FinalWin Prob.pScore
158%116
111
742%113
123
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
112.199108.0
DEN logo DEN
120.610295.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:14.4CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Justin Jackson assists)111
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.7NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)109
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.2CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point dunk (Justin Jackson assists)109
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.2NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Justin Jackson steals)107
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.2CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)107
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00CelticsNoah Vonleh defensive rebound107
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot107
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26NuggetsDavon Reed defensive rebound107
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CelticsJustin Jackson misses two point floating jump shot107
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38NuggetsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1107
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)107
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 1:55CelticsPayton Pritchard misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 1:55NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)106
0.3%
120
99.7%
Q4 - 2:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 2:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 2:05CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)106
0.3%
118
99.7%
Q4 - 2:08NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound106
0.3%
118
99.7%
Q4 - 2:11CelticsBruce Brown blocks Grant Williams's three point jump shot106
0.3%
118
99.7%
Q4 - 2:31NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)106
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 2:36NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound106
0.7%
116
99.3%
Q4 - 2:38CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point turnaround jump shot106
0.9%
116
99.1%
Q4 - 2:47CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound106
1.4%
116
98.6%
Q4 - 2:49NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot106
1.1%
116
98.9%
Q4 - 3:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup (Marcus Smart assists)106
1.3%
116
98.7%
Q4 - 3:21CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound104
0.9%
116
99.1%
Q4 - 3:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot104
0.8%
116
99.2%
Q4 - 3:33NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound104
1.5%
116
98.5%
Q4 - 3:35CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup104
1.6%
116
98.4%
Q4 - 3:55NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving dunk104
1.9%
116
98.1%
Q4 - 4:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup104
2.6%
114
97.4%
Q4 - 4:17CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound102
1.8%
114
98.2%
Q4 - 4:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot102
1.6%
114
98.4%
Q4 - 4:27NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound102
1.2%
114
98.8%
Q4 - 4:28CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup102
1.4%
114
98.6%
Q4 - 4:47NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot102
1.8%
114
98.2%
Q4 - 5:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound102
4.0%
112
96.0%
Q4 - 5:15CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot102
4.4%
112
95.6%
Q4 - 5:23CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound102
5.4%
112
94.6%
Q4 - 5:25NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot102
4.9%
112
95.1%
Q4 - 5:45CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)102
3.9%
112
96.1%
Q4 - 5:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 299
2.1%
112
97.9%
Q4 - 5:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 299
2.2%
111
97.8%
Q4 - 5:54CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)99
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 6:05CelticsGrant Williams turnover (offensive foul)99
4.2%
110
95.8%
Q4 - 6:05CelticsGrant Williams offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)99
5.8%
110
94.2%
Q4 - 6:11CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound99
5.8%
110
94.2%
Q4 - 6:14NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point fadeaway jump shot99
5.2%
110
94.8%
Q4 - 6:25CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point tip layup99
4.1%
110
95.9%
Q4 - 6:25CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound97
3.3%
110
96.7%
Q4 - 6:28CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot97
2.6%
110
97.4%
Q4 - 6:43NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)97
3.3%
110
96.7%
Q4 - 6:43NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound97
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 6:43NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot97
2.9%
110
97.1%
Q4 - 7:13CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)97
3.4%
110
96.6%
Q4 - 7:24NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)94
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 7:34CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)94
3.3%
107
96.7%
Q4 - 7:36NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)94
4.5%
107
95.5%
Q4 - 7:44NuggetsBones Hyland technical foul (Double)94
3.3%
107
96.7%
Q4 - 7:44CelticsJaylen Brown technical foul (Double)94
3.3%
107
96.7%
Q4 - 7:44CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)94
3.3%
107
96.7%
Q4 - 8:06CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)94
4.2%
107
95.8%
Q4 - 8:12CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound92
3.3%
107
96.7%
Q4 - 8:13NuggetsBones Hyland misses two point driving floating jump shot92
3.1%
107
96.9%
Q4 - 8:39CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)92
2.6%
107
97.4%
Q4 - 9:04NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point pullup jump shot89
2.2%
107
97.8%
Q4 - 9:20NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound89
3.3%
104
96.7%
Q4 - 9:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot89
3.5%
104
96.5%
Q4 - 9:28NuggetsZeke Nnaji personal foul (Loose ball) (Robert Williams III draws the foul)89
4.2%
104
95.8%
Q4 - 9:30CelticsCeltics offensive rebound89
4.2%
104
95.8%
Q4 - 9:30CelticsDerrick White misses two point pullup jump shot89
3.5%
104
96.5%
Q4 - 9:59NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point stepback jump shot89
