FinalWin Prob.pScore
1941%109
111
1359%112
108
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
119.49398.1
MIA logo MIA
114.99489.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:04.3PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot111
98.4%
108
1.6%
Q4 - 0:14.9HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)108
62.1%
108
37.9%
Q4 - 0:16.9HeatHeat defensive rebound108
90.0%
105
10.0%
Q4 - 0:20.2PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot108
91.2%
105
8.8%
Q4 - 0:28.1PacersTyrese Haliburton offensive rebound108
94.2%
105
5.8%
Q4 - 0:31.2PacersOshae Brissett misses two point cutting layup108
88.9%
105
11.1%
Q4 - 0:51.9HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
88.9%
105
11.1%
Q4 - 0:51.9HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
89.5%
104
10.5%
Q4 - 0:51.9PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)108
90.2%
103
9.8%
Q4 - 1:01PacersOshae Brissett makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
92.1%
103
7.9%
Q4 - 1:01PacersOshae Brissett misses regular free throw 1 of 2107
91.0%
103
9.0%
Q4 - 1:01HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)107
94.0%
103
6.0%
Q4 - 1:20PacersOshae Brissett defensive rebound107
90.4%
103
9.6%
Q4 - 1:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot107
88.5%
103
11.5%
Q4 - 1:38HeatHeat defensive rebound107
81.1%
103
18.9%
Q4 - 1:42PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot107
83.2%
103
16.8%
Q4 - 1:57HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup107
87.5%
103
12.5%
Q4 - 2:13PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
91.1%
101
8.9%
Q4 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot107
95.3%
101
4.7%
Q4 - 2:36HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound107
97.8%
98
2.2%
Q4 - 2:38PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround jump shot107
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 2:47PacersOshae Brissett defensive rebound107
98.8%
98
1.2%
Q4 - 2:49HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot107
98.6%
98
1.4%
Q4 - 3:18PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)107
96.7%
98
3.3%
Q4 - 3:26PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
96.7%
98
3.3%
Q4 - 3:26PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
96.6%
98
3.4%
Q4 - 3:26HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)105
96.4%
98
3.6%
Q4 - 3:27PacersOshae Brissett offensive rebound105
95.6%
98
4.4%
Q4 - 3:30PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point layup105
93.8%
98
6.2%
Q4 - 3:50HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)105
92.2%
98
7.8%
Q4 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
96.0%
95
4.0%
Q4 - 3:57PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot105
96.4%
95
3.6%
Q4 - 4:18HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)105
97.3%
95
2.7%
Q4 - 4:24HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)105
97.3%
95
2.7%
Q4 - 4:34PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
98.1%
93
1.9%
Q4 - 4:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)104
98.0%
93
2.0%
Q4 - 4:49HeatKyle Lowry makes two point putback layup102
96.3%
93
3.7%
Q4 - 4:49HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound102
97.3%
91
2.7%
Q4 - 4:52HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot102
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 5:06PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)102
95.7%
91
4.3%
Q4 - 5:07HeatHeat offensive rebound102
95.7%
91
4.3%
Q4 - 5:07HeatMyles Turner blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup102
96.6%
91
3.4%
Q4 - 5:23HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound102
95.8%
91
4.2%
Q4 - 5:25PacersOshae Brissett misses regular free throw 1 of 1102
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 5:25HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)102
96.7%
91
3.3%
Q4 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot100
94.4%
91
5.6%
Q4 - 6:03PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving floating jump shot100
95.3%
88
4.7%
Q4 - 6:14PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound98
94.3%
88
5.7%
Q4 - 6:17HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving floating jump shot98
93.7%
88
6.3%
Q4 - 6:41PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Oshae Brissett assists)98
92.2%
88
7.8%
Q4 - 6:46PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound95
87.5%
88
12.5%
Q4 - 6:50HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot95
86.4%
88
13.6%
Q4 - 6:57HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound95
83.3%
88
16.7%
Q4 - 7:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot95
86.4%
88
13.6%
Q4 - 7:13PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)95
80.4%
88
19.6%
Q4 - 7:13HeatHeat offensive rebound95
80.4%
88
19.6%
Q4 - 7:15HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot95
83.7%
88
16.3%
Q4 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound95
80.4%
88
19.6%
Q4 - 7:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot95
83.7%
88
16.3%
Q4 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound95
80.5%
88
19.5%
Q4 - 7:25PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot95
82.0%
88
18.0%
Q4 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)95
85.1%
88
14.9%
Q4 - 7:59PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 195
87.6%
86
12.4%
Q4 - 7:59HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)94
87.0%
86
13.0%
Q4 - 8:05PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound92
78.8%
86
21.2%
Q4 - 8:08PacersBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot92
75.7%
86
24.3%
Q4 - 8:21HeatKyle Lowry makes two point jump shot92
78.9%
86
21.1%
Q4 - 8:32HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound92
82.6%
84
17.4%
Q4 - 8:32HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot92
85.1%
84
14.9%
Q4 - 8:49HeatHeat defensive rebound92
82.7%
84
17.3%
Q4 - 8:50PacersOshae Brissett misses three point jump shot92
83.8%
84
16.2%
Q4 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (discontinue dribble)92
84.4%
84
15.6%
Q4 - 9:15PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)92
80.7%
84
19.3%
Q4 - 9:30PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound92
84.5%
84
