Rim FG%
65.3%
65.1%
MIL 60.9%
BOS 80.0% +19.1%
Mid FG%
42.9%
42.8%
MIL 60.0% +7.6%
BOS 52.4%
3P %
36.8%
37.7%
MIL 36.1%
BOS 48.7% +12.6%
FT %
74.3%
81.2%
MIL 77.8%
BOS 80.0% +2.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
32.3%
MIL 27.4%
BOS 29.4% +2.0%
Mid Att. %
23.8%
19.7%
MIL 29.8%
BOS 24.7% +5.1%
3P Att. %
44.6%
48.0%
MIL 42.9%
BOS 45.9% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.
Game TotalsMILBOS
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points118139
Rebounds3935
Assists2229
Steals89
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1618
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)5 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals42-8450-85
At-the-Rim FG14-2320-25
Midrange FG15-2511-21
2-Point FG29-4831-46
3-Point FG13-3619-39
Free Throws21-2720-25
Fast Break Pts1317
2nd Chance Pts96
Points in Paint4054
Pts off Turnovers1022
Bench Points2940
Biggest Lead222

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 33
36.6
23
72%
6
7
2
0
3
3
1
5
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
3-6
50%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28
35.3
27
48%
9
3
0
0
3
3
1
8
8-12
67%
8-17
47%
1-5
20%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35
31.9
16
89%
5
1
1
1
2
1
3
2
1-2
50%
6-6
100%
1-2
50%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30
29.5
15
75%
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
#12 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 27
29.1
8
50%
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
#9 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 28
23.3
4
50%
9
1
0
0
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35
19.5
11
61%
2
0
1
0
3
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36
14.7
2
33%
0
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#5 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 27
12.7
7
70%
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 199 · 22
3.7
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
#54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37
DNP – Coach's Decision
#13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
#20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
58%
39
22
8
1
15
16
8
31
21-27
78%
29-48
60%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.