4.2%
104
95.8%
Q4 - 10:12CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point tip layup89
7.6%
101
92.4%
Q4 - 10:12CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound87
6.3%
101
93.7%
Q4 - 10:15CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup87
5.4%
101
94.6%
Q4 - 10:36NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)87
6.3%
101
93.7%
Q4 - 10:49CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 287
9.2%
98
90.8%
Q4 - 10:49CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 286
9.0%
98
91.0%
Q4 - 10:49NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)85
8.7%
98
91.3%
Q4 - 10:52CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound85
7.7%
98
92.3%
Q4 - 10:58NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point pullup jump shot85
7.2%
98
92.8%
Q4 - 11:20CelticsDerrick White turnover (traveling)85
7.1%
98
92.9%
Q4 - 11:36NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)85
8.6%
98
91.4%
Q4 - 11:36NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound85
7.1%
98
92.9%
Q4 - 11:36NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point floating jump shot85
8.1%
98
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
7.1%
98
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point driving finger roll layup85
8.6%
98
91.4%
Q3 - 0:24.3CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 285
12.0%
96
88.0%
Q3 - 0:24.3CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 284
11.7%
96
88.3%
Q3 - 0:24.3NuggetsBones Hyland shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)84
13.6%
96
86.4%
Q3 - 0:27.4NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)84
11.9%
96
88.1%
Q3 - 0:36.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 284
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q3 - 0:36.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 283
9.8%
96
90.2%
Q3 - 0:36.9NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)82
9.5%
96
90.5%
Q3 - 0:53.6NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)82
8.3%
96
91.7%
Q3 - 1:14CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)82
13.3%
93
86.7%
Q3 - 1:27NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)79
9.7%
93
90.3%
Q3 - 1:44CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)79
8.0%
93
92.0%
Q3 - 1:58NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 277
6.8%
93
93.2%
Q3 - 1:58NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 277
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q3 - 1:58NuggetsBones Hyland misses technical free throw 1 of 177
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q3 - 1:58CelticsJayson Tatum technical foul77
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q3 - 1:58CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)77
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q3 - 2:16CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Gordon steals)77
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q3 - 2:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)77
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q3 - 2:54CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point dunk (Derrick White assists)77
14.6%
88
85.4%
Q3 - 3:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)75
13.9%
88
86.1%
Q3 - 3:27NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound75
15.7%
86
84.3%
Q3 - 3:31CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot75
16.5%
86
83.5%
Q3 - 3:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)75
18.5%
86
81.5%
Q3 - 4:07CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)75
22.2%
84
77.8%
Q3 - 4:23NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
19.9%
84
80.1%
Q3 - 4:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 273
17.0%
84
83.0%
Q3 - 4:32CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 272
16.7%
84
83.3%
Q3 - 4:32NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)72
18.7%
84
81.3%
Q3 - 4:47NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)72
17.3%
84
82.7%
Q3 - 4:54CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)72
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q3 - 5:06NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound72
23.4%
81
76.6%
Q3 - 5:09CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point bank jump shot72
24.3%
81
75.7%
Q3 - 5:14CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound72
26.6%
81
73.4%
Q3 - 5:19NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot72
25.6%
81
74.4%
Q3 - 5:39CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 272
23.3%
81
76.7%
Q3 - 5:39CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 271
23.0%
81
77.0%
Q3 - 5:39NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)70
22.6%
81
77.4%
Q3 - 5:42CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound70
20.9%
81
79.1%
Q3 - 5:45NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point turnaround jump shot70
20.0%
81
80.0%
Q3 - 6:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)70
19.4%
81
80.6%
Q3 - 6:22NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)68
17.3%
81
82.7%
Q3 - 6:27NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound68
21.9%
78
78.1%
Q3 - 6:31CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot68
22.7%
78
77.3%
Q3 - 6:42CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound68
24.7%
78
75.3%
Q3 - 6:45NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot68
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q3 - 7:01CelticsGrant Williams makes two point driving dunk (Al Horford assists)68
22.9%
78
77.1%
Q3 - 7:26NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)66
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q3 - 7:38CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup66
25.5%
75
74.5%
Q3 - 7:45CelticsCeltics offensive rebound64
23.1%
75
76.9%
Q3 - 7:46CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot64
21.1%
75
78.9%
Q3 - 8:00NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 164
23.1%
75
76.9%
Q3 - 8:00CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)64
23.5%
74
76.5%
Q3 - 8:13CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)64
29.2%
72
70.8%
Q3 - 8:33NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)61
24.1%
72
75.9%
Q3 - 8:42NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound61
29.1%
69
70.9%
Q3 - 8:44CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot61
30.2%
69
69.8%
Q3 - 8:59NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)61
32.7%
69
67.3%
Q3 - 9:18CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot61
