Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pistons | 21% | 102 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 47% | 114 | 115 |
 | 19 | Hornets | 53% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Knicks | 40% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 74% | 112 | 123 |
 | 30 | Magic | 26% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Raptors | 42% | 106 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Thunder | 36% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 60% | 111 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Bucks | 66% | 111 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pelicans | 17% | 104 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Lakers | 59% | 116 | 137 |
Wednesday, November 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 68% | 113 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 32% | 107 | 124 |
| 16 | Pacers | 68% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 69% | 115 | 106 |
| 30 | Magic | 31% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Nets | 45% | 110 | 123 |
| 5 | Celtics | 55% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 71% | 114 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 126 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 51% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 17% | 102 | 93 |
| 4 | Bucks | 83% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Heat | 47% | 109 | 101 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 53% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 62% | 110 | 102 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 106 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 85% | 115 | 110 |
| 29 | Thunder | 15% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| 21 | Spurs | 40% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Warriors | 71% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 117 | 121 |
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 125 |
Tuesday, November 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 71% | 111 | 100 |
| 27 | Pistons | 29% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 38% | 110 | 100 |
| 13 | Knicks | 62% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 32% | 108 | 100 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 49% | 112 | 112 |
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 113 | 104 |
Monday, November 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 63% | 111 | 117 |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 37% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 109 |
| 15 | Wizards | 59% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 21% | 103 | 101 |
| 8 | Hawks | 79% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 19% | 103 | 90 |
| 5 | Celtics | 81% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 43% | 108 | 109 |
| 12 | Bulls | 57% | 111 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 18% | 104 | 92 |
| 3 | Bucks | 82% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 56% | 112 | 110 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 44% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 63% | 115 | 115 |
| 22 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 19% | 105 | 119 |
| 1 | Jazz | 81% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 54% | 112 | 102 |
| 21 | Kings | 46% | 111 | 94 |
Sunday, November 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 37% | 107 | 91 |
| 9 | Clippers | 63% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 58% | 112 | 121 |
| 27 | Pistons | 42% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 35% | 106 | 103 |
| 10 | Bulls | 65% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 35% | 108 | 97 |
| 2 | Suns | 65% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 28% | 105 | 104 |
| 4 | Warriors | 72% | 114 | 119 |
Saturday, November 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 24% | 105 | 99 |
| 12 | Knicks | 76% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 33% | 105 | 94 |
| 17 | Pacers | 67% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 107 | 100 |
| 15 | Wizards | 49% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 111 | 105 |
| 5 | Hawks | 70% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 23% | 100 | 105 |
| 13 | Celtics | 77% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 15% | 102 | 108 |
| 2 | Bucks | 85% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 41% | 111 | 95 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 59% | 115 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 44% | 111 | 111 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 73% | 118 | 123 |
| 23 | Kings | 27% | 109 | 105 |
Friday, November 19, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 49% | 111 | 118 |
| 18 | Hornets | 51% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 64% | 108 | 105 |
| 28 | Pistons | 36% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 40% | 108 | 108 |
| 11 | Celtics | 60% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 25% | 103 | 113 |
| 15 | Nets | 75% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 20% | 103 | 89 |
| 3 | Bucks | 80% | 115 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 57% | 111 | 81 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 43% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 60% | 107 | 114 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 40% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 32% | 109 | 104 |
| 2 | Suns | 68% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 39% | 110 | 108 |
| 22 | Kings | 61% | 114 | 89 |
Thursday, November 18, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 113 | 104 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 25% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 33% | 101 | 97 |
| 8 | Heat | 67% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 59% | 112 | 108 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 41% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 43% | 112 | 90 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 57% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 39% | 106 | 103 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 61% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 28% | 105 | 103 |
| 2 | Jazz | 72% | 114 | 119 |
Wednesday, November 17, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 47% | 110 | 87 |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 72% | 111 | 89 |
| 29 | Pistons | 28% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 39% | 108 | 99 |
| 8 | Hawks | 61% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 28% | 105 | 99 |
| 6 | Nets | 72% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 32% | 106 | 98 |
| 18 | Heat | 68% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 24% | 103 | 104 |
| 11 | Knicks | 76% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 25% | 107 | 102 |
| 5 | Bucks | 75% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 43% | 115 | 97 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 57% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 48% | 109 | 89 |
| 28 | Thunder | 52% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 32% | 109 | 98 |
| 3 | Suns | 68% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 44% | 113 | 107 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 115 | 112 |
Tuesday, November 16, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 44% | 112 | 117 |
| 5 | Nets | 56% | 114 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 32% | 107 | 85 |
| 1 | Jazz | 68% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 23% | 108 | 92 |
| 2 | Clippers | 77% | 119 | 106 |
Monday, November 15, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 58% | 106 | 98 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 42% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 61% | 113 | 129 |
| 28 | Pistons | 39% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 37% | 104 | 100 |
| 21 | Wizards | 63% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 24% | 105 | 111 |
| 7 | Hawks | 76% | 115 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 47% | 109 | 84 |
| 15 | Knicks | 53% | 110 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 41% | 109 | 101 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 59% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 25% | 106 | 102 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 75% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 52% | 115 | 99 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 48% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 73% | 112 | 103 |
| 30 | Thunder | 27% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 48% | 113 | 113 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 56% | 111 | 121 |
| 26 | Lakers | 44% | 109 | 103 |
Sunday, November 14, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Spurs | 47% | 113 | 106 |
| 26 | Lakers | 53% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 47% | 111 | 100 |
| 9 | Hawks | 53% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 62% | 117 | 102 |
| 20 | Hornets | 38% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 71% | 117 | 115 |
| 27 | Rockets | 29% | 109 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 77% | 116 | 120 |
| 30 | Thunder | 23% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 107 | 95 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 37% | 107 | 100 |
| 4 | Clippers | 63% | 112 | 90 |
Saturday, November 13, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 111 |
| 1 | Jazz | 73% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 48% | 108 | 113 |
| 13 | Pacers | 52% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 71% | 111 | 104 |
| 28 | Magic | 29% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 51% | 111 | 101 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 49% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 19% | 99 | 127 |
| 15 | Raptors | 81% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 58% | 106 | 89 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 42% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 25% | 108 | 102 |
| 2 | Clippers | 75% | 117 | 129 |