15.5%
Q4 - 9:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot92
83.4%
84
16.6%
Q4 - 9:50PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup92
80.8%
84
19.2%
Q4 - 9:51PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound90
77.3%
84
22.7%
Q4 - 9:56PacersChris Duarte misses three point jump shot90
74.1%
84
25.9%
Q4 - 10:16PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound90
75.5%
84
24.5%
Q4 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot90
74.1%
84
25.9%
Q4 - 10:40PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)90
70.8%
84
29.2%
Q4 - 10:45PacersOshae Brissett defensive rebound87
61.5%
84
38.5%
Q4 - 10:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot87
59.7%
84
40.3%
Q4 - 11:09PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot87
55.0%
84
45.0%
Q4 - 11:22HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)84
44.7%
84
55.3%
Q4 - 11:25PacersChris Duarte turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)84
49.8%
82
50.2%
Q4 - 11:40PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound84
55.2%
82
44.8%
Q4 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot84
53.5%
82
46.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
49.8%
82
50.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1PacersPacers offensive rebound84
54.3%
82
45.7%
Q3 - 0:00.8PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot84
50.9%
82
49.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)84
54.3%
82
45.7%
Q3 - 0:12.3PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)84
63.9%
79
36.1%
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 181
54.3%
79
45.7%
Q3 - 0:30.6PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)81
54.8%
78
45.2%
Q3 - 0:32.5HeatHeat offensive rebound81
63.9%
76
36.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0HeatJalen Smith blocks Orlando Robinson's two point cutting dunk81
67.0%
76
33.0%
Q3 - 0:46.4PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Chris Duarte assists)81
64.0%
76
36.0%
Q3 - 0:49.8PacersJalen Smith offensive rebound78
54.3%
76
45.7%
Q3 - 0:52.7PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot78
51.0%
76
49.0%
Q3 - 1:03PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound78
53.6%
76
46.4%
Q3 - 1:05HeatMax Strus misses two point cutting layup78
52.1%
76
47.9%
Q3 - 1:19HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 178
48.7%
76
51.3%
Q3 - 1:19Pacers technical foul (Defensive three second)78
49.8%
75
50.2%
Q3 - 1:35HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound78
53.4%
75
46.6%
Q3 - 1:35PacersBuddy Hield misses two point driving finger roll layup78
54.9%
75
45.1%
Q3 - 1:39PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound78
58.3%
75
41.7%
Q3 - 1:41HeatMax Strus misses three point running pullup jump shot78
56.8%
75
43.2%
Q3 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound78
53.4%
75
46.6%
Q3 - 1:49PacersChris Duarte misses three point jump shot78
54.9%
75
45.1%
Q3 - 2:00PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound78
58.3%
75
41.7%
Q3 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot78
55.7%
75
44.3%
Q3 - 2:28PacersJalen Smith makes two point hook shot (Chris Duarte assists)78
52.5%
75
47.5%
Q3 - 2:46PacersChris Duarte defensive rebound76
48.4%
75
51.6%
Q3 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot76
46.9%
75
53.1%
Q3 - 3:15PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot76
43.5%
75
56.5%
Q3 - 3:18PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound73
36.1%
75
63.9%
Q3 - 3:20HeatMax Strus misses two point driving finger roll layup73
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q3 - 3:37PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Chris Duarte assists)73
31.6%
75
68.4%
Q3 - 3:51HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
25.2%
75
74.8%
Q3 - 4:00HeatMax Strus defensive rebound70
21.7%
75
78.3%
Q3 - 4:03PacersChris Duarte misses three point pullup jump shot70
23.3%
75
76.7%
Q3 - 4:06PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound70
25.7%
75
74.3%
Q3 - 4:08HeatJalen Smith blocks Victor Oladipo's two point cutting dunk70
24.6%
75
75.4%
Q3 - 4:25PacersJalen Smith makes two point bank hook shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)70
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q3 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 268
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q3 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 268
20.3%
74
79.7%
Q3 - 4:39PacersJalen Smith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
20.7%
73
79.3%
Q3 - 4:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound68
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q3 - 4:47PacersJalen Smith misses three point jump shot68
23.2%
73
76.8%
Q3 - 4:53PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound68
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot68
24.6%
73
75.4%
Q3 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
23.0%
73
77.0%
Q3 - 5:06PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot68
23.9%
73
76.1%
Q3 - 5:22HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)68
26.1%
73
73.9%
Q3 - 5:32PacersChris Duarte personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)68
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 5:44PacersJalen Smith personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 5:53PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)68
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 5:57PacersJalen Smith offensive rebound65
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 5:57PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point floating jump shot65
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q3 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup65
26.3%
70
73.7%
Q3 - 6:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
29.2%
68
70.8%
Q3 - 6:37PacersCaleb Martin blocks Jalen Smith's three point jump shot65
30.2%
68
69.8%
Q3 - 6:53PacersPacers defensive rebound65
32.6%
68
67.4%
Q3 - 6:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot65
31.6%
68
68.4%
Q3 - 7:05PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving reverse layup65
29.3%
68
70.7%
Q3 - 7:21HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 163