39.5%
66
60.5%
Q3 - 9:24CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound58
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 9:26NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point fadeaway jump shot58
32.4%
66
67.6%
Q3 - 9:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Grant Williams assists)58
30.1%
66
69.9%
Q3 - 9:46CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound56
27.6%
66
72.4%
Q3 - 9:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 10:10CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound56
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q3 - 10:12NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point running layup56
27.6%
66
72.4%
Q3 - 10:16NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound56
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 10:18CelticsMichael Porter Jr. blocks Marcus Smart's two point reverse layup56
26.4%
66
73.6%
Q3 - 10:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)56
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q3 - 10:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound56
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 10:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot56
26.4%
66
73.6%
Q3 - 10:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot56
28.4%
66
71.6%
Q3 - 11:07NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound56
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 11:09CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
32.7%
64
67.3%
Q3 - 11:26NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)56
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 11:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)56
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
34.8%
62
65.2%
Q2 - 0:05.8NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound54
33.2%
62
66.8%
Q2 - 0:07.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 154
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q2 - 0:07.2NuggetsChristian Braun shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)54
35.7%
62
64.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 252
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q2 - 0:15.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 252
30.4%
61
69.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)52
30.8%
60
69.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound52
33.1%
60
66.9%
Q2 - 0:30.8CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving floating bank jump shot52
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q2 - 0:35.3NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)52
35.5%
60
64.5%
Q2 - 0:43.2CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Al Horford assists)52
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q2 - 0:45.7CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound50
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q2 - 0:47.5CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running layup50
33.8%
58
66.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)50
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q2 - 1:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup50
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q2 - 1:11NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)48
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q2 - 1:19CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)48
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q2 - 1:34CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound48
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q2 - 1:38NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point pullup jump shot48
30.3%
58
69.7%
Q2 - 1:52CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)48
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q2 - 1:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 348
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q2 - 1:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 347
28.6%
58
71.4%
Q2 - 1:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 346
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q2 - 1:59NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)45
27.9%
58
72.1%
Q2 - 2:10CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound45
25.0%
58
75.0%
Q2 - 2:14NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running pullup jump shot45
24.3%
58
75.7%
Q2 - 2:19NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound45
22.6%
58
77.4%
Q2 - 2:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running layup45
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q2 - 2:26CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound45
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q2 - 2:28NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q2 - 2:33NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound45
22.6%
58
77.4%
Q2 - 2:35CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot45
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q2 - 2:36CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound45
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q2 - 2:39CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point cutting layup45
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q2 - 2:46CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound45
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q2 - 2:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot45
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q2 - 3:03CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)45
23.8%
58
76.2%
Q2 - 3:16NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
26.3%
58
73.7%
Q2 - 3:19CelticsGrant Williams turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)45
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q2 - 3:22CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound45
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q2 - 3:25NuggetsGrant Williams blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point running layup45
25.4%
58
74.6%
Q2 - 3:29NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound45
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q2 - 3:31CelticsAaron Gordon blocks Marcus Smart's two point driving layup45
24.4%
58
75.6%
Q2 - 3:52NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running layup (Aaron Gordon assists)45
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q2 - 3:57NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound45
28.0%
56
72.0%
Q2 - 3:59CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot45
28.9%
56
71.1%
Q2 - 4:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)45
31.8%
56
68.2%
Q2 - 4:21CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Al Horford assists)45
29.3%
56
70.7%
Q2 - 4:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)43
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q2 - 4:43NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound43
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q2 - 4:43NuggetsDerrick White blocks Aaron Gordon's two point running layup43
33.4%
53
66.6%
Q2 - 4:48CelticsAl Horford makes two point running dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)43
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q2 - 4:54CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound41
29.3%
53
70.7%
Q2 - 4:54NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point tip layup41
28.6%
53
71.4%
Q2 - 4:57NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound41
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q2 - 4:58NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup41
28.6%
53
71.4%
Q2 - 5:10CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 141
27.5%
53
72.5%
Q2 - 5:10NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)40
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q2 - 5:13CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound38
23.8%
53
76.2%
Q2 - 5:16NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot38
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q2 - 5:32NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound38
21.4%
53
78.6%
Q2 - 5:33CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot38
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q2 - 5:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Gordon assists)38
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q2 - 6:06CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 238
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q2 - 6:06CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 237
25.9%
51
74.1%
Q2 - 6:06NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)36
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 6:06CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound36
24.6%
51
75.4%
Q2 - 6:06CelticsGrant Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot36
23.0%
51
77.0%
Q2 - 6:17NuggetsBones Hyland personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)36
24.6%
51
75.4%
Q2 - 6:31NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point turnaround jump shot36
24.6%
51
75.4%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound36
26.1%
49
73.9%
Q2 - 6:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround hook shot36
26.9%
49
73.1%
Q2 - 6:57CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound36
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q2 - 6:58CelticsZeke Nnaji blocks Jaylen Brown's two point layup36
26.9%
49
73.1%
Q2 - 7:01CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound36
29.4%
49
70.6%
Q2 - 7:08NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot36
28.7%
49
71.3%
Q2 - 7:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)36
27.1%
49
72.9%
Q2 - 7:36NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running finger roll layup (Aaron Gordon assists)34
25.2%
49
74.8%
Q2 - 7:39NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound34
27.0%
47
73.0%
Q2 - 7:43CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot34
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q2 - 8:11NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point pullup jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)34
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 8:21CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)34
34.0%
44
66.0%
Q2 - 8:36NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point running layup (Aaron Gordon assists)32
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 8:41CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)32
34.0%
42
66.0%
Q2 - 8:49NuggetsVlatko Cancar personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)32
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 8:59NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 9:07NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound32
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 9:09CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup32
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q2 - 9:15CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound32
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 9:18NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point jump shot32
35.9%
42
64.1%
Q2 - 9:30CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (offensive foul)32
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 9:30CelticsRobert Williams III offensive foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)32
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 9:41NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point fadeaway jump shot32
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 9:54CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (offensive goaltending)32
39.0%
40
61.0%
Q2 - 9:58CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound32
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 10:02NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot32
41.3%
40
58.7%
Q2 - 10:17NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound32
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 10:20CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot32
40.3%
40
59.7%
Q2 - 10:32NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)32
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 10:54CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)32
46.8%
37
53.2%
Q2 - 11:08NuggetsChristian Braun turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 11:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 232
47.6%
37
52.4%
Q2 - 11:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 231
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 11:23NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)30
46.9%
37
53.1%
Q2 - 11:34NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (traveling)30
45.1%
37
54.9%
Q2 - 11:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)30
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
40.4%
37
59.6%
Q1 - 0:02.5NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound28