26.8%
68
73.2%
Q3 - 7:21PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)63
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q3 - 7:36PacersJalen Smith makes two point cutting dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)63
32.4%
65
67.6%
Q3 - 7:41HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)61
29.7%
65
70.3%
Q3 - 7:42HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound61
26.4%
65
73.6%
Q3 - 7:45HeatJalen Smith blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving layup61
28.7%
65
71.3%
Q3 - 7:52HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound61
26.4%
65
73.6%
Q3 - 7:57HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot61
28.7%
65
71.3%
Q3 - 8:08PacersBennedict Mathurin personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 8:17PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point pullup jump shot61
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)59
24.3%
65
75.7%
Q3 - 8:35HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound59
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 8:39PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point jump shot59
27.5%
63
72.5%
Q3 - 8:52PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound59
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 8:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup59
28.9%
63
71.1%
Q3 - 9:01PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)59
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 9:05PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound56
22.1%
63
77.9%
Q3 - 9:09HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
21.3%
63
78.7%
Q3 - 9:28PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)56
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 9:28PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)56
22.1%
63
77.9%
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)56
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)56
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 9:49HeatHeat offensive rebound56
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 9:49HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup56
21.2%
63
78.8%
Q3 - 10:02PacersMyles Turner turnover (traveling)56
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)56
22.4%
63
77.6%
Q3 - 10:29HeatHeat defensive rebound56
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q3 - 10:29PacersCaleb Martin blocks Andrew Nembhard's three point jump shot56
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 10:50HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)56
27.4%
61
72.6%
Q3 - 11:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound56
32.7%
58
67.3%
Q3 - 11:07PacersBuddy Hield misses two point pullup jump shot56
33.6%
58
66.4%
Q3 - 11:14PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound56
35.8%
58
64.2%
Q3 - 11:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot56
34.8%
58
65.2%
Q3 - 11:31HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
32.7%
58
67.3%
Q3 - 11:33PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point cutting layup56
33.6%
58
66.4%
Q3 - 11:43HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)56
35.8%
58
64.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
35.8%
58
64.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0PacersOshae Brissett personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
33.2%
58
66.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0HeatHeat defensive rebound56
33.2%
58
66.8%
Q2 - 0:23.3PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot56
33.9%
58
66.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)56
35.6%
58
64.4%
Q2 - 0:47.2PacersOshae Brissett turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)56
39.1%
56
60.9%
Q2 - 0:59.9HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot56
41.6%
56
58.4%
Q2 - 1:13HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound56
45.4%
54
54.6%
Q2 - 1:16PacersOshae Brissett misses three point jump shot56
46.1%
54
53.9%
Q2 - 1:18PacersOshae Brissett offensive rebound56
47.7%
54
52.3%
Q2 - 1:21PacersOshae Brissett misses regular free throw 2 of 256
45.7%
54
54.3%
Q2 - 1:21PacersOshae Brissett makes regular free throw 1 of 256
47.8%
54
52.2%
Q2 - 1:21HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)55
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q2 - 1:21PacersPacers offensive rebound55
44.6%
54
55.4%
Q2 - 1:23PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot55
43.0%
54
57.0%
Q2 - 1:37PacersOshae Brissett defensive rebound55
44.6%
54
55.4%
Q2 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
43.9%
54
56.1%
Q2 - 1:51PacersJalen Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 155
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q2 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jalen Smith draws the foul)54
41.7%
54
58.3%
Q2 - 2:03HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot52
36.1%
54
63.9%
Q2 - 2:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound52
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q2 - 2:18PacersChris Duarte misses three point jump shot52
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q2 - 2:33HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)52
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q2 - 2:36PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)52
50.6%
48
49.4%
Q2 - 2:36PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound52
53.8%
48
46.2%
Q2 - 2:44PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot52
51.6%
48
48.4%
Q2 - 2:48PacersPacers offensive rebound52
53.8%
48
46.2%
Q2 - 2:51PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot52
51.6%
48
48.4%
Q2 - 2:57HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)52
53.8%
48
46.2%
Q2 - 3:09PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (offensive foul)52
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q2 - 3:09PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)52
53.2%
48
46.8%
Q2 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Nembhard steals)52
53.2%
48
46.8%
Q2 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q2 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot52