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q1 - 0:05.3CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot28
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q1 - 0:26.4NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
40.7%
37
59.3%
Q1 - 0:41.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 228
43.2%
35
56.8%
Q1 - 0:41.7CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 227
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q1 - 0:41.7NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)27
44.9%
35
55.1%
Q1 - 0:43.4CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound27
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q1 - 0:47.8NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point stepback jump shot27
42.4%
35
57.6%
Q1 - 1:10CelticsSam Hauser makes two point driving reverse layup (Jayson Tatum assists)27
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q1 - 1:28NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point driving floating bank jump shot25
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q1 - 1:54CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point driving reverse layup (Jayson Tatum assists)25
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q1 - 2:03NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)23
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q1 - 2:23CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 223
37.6%
33
62.4%
Q1 - 2:23CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 222
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q1 - 2:23NuggetsBones Hyland shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)21
36.9%
33
63.1%
Q1 - 2:35NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 221
35.5%
33
64.5%
Q1 - 2:35NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 221
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q1 - 2:35CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)21
36.2%
31
63.8%
Q1 - 2:46NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound21
37.5%
31
62.5%
Q1 - 2:47CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot21
38.2%
31
61.8%
Q1 - 2:53CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound21
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q1 - 2:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot21
38.2%
31
61.8%
Q1 - 3:09CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound21
40.2%
31
59.8%
Q1 - 3:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point running pullup jump shot21
39.4%
31
60.6%
Q1 - 3:15NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound21
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q1 - 3:16CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot21
38.4%
31
61.6%
Q1 - 3:34NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)21
40.2%
31
59.8%
Q1 - 3:49CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot21
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q1 - 4:08NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point pullup jump shot19
41.2%
29
58.8%
Q1 - 4:26CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)19
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q1 - 4:31CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound16
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 4:32CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot16
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q1 - 4:51NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround bank hook shot16
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 5:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound16
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q1 - 5:08CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot16
44.4%
24
55.6%
Q1 - 5:10CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound16
46.0%
24
54.0%
Q1 - 5:13CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot16
44.4%
24
55.6%
Q1 - 5:26NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)16
46.0%
24
54.0%
Q1 - 5:33NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound16
47.8%
22
52.2%
Q1 - 5:36CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround jump shot16
48.5%
22
51.5%
Q1 - 5:59CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound16
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q1 - 6:01NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 216
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q1 - 6:01NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 216
48.9%
22
51.1%
Q1 - 6:01CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)16
49.5%
21
50.5%
Q1 - 6:11CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point turnaround jump shot16
50.3%
21
49.7%
Q1 - 6:25NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot14
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 6:40NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound14
50.3%
19
49.7%
Q1 - 6:43CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot14
50.9%
19
49.1%
Q1 - 6:58NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)14
52.3%
19
47.7%
Q1 - 7:09NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound14
54.6%
17
45.4%
Q1 - 7:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot14
55.3%
17
44.7%
Q1 - 7:25NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 114
56.7%
17
43.3%
Q1 - 7:25CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)14
57.0%
16
43.0%
Q1 - 7:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound14
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 7:36CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point running jump shot14
61.0%
14
39.0%
Q1 - 7:38CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound14
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 7:42NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot14
61.8%
14
38.2%
Q1 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 214
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 213
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 7:54NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)12
59.5%
14
40.5%
Q1 - 8:05NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 212
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 8:05NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 212
59.5%
13
40.5%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)12
60.1%
12
39.9%
Q1 - 8:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving reverse layup12
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 8:25NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)10
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 8:37CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)10