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q2 - 3:29PacersOshae Brissett makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)52
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q2 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)50
47.5%
48
52.5%
Q2 - 4:02PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Oshae Brissett assists)50
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q2 - 4:21HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)47
44.1%
46
55.9%
Q2 - 4:40PacersChris Duarte makes two point driving layup47
49.7%
43
50.3%
Q2 - 4:55HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
46.9%
43
53.1%
Q2 - 4:59PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)45
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 5:12PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point floating jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)45
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q2 - 5:18PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound43
49.7%
40
50.3%
Q2 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot43
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 5:26HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound43
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 5:29HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot43
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 5:49PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Chris Duarte assists)43
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 5:57PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound40
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 6:00HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot40
40.5%
40
59.5%
Q2 - 6:20HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound40
38.3%
40
61.7%
Q2 - 6:24PacersBuddy Hield misses two point fadeaway jump shot40
39.3%
40
60.7%
Q2 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 240
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 6:40PacersJalen Smith shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
42.5%
38
57.5%
Q2 - 6:56PacersJalen Smith turnover (traveling)40
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)40
46.3%
38
53.7%
Q2 - 7:15PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 7:27PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)40
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 7:27PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)40
51.6%
36
48.4%
Q2 - 7:33PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound40
51.6%
36
48.4%
Q2 - 7:34HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot40
50.7%
36
49.3%
Q2 - 7:54PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)40
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 8:03PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound37
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 8:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot37
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 8:11HeatMax Strus defensive rebound37
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 8:14PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point jump shot37
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 8:21PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound37
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip dunk37
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound37
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 8:26HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving reverse layup37
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 8:30HeatMax Strus defensive rebound37
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 8:34PacersHaywood Highsmith blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point driving floating jump shot37
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot37
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 9:09PacersBuddy Hield makes three point pullup jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)37
45.6%
34
54.4%
Q2 - 9:13HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)34
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 9:20HeatHeat offensive rebound34
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot34
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 9:40HeatMax Strus defensive rebound34
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 9:42PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot34
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 9:46PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound34
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup34
40.0%
34
60.0%
Q2 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound34
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot34
40.0%
34
60.0%
Q2 - 10:09PacersMyles Turner turnover (3-second violation)34
38.3%
34
61.7%
Q2 - 10:19HeatOrlando Robinson personal foul (Jalen Smith draws the foul)34
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 10:19PacersJalen Smith offensive rebound34
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 10:20PacersOshae Brissett misses two point driving layup34
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 10:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup34
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 10:54PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)34
43.1%
32
56.9%
Q2 - 11:07HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Victor Oladipo assists)31
38.1%
32
61.9%
Q2 - 11:19HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound31
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 11:21PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround jump shot31
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q2 - 11:36HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)31
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 11:40PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)31
45.2%
28
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
47.5%
28
52.5%
Q1 - 0:14.9PacersJalen Smith makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)31
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q1 - 0:26.3PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound28
39.9%
28
60.1%
Q1 - 0:28.8HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point reverse layup28