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 8:43NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Bruce Brown assists)7
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 8:52NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound7
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 8:56CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point running pullup jump shot7
59.4%
8
40.6%
Q1 - 8:59CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound7
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 9:01NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot7
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 9:22CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup (Marcus Smart assists)7
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 9:27CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound5
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 9:30NuggetsAl Horford blocks Bruce Brown's two point running layup5
56.5%
8
43.5%
Q1 - 9:36NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound5
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 9:38CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot5
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 9:54NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)5
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 10:02NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound5
60.6%
5
39.4%
Q1 - 10:04CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot5
61.2%
5
38.8%
Q1 - 10:23NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)5
62.5%
5
37.5%
Q1 - 10:33CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)5
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 10:38CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound3
64.2%
2
35.8%
Q1 - 10:41NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot3
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:59CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)3
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 11:13NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)0
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 11:29CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:42CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:44NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot0
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 12:00Al Horford vs. Nikola Jokic (Aaron Gordon gains possession)0
60.6%
0
39.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.5%
DEN
1.34 66.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
22
33
67%
DEN
19
24
79%
Midrange
BOS
9
21
43%
DEN
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
DEN
17
25.5
30
57%
85%
Free Throws
BOS
22
27
81%
DEN
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown3071%15.0 / 21
J. Tatum2557%12.5 / 22
D. White1365%6.5 / 10
G. Williams975%4.5 / 6
A. Horford840%4.0 / 10
R. Williams8100%4.0 / 4
S. Hauser583%2.5 / 3
M. Smart417%2.0 / 12
M. Brogdon429%2.0 / 7
L. Kornet4100%2.0 / 2
P. Pritchard1-0.0 / 0
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3094%15.0 / 16
B. Brown2175%10.5 / 14
M. Porter1968%9.5 / 14
A. Gordon1856%9.0 / 16
B. Hyland1771%8.5 / 12
V. Cancar8100%4.0 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope643%3.0 / 7
C. Braun2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji2100%1.0 / 1
I. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
86
+12
-13
98
DEN
88
+4
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.5%
DEN
1.34 66.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.6
117.1
BOS 112.1
DEN 120.6 +8.5
Pace
98.8
98.5
BOS 108.0 +12.9
DEN 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.7
BOS 13.3 +1.8
DEN 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.6%
57.3%
BOS 51.1%
DEN 67.7% +16.6%
TO %
12.7%
14.0%
BOS 11.6% +4.8%
DEN 16.4%
ORB %
22.1%
24.8%
BOS 22.7% +19.6%
DEN 3.1%
FTrt
24.3
25.9
BOS 31.0 +8.2
DEN 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
66.3%
BOS 75.0% +6.1%
DEN 68.9%
STL %
6.3%
7.6%
BOS 8.1% +3.2%
DEN 4.9%
BLK %
9.3%
8.3%
BOS 6.1%
DEN 7.4% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.7%
58.7%
BOS 55.5%
DEN 66.8% +11.3%
Rim FG%
65.1%
66.5%
BOS 66.7%
DEN 79.2% +12.5%
Mid FG%
42.8%
43.4%
BOS 42.9% +6.9%
DEN 36.0%
3P %
37.7%
37.9%
BOS 27.3%
DEN 56.7% +29.4%
FT %
81.2%
75.1%
BOS 81.5%
DEN 88.9% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
39.0%
BOS 37.9% +7.6%
DEN 30.4%
Mid Att. %
19.7%
24.9%
BOS 24.1% +7.5%
DEN 31.6%
3P Att. %
48.0%
36.1%
BOS 37.9%
DEN 38.0% +0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.
Game TotalsBOSDEN
Possessions99102
Possession Minutes22.025.7
Points111123
Rebounds4135
Assists3031
Steals85
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (3)
Fouls1517
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)1 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals40-8745-79
At-the-Rim FG22-3319-24
Midrange FG9-219-25
2-Point FG31-5428-49
3-Point FG9-3317-30
Free Throws22-2716-18
Fast Break Pts1211
2nd Chance Pts153
Points in Paint6046
Pts off Turnovers2016
Bench Points3129
Biggest Lead318

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25
35.5
25
57%
7
6
2
0
5
1
0
7
11-14
79%
7-12
58%
0-4
0%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 26
34.2
30
71%
8
3
1
0
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
8-12
67%
4-8
50%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29
31.3
4
17%
5
7
1
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-4
0%
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 37
30.1
8
40%
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29
23.2
13
65%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 24
27.5
9
75%
5
1
1
1
2
3
2
3
5-5
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#13 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 30
19.6
4
29%
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25
18.8
8
100%
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25
11.4
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25
2.1
1
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 27
2.1
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#4 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 27
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#43 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 28
2.1
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; ACL Repair
#28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
56%
41
30
8
3
13
15
10
31
22-27
81%
31-54
57%
9-33
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.