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q1 - 0:30.7HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound28
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q1 - 0:33.3HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot28
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q1 - 0:46.7PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving reverse layup28
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q1 - 0:53.8HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup26
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q1 - 1:05PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (offensive foul)26
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q1 - 1:05PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)26
40.0%
26
60.0%
Q1 - 1:10HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup26
40.0%
26
60.0%
Q1 - 1:16PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)26
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q1 - 1:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)26
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q1 - 1:47HeatMax Strus defensive rebound26
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 1:49PacersJalen Smith misses two point jump shot26
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q1 - 2:06HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 2:20PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (traveling)26
48.9%
21
51.1%
Q1 - 2:24PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound26
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 2:26HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot26
50.5%
21
49.5%
Q1 - 2:42PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 226
48.9%
21
51.1%
Q1 - 2:42PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 225
48.6%
21
51.4%
Q1 - 2:42HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)24
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q1 - 2:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Max Strus assists)24
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q1 - 2:53PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)24
48.9%
19
51.1%
Q1 - 3:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 224
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 3:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 224
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q1 - 3:02PacersChris Duarte shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)24
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 3:12PacersJalen Smith makes two point turnaround hook shot (T.J. McConnell assists)24
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 3:18PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound22
51.0%
17
49.0%
Q1 - 3:22HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot22
50.2%
17
49.8%
Q1 - 3:33PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 3:33HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound22
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot22
50.2%
17
49.8%
Q1 - 3:52PacersChris Duarte makes two point running layup22
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 3:54HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Chris Duarte steals)20
46.6%
17
53.4%
Q1 - 4:05PacersChris Duarte personal foul (Loose ball) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)20
43.7%
17
56.3%
Q1 - 4:05HeatHeat defensive rebound20
43.7%
17
56.3%
Q1 - 4:05PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point jump shot20
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q1 - 4:21HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 4:29HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound20
43.7%
17
56.3%
Q1 - 4:32PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot20
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q1 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 220
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 220
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 4:44PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 120
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q1 - 4:54Pacers technical foul (Defensive three second)20
46.3%
15
53.7%
Q1 - 5:11PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)20
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 5:14PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound17
43.8%
15
56.2%
Q1 - 5:16HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Victor Oladipo's three point pullup jump shot17
43.1%
15
56.9%
Q1 - 5:31PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)17
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 5:45PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)17
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 6:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup15
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 6:20PacersBuddy Hield misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
42.1%
13
57.9%
Q1 - 6:40HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)15
43.5%
13
56.5%
Q1 - 6:54PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot15
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot12
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 7:24HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound12
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 7:28PacersMyles Turner misses two point cutting layup12
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 7:34PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound12
47.3%
8
52.7%
Q1 - 7:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot12
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 7:48PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)12
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 7:55PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound9
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 7:59HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot9
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 8:11HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound9
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 8:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot9
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 8:25HeatHeat defensive rebound9
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 8:26PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point stepback jump shot9
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 8:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup9
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 9:03PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot9
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot6
39.5%
6
60.5%
Q1 - 9:22HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound6
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 9:26PacersBuddy Hield misses three point running pullup jump shot6
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 9:30PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound6
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot6
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 9:42PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point pullup jump shot (Myles Turner assists)6
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 9:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot4
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:19HeatHeat defensive rebound4
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:22PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot4
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:44PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound4
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 10:48HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot4
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 11:02PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 24
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 11:02PacersBennedict Mathurin misses regular free throw 1 of 23
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)3
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 11:06PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound3
40.8%
2
59.2%
Q1 - 11:07HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot3
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:22PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot3
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 11:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point hook shot0
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
37.1%
0
62.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.25 62.4%
MIA
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
9
15
60%
MIA
18
31
58%
Midrange
IND
10
21
48%
MIA
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
21
31.5
47
45%
67%
MIA
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
Free Throws
IND
10
14
71%
MIA
13
14
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton4398%21.5 / 22
B. Hield2170%10.5 / 15
J. Smith1478%7.0 / 9
A. Nembhard1045%5.0 / 11
B. Mathurin643%3.0 / 7
O. Brissett638%3.0 / 8
M. Turner563%2.5 / 4
C. Duarte433%2.0 / 6
T. McConnell217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2858%14.0 / 24
K. Lowry2166%10.5 / 16
J. Butler2071%10.0 / 14
B. Adebayo1845%9.0 / 20
H. Highsmith1071%5.0 / 7
M. Strus633%3.0 / 9
V. Oladipo536%2.5 / 7
C. Martin0-0.0 / 1
O. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
77
+12
-16
89
MIA
84
+19
-10
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.25 62.4%
MIA
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
112.9
IND 119.4 +4.5
MIA 114.9
Pace
101.3
96.3
IND 98.1 +8.8
MIA 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.0
IND 14.7 +1.4
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.5%
53.0%
IND 60.8% +10.8%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
13.9%
13.2%
IND 15.2%
MIA 9.0% +6.2%
ORB %
23.4%
22.8%
IND 26.5%
MIA 27.7% +1.2%
FTrt
26.5
27.0
IND 16.9 +2.2
MIA 14.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.3%
60.8%
IND 65.0% +8.9%
MIA 56.1%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
IND 5.4%
MIA 7.4% +2.0%
BLK %
10.4%
6.3%
IND 9.7% +1.4%
MIA 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.7%
55.9%
IND 62.4% +10.0%
MIA 52.4%
Rim FG%
60.5%
62.6%
IND 60.0% +1.9%
MIA 58.1%
Mid FG%
42.8%
45.3%
IND 47.6% +15.3%
MIA 32.3%
3P %
36.7%
34.4%
IND 44.7% +5.3%
MIA 39.4%
FT %
79.0%
83.1%
IND 71.4%
MIA 92.9% +21.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
29.9%
IND 18.1%
MIA 32.6% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
21.6%
29.4%
IND 25.3% +7.3%
MIA 32.6%
3P Att. %
41.2%
40.8%
IND 56.6% +21.9%
MIA 34.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points111108
Rebounds4338
Assists2623
Steals57
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2313
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)25 (8)
Field Goals40-8341-95
At-the-Rim FG9-1518-31
Midrange FG10-2110-31
2-Point FG19-3628-62
3-Point FG21-4713-33
Free Throws10-1413-14
Fast Break Pts1914
2nd Chance Pts147
Points in Paint3652
Pts off Turnovers1021
Bench Points2621
Biggest Lead127

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23
37.5
43
98%
2
7
1
1
3
1
1
1
5-5
100%
4-4
100%
10-16
63%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 29
34.5
21
70%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
0%
7-11
64%
#2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23
34.3
10
45%
4
3
2
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-8
25%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27
25.3
5
63%
11
2
1
2
4
5
1
10
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#00 · PF · 6'5" 210 · 21
19.6
6
43%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25
26.4
6
38%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
#25 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 23
22.8
14
78%
11
0
0
3
1
3
3
8
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
20.3
2
17%
1
5
0
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
#3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26
19.4
4
33%
1
5
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#88 · C · 6'10" 250 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#23 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Surgery
#10 · SG · 6'8" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Tibia; Stress Reaction
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
43
26
5
6
16
23
9
34
10-14
71%
19-36
53%
21-47
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.